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American Airlines Group (AAL)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/21/2025: AAL (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Year Target Price $13.4
Year Target Price $13.4
10 | Strong Buy |
3 | Buy |
10 | Hold |
0 | Under performing |
1 | Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -25.19% | Avg. Invested days 30 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 7.44B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 11.33 | 1Y Target Price 13.4 |
Price to earnings Ratio 11.33 | 1Y Target Price 13.4 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 24 | Beta 1.38 | 52 Weeks Range 8.50 - 19.10 | Updated Date 06/30/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 8.50 - 19.10 | Updated Date 06/30/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.99 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 1.26% | Operating Margin (TTM) -1.51% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.03% | Return on Equity (TTM) - |
Valuation
Trailing PE 11.33 | Forward PE 11.16 | Enterprise Value 36566704083 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.14 |
Enterprise Value 36566704083 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.14 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.67 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.13 | Shares Outstanding 659512000 | Shares Floating 653233784 |
Shares Outstanding 659512000 | Shares Floating 653233784 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.49 | Percent Institutions 67.46 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 5 | Target Price 13.4 | Buy 3 | Strong Buy 10 |
Buy 3 | Strong Buy 10 | ||
Hold 10 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
American Airlines Group

Company Overview
History and Background
American Airlines Group was founded in 1930 as American Airways through a consolidation of 82 small airlines. It evolved into a major airline, facing bankruptcy and restructuring before becoming a global carrier.
Core Business Areas
- Passenger Transportation: The core business, involving scheduled air transportation of passengers on domestic and international routes.
- Cargo Transportation: The air transportation of freight and mail.
- Ancillary Services: Includes services such as baggage fees, seat upgrades, and loyalty program revenue.
Leadership and Structure
Robert Isom serves as the CEO. The organizational structure involves various departments overseeing operations, finance, marketing, and customer service.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Passenger Tickets: Sale of tickets for domestic and international flights. Competitors include Delta, United, Southwest. Market share fluctuates with demand and routes.
- Cargo Services: Transportation of freight and mail via air. Competitors include FedEx, UPS, and other major airlines offering cargo services. Revenue varies based on global trade and logistics demands.
- AAdvantage Loyalty Program: Frequent flyer program offering miles and benefits to loyal customers. Competitors are Delta's SkyMiles and United's MileagePlus. Generates revenue through partnerships and mileage sales.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The airline industry is highly competitive and cyclical, influenced by fuel prices, economic conditions, and geopolitical events. It faces pressure from low-cost carriers and evolving customer expectations.
Positioning
American Airlines is one of the largest airlines globally, focusing on network connectivity and premium services. Competitive advantages include a large fleet and extensive route network.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global airline industry TAM is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars. American Airlines captures a significant portion but faces strong competition.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Extensive route network
- Large fleet size
- Strong brand recognition
- AAdvantage loyalty program
Weaknesses
- High operating costs
- Labor relations
- Debt levels
- Dependence on fuel prices
Opportunities
- Expanding international routes
- Strategic alliances
- Adopting fuel-efficient technologies
- Growing demand for air travel
Threats
- Economic downturns
- Fluctuating fuel prices
- Increased competition
- Geopolitical instability
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- DAL
- UAL
- LUV
Competitive Landscape
American Airlines competes with other major airlines on price, routes, and service. It faces challenges from low-cost carriers and network carriers.
Major Acquisitions
US Airways
- Year: 2013
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 11000
- Strategic Rationale: The merger with US Airways expanded American Airlines' route network and improved its competitive position.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth has been cyclical, influenced by economic conditions and strategic decisions.
Future Projections: Future growth projections are based on analyst estimates, but are subject to market conditions and company performance.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include fleet modernization and route optimization.
Summary
American Airlines is a major player in the airline industry, with a strong route network and brand. However, it faces challenges related to high operating costs and competition. The company has undertaken initiatives for fleet modernization, but volatile fuel costs and economic uncertainty pose risks. Recent results indicate a challenging environment, however, travel demand is on the rise.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- SEC Filings
- Airline Industry Reports
- Analyst Estimates
- IATA
Disclaimers:
Data and analysis are for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About American Airlines Group
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Fort Worth, TX, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2005-09-27 | CEO, President & Director Mr. Robert D. Isom Jr. | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Airlines | Full time employees 133100 | Website https://www.aa.com |
Full time employees 133100 | Website https://www.aa.com |
American Airlines Group Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a network air carrier in the United States, Latin America, Atlantic, and Pacific. The company provides scheduled air transportation services for passengers and cargo through its hubs in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix, and Washington, D.C., as well as through partner gateways in London, Doha, Madrid, Seattle/Tacoma, Sydney, and Tokyo. It also operates a mainline fleet of 977 aircraft. The company was formerly known as AMR Corporation and changed its name to American Airlines Group Inc. in December 2013. American Airlines Group Inc. was founded in 1926 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas.
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