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Upturn stock rating
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Casella Waste Systems Inc (CWST)

Upturn stock rating
$87.22
Last Close (24-hour delay)
upturn advisory
PASS
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Upturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
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Time period over
  • ALL
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Upturn Advisory Summary

10/21/2025: CWST (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

10 Analysts rated it

Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.

1 Year Target Price $116.68

1 Year Target Price $116.68

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$116.68 Target price
52w Low $84.5
Current$87.22
52w High $121.24

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 12.85%
Avg. Invested days 61
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 2.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/21/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 5.44B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 452.11
1Y Target Price 116.68
Price to earnings Ratio 452.11
1Y Target Price 116.68
Volume (30-day avg) 10
Beta 0.84
52 Weeks Range 84.50 - 121.24
Updated Date 10/20/2025
52 Weeks Range 84.50 - 121.24
Updated Date 10/20/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.19

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-10-29
When After Market
Estimate 0.32
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 0.64%
Operating Margin (TTM) 5.53%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 2.08%
Return on Equity (TTM) 0.85%

Valuation

Trailing PE 452.11
Forward PE 76.92
Enterprise Value 6768871947
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.16
Enterprise Value 6768871947
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.16
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.93
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 19.3
Shares Outstanding 62502263
Shares Floating 62129862
Shares Outstanding 62502263
Shares Floating 62129862
Percent Insiders 0.61
Percent Institutions 106.89

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Casella Waste Systems Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Casella Waste Systems Inc. was founded in 1975 in Rutland, Vermont, by brothers Douglas, John, and William Casella. Initially a single-truck operation, the company grew organically and through acquisitions to become a major player in the waste management industry in the Northeastern United States.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Solid Waste Collection: Provides collection services for residential, commercial, and industrial customers. It is a key segment of the company.
  • Landfill Disposal: Owns and operates landfills for the disposal of solid waste.
  • Recycling: Processes and markets recyclable materials.
  • Resource Solutions: Provides a range of services including special waste management and sustainable organics solutions. It focuses on creating value from waste streams.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

John W. Casella serves as the Chairman and CEO. The company has a typical corporate structure with executive leadership responsible for various functional areas (operations, finance, sales, etc.) and a board of directors overseeing strategic direction.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Landfill Disposal Services: Casella owns and operates a network of landfills, providing disposal capacity for collected waste and third-party waste streams. Market share varies by region; data is proprietary. Competitors include Waste Management (WM), Republic Services (RSG), and GFL Environmental (GFL).
  • Solid Waste Collection Services: Collection of municipal, residential, commercial, and industrial solid waste. Casella holds a significant share in the Northeast region; exact figures fluctuate but are estimated to be around 15-20% in their core markets. Competitors include Waste Management (WM), Republic Services (RSG), and GFL Environmental (GFL).
  • Recycling Services: Processing and marketing of recyclable materials, including paper, plastics, and metals. Market share is smaller and highly competitive, with local and regional players. Competitors include Waste Management (WM), Republic Services (RSG) and Sims Metal Management.
  • Organics and Resource Management Services: Processing of organic waste into compost and energy products. Casella is expanding its presence in this sector. No specific market share data available. Competitors include Waste Management (WM) and Republic Services (RSG) also smaller independent companies.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The waste management industry is a mature but essential sector, driven by population growth, urbanization, and increasing environmental regulations. It is consolidating with larger players acquiring smaller regional firms. The need for sustainability is driving innovation and growth in areas like recycling and waste-to-energy.

Positioning

Casella is a regional player focused on the Northeastern United States. Its competitive advantages include a strong regional presence, integrated service offerings (collection, disposal, recycling), and a growing focus on sustainable waste management solutions. The company strategically positions itself in markets where they are one of the larger players to maximize pricing power.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The US waste management market is estimated to be over $80 billion annually. Casella's positioning in the Northeast and its focus on integrated services allows it to capture a portion of this TAM, estimated in the billions. The company's focus is on a specific geographic region.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong regional presence in the Northeast
  • Integrated service offerings (collection, disposal, recycling)
  • Growing focus on sustainable waste management solutions
  • Experienced management team
  • Well-maintained infrastructure

Weaknesses

  • Limited geographic diversification
  • Capital intensive business
  • Exposure to regulatory changes
  • Susceptible to economic downturns impacting waste volumes
  • Dependence on landfill capacity

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new geographic markets
  • Increased focus on recycling and waste-to-energy initiatives
  • Acquisition of smaller regional waste management companies
  • Benefiting from stricter environmental regulations
  • Technological innovations in waste processing and disposal

Threats

  • Increased competition from larger national players
  • Economic downturns reducing waste volumes
  • Changes in environmental regulations impacting landfill operations
  • Public opposition to landfill siting
  • Rising fuel costs affecting transportation expenses

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • WM
  • RSG
  • GFL

Competitive Landscape

Casella competes primarily with larger national players like Waste Management and Republic Services. Its advantages include a strong regional presence and integrated service offerings. Disadvantages include smaller scale and limited geographic diversification.

Major Acquisitions

Twin Bridges Waste & Recycling

  • Year: 2023
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 21.8
  • Strategic Rationale: Expansion of Casella's solid waste operations in the Northeast, adding hauling assets and increasing market density. Increase efficiency.

Saugerties Transfer Station

  • Year: 2023
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 3.3
  • Strategic Rationale: The acquisition will allow Casella to optimize their operations.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Casella has grown steadily through a combination of organic growth and acquisitions.

Future Projections: Analysts project continued revenue growth driven by acquisitions and increasing waste volumes. Expected growth 5-10% annually.

Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives include investments in recycling infrastructure, expansion of the organics processing business, and acquisitions of regional waste management companies.

Summary

Casella Waste Systems is a regional player with a strong presence in the Northeast, showing stable growth through acquisitions and integrated service offerings. Its focus on sustainability and recycling provides a tailwind. However, smaller size compared to national competitors creates challenges. Dependence on regional markets and potential regulatory shifts present risks for future performance.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company filings (SEC)
  • Investor presentations
  • Analyst reports

Disclaimers:

The information provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investment decisions should be based on individual due diligence and consultation with a qualified financial advisor.

Upturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Casella Waste Systems Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Rutland, VT, United States
IPO Launch date 1997-10-28
Chairman, CEO & Secretary Mr. John W. Casella Jr.
Sector Industrials
Industry Waste Management
Full time employees 5100
Full time employees 5100

Casella Waste Systems, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a vertically integrated solid waste services company in the United States. The company offers resource management services primarily in the areas of solid waste collection and disposal, transfer, recycling, and organics services to residential, commercial, municipal, institutional, and industrial customers. It also provides non-hazardous solid waste services, including collections, transfer stations, recycling, and disposal operations. In addition, the company markets materials, including fibers, corrugated cardboard, newsprint, plastics, glass, ferrous, and aluminum metals. Casella Waste Systems, Inc. was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Rutland, Vermont.