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American Airlines Group (AAL)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/08/2025: AAL (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $15.16
1 Year Target Price $15.16
| 10 | Strong Buy |
| 3 | Buy |
| 10 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -22.3% | Avg. Invested days 26 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 9.78B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 17.02 | 1Y Target Price 15.16 |
Price to earnings Ratio 17.02 | 1Y Target Price 15.16 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 24 | Beta 1.26 | 52 Weeks Range 8.50 - 19.10 | Updated Date 12/7/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 8.50 - 19.10 | Updated Date 12/7/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.87 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 1.11% | Operating Margin (TTM) 1.28% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.36% | Return on Equity (TTM) - |
Valuation
Trailing PE 17.02 | Forward PE 6.21 | Enterprise Value 38981880990 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.18 |
Enterprise Value 38981880990 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.18 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.72 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.95 | Shares Outstanding 660086495 | Shares Floating 650482236 |
Shares Outstanding 660086495 | Shares Floating 650482236 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.5 | Percent Institutions 70.48 |
Upturn AI SWOT
American Airlines Group

Company Overview
History and Background
American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) was formed through the merger of American Airlines and US Airways on December 9, 2013. American Airlines traces its origins back to 1926 with the formation of the Robertson Aircraft Corporation, which began carrying mail for the US Postal Service. Over the decades, it grew through various mergers and acquisitions, becoming one of the largest airlines in the world. The 2013 merger created a new entity, American Airlines Group, aimed at enhancing its competitive position.
Core Business Areas
- Airline Operations: This is the primary business segment, involving the transportation of passengers and cargo across a vast network of domestic and international routes. It includes scheduled flights, premium services, and a loyalty program.
- Regional Operations: Through its wholly owned regional carriers (American Eagle), the company provides feeder services to its main hubs, connecting smaller cities to its larger network.
- Loyalty Program (AAdvantage): The AAdvantage program is a significant ancillary revenue stream, offering mileage accrual, redemption opportunities, and co-branded credit cards. It fosters customer loyalty and provides valuable customer data.
- Cargo Services: American Airlines Cargo transports freight and mail on its passenger and dedicated cargo flights.
Leadership and Structure
American Airlines Group is led by a Chairman and CEO, Robert Isom. The company operates with a functional organizational structure, with various departments overseeing operations, finance, marketing, human resources, and corporate affairs. It maintains a hub-and-spoke system with major operational hubs across the United States, including Dallas/Fort Worth, Miami, Charlotte, Chicago, Los Angeles, New York JFK, and Phoenix.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Passenger Air Transportation: The core offering, providing a vast network of domestic and international flights. Market share within the US airline industry is significant, competing directly with United Airlines, Delta Air Lines, and Southwest Airlines. Precise market share figures fluctuate but are generally in the top 3-4 major US carriers. Competitors include United Airlines (UAL), Delta Air Lines (DAL), and Southwest Airlines (LUV).
- AAdvantage Loyalty Program: A comprehensive loyalty program offering points, status tiers, and co-branded credit cards. This program is a key differentiator, with millions of active members. Revenue from partners and credit card usage is a substantial contributor. Competitors include MileagePlus (United), SkyMiles (Delta), and Rapid Rewards (Southwest).
- Premium Cabin Services: Includes First Class and Business Class offerings on international and select domestic routes, providing enhanced amenities and services. These are high-margin services, crucial for attracting business travelers. Competitors are all major international carriers.
- Cargo Services: Transport of goods and mail, utilizing belly cargo capacity on passenger flights and dedicated cargo operations. This segment competes with dedicated cargo airlines and the cargo divisions of other passenger airlines. Competitors include FedEx (FDX) and UPS Airlines (UPS).
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The airline industry is highly competitive, capital-intensive, and subject to economic cycles, fuel price volatility, and regulatory changes. It is characterized by a high degree of consolidation, with a few major carriers dominating the US market. Demand is driven by leisure and business travel, with increasing emphasis on ancillary revenues and loyalty programs. The industry is also facing significant pressure related to sustainability and environmental regulations.
