American Electric Power Co Inc logo

American Electric Power Co Inc(AEP)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
3-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$122.81
10/09/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for AEP

10/09/2026: AEP (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

American Electric Power (AEP) is a prominent US utility provider known for its extensive electricity transmission and distribution network. The company benefits from a regulated business model that offers relatively stable, predictable cash flows, making it an attractive option for income-oriented and low-risk investors. Its primary growth opportunity lies in meeting the surging electricity demand from data center developments and grid modernization requirements. However, investors should monitor risks associated with high capital expenditure needs, regulatory rate case outcomes, and interest rate volatility. Overall, AEP remains a foundational utility stock that balances essential service provision with moderate long-term growth potential in an evolving energy landscape.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitAEP offers moderate growth tied to regulated utility expansion rather than high-growth technology cycles.
Momentum investorWeak fitThe stock is generally characterized by steady, low-beta price movement rather than rapid momentum trends.
Value investorMixed fitValuation is often pegged to industry-standard price-to-earnings multiples for regulated utilities.
Dividend investorStrong fitThe company has a consistent history of dividend payments, making it a staple for income-focused portfolios.
Low-risk investorStrong fitRegulated utilities are generally viewed as defensive assets with lower volatility compared to the broader market.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityLowUtility stocks typically exhibit lower beta and volatility compared to cyclical sectors.
Valuation riskMediumUtility valuations are sensitive to long-term interest rate trends and yield competition.
Competition risk (Regulatory)MediumThe primary 'competition' is regulatory scrutiny, which can impact allowed returns and rate recoveries.
Business qualityStrongAEP provides an essential service with a regulated monopoly structure in its primary territories.
Dividend incomeStrongThe company has a long track record of providing reliable dividend income to shareholders.
Execution riskMediumSuccessful execution relies on managing massive capital projects and navigating complex state regulatory processes.

Price Behavior

Rolling Over
PRICE PATH

Rolling Over

The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.

Smooth
PRICE STABILITY

Smooth

The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 22.52%
Avg. Invested days 57
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/09/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
AEP receives a 4-star rating, supported by solid unit economics, solid company fundamentals, solid quantitative characteristics, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
AEP has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with solid financial health, solid growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid earnings growth (+20.7%) and strong cash generation (FCF margin 31.3%) are partially offset by moderate revenue growth (+9.4%), very low insider ownership of 0.03%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
AEP's financial health is supported by strong cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation of $6.8B (31.3% of revenue). Liquidity is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is AEP's strongest growth driver at +805.2% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, earnings growth (+20.7%, solid) is also solid, while revenue growth (+9.4%, moderate) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 94.3% and approximately 99.8% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership is only 0.03%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 9.37%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 6.53%
State Street Corp 5.65%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 4.32%
Amvescap Plc. 3.59%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
AEP generates approximately $318 of gross profit, $243 of operating income, and $313 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Solid margins and strong cash conversion support the rating, although capital efficiency remains soft.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 3.37%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
AEP has a high-quality, large-cap, liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltLow VolatilityLarge / Mega Cap StabilityHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 66.59B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 21.2
1Y Target Price 142.53
Price to earnings Ratio 21.2
1Y Target Price 142.53
Volume (30-day avg) 3.8M shares
Beta 0.47
52 Weeks Range 110.01 - 139.52
Updated Date 10/08/2026
52 Weeks Range 110.01 - 139.52
Updated Date 10/08/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 3.10%
Basic EPS (TTM) 5.77

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Regulated Retail OperationsElectricity generation, transmission, and distribution to residential, commercial, and industrial customers.Most revenue comes from stable, government-regulated utility bills.
Transmission and DistributionFees charged for moving electricity across the high-voltage grid.This is a reliable, essential service fee model that underpins the power grid.
GeographyOperations across 11 US states, primarily in the Midwest and South.Regional economic trends in these states directly impact electricity demand.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 21.2
Forward PE 17.24
Enterprise Value 117.35B
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.92
Enterprise Value 117.35B
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.92
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.15
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 12.61
Shares Outstanding 544.40M
Shares Floating 543.50M
Shares Outstanding 544.40M
Shares Floating 543.50M
Percent Insiders 0.03
Percent Institutions 94.32

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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