California Resources Corp(CRC)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
1-STAR RATING
SELL
SELL for 3 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
-15.33% ▼
LAST CLOSE
$47.12
11/10/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for CRC

11/10/2026: CRC (1-star) is a SELL. SELL for 3 days. Simulated Profits (-15.33%). Updated daily EoD!

California Resources Corporation is an independent energy company operating primarily in California, focused on oil and gas production and emerging carbon capture and sequestration initiatives. Its main strengths include a significant localized land base and a strategic pivot toward carbon management, which aligns with regional climate mandates. The company's growth story relies on the successful integration of its Aera Energy acquisition and the commercialization of carbon storage projects. Key risks involve exposure to volatile commodity prices, strict environmental regulations, and the challenges of integrating large asset bases. The stock may suit investors willing to tolerate industry cyclicality and regulatory uncertainty, provided they monitor carbon project developments.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitGrowth potential is tied to the successful commercialization of carbon capture rather than traditional production expansion.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThe stock can be sensitive to energy price cycles and major strategic milestones, creating windows for momentum traders.
Value investorMixed fitValuation depends heavily on the long-term viability of their assets under California regulations.
Dividend investorMixed fitThe dividend is supported by cash flow, but the energy sector is inherently cyclical and subject to capital expenditure requirements.
Low-risk investorWeak fitCommodity price exposure and regulatory risk make this an unsuitable choice for risk-averse portfolios.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighRevenues are directly exposed to fluctuations in global crude oil and natural gas prices.
Valuation riskMediumThe market valuation must account for both production assets and the speculative value of carbon sequestration projects.
Competition risk (California energy dominance)Medium / highLarger, better-capitalized players like Chevron dominate the local infrastructure and regulatory lobbying power.
Business qualityMediumThe company is transitioning its business model, which involves operational and integration risks.
Dividend incomeMediumDividends are subject to the company's ability to maintain cash flow during commodity price troughs.
Execution riskMedium / highSuccessfully integrating Aera Energy and scaling CCS projects is critical to long-term success.

Price Behavior

Downtrend
PRICE PATH

Downtrend

The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -12.48%
Avg. Invested days 37
Today’s Advisory SELL
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/10/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
CRC receives a 4-star rating, supported by solid unit economics, solid company fundamentals, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
CRC has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with moderate financial health, solid growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong cash generation (FCF margin 15.1%) and solid revenue growth (+21.9%) are partially offset by slightly negative earnings growth (-3.5%), modest insider ownership of 4.94%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
CRC's financial health is supported by solid cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation (15.1% of revenue). Liquidity is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is CRC's strongest growth driver at +55.1% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, revenue growth (+21.9%, solid) is also solid, while earnings growth (-3.5%, slightly negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 104.6% and approximately 93.7% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 4.94% provides only moderate management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 13.57%
Canada Pension Plan Investment Board 7.94%
Gimbel Daniel Scott 7.07%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 5.97%
Sourcerock Group LLC 5.54%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
CRC generates approximately $396 of gross profit, $236 of operating income, and $151 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Solid margins and strong cash conversion support the rating, although capital efficiency remains moderate.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 27.69%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
CRC has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedSmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 4.14B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 74.58
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 74.58
Volume (30-day avg) 920.5K shares
Beta 0.95
52 Weeks Range 42.35 - 70.96
Updated Date 11/10/2026
52 Weeks Range 42.35 - 70.96
Updated Date 11/10/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 3.45%
Basic EPS (TTM) -5.6

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Oil & Gas ProductionSale of crude oil and natural gas produced within California.The core business is selling energy products, with revenue fluctuating based on oil and gas market prices.
Carbon ManagementSequestration and carbon capture project development.This is a growth area aimed at diversifying income by helping industries store CO2.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-11-02
When After Market
Estimate 0.94
Actual 1.17

Profitability

Profit Margin -12.65%
Operating Margin (TTM) -36.86%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -4.31%
Return on Equity (TTM) -15.46%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 11.78
Enterprise Value 5.48B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.05
Enterprise Value 5.48B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.05
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.39
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.81
Shares Outstanding 88.28M
Shares Floating 82.69M
Shares Outstanding 88.28M
Shares Floating 82.69M
Percent Insiders 4.94
Percent Institutions 104.59

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.