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Denali Therapeutics Inc (DNLI)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/08/2026: DNLI (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $32.86
1 Year Target Price $32.86
| 15 | Strong Buy |
| 4 | Buy |
| 0 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -38.44% | Avg. Invested days 28 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.67B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 32.86 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 32.86 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 19 | Beta 1.05 | 52 Weeks Range 10.57 - 24.34 | Updated Date 01/8/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 10.57 - 24.34 | Updated Date 01/8/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.94 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -27.29% | Return on Equity (TTM) -44.44% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 1843084269 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3643.65 |
Enterprise Value 1843084269 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3643.65 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2843.16 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -8.66 | Shares Outstanding 156158364 | Shares Floating 133356672 |
Shares Outstanding 156158364 | Shares Floating 133356672 | ||
Percent Insiders 9.32 | Percent Institutions 92.75 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Denali Therapeutics Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Denali Therapeutics Inc. was founded in 2015 by Ryan Watts, Jeffrey Ostmeyer, and Dave Galas. The company is a biopharmaceutical company focused on discovering, developing, and commercializing therapies for neurodegenerative diseases. A significant milestone was its IPO in 2017. Denali's evolution has been marked by its focus on genetic drivers of disease and its development of proprietary product engine platforms, including the Blood-Brain Barrier (BBB) Transport Technology and the Lysosomal Biology Platform.
Core Business Areas
- Neurodegenerative Disease Therapeutics: Denali Therapeutics focuses on developing novel therapies for diseases such as Alzheimer's, Parkinson's, ALS, and Huntington's disease. Their approach involves targeting the underlying genetic and molecular mechanisms of these conditions.
- Product Engine Platforms: The company has developed advanced technological platforms designed to accelerate drug discovery and development. These include technologies for efficient transport across the blood-brain barrier and for modulating lysosomal pathways implicated in neurodegeneration.
Leadership and Structure
Denali Therapeutics is led by a team of experienced scientists and business leaders. Key figures include Ryan Watts (CEO), Chad Farmer (Chief Financial Officer), and Carole Ho (Chief Medical Officer). The company operates with a research-driven organizational structure, emphasizing scientific innovation and clinical development.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Description: DNL747 is an orally available small molecule inhibitor of the receptor-interacting protein kinase 1 (RIPK1) pathway, which is implicated in neuroinflammation and neurodegeneration. Denali is developing this compound for Alzheimer's disease and Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis (ALS). Market share data is not applicable as it is an investigational drug. Key competitors in the Alzheimer's space include Biogen (Leqembi), Eisai (Leqembi), Eli Lilly (Donanemab), and Cassava Science (Simufilam).
- Product Name 1: DNL747 (etazolamide) for Alzheimer's Disease and ALS
- Description: DNL788 is another RIPK1 inhibitor targeting neuroinflammation in diseases like Multiple Sclerosis (MS). This is also an investigational drug, and market share data is not applicable. Competitors in the MS market include Novartis (Kesimpta), Roche (Ocrevus), and Bristol Myers Squibb (Zeposia).
- Product Name 2: DNL788 for Multiple Sclerosis
- Description: DNL201 is a gene therapy candidate for Parkinson's disease, designed to deliver a specific gene to increase the production of a key enzyme involved in dopamine synthesis. This is an investigational drug with no current market share. Competitors in Parkinson's disease therapies include AbbVie (Duopa), UCB (Ropinirole), and various companies developing gene therapies.
- Product Name 3: DNL201 for Parkinson's Disease
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The biopharmaceutical industry, particularly the neurodegenerative disease segment, is characterized by high R&D costs, long development timelines, significant regulatory hurdles, and substantial unmet medical needs. There is a growing focus on precision medicine, genetic therapies, and novel drug targets to address complex diseases like Alzheimer's and Parkinson's. The market is highly competitive with both large pharmaceutical companies and smaller biotech firms vying for breakthroughs.
