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Upturn AI Summary - About
ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation(XOM)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for XOM
11/06/2026: XOM (5-star) is a WEAK-BUY. BUY for 76 days. Simulated Profits (6.41%). Updated daily EoD!
Exxon Mobil is a global, vertically integrated energy company that operates across the entire oil and gas value chain. Its core strength lies in its massive scale, cost-disciplined project execution, and robust cash flow, which support its reliable dividend profile. The company is actively pursuing a growth strategy through significant shale acquisitions and the expansion of its Low Carbon Solutions business. However, it faces risks related to volatile commodity prices, potential regulatory challenges, and the long-term energy transition. It generally suits value and dividend-focused investors, who should monitor global energy price trends and the successful scaling of its newer carbon-capture initiatives.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company is a mature, cyclical entity rather than a rapid-growth play. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum is often conditional on energy price trends and a strong upturn signal. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The company often trades at reasonable valuation multiples relative to its cash generation. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | Exxon Mobil has a longstanding reputation for consistent and reliable dividend payments. |
| Low-risk investor | Mixed fit | While established, the stock is subject to inherent commodity price volatility. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Earnings are directly tied to global oil and gas prices which fluctuate frequently. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Stock price often tracks commodity cycles which can be unpredictable. |
| Competition risk (Energy Majors) | Medium / high | Intense competition for assets and market share requires constant capital discipline. |
| Business quality | Strong | The company maintains a high-quality, integrated asset base. |
| Dividend income | Low | The dividend is considered stable, though not immune to extreme industry downturns. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Large-scale capital projects involve significant operational and timing risks. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Smooth
The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 22.68% | Avg. Invested days 54 | Today’s Advisory WEAK BUY |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/06/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 676.62B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 17.06 | 1Y Target Price 185.05 |
Price to earnings Ratio 17.06 | 1Y Target Price 185.05 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 12.9M shares | Beta 0.14 | 52 Weeks Range 111.94 - 188.50 | Updated Date 11/08/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 111.94 - 188.50 | Updated Date 11/08/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.49% | Basic EPS (TTM) 9.72 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Upstream | Oil and gas exploration and production. | The primary source of revenue based on global commodity prices. |
| Energy Products | Refining, lubricants, and fuel sales. | Provides stable downstream margins that often act as a hedge to upstream volatility. |
| Chemical Products | Plastic resins and basic chemicals. | Exposes the company to consumer and industrial demand cycles. |
| Geography | Global operations spanning North America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific. | Diversification across regions mitigates regional economic and political risks. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-10-30 | When Before Market | Estimate 3.9 | Actual 4.23 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 10.46% | Operating Margin (TTM) 16.98% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.75% | Return on Equity (TTM) 15.53% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 17.06 | Forward PE 13.59 | Enterprise Value 698.72B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.74 |
Enterprise Value 698.72B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.74 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.8 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.08 | Shares Outstanding 4.08B | Shares Floating 4.07B |
Shares Outstanding 4.08B | Shares Floating 4.07B | ||
Percent Insiders 0.08 | Percent Institutions 68.55 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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