Dave Inc(DAVE)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
2-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$278.59
11/06/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for DAVE

11/06/2026: DAVE (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Dave Inc is a US-listed fintech company that provides a mobile banking app focused on cash advances and financial management for underbanked consumers. Its primary strength lies in using AI-driven insights to manage risk and provide affordable alternatives to traditional banking overdrafts. The core investment opportunity is the potential for Dave to cross-sell additional financial products to its growing user base as it scales. However, the company faces material risks, including heavy regulatory scrutiny over its cash advance business and intense competition from well-capitalized digital banks. Dave may best suit growth-oriented investors with a high risk tolerance who are willing to monitor regulatory and profitability milestones.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorStrong fitDave appeals to growth investors interested in the digital transformation of consumer banking and underbanked credit.
Momentum investorMixed fitMomentum fit is conditional on a positive trend in user growth and profitability milestones.
Value investorWeak fitThe company is in a growth-oriented, pre-consistent-profitability stage that typically does not meet value criteria.
Dividend investorWeak fitDave does not pay dividends and prioritizes capital reinvestment.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe volatility associated with emerging fintech and regulatory risks makes this an unsuitable choice for risk-averse portfolios.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock is subject to significant fluctuations due to its growth-stage nature and sector sensitivity.
Valuation riskMedium / highValuation is often tied to high-growth expectations that must be consistently validated by earnings.
Competition risk (fintech incumbents)HighDave faces intense pressure from well-funded rivals and legacy banks adding digital features.
Business qualityMediumThe business model relies heavily on a specific segment of credit-sensitive consumers.
Dividend incomeLow / noneInvestors should not expect income from this equity.
Execution riskMediumSuccessful scaling requires precise management of credit losses and regulatory compliance.

Price Behavior

Rolling Over
PRICE PATH

Rolling Over

The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.

Highly Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Highly Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent, large price swings that make its near-term movement less predictable.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 411.62%
Avg. Invested days 25
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 5.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/06/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
DAVE receives a 4-star rating, supported by strong unit economics, strong company fundamentals, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
DAVE has strong overall fundamentals (5 stars), with solid financial health, strong growth momentum, and strong ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong earnings growth (+238.4%) supports the fundamentals score.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
DAVE's financial health is supported by strong liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 66.2%). Operating efficiency is solid (4 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Earnings growth is DAVE's strongest growth driver at +238.4% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). Revenue growth (+59.7%, strong) and free-cash-flow growth (+132.0%, strong) are also constructive, though not equally high across every growth measure.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 110.2% and approximately 83.5% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 10.38% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 13.04%
Hood River Capital Management LLC 8.63%
Divisadero Street Capital Management, LP 5.47%
FMR Inc 3.75%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 3.71%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
DAVE generates approximately $867 of gross profit, $337 of operating income, and $523 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Strong margins, cash conversion, and capital efficiency support the rating.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: -16.57% (Tax Credit)

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
DAVE has a high-quality, liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Quality TiltHigh VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 3.56B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 20.34
1Y Target Price 436.5
Price to earnings Ratio 20.34
1Y Target Price 436.5
Volume (30-day avg) 338.5K shares
Beta 4.08
52 Weeks Range 152.21 - 458.25
Updated Date 11/08/2026
52 Weeks Range 152.21 - 458.25
Updated Date 11/08/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 13.7

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
ExtraCash FeesOptional tips and subscription-like revenue from cash advance services.The primary revenue driver is the fee-based model of short-term cash advances.
Banking ServicesInterchange fees from debit card usage and subscription fees.Revenue is earned as users spend money using the Dave debit card.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-11-04
When After Market
Estimate 3.91
Actual 2.64

Profitability

Profit Margin 28.14%
Operating Margin (TTM) 27.41%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 27.84%
Return on Equity (TTM) 68.79%

Valuation

Trailing PE 20.34
Forward PE 13.28
Enterprise Value 3.52B
Price to Sales(TTM) 5.16
Enterprise Value 3.52B
Price to Sales(TTM) 5.16
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.3
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 18.23
Shares Outstanding 11.48M
Shares Floating 9.58M
Shares Outstanding 11.48M
Shares Floating 9.58M
Percent Insiders 10.38
Percent Institutions 110.19

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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