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CXW 
CoreCivic Inc (CXW)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/17/2025: CXW (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Number of Analysts
4 Analysts rated it
Very few follow this stock; limited insights, higher-risk early investing.
1 Year Target Price $29.88
1 Year Target Price $29.88
| 4 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 0 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 21.89% | Avg. Invested days 52 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/17/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.80B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 17.19 | 1Y Target Price 29.88 |
Price to earnings Ratio 17.19 | 1Y Target Price 29.88 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 4 | Beta 0.67 | 52 Weeks Range 16.02 - 23.85 | Updated Date 11/16/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 16.02 - 23.85 | Updated Date 11/16/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-11-05 | When After Market | Estimate 0.26 | Actual 0.24 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 5.24% | Operating Margin (TTM) 8.99% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.2% | Return on Equity (TTM) 7.41% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 17.19 | Forward PE 24.39 | Enterprise Value 2784370219 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.86 |
Enterprise Value 2784370219 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.86 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.33 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.36 | Shares Outstanding 104584655 | Shares Floating 95313225 |
Shares Outstanding 104584655 | Shares Floating 95313225 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.07 | Percent Institutions 91.39 |
Upturn AI SWOT
CoreCivic Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Founded in 1983 as Corrections Corporation of America (CCA), CoreCivic is one of the largest private prison operators in the US. It went public in 1994. Over time, it expanded its services to include detention and community corrections facilities.
Core Business Areas
- CoreCivic Safety: Manages correctional, detention, and residential reentry facilities. This segment generates most of the company's revenue.
- CoreCivic Properties: Owns real estate assets utilized by government agencies and other third parties.
- CoreCivic Community: Provides residential reentry centers that assist individuals transitioning from incarceration back into society.
Leadership and Structure
Damon T. Hininger serves as the President and Chief Executive Officer. The company has a board of directors overseeing its operations and strategic direction.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Correctional and Detention Facilities: Manages facilities under contract with government agencies (federal, state, and local). Market share data is difficult to pinpoint exactly due to varying contract terms and government reporting. Competitors: The Geo Group, Management & Training Corporation (MTC), government-run facilities.
- Residential Reentry Centers: Provides housing and support services to individuals released from incarceration. Market share data is fragmented. Competitors: smaller non-profit organizations, government programs.
- Real Estate Solutions: Leases real estate to government partners for correctional or other purposes. Competitors: Private real estate investors/developers, other REITs.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The private corrections industry faces ongoing scrutiny and political debate. Demand fluctuates based on government policies related to incarceration and immigration. The industry is consolidating, and faces government contracts with various terms and durations. An increasing focus on rehabilitation and community corrections influences the market.
Positioning
CoreCivic is a major player in the private corrections industry, benefiting from economies of scale and long-term government contracts. Its diversified service offerings provide some resilience against policy changes. However, it faces ethical concerns and regulatory challenges related to private prisons.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The estimated TAM for the US private corrections market is approximately $5 billion to $8 billion annually. CoreCivic holds a sizable market share, positioned as a top player but with TAM volatility linked to government policies.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large scale and established presence
- Long-term government contracts
- Diversified service offerings (corrections, detention, reentry)
- Real estate portfolio
- REIT structure offering some tax advantages
Weaknesses
- High debt levels
- Reputational risks associated with private prisons
- Vulnerability to changes in government policies
- Ethical concerns regarding profitability of incarceration
- Dependence on government contracts
Opportunities
- Expansion of community corrections and reentry programs
- Potential for international growth
- Increased focus on rehabilitation and recidivism reduction
- Leveraging real estate assets for alternative uses
- Acquisition of smaller competitors
Threats
- Decreasing incarceration rates
- Government decisions to end or reduce reliance on private prisons
- Negative public perception and activism
- Increased regulatory scrutiny
- Economic downturn impacting government budgets
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- GEO
- CXW
Competitive Landscape
CoreCivic and The GEO Group (GEO) are the largest players. Advantages include economies of scale and established relationships. Disadvantages include reputational risks and regulatory scrutiny. The competitive landscape shifts with policy changes.
Major Acquisitions
Aegis Therapeutic Group
- Year: 2016
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 200
- Strategic Rationale: Acquired Aegis for its residential reentry and treatment programs, expanding CoreCivic's community corrections offerings.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth has been driven by expansion of private prison contracts and acquisitions. This growth has been irregular due to policy changes and market volatility.
Future Projections: Future growth prospects are uncertain, depending on government policies and the company's ability to adapt to changing market dynamics. Analyst estimates vary widely.
Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives have focused on diversifying services, reducing debt, and improving operational efficiency.
Summary
CoreCivic faces a complex environment marked by ethical concerns and policy shifts. Their established presence and diversified services provide some stability, but they must adapt to decreasing incarceration rates and evolving public sentiment. Debt reduction and innovation in reentry programs are key to future success. The company remains vulnerable to government decisions regarding private prisons.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Industry reports
- News articles
- Analyst reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market data and analyst estimates are subject to change. Investment decisions should be made based on individual circumstances and consultation with a qualified financial advisor.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About CoreCivic Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Brentwood, TN, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1997-07-15 | CEO & Director Mr. Damon T. Hininger | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Security & Protection Services | Full time employees 11649 | Website https://www.corecivic.com |
Full time employees 11649 | Website https://www.corecivic.com | ||
CoreCivic, Inc. owns and operates partnership correctional, detention, and residential reentry facilities in the United States. It operates through three segments: CoreCivic Safety, CoreCivic Community, and CoreCivic Properties. The company provides a range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through corrections and detention management, a network of residential reentry centers to help address recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. Its correctional, detention, and residential reentry facilities offer rehabilitation and educational programs, including basic education, faith-based services, life skills and employment training, and substance abuse treatment; food services; and work and recreational programs as well as health care services, including medical, dental, and mental health services. CoreCivic, Inc. was founded in 1983 and is based in Brentwood, Tennessee.
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