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American Airlines Group (AAL)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/08/2026: AAL (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $16.31
1 Year Target Price $16.31
| 10 | Strong Buy |
| 3 | Buy |
| 10 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -17.75% | Avg. Invested days 28 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 10.55B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 18.38 | 1Y Target Price 16.31 |
Price to earnings Ratio 18.38 | 1Y Target Price 16.31 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 24 | Beta 1.23 | 52 Weeks Range 8.50 - 19.10 | Updated Date 01/7/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 8.50 - 19.10 | Updated Date 01/7/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.87 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 1.11% | Operating Margin (TTM) 1.28% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.36% | Return on Equity (TTM) - |
Valuation
Trailing PE 18.38 | Forward PE 8.12 | Enterprise Value 39549555376 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.19 |
Enterprise Value 39549555376 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.19 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.73 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.17 | Shares Outstanding 660086495 | Shares Floating 650620855 |
Shares Outstanding 660086495 | Shares Floating 650620855 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.48 | Percent Institutions 70.47 |
Upturn AI SWOT
American Airlines Group

Company Overview
History and Background
American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) was formed through the 2013 merger of American Airlines and US Airways, creating one of the world's largest airlines. The original American Airlines was founded in 1926 as American Airways. The company has undergone significant transformations, including periods of bankruptcy and restructuring, to adapt to the evolving airline industry.
Core Business Areas
- Airline Operations (Passenger Transport): The primary business involves transporting passengers on a global network of routes, including domestic, international, and transoceanic flights. This segment includes revenue from ticket sales, ancillary services (like baggage fees and seat upgrades), and loyalty program benefits.
- Cargo Operations: American Airlines Cargo transports freight and mail across its network. This segment leverages the airline's existing infrastructure and flight capacity to offer specialized cargo services.
- Loyalty Program (AAdvantage): The AAdvantage program is a significant revenue driver, offering members points for flights and purchases with partners, which can be redeemed for flights, upgrades, and other rewards. It also generates revenue through co-branded credit cards and partnerships.
Leadership and Structure
American Airlines Group is led by a Chairman and CEO, supported by an executive leadership team responsible for various divisions such as Operations, Commercial, Finance, and People. The company operates as a single, integrated airline post-merger, with a hierarchical management structure.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Mainline and Regional Passenger Flights: American Airlines offers a comprehensive network of flights across domestic and international destinations. Market share in terms of passenger miles is a key metric, though precise product-specific market share is difficult to isolate. Competitors include Delta Air Lines, United Airlines, Southwest Airlines, and numerous international carriers.
- AAdvantage Loyalty Program: A cornerstone of its customer retention strategy, the AAdvantage program is one of the largest loyalty programs in the industry. While specific revenue figures are often bundled, the program is highly competitive with those of Delta (SkyMiles) and United (MileagePlus).
- Premium Cabins (First and Business Class): Offering enhanced comfort and service for long-haul and premium routes, these cabins are crucial for high-yield passengers. Market share within this premium segment is competitive with other major carriers.
- Cargo Services: A smaller but important segment, competing with dedicated cargo carriers and the cargo divisions of other major airlines.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The airline industry is highly cyclical, capital-intensive, and subject to fluctuating fuel prices, economic conditions, and regulatory changes. It is characterized by intense competition, with a few major legacy carriers dominating the US market, alongside low-cost carriers and international players.
Positioning
American Airlines is one of the 'Big Three' US legacy carriers, operating a vast global network and a strong loyalty program. Its competitive advantages include its extensive route network, large fleet, and brand recognition. However, it faces challenges from more agile low-cost carriers and the need for continuous fleet modernization and operational efficiency.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for air travel is vast and globally distributed, encompassing leisure and business travelers. The International Air Transport Association (IATA) forecasts significant growth in global passenger numbers. American Airlines, as a major US carrier, aims to capture a substantial portion of this TAM, particularly on North American and international routes.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Extensive global route network
- Large and diversified fleet
- Strong brand recognition and customer loyalty program (AAdvantage)
- Significant market share in key hubs
- Partnerships within the Oneworld alliance
Weaknesses
- High operating costs, particularly labor and fuel
- Aging fleet in some segments requiring modernization
- Complex integration challenges post-merger
- Sensitivity to economic downturns and fuel price volatility
- Operational complexities leading to occasional disruptions
Opportunities
- Expansion into emerging markets
- Growth in premium cabin demand
- Leveraging technology for operational efficiency and customer experience
- Strategic partnerships and alliances
- Increased demand for business and leisure travel post-pandemic
Threats
- Intense competition from legacy and low-cost carriers
- Volatile fuel prices
- Economic recession impacting travel demand
- Geopolitical instability and global health crises
- Environmental regulations and sustainability pressures
- Labor disputes
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Delta Air Lines (DAL)
- United Airlines Holdings Inc. (UAL)
- Southwest Airlines Co. (LUV)
Competitive Landscape
American Airlines competes fiercely with other major US carriers on price, network, and service quality. Its strengths lie in its extensive international reach and robust loyalty program. However, it faces pressure from Southwest's low-cost model and the increasing efficiency of other legacy carriers.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Following the merger, American Airlines focused on integration and network optimization. Recent years have seen a recovery in passenger demand, driving revenue growth. The company has been investing in fleet modernization and enhancing its premium offerings.
Future Projections: Analyst projections anticipate continued revenue growth driven by recovering travel demand and strategic initiatives. Focus remains on improving profitability and operational efficiency. Projections vary, but generally indicate a positive trend for the coming years.
Recent Initiatives: Fleet modernization with new aircraft orders (e.g., Airbus A321XLR, Boeing 787),Expansion of premium products and services,Enhancements to the AAdvantage program,Focus on operational reliability and punctuality,Sustainability initiatives, including investment in sustainable aviation fuel (SAF)
Summary
American Airlines Group is a major player in the global airline industry, leveraging its extensive network and loyalty program. While recovery from past challenges and the pandemic is evident through revenue growth, the company faces ongoing threats from fuel price volatility, intense competition, and economic downturns. Continued investment in fleet modernization, operational efficiency, and customer experience is crucial for sustained success.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- American Airlines Group Investor Relations
- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Industry analysis reports
- Financial news and data providers (e.g., Bloomberg, Refinitiv)
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information as of the last update. Financial figures and market share estimates are subject to change. This is not financial advice, and investors should conduct their own due diligence.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About American Airlines Group
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Fort Worth, TX, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2005-09-27 | CEO, President & Director Mr. Robert D. Isom Jr. | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Airlines | Full time employees 136900 | Website https://www.aa.com |
Full time employees 136900 | Website https://www.aa.com | ||
American Airlines Group Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a network air carrier in the United States, Latin America, Atlantic, and Pacific. The company provides scheduled air transportation services for passengers and cargo through its hubs in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix, and Washington, D.C., as well as through partner gateways in London, Doha, Madrid, Seattle/Tacoma, Sydney, and Tokyo. It also operates a mainline fleet of 977 aircraft. The company was formerly known as AMR Corporation and changed its name to American Airlines Group Inc. in December 2013. American Airlines Group Inc. was founded in 1926 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas.

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