- Chart
- Upturn Summary
- Highlights
- Revenue
- Valuation
- About
Geo Group Inc (GEO)

- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- Pass (Skip investing)
Stock price based on last close (see disclosures)
- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
Upturn Advisory Summary
12/18/2025: GEO (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $32.25
1 Year Target Price $32.25
| 4 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 0 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 191.5% | Avg. Invested days 68 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.34B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 9.78 | 1Y Target Price 32.25 |
Price to earnings Ratio 9.78 | 1Y Target Price 32.25 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 4 | Beta 0.7 | 52 Weeks Range 14.27 - 36.46 | Updated Date 12/18/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 14.27 - 36.46 | Updated Date 12/18/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.69 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 9.41% | Operating Margin (TTM) 11.48% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.72% | Return on Equity (TTM) 16.8% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 9.78 | Forward PE 24.04 | Enterprise Value 3755715360 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.92 |
Enterprise Value 3755715360 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.92 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.48 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 6.18 | Shares Outstanding 139197249 | Shares Floating 131009584 |
Shares Outstanding 139197249 | Shares Floating 131009584 | ||
Percent Insiders 4.45 | Percent Institutions 94.93 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Geo Group Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) was founded in 1984 as a provider of corrections and detention management services. It has since expanded to include a diversified portfolio of correctional, detention, and community reentry facilities, as well as providing a range of correctional services. The company has grown through acquisitions and contract awards, becoming one of the largest private operators of correctional and detention facilities in the world.
Core Business Areas
- U.S. Corrections & Detentions: This segment primarily involves the management and operation of correctional and detention facilities in the United States. GEO partners with federal, state, and local government agencies to provide secure and humane environments for inmates and detainees. Services include facility management, security, healthcare, and rehabilitation programs.
- Electronic Monitoring & Community Reentry: This segment offers electronic monitoring services, including GPS tracking and home confinement, for individuals under correctional supervision. It also includes the operation of community reentry centers that provide residential and non-residential services aimed at helping individuals successfully reintegrate into society, including job placement assistance, counseling, and life skills training.
- International Services: GEO operates correctional facilities and provides related services in several countries outside the United States, including Australia and the United Kingdom. These services are similar to those offered in the U.S., tailored to the specific needs of the international partners.
Leadership and Structure
The GEO Group, Inc. is a publicly traded company led by a Board of Directors and a senior executive management team. Key leadership roles typically include a Chief Executive Officer (CEO), Chief Financial Officer (CFO), and heads of various operational and functional departments. The company operates through its various subsidiaries and divisions, reflecting its diverse service offerings.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Facility Management (Corrections & Detention): Provides comprehensive management and operation of correctional and detention facilities for government clients. Competitors include CoreCivic (CXW), Management and Training Corporation (MTC), and LaSalle Corrections. Market share data is difficult to isolate for individual services but GEO is a major player in the private prison market.
- Electronic Monitoring Services: Offers a range of electronic monitoring solutions for probationers and parolees. Competitors include BI Incorporated (a Geo Group subsidiary, but also faces external competition), Corrisoft, and Sentinel Offender Services. Market share is fragmented across various technology providers and service providers.
- Community Reentry Services: Operates residential and non-residential centers to support individuals transitioning back into the community, including employment services and rehabilitation programs. Competitors include various non-profit organizations and other private providers focusing on recidivism reduction.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The correctional services industry is largely driven by government spending on corrections and detention. The private sector plays a significant role in managing facilities and providing related services. The industry is influenced by government policies, incarceration rates, and public perception of private corrections. There is ongoing debate and scrutiny regarding the ethics and effectiveness of private correctional facilities.
Positioning
GEO Group is one of the largest private operators of correctional and detention facilities globally. Its competitive advantages include its established relationships with government agencies, extensive operational experience, diversified service offerings, and a significant portfolio of owned and leased facilities. However, the company faces reputational risks and the potential for regulatory changes that could impact its business model.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for correctional services is substantial, encompassing government budgets allocated to corrections, detention, and offender rehabilitation. While GEO operates within this broad market, its specific TAM is defined by the government contracts it can secure and the services it provides. The company is a leading player in the private sector segment of this market.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Extensive experience and operational expertise in managing correctional facilities.
