Home 
Today's Top Picks 
Top Performers 
Watchlist 
My Robo Portfolios 
ETF Zone 
How It Works 
News - Chart
- Upturn Summary
- Highlights
- Revenue
- Valuation
Upturn AI Summary - About
American Airlines Group(AAL)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for AAL
10/26/2026: AAL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
American Airlines Group is one of the largest passenger carriers in the US, operating a vast hub-and-spoke network. Its primary strength lies in its scale, extensive reach, and the valuable AAdvantage loyalty program, which provides a consistent, high-margin revenue stream. The company's main investment story revolves around its ongoing effort to reduce its significant debt load while capturing premium travel demand to improve profitability. However, investors must weigh these potential benefits against risks including high fuel price sensitivity, labor-related cost pressures, and a highly competitive, cyclical environment. The stock is generally more suitable for value-oriented investors willing to navigate industry volatility.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth is largely cyclical and tied to broad economic expansion rather than structural secular growth. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum can be strong during airline cycle upturns, but it remains conditional on fuel prices and macro sentiment. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The stock often trades at low valuation multiples, appealing to those betting on operational turnarounds and deleveraging. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company currently does not pay a dividend, making it unsuitable for income-focused portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High financial leverage and industry volatility make this a high-risk asset. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Airline stocks are highly susceptible to sudden shifts in fuel costs and consumer demand. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Market sentiment frequently oscillates based on economic cycles. |
| Competition risk (Airline Industry) | High | Intense rivalry from major network carriers and low-cost competitors limits pricing power. |
| Business quality | Medium | The business model is capital-intensive with inherently thin margins. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | Capital is currently prioritized for debt service over shareholder payouts. |
| Execution risk | Medium / high | Operational disruptions can lead to significant cost spikes and reputational damage. |
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -20.5% | Avg. Invested days 29 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/26/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 8.02B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 15.44 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 15.44 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 67.1M shares | Beta 1.38 | 52 Weeks Range 10.09 - 18.79 | Updated Date 10/26/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 10.09 - 18.79 | Updated Date 10/26/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.73 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Passenger Revenue | Ticket sales for domestic and international flights. | Most revenue comes from people buying plane tickets. |
| Loyalty Program | Revenue from AAdvantage partnerships and credit card agreements. | This is a high-margin business segment that provides stable income. |
| Cargo | Freight and mail transportation services. | Small contributor compared to passenger travel but adds value. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 5.22 | Enterprise Value 36.63B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.13 |
Enterprise Value 36.63B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.13 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.62 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 28.31 | Shares Outstanding 662.62M | Shares Floating 653.62M |
Shares Outstanding 662.62M | Shares Floating 653.62M | ||
Percent Insiders 1.51 | Percent Institutions 78.41 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
Note: This website is maintained by Upturn Corporation, which is an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Such registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Investing in securities has risks. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. No assurance is provided as to any particular investment return, and you may lose money using our services. You are strongly advised to consult appropriate counsel before making any investments in companies you learn about through our services. You should obtain appropriate legal, tax, investment, accounting, and other advice that takes into account your investment portfolio and overall financial situation. You are solely responsible for conducting due diligence on a potential investment. We do not affect trades for you. You will select your own broker through which to transact. Investments are not FDIC insured, they are not guaranteed, and they may lose value. Please see the Privacy Policy, Terms of Use, and Disclosure for more information.
All company names, trademarks, logos, and brands are the property of their respective owners and are used for identification and informational purposes only. Use of these names, trademarks, and logos does not imply endorsement by their respective owners.