China Yuchai International Limited logo

China Yuchai International Limited(CYD)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$22.19
11/03/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
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Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for CYD

11/03/2026: CYD (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

China Yuchai International Limited is a long-standing engine manufacturer that serves the commercial vehicle and industrial equipment sectors, primarily within China. The company benefits from a deep-rooted brand presence and an expansive service network that provides a reliable baseline for its operations. Its main growth opportunity lies in transitioning toward natural gas, hybrid, and hydrogen fuel technologies as emission regulations tighten. However, investors must consider risks such as intense competition from larger domestic and global rivals, as well as the long-term threat posed by the shift toward electric vehicles. The stock may suit value and dividend-focused investors, though it is subject to the inherent volatility of the cyclical Chinese industrial market.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitGrowth is tied to the maturing Chinese industrial sector rather than high-growth tech expansion.
Momentum investorWeak fitThe stock often lacks consistent long-term upward momentum, moving with cyclical industrial trends.
Value investorStrong fitThe company often trades at low valuation multiples, potentially offering value for patient investors.
Dividend investorStrong fitThe company has a history of regular dividend payments, appealing to income-focused investors.
Low-risk investorWeak fitHigh exposure to Chinese regulatory and macroeconomic risks increases volatility.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock is subject to swings in the Chinese industrial cycle.
Valuation riskLowTrading at conservative multiples limits significant downside valuation risk.
Competition risk (engine market)HighIntense domestic competition pressures margins.
Business qualityMediumEstablished operations provide stability but limited moat against electrification.
Dividend incomeMediumDividends are dependent on cyclical profitability.
Execution riskMediumSuccessful transition to new energy powertrains is critical for long-term survival.

Price Behavior

Steep Decline
PRICE PATH

Steep Decline

The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.

Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 163.66%
Avg. Invested days 36
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 5.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/03/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
CYD receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by soft unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
CYD has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with moderate financial health, solid growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong earnings growth (+61.8%) and solid cash generation (FCF margin 8.6%) are partially offset by soft profitability (net margin 2.2%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
CYD's financial health is supported by strong cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation of $2.1B (8.6% of revenue). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is CYD's strongest growth driver at +782.6% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). Revenue growth (+25.4%, solid) and earnings growth (+61.8%, strong) are also constructive, though not equally high across every growth measure.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 24.3% and approximately 30.4% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 68.88% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Shah Capital Management 3.52%
Acadian Asset Management LLC 3.35%
Aberdeen Group PLC 1.43%
The Goldman Sachs Group Inc 1.18%
Serenity Capital Management Pte Ltd. 0.93%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
CYD generates approximately $165 of gross profit, $26 of operating income, and $86 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Soft margins explain the 2-star rating, with solid cash conversion and soft capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 28.91%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
CYD has a Value-Oriented profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while elevated volatility.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedHigh VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap Risk

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 976.23M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 7.95
1Y Target Price 56.8
Price to earnings Ratio 7.95
1Y Target Price 56.8
Volume (30-day avg) 213.7K shares
Beta 1.54
52 Weeks Range 21.80 - 60.28
Updated Date 11/03/2026
52 Weeks Range 21.80 - 60.28
Updated Date 11/03/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.77

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Engine SalesDiesel and natural gas engines for heavy/light trucks and buses.The company generates most of its revenue by selling engines to vehicle and equipment manufacturers.
Geography: ChinaPrimary manufacturing and sales operations.The company's performance is heavily tied to the health of the Chinese industrial economy.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Valuation

Trailing PE 7.95
Forward PE 5.93
Enterprise Value -37.26M
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.21
Enterprise Value -37.26M
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.21
Enterprise Value to Revenue -
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 0.04
Shares Outstanding 37.52M
Shares Floating 11.40M
Shares Outstanding 37.52M
Shares Floating 11.40M
Percent Insiders 68.88
Percent Institutions 24.31

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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