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Copa Holdings SA (CPA)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/31/2025: CPA (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $156.2
1 Year Target Price $156.2
| 9 | Strong Buy |
| 5 | Buy |
| 1 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 14.74% | Avg. Invested days 52 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.96B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 7.51 | 1Y Target Price 156.2 |
Price to earnings Ratio 7.51 | 1Y Target Price 156.2 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 15 | Beta 0.89 | 52 Weeks Range 79.18 - 128.28 | Updated Date 12/31/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 79.18 - 128.28 | Updated Date 12/31/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 5.36% | Basic EPS (TTM) 16.07 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 18.81% | Operating Margin (TTM) 23.25% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 8.55% | Return on Equity (TTM) 26.68% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 7.51 | Forward PE 6.51 | Enterprise Value 6127755698 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.4 |
Enterprise Value 6127755698 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.4 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.73 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.08 | Shares Outstanding 30199961 | Shares Floating 29859042 |
Shares Outstanding 30199961 | Shares Floating 29859042 | ||
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 97.01 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Copa Holdings SA

Company Overview
History and Background
Copa Holdings S.A. was founded in 1944 as the national airline of Panama, Compania Panamena de Aviacion, S.A. It began operations in 1947. In 1998, it was acquired by a group of private investors, including United Airlines. Copa Holdings S.A. was incorporated in Panama in 2000, and its shares were listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in 2005 under the ticker symbol CPA. The company has grown significantly, establishing Panama City's Tocumen International Airport as a major hub for Latin American travel.
Core Business Areas
- Airline Operations (Copa Airlines): Copa Airlines is the primary operating subsidiary. It offers scheduled passenger and cargo services to approximately 80 destinations in North, Central, and South America and the Caribbean. Its business model focuses on point-to-point traffic and hub-and-spoke operations through its hub in Panama City.
- Airline Operations (Wingo): Wingo is a low-cost leisure airline operating primarily within Latin America, targeting a segment of the market focused on price-sensitive travelers seeking leisure destinations.
Leadership and Structure
Copa Holdings S.A. is led by a Board of Directors and a senior management team. Key figures typically include a Chairman of the Board, a Chief Executive Officer (CEO), a Chief Financial Officer (CFO), and other executive officers responsible for operations, commercial, and finance. The company operates through its subsidiaries, primarily Copa Airlines and Wingo.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Passenger Air Transportation: Copa Airlines offers a full range of passenger air transportation services, including various fare classes, loyalty programs (ConnectMiles), and in-flight amenities. Market share is significant within its Latin American network. Major competitors include Avianca, LATAM Airlines Group, and American Airlines within specific routes and regions.
- Cargo Air Transportation: Copa Airlines provides air cargo services, transporting goods and mail across its network. This is a smaller but significant revenue stream, facing competition from specialized cargo carriers and cargo divisions of other passenger airlines.
- Low-Cost Leisure Travel (Wingo): Wingo offers a no-frills, low-cost travel experience to leisure destinations, primarily within Latin America. Competitors include other low-cost carriers like Viva Aerobus, Volaris, and potentially ultra-low-cost carriers entering the market.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The airline industry, particularly in Latin America, is dynamic and competitive. It is influenced by factors such as economic growth, fuel prices, currency fluctuations, regulatory environments, and demand for both business and leisure travel. The post-pandemic recovery has seen a rebound in travel, but capacity constraints and operational challenges persist.
Positioning
Copa Holdings is strategically positioned as the leading airline in Panama, leveraging its Tocumen International Airport hub to connect the Americas. Its 'Star Alliance' membership provides global reach. Copa Airlines' reputation for reliability, extensive network, and customer service is a key advantage. Wingo allows it to tap into the growing low-cost leisure segment.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The Total Addressable Market for Copa Holdings is the passenger and cargo air transportation market across North, Central, and South America, and the Caribbean. Estimating a precise TAM value is complex and highly dependent on the definition of routes and segments. Copa Holdings is well-positioned within its core geographies, particularly in serving inter-American traffic, but faces intense competition from global and regional carriers.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strategic Hub Location: Panama City offers a geographically advantageous hub for connecting the Americas.
- Extensive Network: A wide route network across Latin America, North America, and the Caribbean.
