Copa Holdings SA logo

Copa Holdings SA(CPA)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$134.52
10/08/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for CPA

10/08/2026: CPA (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Copa Holdings is an airline holding company that excels by operating a highly efficient hub-and-spoke system in Panama, connecting the Americas. Its primary strength lies in its operational discipline and a strategic hub location that facilitates optimal flight connectivity. The company's growth story is tied to its ability to capture regional travel demand and expand its cargo footprint. However, investors must consider risks like fuel price volatility, regional economic instability, and intense competition from low-cost carriers. Overall, the stock may suit value-oriented investors who appreciate its historical focus on efficiency, though it remains subject to the inherent cyclicality of the global airline industry.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitCopa offers steady growth potential linked to regional economic development but is constrained by airline industry cyclicality.
Momentum investorMixed fitMomentum depends on positive sector sentiment and fuel price stability, requiring a favorable technical setup.
Value investorStrong fitThe company's historical focus on efficiency often leads to attractive valuation relative to its strong operational performance.
Dividend investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveCopa has a history of returning capital to shareholders, making it attractive for those seeking income in the airline sector.
Low-risk investorWeak fitAirline stocks are inherently high-risk due to volatile fuel costs, economic cycles, and operational complexity.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighAirline stocks are prone to significant price swings due to macroeconomic and fuel price shifts.
Valuation riskMediumMarket sentiment toward airlines can fluctuate rapidly, impacting share price multiples.
Competition risk (Regional airline market)Medium / highAggressive pricing by competitors can pressure margins in key regional routes.
Business qualityMediumThe company maintains strong operational discipline, though it remains vulnerable to external shocks.
Dividend incomeMediumDividends can be suspended during cyclical downturns or financial stress.
Execution riskMediumOperational delays or hub disruptions can have immediate impacts on revenue and reputation.

Price Behavior

Rolling Over
PRICE PATH

Rolling Over

The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 10.18%
Avg. Invested days 48
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 2.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/08/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
CPA receives a 4-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, solid quantitative characteristics, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
CPA has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with solid financial health, moderate growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid earnings growth (+10.4%) and solid cash generation (FCF margin 8.5%) are partially offset by moderate revenue growth (+5.0%), very low insider ownership of 0.40%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
CPA's financial health is supported by solid cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation (8.5% of revenue). Liquidity is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Earnings growth is CPA's strongest growth driver at +10.4% FY2025 versus FY2024 (solid, 4 stars). By comparison, while free-cash-flow growth (-9.5%, negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 93.6% and approximately 94.6% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership is only 0.40%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Capital World Investors 7.00%
Baillie Gifford & Co Limited. 6.02%
JPMorgan Chase & Co 3.78%
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. 3.56%
Sprucegrove Investment Management Ltd 3.56%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
CPA generates approximately $356 of gross profit, $226 of operating income, and $85 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Moderate margins and weak cash conversion support a 3-star rating, while capital efficiency is solid.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 13.40%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
CPA has a high-quality, liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltSmall / Mid Cap RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 5.56B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 8.96
1Y Target Price 178.73
Price to earnings Ratio 8.96
1Y Target Price 178.73
Volume (30-day avg) 315.7K shares
Beta 1.03
52 Weeks Range 104.75 - 158.35
Updated Date 10/07/2026
52 Weeks Range 104.75 - 158.35
Updated Date 10/07/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 4.95%
Basic EPS (TTM) 15.21

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Passenger Air TransportTicket sales for flights throughout North, Central, and South America via the Panama hub.The primary revenue driver is people buying seats on their flights.
Cargo ServicesTransporting freight in the cargo holds of passenger aircraft.Secondary income generated by utilizing extra space on flights to move goods.
Geography (Americas)Market operations centered on Panama, covering Latin American and US destinations.Success is tied to the strength of travel demand across the Americas.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 8.96
Forward PE 6.76
Enterprise Value 6.61B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.39
Enterprise Value 6.61B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.39
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.71
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.26
Shares Outstanding 29.88M
Shares Floating 28.25M
Shares Outstanding 29.88M
Shares Floating 28.25M
Percent Insiders 0.4
Percent Institutions 93.61

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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