Positioning
American Airlines Group is one of the 'Big Three' legacy carriers in the United States, alongside Delta Air Lines and United Airlines. Its strengths lie in its extensive global network, strong presence in key domestic markets, and a large and engaged AAdvantage loyalty program. However, it faces intense competition on price and service from both legacy carriers and low-cost carriers.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for the global air transportation market is in the hundreds of billions of dollars annually, encompassing passenger and cargo services. For the US domestic and international routes operated by American Airlines, the TAM is estimated to be in the tens of billions of dollars. American Airlines is positioned as a major player within this TAM, aiming to capture a significant share through its network, fleet, and loyalty program, while facing competition from other major airlines and increasingly from emerging low-cost carriers and alternative transportation methods.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Extensive global route network and strong domestic hub presence.
- Large and valuable AAdvantage loyalty program with significant partner revenue.
- Modernizing fleet with fuel-efficient aircraft.
- Strong financial management and focus on operational efficiency.
Weaknesses
- Historically lower profit margins compared to some competitors.
- Brand perception can sometimes lag behind competitors.
- Complex operational structure due to past mergers.
- Dependency on major hubs can lead to operational disruptions.
Opportunities
- Expansion into high-growth international markets.
- Leveraging technology for improved customer experience and operational efficiency.
- Growing ancillary revenue streams beyond ticket sales.
- Potential for further partnerships and joint ventures.
Threats
- High and volatile fuel prices.
- Intense price competition from legacy and low-cost carriers.
- Economic downturns impacting travel demand.
- Regulatory changes and geopolitical instability.
- Environmental regulations and sustainability pressures.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- United Airlines Holdings Inc. (UAL)
- Delta Air Lines Inc. (DAL)
- Southwest Airlines Co. (LUV)
Competitive Landscape
American Airlines holds a strong position within the US airline industry due to its extensive network and robust loyalty program. Its advantages include a large customer base and strong brand recognition. However, it faces intense competition from Delta Air Lines, which often leads in operational performance and customer satisfaction metrics, and United Airlines, which has a significant international presence. Southwest Airlines, with its low-cost model, poses a constant threat on domestic routes. The ability to manage costs, optimize network, and enhance customer experience are critical for sustained competitive advantage.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Prior to the pandemic, American Airlines Group showed steady growth in passenger numbers and revenue, driven by its extensive network and strategic partnerships. The company focused on fleet modernization and operational efficiencies. The pandemic caused a severe contraction, but the recovery has been robust.
Future Projections: Analyst projections suggest continued revenue growth, driven by sustained travel demand and network expansion. Focus on improving unit costs (CASM) and enhancing ancillary revenues are key to future profitability. Investments in new aircraft and technology are expected to support long-term growth. Projections for EPS are generally positive, but subject to economic conditions and fuel prices.
Recent Initiatives: Ongoing fleet modernization program with new aircraft orders.,Expansion of international routes and strengthening of key hubs.,Investments in sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) and other ESG initiatives.,Enhancements to the AAdvantage program and digital customer experience.
Summary
American Airlines Group is a major player in the global airline industry, demonstrating a strong recovery post-pandemic with improving revenues and profitability. Its extensive network and successful AAdvantage loyalty program are significant strengths. However, the company faces persistent threats from volatile fuel prices, intense competition, and the capital-intensive nature of the industry. Continued focus on cost management, technological innovation, and sustainable practices will be crucial for navigating future challenges and capitalizing on growth opportunities.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- American Airlines Group Investor Relations
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Industry Analysis Reports
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Wall Street Journal)
- Third-party Financial Data Providers
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Data is based on publicly available information and may not be exhaustive or entirely up-to-date. Actual market share and financial figures can fluctuate. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About American Airlines Group
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Fort Worth, TX, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2005-09-27 | CEO, President & Director Mr. Robert D. Isom Jr. | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Airlines | Full time employees 136900 | Website https://www.aa.com |
Full time employees 136900 | Website https://www.aa.com | ||
American Airlines Group Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a network air carrier in the United States, Latin America, Atlantic, and Pacific. The company provides scheduled air transportation services for passengers and cargo through its hubs in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix, and Washington, D.C., as well as through partner gateways in London, Doha, Madrid, Seattle/Tacoma, Sydney, and Tokyo. It also operates a mainline fleet of 977 aircraft. The company was formerly known as AMR Corporation and changed its name to American Airlines Group Inc. in December 2013. American Airlines Group Inc. was founded in 1926 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas.

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