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Caledonia Mining Corporation (CMCL)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/19/2025: CMCL (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $40.5
1 Year Target Price $40.5
| 0 | Strong Buy |
| 2 | Buy |
| 0 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 187.48% | Avg. Invested days 57 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 518.91M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 10.5 | 1Y Target Price 40.5 |
Price to earnings Ratio 10.5 | 1Y Target Price 40.5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2 | Beta 0.49 | 52 Weeks Range 8.54 - 38.55 | Updated Date 12/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 8.54 - 38.55 | Updated Date 12/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.08% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.56 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 22.08% | Operating Margin (TTM) 44.43% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 15.75% | Return on Equity (TTM) 22.22% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 10.5 | Forward PE 10.59 | Enterprise Value 508544593 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.27 |
Enterprise Value 508544593 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.27 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.12 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.22 | Shares Outstanding 19304784 | Shares Floating 14879454 |
Shares Outstanding 19304784 | Shares Floating 14879454 | ||
Percent Insiders 13.94 | Percent Institutions 52.08 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Caledonia Mining Corporation

Company Overview
History and Background
Caledonia Mining Corporation plc (formerly African Gold Acquisition Corporation) was incorporated in 2001. Its primary focus shifted to mining operations in Zimbabwe after a strategic acquisition. A significant milestone was the acquisition of Blanket Mine in 2006, which has since become its flagship operation. The company has been actively involved in expanding Blanket Mine's production capacity and exploring new opportunities within Zimbabwe.
Core Business Areas
- Gold Mining Operations: Caledonia Mining Corporation's core business is the exploration, mining, and processing of gold. Its primary asset is the Blanket Mine in Zimbabwe, a long-established gold producer that the company has been instrumental in modernizing and expanding. Operations involve underground mining and the extraction of gold from ore. The company aims to increase production and improve operational efficiencies at its facilities.
Leadership and Structure
Caledonia Mining Corporation is a public limited company. Key leadership positions typically include a Chairman, Chief Executive Officer, Chief Financial Officer, and a Board of Directors. The organizational structure is focused on operational management of its mining assets, exploration activities, and corporate governance. Specific individuals and their roles are subject to change and can be found in the company's latest annual reports and investor relations information.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Gold: Caledonia Mining Corporation's primary product is gold, extracted and processed from its Blanket Mine. As a single-mine operation, specific revenue breakdowns by product are not applicable. The market share for Caledonia's gold production is a very small fraction of the global gold market. Its primary competitors are other gold mining companies globally, but on a Zimbabwean scale, it is a significant producer. Competitors in Zimbabwe include large state-owned entities and other private mining firms.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The gold mining industry is a global commodity market influenced by factors such as global economic conditions, inflation, geopolitical stability, and currency fluctuations. Demand for gold is driven by its use in jewelry, investment, and industrial applications. The industry faces challenges related to fluctuating commodity prices, environmental regulations, operational costs, and political risks in certain jurisdictions.
Positioning
Caledonia Mining Corporation is positioned as a mid-tier gold producer with a significant focus on its Blanket Mine in Zimbabwe. Its competitive advantages include its established operational history at Blanket Mine, the potential for expansion, and its understanding of the Zimbabwean mining landscape. However, its single-mine focus can also be a weakness. The company benefits from a favorable gold price environment and operational improvements at its flagship asset.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The Total Addressable Market for gold is vast, representing the global demand for the commodity across various sectors (jewelry, investment, central banks, industrial). While Caledonia's production is a small part of this global TAM, its positioning within the Zimbabwean gold market, which has significant untapped potential, is more relevant. The company is positioned to capture a larger share of the Zimbabwean gold market through increased production and potential future acquisitions or developments within the country.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Established and productive flagship asset (Blanket Mine)
- Experienced management team with expertise in Zimbabwean mining
- History of operational improvements and expansion at Blanket Mine
- Positive free cash flow generation from current operations
Weaknesses
- Heavy reliance on a single mining operation
- Geopolitical and economic risks associated with operating in Zimbabwe
- Limited diversification of assets
- Potential for infrastructure and supply chain challenges in Zimbabwe
Opportunities
- Expansion of Blanket Mine's production capacity
- Exploration and development of new gold deposits in Zimbabwe
- Potential for strategic acquisitions within Zimbabwe's mining sector
- Benefiting from rising gold prices
- Improved regulatory environment in Zimbabwe
Threats
- Fluctuations in gold prices
- Changes in Zimbabwean mining policy and regulations
- Operational disruptions (e.g., power outages, labor issues)
- Environmental and social governance (ESG) risks
- Competition for resources and skilled labor
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- List of major gold mining companies operating globally and in Zimbabwe. Specific direct competitors in Zimbabwe are fewer and often include larger state-owned entities or other private miners.
