CMS Energy Corporation logo

CMS Energy Corporation(CMS)

upturn advisory logo
ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$63.74
10/02/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for CMS

10/02/2026: CMS (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

CMS Energy Corporation is a regulated utility serving the majority of Michigan's population. The stock is a classic defensive play, appealing to dividend-focused investors due to its consistent payouts and stable, monopoly-like business model. The primary investment story centers on the company’s ongoing transition to renewable energy sources, which provides a long-term roadmap for capital investment and growth. Key risks include significant exposure to Michigan-specific economic and weather patterns, as well as the necessity for regular regulatory approval for rate increases. Investors should monitor Michigan regulatory rate-case outcomes and the company's progress on its Clean Energy Plan as primary indicators of performance.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorWeak fitUtilities typically offer modest, predictable growth rather than the high-alpha growth sought by this style.
Momentum investorWeak fitUtility stocks rarely exhibit the high-volatility, high-uptrend momentum patterns required.
Value investorMixed fitThe stock often trades at a premium valuation due to its defensive nature, limiting 'bargain' opportunities.
Dividend investorStrong fitThe company provides a reliable, growing dividend stream characteristic of stable regulated utilities.
Low-risk investorStrong fitIts regulated business model provides lower beta and earnings stability compared to the broader market.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityLowUtilities are generally defensive stocks with lower sensitivity to short-term market swings.
Valuation riskMediumHigh interest rates can compress valuation multiples for utilities.
Competition risk (Regulatory)MediumAs a monopoly, the primary 'competition' is regulatory pressure on rate hikes.
Business qualityStrongThe regulated, essential nature of the service provides high revenue certainty.
Dividend incomeStrongLong history of stable payouts makes it a staple for income-focused portfolios.
Execution riskMediumManaging large-scale infrastructure projects successfully is critical to maintaining profit margins.

Price Behavior

Downtrend
PRICE PATH

Downtrend

The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.

Very Smooth
PRICE STABILITY

Very Smooth

The stock has followed a highly orderly price path with minimal short-term disruption.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -3.5%
Avg. Invested days 44
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/02/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
CMS receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid quantitative characteristics, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by soft unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
CMS has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with moderate financial health, moderate growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, moderate earnings growth (+6.8%) and solid revenue growth (+13.6%) are partially offset by weak cash generation (FCF margin -18.6%), very low insider ownership of 0.55%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
CMS's financial health is supported by solid profitability, including gross margin of 60.9% and operating margin of 20.2%. Liquidity is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Revenue growth is CMS's strongest growth driver at +13.6% FY2025 versus FY2024 (solid, 4 stars). By comparison, while free-cash-flow growth (-145.2%, negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 103.7% and approximately 100.8% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership is only 0.55%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 10.55%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 6.43%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 6.08%
State Street Corp 5.65%
JPMorgan Chase & Co 5.23%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
CMS generates approximately $609 of gross profit, $202 of operating income, and $-186 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Negative free cash flow explains the 2-star rating, with weak cash conversion and soft capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 19.71%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
CMS has a large-cap, liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedLow VolatilityLarge / Mega Cap StabilityHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 19.66B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 19
1Y Target Price 77.92
Price to earnings Ratio 19
1Y Target Price 77.92
Volume (30-day avg) 3.6M shares
Beta 0.33
52 Weeks Range 62.29 - 79.10
Updated Date 10/02/2026
52 Weeks Range 62.29 - 79.10
Updated Date 10/02/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 3.53%
Basic EPS (TTM) 3.35

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Electric DistributionDelivering electricity to residential and business customers in Michigan.The bread and butter of the company, providing stable, recurring monthly bills.
Natural Gas DistributionTransporting and selling gas throughout the service territory.Provides secondary income, though susceptible to seasonal weather patterns.
Geography: MichiganOperations limited almost entirely to the Lower Peninsula.Investors must monitor Michigan's state-level economic health and political environment.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Advertisement

Valuation

Trailing PE 19
Forward PE 15.24
Enterprise Value 39.09B
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.26
Enterprise Value 39.09B
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.26
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.44
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.84
Shares Outstanding 308.92M
Shares Floating 311.47M
Shares Outstanding 308.92M
Shares Floating 311.47M
Percent Insiders 0.55
Percent Institutions 103.67

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI Summary

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization accuracy disclaimer AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization data freshness disclaimer Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Information icon warning about Upturn AI Fundamental Rating based on potentially old data Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Information icon warning about potential inaccuracies or hallucinations in Upturn AI-generated summaries AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About CMS Energy Corporation

Exchange NYSE
Headquarters Jackson, MI, United States
IPO Launch date 1984-12-31
President, CEO & Director Mr. Garrick J. Rochow
Sector Utilities
Industry Utilities - Regulated Electric
Full time employees 8350
Full time employees 8350

CMS Energy Corporation operates as an energy company primarily in Michigan. The company operates through three segments: Electric Utility; Gas Utility; and NorthStar Clean Energy. The Electric Utility segment is involved in the generation, purchase, distribution, and sale of electricity. This segment generates electricity through coal, wind, gas, renewable energy, oil, and nuclear sources. Its distribution system comprises 263 miles of high-voltage distribution overhead lines; 4 miles of high-voltage distribution underground lines; 4,619 miles of high-voltage distribution overhead lines; 18 miles of high-voltage distribution underground lines; 82,854 miles of electric distribution overhead lines; 10,027 miles of underground distribution lines; and 1,102 substations. The Gas Utility segment engages in the purchase, transmission, storage, distribution, and sale of natural gas, which includes 2,337 miles of transmission lines; 14 gas storage fields; 28,433 miles of distribution mains; and 8 compressor stations. The NorthStar Clean Energy segment is involved in the independent power production and marketing, including the development and operation of renewable generation. The company serves 1.9 million electric and 1.8 million gas customers, including residential, commercial, and diversified industrial customers. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Jackson, Michigan.