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Upturn AI Summary - About
GrafTech International Ltd(EAF)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for EAF
10/13/2026: EAF (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
GrafTech International Ltd is a specialized manufacturer of graphite electrodes, which are critical to the electric arc furnace steelmaking process. The company is characterized by its vertical integration through its needle coke operations, which provides a competitive edge in raw material security. Its primary investment story centers on the global shift toward cleaner, EAF-based steel production. However, investors must consider significant risks, including high debt levels, commodity price volatility, and intense competition from low-cost producers. The company is primarily suited for those comfortable with cyclical industrial volatility, and investors should monitor global steel production trends and the success of the company's deleveraging initiatives.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Weak fit | The company operates in a mature, cyclical commodity industry with limited near-term high-growth prospects. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | The stock has lacked consistent upward momentum, often trading based on cyclical steel industry signals. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | While the stock may trade at low multiples, valuation is complicated by debt and cyclical earnings volatility. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | Current dividend uncertainty and cash flow constraints make this unsuitable for income-focused investors. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High volatility and sensitivity to commodity cycles present significant risks for conservative portfolios. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Steel industry cycles cause rapid swings in demand and pricing for graphite electrodes. |
| Valuation risk | Medium / high | Earnings volatility makes traditional valuation metrics difficult to rely on for long-term forecasting. |
| Competition risk | High | Low-cost competitors from China exert persistent pressure on market pricing. |
| Business quality | Medium | The company is a major producer but operates in a commodity-heavy environment. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | Financial instability has led to the suspension of dividend payments. |
| Execution risk | Medium / high | Successful management of debt and operational costs is critical for long-term viability. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Extreme Price Shocks
The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -41.47% | Avg. Invested days 20 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/13/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 216.30M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 8 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 8 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 668.4K shares | Beta 1.86 | 52 Weeks Range 4.92 - 20.32 | Updated Date 10/12/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 4.92 - 20.32 | Updated Date 10/12/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -6.78 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Graphite Electrodes | UHP electrodes for electric arc furnace steel production. | The core of the business, which rises and falls with global steel production. |
| Needle Coke | Raw material for electrodes and potential battery applications. | Acts as both a cost-saving vertical integration tool and an industrial revenue stream. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 6.8 | Enterprise Value 1.35B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.42 |
Enterprise Value 1.35B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.42 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.63 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 6.58 | Shares Outstanding 26.09M | Shares Floating 18.43M |
Shares Outstanding 26.09M | Shares Floating 18.43M | ||
Percent Insiders 41.49 | Percent Institutions 41.46 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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