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Upturn AI Summary - About
Casella Waste Systems Inc(CWST)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for CWST
10/02/2026: CWST (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Casella Waste Systems is an integrated environmental services firm operating primarily in the Northeastern U.S. that provides waste collection, recycling, and disposal services. The company benefits from a vertically integrated model and strong regional density, which help protect its margins and competitive position. Its primary growth story revolves around continuous 'tuck-in' acquisitions and the expansion of sustainable resource solutions. Key risks include heavy reliance on debt to fund growth, exposure to regional economic trends, and intense competition from larger industry players. The stock is best suited for growth-oriented investors who can tolerate some volatility while the company executes its consolidation strategy.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | The company has a consistent track record of expanding through strategic acquisitions and operational improvements. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum performance depends on favorable market conditions and successful execution of expansion strategies. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | The stock often trades at a premium due to its growth profile and role as an acquisition target. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company prioritizes capital reinvestment over dividend distributions. |
| Low-risk investor | Mixed fit | While the business is recession-resistant, the stock's valuation and acquisition-driven strategy introduce moderate volatility. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium | The stock can experience fluctuations based on M&A news and broader market sentiment regarding industrial growth. |
| Valuation risk | Medium / high | Higher valuation multiples reflect growth expectations that require consistent execution to maintain. |
| Competition risk (national waste consolidators) | High | Large competitors can use their scale to pressure pricing and acquire assets in Casella's target regions. |
| Business quality | Strong | The company provides essential services with predictable revenue streams and high barriers to entry. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | Investors seeking immediate cash yield will not find it here as capital is reinvested. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Integrating multiple acquisitions successfully is critical to achieving expected synergies and margin expansion. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -11.85% | Avg. Invested days 45 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/02/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.97B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 975.88 | 1Y Target Price 111.8 |
Price to earnings Ratio 975.88 | 1Y Target Price 111.8 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 518.7K shares | Beta 0.74 | 52 Weeks Range 74.05 - 107.96 | Updated Date 10/01/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 74.05 - 107.96 | Updated Date 10/01/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.08 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Solid Waste Collection | Residential and commercial waste pickup services. | The reliable core business of collecting trash. |
| Disposal & Landfills | Landfill tipping fees and transfer station operations. | A high-barrier, essential asset business that generates consistent cash. |
| Resource Solutions | Recycling processing and organic waste diversion. | A growth-oriented segment capitalizing on environmental trends. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 975.88 | Forward PE 56.18 | Enterprise Value 6.82B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.54 |
Enterprise Value 6.82B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.54 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.49 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.22 | Shares Outstanding 62.65M | Shares Floating 62.26M |
Shares Outstanding 62.65M | Shares Floating 62.26M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.56 | Percent Institutions 126.58 |
Upturn AI Summary
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
About Casella Waste Systems Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquarters Rutland, VT, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1997-10-28 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Edmond R. Coletta | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Waste Management | Full time employees 5600 | Website https://www.casella.com |
Full time employees 5600 | Website https://www.casella.com | ||
Casella Waste Systems, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a vertically integrated solid waste services company in the United States. The company offers resource management expertise and services primarily in the areas of solid waste collection and disposal, transfer, recycling and organics services to residential, commercial, municipal, institutional, and industrial customers. It also provides non-hazardous solid waste services, including collections, transfer stations, recycling, and disposal operations. In addition, the company markets various materials, including fibers, such as corrugated cardboard and newsprint, plastics, glass, ferrous, and aluminum metals. Casella Waste Systems, Inc. was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Rutland, Vermont.
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