- Star Alliance Membership: Provides global connectivity and benefits for passengers.
- Strong Brand Recognition: Copa Airlines is a well-respected brand in Latin America.
- Operational Efficiency: Focus on maintaining a modern fleet and efficient operations.
- Diversified Revenue Streams: Through both premium and low-cost offerings (Copa Airlines and Wingo).
Weaknesses
- Geopolitical and Economic Sensitivity: Operations are highly susceptible to economic downturns and political instability in Latin American countries.
- Dependence on Hub: Significant reliance on the Panama City hub can be a vulnerability.
- Fuel Price Volatility: Major cost driver subject to unpredictable market fluctuations.
- Intense Competition: Faces competition from major international carriers and regional airlines.
Opportunities
- Growing Demand for Travel: Continued recovery and growth in air travel demand, especially for leisure.
- Emerging Markets: Expansion into underserved or growing markets within Latin America.
- Fleet Modernization: Investment in newer, more fuel-efficient aircraft.
- Ancillary Services Growth: Expanding revenue from services beyond ticket sales.
- Partnership Opportunities: Deeper collaborations with Star Alliance members and other airlines.
Threats
- Economic Downturns: Recessions in key operating regions can significantly reduce travel demand.
- Rising Fuel Costs: Uncontrolled increases in jet fuel prices.
- Increased Competition: New entrants or aggressive strategies from existing competitors.
- Regulatory Changes: Unfavorable government regulations or taxes on air travel.
- Health Crises: Future pandemics or health emergencies impacting travel.
- Currency Devaluation: Affecting purchasing power and operational costs in local currencies.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Avianca Holdings SA (AV) - While not a direct US-listed entity in the same way, it's a major competitor in Latin America.
- LATAM Airlines Group S.A. (LTMAQ) - Formerly a single entity, now restructured and operating in various jurisdictions.
- American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL)
- Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL)
- United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL)
Competitive Landscape
Copa Holdings' competitive advantage lies in its unparalleled connectivity through its Panama hub, serving a vast number of destinations in Latin America. Its Star Alliance affiliation is a significant draw for international travelers. However, it faces formidable competition from larger North American carriers with extensive global networks and from strong regional players like Avianca and LATAM, which have established brand loyalty and extensive domestic networks in their respective home countries. Wingo competes directly with other low-cost carriers in the region.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Copa Holdings has historically demonstrated strong growth, driven by the expansion of its network, modernization of its fleet, and the increasing demand for air travel in Latin America. The company has successfully navigated various economic cycles.
Future Projections: Analyst projections for Copa Holdings generally anticipate continued growth in passenger traffic and revenue, supported by a recovering Latin American economy and sustained travel demand. Potential for expansion into new routes and optimizing existing ones are key drivers. Factors such as fuel price stability and competitive dynamics will influence actual growth.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives likely include fleet renewal programs, enhancements to the ConnectMiles loyalty program, optimization of flight schedules, and strategic adjustments to Wingo's operations to capture market share in the leisure segment. Investments in technology for improved customer experience and operational efficiency are also common.
Summary
Copa Holdings SA is a robust airline player strategically positioned in Latin America, benefiting from its Panama hub and Star Alliance membership. Its dual approach with Copa Airlines and Wingo allows it to cater to both premium and budget travelers. While facing intense competition and economic sensitivities, its recovery trajectory is strong, supported by growing travel demand. Continued fleet modernization and operational efficiency are crucial for sustained success.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Copa Holdings SA Investor Relations
- Financial news outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters, Wall Street Journal)
- Market data providers (e.g., Refinitiv, S&P Capital IQ)
- Industry analysis reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Financial data and market share information are subject to change and may vary depending on the source and reporting period. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Copa Holdings SA
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2005-12-15 | CEO & Executive Chairman Mr. Pedro Heilbron | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Airlines | Full time employees 7909 | Website https://copa.gcs-web.com |
Full time employees 7909 | Website https://copa.gcs-web.com | ||
Copa Holdings, S.A., through its subsidiaries, provides airline passenger and cargo transport services. As of December 31, 2024, it operated through a fleet of 112 aircraft. The company was founded in 1947 and is based in Panama City, Panama.

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