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Upturn AI Summary - About
Casella Waste Systems Inc(CWST)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for CWST
11/02/2026: CWST (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Casella Waste Systems Inc is a vertically integrated waste management firm focused on the Northeastern United States, known for its consistent regional growth strategy. The company has a leading position in managing complex waste streams, including collection, recycling, and resource management solutions. Its primary growth story revolves around continued bolt-on acquisitions and leveraging operational density to improve margins. However, investors must monitor risks related to geographic concentration, debt-funded acquisition costs, and commodity price volatility in recycling. The stock is best suited for growth-oriented investors who prioritize long-term expansion over dividend income and are comfortable with the inherent risks of a capital-intensive, acquisition-heavy business model.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | The company's proven M&A-led growth strategy offers sustained top-line expansion. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | The stock often follows sector-wide trends, making momentum dependent on broader market cycles. |
| Value investor | Weak fit | The company often trades at premium multiples due to its growth profile and acquisition strategy. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | Casella prioritizes capital reinvestment over dividend payments. |
| Low-risk investor | Mixed fit | While waste services are defensive, the company's acquisition-heavy strategy introduces execution and leverage risks. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium | The stock is susceptible to fluctuations in industrial activity and regional economic health. |
| Valuation risk | Medium / high | Shares often trade at high P/E multiples based on anticipated future consolidation gains. |
| Competition risk (national waste firms) | Medium | Large scale competitors like WM and RSG can outspend Casella on infrastructure and technology. |
| Business quality | Strong | The recurring nature of waste collection creates a resilient and stable revenue base. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | Investors seeking immediate income will find better alternatives in the utility or REIT sectors. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Integrating numerous small acquisitions effectively is critical to maintaining margins. |
Price Behavior

Flat / Range-Bound
The stock price has been trading within a narrow range with minimal directional movement.

Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 4.46% | Avg. Invested days 51 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Advisory Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals 
Financial Health Rating 
Growth Momentum Score 
Ownership 
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue) 
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile 
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 5.94B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 1037 | 1Y Target Price 106.5 |
Price to earnings Ratio 1037 | 1Y Target Price 106.5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 683.0K shares | Beta 0.78 | 52 Weeks Range 74.05 - 107.96 | Updated Date 11/01/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 74.05 - 107.96 | Updated Date 11/01/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.09 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Solid Waste Collection | Residential and commercial waste collection services. | The reliable, recurring core business that provides the bulk of the company's cash flow. |
| Landfill & Disposal | Ownership and operation of regional landfills and transfer stations. | Highly profitable assets that provide high barriers to entry and regional dominance. |
| Resource Solutions | Recycling processing and sustainability-focused waste diversion. | A growing segment that captures value from ESG-conscious corporate clients. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-11-09 | When After Market | Estimate 0.36 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 0.29% | Operating Margin (TTM) 4.99% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 1.73% | Return on Equity (TTM) 0.36% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 1037 | Forward PE 55.25 | Enterprise Value 7.36B | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.04 |
Enterprise Value 7.36B | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.04 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.76 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 18.59 | Shares Outstanding 62.65M | Shares Floating 62.26M |
Shares Outstanding 62.65M | Shares Floating 62.26M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.56 | Percent Institutions 125.83 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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