Context Therapeutics Inc logo

Context Therapeutics Inc(CNTX)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$0.19
11/05/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for CNTX

11/05/2026: CNTX (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Context Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing therapies for hormone-driven cancers, including breast and gynecological cancers. The company's primary strength lies in its niche focus on under-addressed oncology pathways and a lean, R&D-centric business model. The investment story centers on the potential for its clinical-stage assets, ONA-XR and CTIM-76, to deliver meaningful outcomes where current therapies fail. However, investors face substantial risks, including the absence of current product revenue, the high likelihood of clinical trial failure, and intense competition from large pharmaceutical corporations. The stock is best suited for growth-oriented investors with a high risk tolerance who are closely monitoring upcoming clinical data readouts.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitThe company offers high-risk, high-reward exposure for investors focused on clinical-stage biotech development.
Momentum investorWeak fitMomentum is inconsistent and highly dependent on volatile clinical news cycles.
Value investorWeak fitThe company lacks current earnings or traditional value metrics to support a value-based thesis.
Dividend investorWeak fitContext does not pay dividends and focuses all capital on research and development.
Low-risk investorWeak fitBiotechnology R&D companies represent high-risk assets unsuitable for capital preservation goals.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighClinical trial results can lead to drastic, sudden changes in share price.
Valuation riskHighValuations are speculative and based on projected future success of drugs that may not pass clinical hurdles.
Competition risk (Large Pharma dominance)HighWell-funded competitors may bring superior or faster solutions to market.
Business qualityMediumThe company is early-stage, lacking a proven commercial track record or stable revenue streams.
Dividend incomeLow / noneThere is no income generation for investors from this stock.
Execution riskHighFailure to execute clinical trials on time or within budget can lead to severe capital erosion.

Price Behavior

Steep Decline
PRICE PATH

Steep Decline

The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.

Extreme Price Shocks
PRICE STABILITY

Extreme Price Shocks

The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 4.74%
Avg. Invested days 28
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/05/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
CNTX receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, soft quantitative characteristics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
CNTX has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with moderate financial health, moderate growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, growth and ownership metrics are mixed: negative earnings growth (-35.2%), soft cash generation (FCF margin 0.0%), slightly negative revenue growth (+0.0%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
CNTX's financial health is supported by strong efficiency, including operating-expense and cost-of-revenue discipline (opex 0.0% of revenue). Profitability is weak (1 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is CNTX's strongest growth driver at +9.9% FY2025 versus FY2024 (moderate, 3 stars). By comparison, while revenue growth (+0.0%, slightly negative) and earnings growth (-35.2%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 68.8% and approximately 69.4% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 1.57% provides only moderate management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Deep Track Capital, LP 8.08%
Nextech Invest, Ltd. 8.08%
Soleus Capital Management, L.P. 7.69%
BlackRock Inc 6.71%
Avidity Partners Management LP 5.44%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
CNTX generates approximately $-0 of gross profit, $-0 of operating income, and $-0 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Weak margins explain the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and strong capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 0.00%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
CNTX has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while elevated volatility.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedHigh VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 18.70M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 4.14
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 4.14
Volume (30-day avg) 1.3M shares
Beta 1.8
52 Weeks Range 0.19 - 3.62
Updated Date 11/04/2026
52 Weeks Range 0.19 - 3.62
Updated Date 11/04/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.48

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Clinical-stage R&DDevelopment of ONA-XR and CTIM-76The company does not currently generate product revenue; it relies on capital markets to fund drug development.

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value -24.92M
Price to Sales(TTM) -
Enterprise Value -24.92M
Price to Sales(TTM) -
Enterprise Value to Revenue -
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 1.6
Shares Outstanding 91.88M
Shares Floating 63.73M
Shares Outstanding 91.88M
Shares Floating 63.73M
Percent Insiders 1.57
Percent Institutions 68.77

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.