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Upturn AI Summary - About
ArcelorMittal SA ADR(MT)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for MT
10/09/2026: MT (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
ArcelorMittal is a prominent global steel and mining company that serves key industries like automotive and construction. The company benefits from its immense global scale, vertical integration in mining, and a robust portfolio of high-strength, specialized steel products. Its primary growth opportunity lies in leading the shift toward green steel production via its XCarb initiative. However, investors must consider significant risks, including the cyclical nature of steel demand, heavy energy dependence, and regulatory pressures related to emissions. The stock may best suit value-oriented investors who can tolerate industrial cycle volatility, while dividend payments provide potential income support during periods of stability.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company is more of a mature cyclical player than a high-growth tech-style stock. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The stock often trends strongly during industrial commodity super-cycles. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | It often trades at low price-to-book or price-to-earnings ratios during industry troughs. |
| Dividend investor | Mixed fit | Dividends are reliable but can be subject to management discretion during cyclical downturns. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High sensitivity to global economic health creates significant price volatility. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Steel prices fluctuate wildly based on global demand and trade policy. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Valuations are often depressed due to market sentiment regarding the industry cycle. |
| Competition risk (Global Steel Capacity) | Medium / high | Excess capacity from low-cost producers exerts pricing pressure. |
| Business quality | Medium | While the franchise is global and diversified, heavy industry carries high operating risk. |
| Dividend income | Medium | Dividends are sustainable but can be variable during industry downturns. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Large-scale capital projects and M&A integration require precise execution. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 53.04% | Avg. Invested days 37 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/09/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 46.12B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 25.86 | 1Y Target Price 77.8 |
Price to earnings Ratio 25.86 | 1Y Target Price 77.8 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.3M shares | Beta 1.75 | 52 Weeks Range 36.20 - 79.68 | Updated Date 10/09/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 36.20 - 79.68 | Updated Date 10/09/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.96% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.37 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Steel Products | Flat and long steel for auto, construction, and appliances. | The core business is selling steel, which makes money when industrial activity is high. |
| Mining | Iron ore and coal sales. | This acts as a hedge, lowering costs for steelmaking and providing revenue from raw materials. |
| Geographical Segments | Operations in North America, Europe, Brazil, and ACIS. | Diverse global exposure helps mitigate regional economic slowdowns. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 25.86 | Forward PE 11.31 | Enterprise Value 64.17B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.73 |
Enterprise Value 64.17B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.73 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.02 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.01 | Shares Outstanding 752.44M | Shares Floating 826.44M |
Shares Outstanding 752.44M | Shares Floating 826.44M | ||
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 4.97 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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