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American Airlines Group (AAL)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/17/2025: AAL (1-star) is a SELL. SELL since 2 days. Simulated Profits (-5.77%). Updated daily EoD!
1 Year Target Price $13.73
1 Year Target Price $13.73
10 | Strong Buy |
3 | Buy |
10 | Hold |
1 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -20.03% | Avg. Invested days 29 | Today’s Advisory SELL |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 8.27B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 14.95 | 1Y Target Price 13.73 |
Price to earnings Ratio 14.95 | 1Y Target Price 13.73 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 24 | Beta 1.4 | 52 Weeks Range 8.50 - 19.10 | Updated Date 09/16/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 8.50 - 19.10 | Updated Date 09/16/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.83 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 1.05% | Operating Margin (TTM) 8.29% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.8% | Return on Equity (TTM) - |
Valuation
Trailing PE 14.95 | Forward PE 6.38 | Enterprise Value 36895655127 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.15 |
Enterprise Value 36895655127 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.15 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.68 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.53 | Shares Outstanding 659828992 | Shares Floating 653243729 |
Shares Outstanding 659828992 | Shares Floating 653243729 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.54 | Percent Institutions 64.88 |
Upturn AI SWOT
American Airlines Group

Company Overview
History and Background
American Airlines Group Inc. was formed in 2013 through the merger of AMR Corporation (American Airlines' parent company) and US Airways Group. American Airlines traces its origins back to 1930. Significant milestones include the development of the hub-and-spoke system and pioneering frequent flyer programs.
Core Business Areas
- Passenger: Provides air transportation for passengers through its mainline and regional operations. This segment generates the majority of the company's revenue.
- Cargo: Transports freight and mail, contributing a smaller portion of overall revenue.
- Other: Includes various services like maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) operations and other ancillary services. This segment is smaller compared to Passenger and Cargo
Leadership and Structure
The leadership team includes the CEO, CFO, and other key executives. The organizational structure is hierarchical, with various departments responsible for different aspects of the airline's operations, such as flight operations, customer service, finance, and marketing.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Airline Tickets: Core product offering flights to various destinations. American Airlines holds a significant market share. Competitors include Delta, United, Southwest, and JetBlue. Number of passengers in 2023 exceeded 190 million.
- AAdvantage Loyalty Program: A frequent flyer program that rewards customers for their loyalty. Competitors include Delta's SkyMiles, United's MileagePlus, and Southwest's Rapid Rewards. Over 120 million members. Revenue generated in 2023 from this program was $5.7 billion.
- Cargo Services: Transportation of goods and mail, competing with other airlines and cargo carriers like FedEx and UPS. Market share smaller compared to passenger transport but important for overall revenue.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The airline industry is highly competitive and cyclical, influenced by factors like fuel prices, economic conditions, and geopolitical events. It's capital-intensive and subject to stringent regulations.
Positioning
American Airlines is one of the largest airlines globally, with a strong presence in the domestic and international markets. Its competitive advantages include a large network, a modern fleet, and a strong brand reputation. However, it faces challenges related to labor costs and operational efficiency.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global airline market size is projected to reach approximately $1 trillion by 2028. American Airlines is positioned to capture a significant portion of this market through its extensive network and partnerships.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Extensive global network
- Large fleet size
- Strong brand recognition
- AAdvantage loyalty program
- Strategic partnerships
Weaknesses
- High labor costs
- Operational inefficiencies
- Debt load
- Sensitivity to fuel price fluctuations
- Dependence on legacy systems
Opportunities
- Expansion into new markets
- Increased ancillary revenue streams
- Technological advancements
- Strategic alliances
- Growing demand for air travel
Threats
- Economic downturns
- Geopolitical instability
- Intense competition
- Rising fuel prices
- Labor disputes
- Pandemics and other health crises
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- DAL
- UAL
- LUV
Competitive Landscape
American Airlines faces intense competition from other major airlines, low-cost carriers, and regional airlines. The airline competes on price, service, and route network. Its strengths include a large network and brand reputation, while weaknesses include high labor costs and operational challenges.
Major Acquisitions
US Airways
- Year: 2013
- Acquisition Price (USD millions):
- Strategic Rationale: The merger with US Airways created the world's largest airline at the time, expanding American Airlines' network and enhancing its competitive position.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: American Airlines has experienced cyclical growth, with periods of expansion followed by downturns due to economic factors and industry disruptions.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates suggest continued revenue growth, driven by rising passenger demand and improved operational efficiency. However, profitability is expected to be sensitive to fuel prices and economic conditions.
Recent Initiatives: Fleet modernization, expansion of international routes, investment in digital technologies, and cost-cutting measures.
Summary
American Airlines Group is a major player in the airline industry with a vast network and brand recognition, but it faces challenges from high debt, labor costs, and fuel price volatility. The airline has been working to improve operational efficiency and expand its international presence. Future growth is expected, but profitability will be sensitive to economic conditions. American Airlines needs to focus on cost management and innovation to maintain its competitive edge in the dynamic airline market.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings (SEC)
- Industry reports
- Financial news sources
- Analyst estimates
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investment decisions should be based on individual research and consultation with a financial advisor. Data may be subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About American Airlines Group
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Fort Worth, TX, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2005-09-27 | CEO, President & Director Mr. Robert D. Isom Jr. | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Airlines | Full time employees 138100 | Website https://www.aa.com |
Full time employees 138100 | Website https://www.aa.com |
American Airlines Group Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a network air carrier in the United States, Latin America, Atlantic, and Pacific. The company provides scheduled air transportation services for passengers and cargo through its hubs in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix, and Washington, D.C., as well as through partner gateways in London, Doha, Madrid, Seattle/Tacoma, Sydney, and Tokyo. It also operates a mainline fleet of 977 aircraft. The company was formerly known as AMR Corporation and changed its name to American Airlines Group Inc. in December 2013. American Airlines Group Inc. was founded in 1926 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas.

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