Positioning
Denali Therapeutics is positioned as an innovative biotechnology company leveraging proprietary technology platforms to address the fundamental biological causes of neurodegenerative diseases. Its focus on genetically validated targets and its unique approach to crossing the blood-brain barrier are key differentiators. The company actively engages in strategic partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies, expanding its reach and resources.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for neurodegenerative disease treatments is substantial and growing due to an aging global population and increasing prevalence of these conditions. For Alzheimer's disease alone, the TAM is estimated to be in the tens of billions of dollars annually. Denali Therapeutics is positioned to capture a significant portion of this market with successful development and commercialization of its pipeline candidates, though it currently represents a small fraction of the overall market due to its developmental stage.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Proprietary technology platforms (e.g., BBB Transport Technology, Lysosomal Biology Platform)
- Experienced management and scientific team
- Focus on genetically validated targets
- Strategic partnerships with major pharmaceutical companies (e.g., Biogen, Sanofi)
- Strong pipeline of investigational therapies for major neurodegenerative diseases
Weaknesses
- Relatively early-stage pipeline with no approved products
- High research and development costs
- Dependence on successful clinical trial outcomes
- Limited financial resources compared to large pharmaceutical companies
- Intense competition in the neurodegenerative disease space
Opportunities
- Significant unmet medical needs in neurodegenerative diseases
- Advancements in genetic sequencing and understanding of disease mechanisms
- Potential for companion diagnostics to personalize treatments
- Expansion into new therapeutic areas or indications
- Acquisition by larger pharmaceutical companies for pipeline assets
Threats
- Clinical trial failures or delays
- Regulatory hurdles and lengthy approval processes
- Competition from other drug developers with similar or superior technologies
- Patent expirations of existing treatments, leading to price erosion
- Changes in healthcare policy and reimbursement landscapes
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Biogen Inc. (BIIB)
- Roche Holding AG (RHHBY - OTC)
- Eli Lilly and Company (LLY)
- Novartis AG (NVS)
- Sanofi (SNY)
Competitive Landscape
Denali's advantage lies in its novel technology platforms and focus on underlying disease mechanisms. However, it faces significant disadvantages in terms of established market presence, extensive commercial infrastructure, and deep financial resources of large pharmaceutical competitors. Its success hinges on demonstrating superior efficacy and safety profiles for its investigational therapies.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Denali Therapeutics has experienced significant growth since its inception, driven by the expansion of its pipeline, successful collaborations, and capital raises. Its valuation has increased as it has advanced its lead programs through clinical development.
Future Projections: Future growth projections for Denali Therapeutics are contingent on the successful progression of its clinical pipeline, particularly its RIPK1 inhibitors and gene therapy programs. Analyst estimates would generally forecast revenue growth post-potential regulatory approvals and significant increases in R&D investment in the interim.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include advancing its lead candidates in Phase 2 and Phase 3 trials, expanding its partnerships for co-development and co-commercialization, and continuing to innovate its product engine platforms for new therapeutic targets.
Summary
Denali Therapeutics Inc. is a promising, albeit early-stage, biopharmaceutical company with a strong focus on tackling neurodegenerative diseases. Its proprietary technology platforms, particularly for crossing the blood-brain barrier, offer a competitive edge. However, the company faces significant risks associated with clinical trial failures and intense competition. Continued innovation, successful clinical development, and strategic partnerships are crucial for its long-term success.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Investor Relations websites
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Industry Analysis Reports
- Financial News Outlets
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial or investment advice. Investing in biotechnology companies, especially clinical-stage ones like Denali Therapeutics, involves significant risk of loss. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Denali Therapeutics Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters South San Francisco, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2017-12-08 | Co-Founder, President, CEO & Director Dr. Ryan J. Watts Ph.D. | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 517 | |
Full time employees 517 | |||
Denali Therapeutics Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, discovers and develops therapeutics to treat neurodegenerative and lysosomal storage diseases. The company develops Eclitasertib (SAR443122/DNL758) RIPK1 inhibitor program for peripheral inflammatory diseases; DNL343 eIF2B activator program for amyotrophic lateral sclerosis; BIIB122/DNL151 LRRK2 inhibitor program for Parkinson's disease; TAK-594/DNL593 program for frontotemporal dementia-granulin; DNL126 program for MPS IIIA (Sanfilippo Syndrome A); and DNL310 Tividenofusp alfa, an enzyme replacement therapy program for MPS II (Hunter Syndrome). Its Enzyme TransportVehicle (TV) programs include DNL952 for the treatment of Pompe disease; DNL111 for Parkinson's and Gaucher diseases; and DNL622 for Hurler syndrome (MPS I). The company's OTV programs also comprise DNL628 targeting tau for Alzheimer's disease; and DNL422 targeting alpha synuclein for Parkinson's disease, as well as antibody TV program includes DNL921 targeting Abeta for treating Alzheimer's disease. The company was formerly known as SPR Pharma Inc. and changed its name to Denali Therapeutics Inc. in March 2015. Denali Therapeutics Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.

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