- Strong relationships with government agencies at federal, state, and local levels.
- Diversified service offerings, including electronic monitoring and reentry services.
- Significant portfolio of owned and leased facilities, providing operational flexibility.
- Economies of scale due to its size and operational footprint.
Weaknesses
- Reputational challenges and public scrutiny associated with private prisons.
- Dependence on government contracts, which can be subject to political shifts and budget constraints.
- Potential for regulatory changes that could negatively impact profitability or operations.
- High capital expenditure requirements for facility development and maintenance.
Opportunities
- Expansion of electronic monitoring and community reentry services to address recidivism.
- Potential for new contract awards from government agencies seeking cost-effective solutions.
- Leveraging technology to improve operational efficiency and service delivery.
- Opportunities for international expansion or partnerships.
Threats
- Increased political pressure to reduce reliance on private prison operators.
- Competition from other private providers and potential for in-house government operations.
- Litigation and legal challenges related to facility operations and inmate care.
- Economic downturns that could lead to reduced government spending on corrections.
- Evolving societal views on incarceration and criminal justice reform.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- CXW
- MTC
Competitive Landscape
GEO Group's competitive advantages lie in its scale, experience, and established client relationships. However, competitors like CoreCivic (CXW) and Management and Training Corporation (MTC) are also significant players with similar capabilities. The landscape is characterized by a bidding process for government contracts, where price, experience, and compliance are key factors. Differentiation can come from specialized services or operational efficiencies.
Major Acquisitions
BI Incorporated
- Year: 2011
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 425
- Strategic Rationale: Acquisition of BI Incorporated, a leading provider of electronic monitoring and offender management technology, significantly expanded GEO's presence in the electronic monitoring and community reentry services sector, diversifying its revenue streams and strengthening its position in the correctional services continuum.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: GEO Group's historical growth has been driven by strategic acquisitions, contract expansions, and the development of new facilities. The company has aimed to diversify its revenue streams beyond traditional corrections into areas like electronic monitoring and community reentry.
Future Projections: Future growth projections are typically based on analyst estimates and the company's own guidance. These projections often consider the potential for new government contracts, the expansion of existing services, and the successful integration of any acquired businesses. However, the industry's reliance on government funding and potential regulatory changes create inherent uncertainties.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives may include efforts to enhance technology adoption in facility management and monitoring, expanding community reentry programs to address recidivism, and seeking new government partnerships. The company may also be focused on optimizing its existing portfolio and divesting underperforming assets.
Summary
GEO Group Inc is a major player in the private correctional services industry, with a strong history of managing government facilities and providing related services. Its diversification into electronic monitoring and reentry programs offers growth potential. However, the company faces significant challenges from public scrutiny, regulatory risks, and dependence on government contracts, which necessitate careful management of its operational and reputational aspects.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Investor Relations Websites
- Financial News and Analysis Platforms
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Geo Group Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Boca Raton, FL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1994-07-26 | CEO - | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Security & Protection Services | Full time employees 20000 | Website https://www.geogroup.com |
Full time employees 20000 | Website https://www.geogroup.com | ||
The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO's diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO's worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 95 facilities totaling approximately 75,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 20,000 employees.

Note: This website is maintained by Upturn Corporation, which is an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Such registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Investing in securities has risks. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. No assurance is provided as to any particular investment return, and you may lose money using our services. You are strongly advised to consult appropriate counsel before making any investments in companies you learn about through our services. You should obtain appropriate legal, tax, investment, accounting, and other advice that takes into account your investment portfolio and overall financial situation. You are solely responsible for conducting due diligence on a potential investment. We do not affect trades for you. You will select your own broker through which to transact. Investments are not FDIC insured, they are not guaranteed, and they may lose value. Please see the Privacy Policy, Terms of Use, and Disclosure for more information.
Home 