- No single US stock symbol represents direct, broad competition across the entire market share of gold mining. The market is fragmented globally.
Competitive Landscape
Caledonia Mining Corporation's competitive landscape is defined by its niche position as a significant gold producer in Zimbabwe. Globally, it competes with much larger diversified mining companies. Its advantages lie in its operational focus and expertise within a specific jurisdiction. However, its smaller scale compared to global giants means it has less influence on market prices and less diversified risk. Its disadvantages include its single-asset dependency and the inherent risks of operating in Zimbabwe.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Caledonia's historical growth has been characterized by its strategic focus on revitalizing and expanding the Blanket Mine in Zimbabwe. The company has successfully transitioned from a struggling asset to a significant gold producer, demonstrating consistent growth in production volumes and, consequently, revenue and profitability over the past several years.
Future Projections: Future growth projections for Caledonia Mining Corporation are largely dependent on the successful execution of its expansion plans at Blanket Mine and potential further exploration or acquisitions. Analyst estimates often project continued increases in gold production and revenue, assuming stable gold prices and operational efficiency. The company's strategy is geared towards maximizing output from its existing infrastructure.
Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives include the ongoing underground development at Blanket Mine to access deeper, higher-grade gold reefs, aimed at significantly increasing production. The company has also explored opportunities for additional exploration and potential acquisitions within Zimbabwe. Furthermore, efforts to improve operational efficiencies, including power supply and processing, are continuous.
Summary
Caledonia Mining Corporation is a well-managed gold producer with a strong operational focus on its flagship Blanket Mine in Zimbabwe. The company has demonstrated consistent growth in production and profitability, driven by strategic expansions and operational improvements. Its progressive dividend policy offers attractive shareholder returns. However, its reliance on a single asset and the inherent risks associated with operating in Zimbabwe present key areas to monitor for future performance.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Investor Relations (Annual Reports, Press Releases)
- Financial Data Providers (e.g., Refinitiv, Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance)
- Industry Analysis Reports
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is generated based on publicly available information and analysis. It is intended for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions. Market share data and competitor analysis are estimates and subject to interpretation and change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Caledonia Mining Corporation
Exchange NYSE MKT | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2017-06-29 | CEO & Non-Independent Director Mr. John Mark Learmonth | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Gold | Full time employees - | Website https://www.caledoniamining.com |
Full time employees - | Website https://www.caledoniamining.com | ||
Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc primarily operates a gold mine in Jersey. It also engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties for precious metals. The company holds a 64% interest in the Blanket Mine, a gold mine located in Zimbabwe. It also owns 100% interests in the Maligreen project, a brownfield gold exploration project located in the Gweru mining district in the Zimbabwe Midlands; the Bilboes, a gold deposit located to the north of Bulawayo, Zimbabwe; and the Motapa, a gold exploration property located in Southern Zimbabwe. The company was formerly known as Caledonia Mining Corporation and changed its name to Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc in March 2016. Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Saint Helier, Jersey.

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