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CoreCivic Inc(CXW)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
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Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for CXW
09/18/2026: CXW (5-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY for 127 days. Simulated Profits (76.95%). Updated daily EoD!
CoreCivic is a major provider of correctional, detention, and residential reentry facilities, primarily serving U.S. federal and state government agencies. The company benefits from stable, long-term contracts and a significant portfolio of owned real estate. Its core growth story involves diversifying into community-based services while focusing on balance sheet deleveraging. However, CoreCivic faces significant risks, including political sensitivity to private detention, potential legislative reform, and ESG-related funding pressures. The stock may suit value-oriented investors who can tolerate high volatility, but it currently lacks the dividend appeal often associated with its historical REIT structure. Investors should monitor government contract renewals and policy trends closely.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Weak fit | The company operates in a mature industry with limited top-line expansion potential. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | The stock is highly sensitive to political news cycles and legislative developments. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The stock often trades at low multiples of cash flow due to sector-wide ESG and political risks. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company currently does not pay a regular dividend. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High regulatory, political, and reputational risks make this a volatile asset. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock price is highly reactive to policy changes and political sentiment. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | While trading at low multiples, valuation is compressed by ESG and political sentiment constraints. |
| Competition risk (The GEO Group) | Medium | The duopolistic nature of the industry makes pricing and contract wins highly competitive. |
| Business quality | Medium | The business provides essential services with strong cash flow potential but suffers from structural political headwinds. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | There is no current dividend income, limiting appeal for income-focused investors. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Managing complex correctional facilities requires operational excellence to avoid significant liability. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 92.4% | Avg. Invested days 51 | Today’s Advisory Strong Buy |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  4.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 09/18/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.51B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 27.77 | 1Y Target Price 41.8 |
Price to earnings Ratio 27.77 | 1Y Target Price 41.8 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.8M shares | Beta 0.6 | 52 Weeks Range 15.74 - 36.55 | Updated Date 09/18/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 15.74 - 36.55 | Updated Date 09/18/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.28 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| CoreCivic Safety | Management and operation of correctional and detention facilities under contract with federal, state, and local governments. | The company earns money by charging government agencies a daily fee per person housed in their facilities. |
| CoreCivic Property | Ownership and leasing of real estate assets used for government purposes. | The company acts as a landlord, collecting rent from government tenants occupying their specialized buildings. |
| CoreCivic Community | Residential reentry services and non-residential correctional alternatives. | The company provides transitional support services for individuals in the criminal justice system to reduce recidivism. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 27.77 | Forward PE 13.64 | Enterprise Value 4.69B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.41 |
Enterprise Value 4.69B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.41 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.89 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 12.24 | Shares Outstanding 98.89M | Shares Floating 96.42M |
Shares Outstanding 98.89M | Shares Floating 96.42M | ||
Percent Insiders 2.1 | Percent Institutions 91.37 |
Upturn AI Summary
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
About CoreCivic Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquarters Brentwood, TN, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1997-07-15 | President, CEO, COO & Director Mr. Patrick Swindle | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Security & Protection Services | Full time employees 13651 | Website https://www.corecivic.com |
Full time employees 13651 | Website https://www.corecivic.com | ||
CoreCivic, Inc. owns and operates partnership correctional, detention, and residential reentry facilities in the United States. It operates through three segments: CoreCivic Safety, CoreCivic Community, and CoreCivic Properties. The company provides a range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through corrections and detention management, a network of residential reentry centers to help address recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. Its correctional, detention, and residential reentry facilities offer rehabilitation and educational programs, including basic education, faith-based services, life skills and employment training, and substance abuse treatment; food services; and work and recreational programs as well as health care services, including medical, dental, and mental health services. The company was founded in 1983 and is based in Brentwood, Tennessee.
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