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Upturn AI Summary - About
Dow Inc(DOW)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for DOW
10/23/2026: DOW (3-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY for 2 days. Simulated Profits (2.51%). Updated daily EoD!
Dow Inc is an established global leader in materials science, focusing on the production of plastics, industrial intermediates, and silicones. The company benefits from a highly integrated manufacturing model and a vast supply chain, which historically support strong operating efficiencies. Its primary growth opportunity lies in sustainable solutions and decarbonization technologies designed to meet future regulatory demands. However, investors must consider the risks posed by cyclical commodity price volatility, intense global competition, and the heavy capital requirements of its business model. Dow may suit income-focused investors who appreciate its established dividend track record, provided they can tolerate the moderate risk associated with industrial economic cycles.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Dow is a mature, cyclical company rather than a high-growth tech disruptor. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | This style is conditional on a positive, sustained upturn in industrial and chemical demand cycles. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | Dow often trades at valuation multiples that appeal to value investors looking for established industrial players. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | Dow provides a reliable dividend stream which is a core component of its value proposition. |
| Low-risk investor | Mixed fit | The company's sensitivity to cyclical economic trends and commodity prices introduces moderate volatility. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Commodity price fluctuations directly impact margins and profitability. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | As a cyclical stock, valuation can be deceptive near the peak or trough of an economic cycle. |
| Competition risk (Global scale/Commodity) | Medium / high | Global competitors with lower cost structures pose constant pricing threats. |
| Business quality | Medium | Dow is a high-quality operator, but it remains susceptible to macroeconomic headwinds. |
| Dividend income | Medium / high | Dividends are relatively stable but are subject to board approval based on earnings performance. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Large-scale decarbonization projects carry inherent construction and implementation risks. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 21.56% | Avg. Invested days 36 | Today’s Advisory Strong Buy |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/23/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 22.98B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 33.76 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 33.76 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 8.7M shares | Beta 0.41 | 52 Weeks Range 19.95 - 41.82 | Updated Date 10/23/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 19.95 - 41.82 | Updated Date 10/23/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.93 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging & Specialty Plastics | Polyethylene and associated plastics for food, pharma, and hygiene. | The company's largest segment, tied heavily to consumer spending. |
| Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure | Chemical intermediates for construction and automotive sectors. | Highly cyclical segment linked to global construction and auto manufacturing. |
| Geography (Global) | Revenue distribution across North America, EMEA, and Asia-Pacific. | Diversified geographic reach helps buffer regional economic slowdowns. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-10-22 | When Before Market | Estimate 0.64 | Actual 0.71 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -3.13% | Operating Margin (TTM) 11.59% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 1.3% | Return on Equity (TTM) -5.54% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 14.14 | Enterprise Value 36.39B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.56 |
Enterprise Value 36.39B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.56 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.88 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.73 | Shares Outstanding 722.34M | Shares Floating 720.59M |
Shares Outstanding 722.34M | Shares Floating 720.59M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.2 | Percent Institutions 79.54 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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