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Ecopetrol SA ADR (EC)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/26/2025: EC (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $9.61
1 Year Target Price $9.61
| 1 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 6 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 3 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -26.27% | Avg. Invested days 38 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 20.79B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 7.4 | 1Y Target Price 9.61 |
Price to earnings Ratio 7.4 | 1Y Target Price 9.61 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 11 | Beta 0.17 | 52 Weeks Range 6.43 - 10.65 | Updated Date 12/28/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 6.43 - 10.65 | Updated Date 12/28/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 24.68% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.31 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 9.07% | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.46% | Return on Equity (TTM) 14.61% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 7.4 | Forward PE 6.04 | Enterprise Value 45516722669 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.61 |
Enterprise Value 45516722669 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.61 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.39 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 3.52 | Shares Outstanding 2055834735 | Shares Floating 4668389515 |
Shares Outstanding 2055834735 | Shares Floating 4668389515 | ||
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 1 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Ecopetrol SA ADR

Company Overview
History and Background
Ecopetrol SA is the national oil company of Colombia, founded in 1951. It is a state-owned enterprise engaged in the exploration, production, refining, transport, and marketing of crude oil and natural gas. Its ADRs (American Depositary Receipts) represent shares of Ecopetrol SA traded on US exchanges, offering international investors access to the company. Significant milestones include its privatization in 2007, which increased its public float and access to capital. Ecopetrol has been actively involved in expanding its operations both domestically and internationally, with a focus on sustainable energy practices in recent years.
Core Business Areas
- Exploration and Production (E&P): Ecopetrol's upstream segment focuses on the exploration for and production of crude oil and natural gas, both onshore and offshore, primarily in Colombia, but with operations also in Peru, Brazil, and the United States.
- Transportation and Logistics: This segment involves the operation of a vast network of pipelines, terminals, and maritime transport to move crude oil and refined products across Colombia and to export markets.
- Refining and Petrochemicals: Ecopetrol operates major refineries in Colombia, producing a range of refined products such as gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and petrochemical feedstocks. It also manufactures and markets petrochemicals.
- New Energies: A growing segment focused on investments in renewable energy sources, including solar, wind, and hydrogen, aligning with global energy transition trends.
Leadership and Structure
Ecopetrol SA is led by a Board of Directors and its executive management team. The President (CEO) is the principal executive officer. As a state-owned enterprise, the Colombian government holds a majority stake and has significant influence over its strategic direction and board appointments. Its corporate structure is integrated, encompassing all stages of the oil and gas value chain.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Description: Ecopetrol produces various grades of crude oil. The company's production volume is a significant factor in its revenue. Competitors include major international oil companies and other national oil companies in Latin America and globally.
- Product Name 1: Crude Oil
- Description: Ecopetrol's refineries produce essential fuels for domestic consumption and export. Market share within Colombia is substantial, facing competition from imported refined products and other regional refiners.
- Product Name 2: Refined Products (Gasoline, Diesel)
- Description: The company explores and produces natural gas, a key energy source for industrial and residential use in Colombia. Competitors include other gas producers and alternative energy sources.
- Product Name 3: Natural Gas
- Description: Production of basic petrochemicals used in various industries. Market share is dependent on specific product lines and regional demand.
- Product Name 4: Petrochemicals
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
Ecopetrol operates within the global oil and gas industry, which is characterized by volatile commodity prices, geopolitical influences, increasing regulatory scrutiny, and a growing emphasis on the energy transition. The demand for fossil fuels remains strong in the short to medium term, but long-term strategies are shifting towards lower-carbon alternatives.
Positioning
Ecopetrol is a dominant player in the Colombian energy sector, holding a significant market share in exploration, production, and refining. Its integrated business model provides a competitive advantage. Its state ownership can offer stability but also potential political interference. Its growing focus on new energies positions it to adapt to the energy transition.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for crude oil and natural gas is global and vast, measured in trillions of dollars. For refined products, the TAM is also global, driven by transportation and industrial demand. Ecopetrol's TAM is primarily focused on Colombia and its export markets. Its position is strong within Colombia, and it competes globally in the oil and gas commodity markets. Its positioning in new energies is nascent but growing within the expanding global TAM for renewable energy solutions.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Dominant position in the Colombian oil and gas market.
