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Ecopetrol SA ADR (EC)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/16/2025: EC (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $9.38
1 Year Target Price $9.38
1 | Strong Buy |
0 | Buy |
6 | Hold |
1 | Sell |
3 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -18.45% | Avg. Invested days 37 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 18.98B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 6.55 | 1Y Target Price 9.38 |
Price to earnings Ratio 6.55 | 1Y Target Price 9.38 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 11 | Beta 0.34 | 52 Weeks Range 6.14 - 9.49 | Updated Date 09/16/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 6.14 - 9.49 | Updated Date 09/16/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 25.91% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.41 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 9.57% | Operating Margin (TTM) 19.09% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.9% | Return on Equity (TTM) 16.46% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 6.55 | Forward PE 5.61 | Enterprise Value 45590200130 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value 45590200130 | Price to Sales(TTM) - | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.38 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 3.48 | Shares Outstanding 2055830016 | Shares Floating 4668389515 |
Shares Outstanding 2055830016 | Shares Floating 4668389515 | ||
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 1.3 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Ecopetrol SA ADR

Company Overview
History and Background
Ecopetrol S.A. was founded in 1951 as Empresa Colombiana de Petru00f3leos. It evolved from the state-owned oil company to a publicly traded entity in 2007, expanding its operations throughout the oil and gas value chain.
Core Business Areas
- Exploration and Production: Focuses on discovering, developing, and producing crude oil and natural gas reserves.
- Refining: Operates refineries that process crude oil into refined products like gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel.
- Transportation and Logistics: Manages pipelines and port facilities to transport crude oil and refined products.
- Petrochemicals: Produces petrochemical products for various industrial applications.
Leadership and Structure
The company is led by a CEO and has a board of directors. The organizational structure is divided into business segments, each with its own leadership team. As of 2024, Ricardo Roa Barragu00e1n is the CEO.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Crude Oil: Ecopetrol is the largest oil producer in Colombia. Its main competitor in crude oil production is Frontera Energy. Market share data is variable but Ecopetrol dominates Colombian production. Revenue from crude oil makes up a large proportion of total revenue.
- Refined Products (Gasoline, Diesel, Jet Fuel): Ecopetrol supplies a significant portion of Colombia's refined products. Terpel and other regional players are competitors. Market share varies by region. Revenue is second only to crude oil.
- Natural Gas: Ecopetrol is a major natural gas producer in Colombia. Canacol Energy is another competitor. Market share data varies year to year. Revenue generation is appreciable, but less than oil and refined products.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The oil and gas industry is characterized by volatile commodity prices, geopolitical risks, and increasing environmental regulations. The sector is influenced by global supply and demand dynamics, technological advancements, and the shift towards renewable energy.
Positioning
Ecopetrol is a vertically integrated oil and gas company with a strong presence in Colombia. Its competitive advantages include its extensive infrastructure, large reserve base, and established market position.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global oil and gas market is estimated at trillions of dollars. Ecopetrol is primarily positioned to serve the Colombian market and select international markets. The proportion of the TAM that Ecopetrol can realistically reach is dependent on production capacity, infrastructure development, and expansion strategies, placing them on a smaller portion of the overall TAM.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large reserves and production capacity
- Integrated operations across the value chain
- Dominant position in the Colombian market
- Strong financial performance (dependent on oil prices)
- Well-established infrastructure
Weaknesses
- High dependence on oil prices
- Exposure to political and regulatory risks in Colombia
- Environmental liabilities
- Operational inefficiencies
- Vulnerability to security threats (pipeline attacks)
Opportunities
- Expansion into new markets and regions
- Investments in renewable energy and diversification
- Technological advancements to improve efficiency
- Development of new oil and gas fields
- Strategic alliances and acquisitions
Threats
- Fluctuations in oil prices
- Increasing environmental regulations and carbon taxes
- Geopolitical instability in Colombia
- Competition from other oil and gas companies
- Transition to renewable energy sources
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- XOM
- CVX
- OXY
- SLB
Competitive Landscape
Ecopetrol's advantages include its dominance in the Colombian market and integrated operations. Disadvantages include its high dependence on oil prices and exposure to political risks. Compared to competitors such as ExxonMobil, and Chevron, Ecopetrol's market share and global reach are smaller.
Major Acquisitions
Hocol
- Year: 2013
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 884
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded exploration and production capabilities in Colombia.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Ecopetrol's historical growth has been driven by increased oil production and higher oil prices. However, growth has been subject to market volatility and geopolitical risks.
Future Projections: Future projections are subject to change depending on the source. Refer to broker and financial news analysis for potential growth projections.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in renewable energy, exploration in new regions, and efficiency improvements.
Summary
Ecopetrol is a major player in the Colombian oil and gas sector, with a strong market presence and integrated operations. Its financial performance is heavily reliant on oil prices and exposed to political risks. Diversification into renewable energy and strategic acquisitions are key to its future growth. Ecopetrol should watch for price fluctuations and environmental regulations.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Ecopetrol's annual reports (Form 20-F filings)
- Industry reports from organizations such as the EIA and IEA
- Financial news websites and broker reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Ecopetrol SA ADR
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2007-08-27 | CEO - | ||
Sector Energy | Industry Oil & Gas Integrated | Full time employees - | Website https://www.ecopetrol.com.co |
Full time employees - | Website https://www.ecopetrol.com.co |
Ecopetrol S.A. operates as an integrated energy company. It operates through four segments: Exploration and Production; Transport and Logistics; Refining and Petrochemicals; and Electric Power Transmission and Toll Roads Concessions. The Exploration and Production segment engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas. The Transport and Logistics segment is involved in the transportation of crude oil, motor fuels, fuel oil, and other refined products, including diesel, jet, and biofuels. The Refining and Petrochemicals segment refines and processes crude oil at the Barrancabermeja and Cartagena refineries; and distributes natural gas and LPG. The Electric Power Transmission and Toll Roads Concessions segment supplies electric power transmission and information technology and telecommunications services, as well as designs, develops, constructs, operates, and maintains road and energy infrastructure projects. The company operates in Colombia, rest of South America and others, Asia, the United States, Central America and the Caribbean, and Europe. The company was formerly known as Empresa Colombiana de Petróleos and changed its name to Ecopetrol S.A. in June 2003. Ecopetrol S.A. was incorporated in 1948 and is based in Bogotá, Colombia.

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