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Upturn AI Summary - About
Dow Inc(DOW)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for DOW
10/09/2026: DOW (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Dow Inc. is a prominent global materials science company, focusing on the production of plastics, industrial intermediates, and specialty chemicals. The company benefits from a low-cost manufacturing infrastructure and a strong, integrated position within the global supply chain, which historically helps support consistent margins. Investors look to Dow for its reliable dividend income and value-oriented profile, though growth is tempered by the cyclical nature of the chemical industry. Primary risks include significant price volatility in energy-related feedstocks and long-term regulatory pressures regarding plastic products. Dow best suits dividend-focused value investors who monitor macroeconomic industrial demand and the company’s ongoing transition to circular economy technologies.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Dow is a mature, cyclical company with moderate growth prospects rather than high-growth potential. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | The stock tends to trade based on macro-industrial cycles rather than short-term price momentum. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | Dow often trades at attractive multiples relative to its asset base and cash flow potential. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | Dow provides a reliable dividend stream which is a primary component of its total return profile. |
| Low-risk investor | Mixed fit | While established, its cyclical nature leads to periodic volatility that may not suit the most risk-averse. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium / high | Feedstock price changes significantly impact production costs and margins. |
| Valuation risk | Low | The stock is generally valued in line with its cyclical industrial peers. |
| Competition risk (Commodity Chemical Competition) | Medium | Global competitors with lower labor costs pressure pricing on high-volume plastics. |
| Business quality | Medium | Dow owns high-quality, large-scale assets, though it operates in a capital-intensive industry. |
| Dividend income | Strong | Dividends are a core priority of management, supported by steady operating cash flows. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Large-scale infrastructure upgrades and decarbonization projects carry operational and financial risk. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 18.57% | Avg. Invested days 42 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  2.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/09/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 20.65B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 33.62 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 33.62 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 8.7M shares | Beta 0.41 | 52 Weeks Range 19.91 - 41.82 | Updated Date 10/09/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 19.91 - 41.82 | Updated Date 10/09/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 5.04% | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.84 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging & Specialty Plastics | Polyethylene resins and specialty plastics for various industrial applications. | This is the company's largest revenue engine, driven by global demand for food packaging and consumer goods. |
| Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure | Ethylene-based products, silicones, and polyurethane components. | This segment powers the automotive and construction sectors, making it highly sensitive to building and manufacturing activity. |
| Geography: North America | Primary manufacturing hubs utilizing low-cost shale gas feedstocks. | Low energy costs in North America provide a significant competitive cost advantage for Dow's global production. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 14.14 | Enterprise Value 36.39B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.5 |
Enterprise Value 36.39B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.5 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.88 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.73 | Shares Outstanding 722.34M | Shares Floating 720.59M |
Shares Outstanding 722.34M | Shares Floating 720.59M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.2 | Percent Institutions 79.17 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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