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AAL 
American Airlines Group (AAL)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/03/2025: AAL (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Number of Analysts
24 Analysts rated it
Well-followed company, solid analyst reports, reliable data for confident investing.
1 Year Target Price $15.02
1 Year Target Price $15.02
| 10 | Strong Buy |
| 3 | Buy |
| 10 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -20.45% | Avg. Invested days 26 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/03/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 8.67B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 15.09 | 1Y Target Price 15.02 |
Price to earnings Ratio 15.09 | 1Y Target Price 15.02 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 24 | Beta 1.37 | 52 Weeks Range 8.50 - 19.10 | Updated Date 11/2/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 8.50 - 19.10 | Updated Date 11/2/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.87 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-10-23 | When Before Market | Estimate -0.28 | Actual -0.17 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 1.11% | Operating Margin (TTM) 1.28% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.36% | Return on Equity (TTM) - |
Valuation
Trailing PE 15.09 | Forward PE 6.21 | Enterprise Value 36169843424 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.16 |
Enterprise Value 36169843424 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.16 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.67 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.25 | Shares Outstanding 660086495 | Shares Floating 650482236 |
Shares Outstanding 660086495 | Shares Floating 650482236 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.52 | Percent Institutions 65.22 |
Upturn AI SWOT
American Airlines Group
Company Overview
History and Background
American Airlines Group was founded in 1930 as American Airways, evolving through mergers and acquisitions to become the world's largest airline. Significant milestones include the introduction of jet aircraft in the 1950s and its merger with US Airways in 2013.
Core Business Areas
- Passenger Transport: The primary business, involving transporting passengers via scheduled flights across domestic and international routes. Revenue is generated through ticket sales and ancillary services such as baggage fees and seat upgrades.
- Cargo: Transporting freight and mail via air, offering expedited shipping solutions for businesses and individuals.
- Ancillary Services: Generating revenue through services such as baggage fees, seat upgrades, in-flight entertainment, and loyalty program offerings.
Leadership and Structure
Robert Isom serves as CEO. The organizational structure includes executive leadership overseeing various departments such as operations, finance, marketing, and human resources.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Market Share (%): 25
- Passenger Air Travel: Scheduled passenger flights across a vast network. Market share varies by region, but overall, American Airlines Group holds a significant portion of the US domestic and international air travel market. Competitors include Delta Air Lines, United Airlines, and Southwest Airlines. Revenue from passenger travel constitutes the majority of the company's overall revenue.
- AAdvantage Loyalty Program: A loyalty program offering rewards and benefits to frequent flyers. Competitors include Delta's SkyMiles and United's MileagePlus. Data on specific revenue generated solely by this program is not typically disclosed separately but contributes to customer retention and revenue.
- Market Share (%):
- Cargo Services: Air freight and mail transportation services. Competitors include FedEx, UPS, and other airlines' cargo divisions. Exact revenue or market share figures vary by region.
- Market Share (%):
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The airline industry is highly competitive and cyclical, influenced by factors such as fuel prices, economic conditions, and geopolitical events. It involves intense competition for passengers and cargo.
Positioning
American Airlines Group is a major player with a large global network and strong brand recognition. Its competitive advantages include its extensive route network, AAdvantage loyalty program, and strategic alliances.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global air travel market is estimated at $700-$800 billion. American Airlines Group is positioned to capture a significant portion of this TAM through its extensive network and brand recognition.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Extensive Global Network
- Strong Brand Recognition
- AAdvantage Loyalty Program
- Modern Fleet
- Hub and Spoke System
Weaknesses
- High Operating Costs (Fuel, Labor)
- Susceptibility to Economic Downturns
- Labor Relations Issues
- High Debt Load
- Dependence on Hub Airports
Opportunities
- Expansion into Emerging Markets
- Increased Demand for Air Travel
- Partnerships and Alliances
- Technological Advancements
- Increased Ancillary Revenue
Threats
- Fluctuations in Fuel Prices
- Economic Recessions
- Geopolitical Instability
- Increased Competition
- Terrorism and Security Concerns
- Environmental Regulations
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- DAL
- UAL
- LUV
- ALK
- JBLU
Competitive Landscape
American Airlines Group faces intense competition. Its strengths include its global network, but its weaknesses include high costs and debt.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Growth has been impacted by economic cycles and industry-specific challenges.
Future Projections: Future growth projections vary depending on analyst estimates.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include fleet modernization and expansion of strategic partnerships.
Summary
American Airlines Group is a major airline with a vast network, but faces challenges due to high operating costs and debt. The company has a strong brand and loyalty program. Key risks are fuel price volatility and economic downturns, while potential growth lies in expanding into emerging markets.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings
- Industry Reports
- Financial News Outlets
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About American Airlines Group
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Fort Worth, TX, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2005-09-27 | CEO, President & Director Mr. Robert D. Isom Jr. | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Airlines | Full time employees 136900 | Website https://www.aa.com |
Full time employees 136900 | Website https://www.aa.com | ||
American Airlines Group Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a network air carrier in the United States, Latin America, Atlantic, and Pacific. The company provides scheduled air transportation services for passengers and cargo through its hubs in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix, and Washington, D.C., as well as through partner gateways in London, Doha, Madrid, Seattle/Tacoma, Sydney, and Tokyo. It also operates a mainline fleet of 977 aircraft. The company was formerly known as AMR Corporation and changed its name to American Airlines Group Inc. in December 2013. American Airlines Group Inc. was founded in 1926 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas.
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