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Upturn AI Summary - About
Ecopetrol SA ADR(EC)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for EC
09/25/2026: EC (2-star) is a SELL. SELL for 1 day. Simulated Profits (0.30%). Updated daily EoD!
Ecopetrol SA is a major integrated energy company primarily focused on oil and gas exploration, production, and refining in Colombia. The firm benefits from a strong domestic market position and critical midstream infrastructure, providing steady cash flow potential. Its primary growth opportunity lies in its strategic transition toward renewable energy and electricity transmission through the acquisition of ISA. However, investors face significant risks, including high volatility in commodity prices, exposure to regional political shifts, and regulatory uncertainty. This stock is best suited for dividend-focused or value-oriented investors who can tolerate cyclical volatility and who monitor national energy policy developments closely.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Weak fit | The company's focus is on steady production and energy transition rather than high-growth scaling. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Strong fit when global oil price trends align with positive momentum signals. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The stock often trades at attractive multiples relative to peers due to regional risk pricing. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | Ecopetrol has historically offered high dividend yields, making it attractive for income-focused portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High volatility associated with commodity prices and geopolitical risks makes it unsuitable for low-risk profiles. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Direct exposure to crude oil market price fluctuations significantly impacts quarterly revenue and profits. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | The stock's valuation is often compressed by country-specific risk premiums. |
| Competition risk (Oil & Gas production) | Medium / high | Global majors possess larger capital budgets and more diverse asset bases. |
| Business quality | Medium | While operationally strong, the integration with state policy introduces idiosyncratic risk. |
| Dividend income | Medium / high | Dividends are variable and depend on company profitability and government approval. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Challenges in executing large-scale energy transition projects could hamper long-term value. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -7.03% | Avg. Invested days 38 | Today’s Advisory SELL |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 09/25/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 34.09B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 7.97 | 1Y Target Price 13.91 |
Price to earnings Ratio 7.97 | 1Y Target Price 13.91 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.6M shares | Beta -0.05 | 52 Weeks Range 8.16 - 18.38 | Updated Date 09/27/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 8.16 - 18.38 | Updated Date 09/27/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.08 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Exploration and Production | Extraction and sale of crude oil and natural gas. | This is the primary engine of the business, where profitability depends on global oil prices. |
| Refining and Petrochemicals | Processing crude into fuel products. | Refining margins provide a buffer when crude prices are lower. |
| Transport and Logistics | Pipeline operations. | Stable, regulated revenue stream providing reliable cash flow. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 7.97 | Forward PE 5.67 | Enterprise Value 62.14B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.88 |
Enterprise Value 62.14B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.88 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.62 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.01 | Shares Outstanding 2.06B | Shares Floating 473.17M |
Shares Outstanding 2.06B | Shares Floating 473.17M | ||
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 1.44 |
Upturn AI Summary
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
About Ecopetrol SA ADR
Exchange NYSE | Headquarters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2007-08-27 | CEO - | ||
Sector Energy | Industry Oil & Gas Integrated | Full time employees - | Website https://www.ecopetrol.com.co |
Full time employees - | Website https://www.ecopetrol.com.co | ||
Ecopetrol S.A. operates as an integrated energy company. It operates through four segments: Exploration and Production; Transport and Logistics; Refining and Petrochemicals; and Energy transmission and Toll Roads Concessions. The Exploration and Production segment engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas. The Transport and Logistics segment is involved in the transportation of crude oil, motor fuels, fuel oil, and other refined products, including diesel, jet, and biofuels. The Refining and Petrochemicals segment refines and processes crude oil at the Barrancabermeja and Cartagena refineries; and distributes natural gas and LPG. The energy Transmission and Toll Roads Concessions segment supplies transmission and information technology and telecommunications services, as well as designs, develops, constructs, operates, and maintains road and energy infrastructure projects. The company operates in Colombia, the United States, China, Brazil, India, Singapore and other Asian countries, Peru, Chile, Other South America countries, Central America and the Caribbean, and Europe. The company was formerly known as Empresa Colombiana de Petróleos and changed its name to Ecopetrol S.A. in June 2003. Ecopetrol S.A. was incorporated in 1948 and is based in Bogotá, Colombia.
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