- Integrated business model (upstream, midstream, downstream).
- Extensive infrastructure network (pipelines, refineries).
- Significant proven reserves.
- State backing and support.
- Growing investment in new energy sources.
Weaknesses
- Sensitivity to volatile global oil prices.
- Operational risks associated with exploration and production.
- Potential for political interference due to state ownership.
- Environmental concerns and regulatory pressures.
- Reliance on a single country's regulatory framework for core operations.
Opportunities
- Expansion into renewable energy projects (solar, wind, hydrogen).
- Exploration of new hydrocarbon reserves in frontier areas.
- Strategic partnerships and acquisitions to enhance capabilities.
- Leveraging technology for operational efficiency and cost reduction.
- Growing demand for natural gas as a transition fuel.
- Export market expansion for refined products and crude oil.
Threats
- Deteriorating global oil prices.
- Increasing competition from renewable energy sources.
- Stricter environmental regulations and climate change policies.
- Geopolitical instability affecting supply chains and demand.
- Social opposition to fossil fuel projects.
- Cybersecurity threats to operational infrastructure.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Occidental Petroleum (OXY)
- Chevron Corporation (CVX)
- Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM)
- Shell plc (SHEL)
- BP p.l.c. (BP)
Competitive Landscape
Ecopetrol's competitive advantage lies in its dominant position in Colombia and its integrated value chain. However, it faces intense competition from global supermajors with larger scale, broader geographic diversification, and greater financial resources. In the new energy space, it competes with a rapidly growing field of renewable energy developers and established energy companies also pivoting to renewables.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historically, Ecopetrol's growth has been driven by its role as Colombia's primary oil producer and by its expansion efforts into new exploration blocks and international markets. Its revenue and production volumes have generally tracked global energy demand and commodity prices.
Future Projections: Future projections often depend on analyst expectations regarding oil prices, production targets, successful exploration, and the company's investment in new energies. There is an increasing focus on diversifying its energy mix and pursuing sustainable practices.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in renewable energy projects, optimization of its refining operations, digital transformation efforts, and a focus on reducing its carbon footprint. The company is also exploring new hydrocarbon resources and enhancing its logistics capabilities.
Summary
Ecopetrol SA ADR is a significant player in the oil and gas industry, particularly within Colombia, with a strong integrated business model. Its financial performance is closely tied to global commodity prices, and it benefits from state backing. The company is making strides in diversifying into new energies, which is crucial for long-term sustainability. Key areas to watch include its ability to navigate volatile oil markets, execute its renewable energy strategy, and manage regulatory and environmental pressures.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Ecopetrol SA Investor Relations
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Reuters, Bloomberg)
- Industry Analysis Reports
- SEC Filings (for ADRs)
Disclaimers:
This information is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market share data is an estimation and can vary depending on the methodology and time period. Financial data should be verified with official company reports. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Ecopetrol SA ADR
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2007-08-27 | CEO - | ||
Sector Energy | Industry Oil & Gas Integrated | Full time employees - | Website https://www.ecopetrol.com.co |
Full time employees - | Website https://www.ecopetrol.com.co | ||
Ecopetrol S.A. operates as an integrated energy company. It operates through four segments: Exploration and Production; Transport and Logistics; Refining and Petrochemicals; and Electric Power Transmission and Toll Roads Concessions. The Exploration and Production segment engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas. The Transport and Logistics segment is involved in the transportation of crude oil, motor fuels, fuel oil, and other refined products, including diesel, jet, and biofuels. The Refining and Petrochemicals segment refines and processes crude oil at the Barrancabermeja and Cartagena refineries; and distributes natural gas and LPG. The Electric Power Transmission and Toll Roads Concessions segment supplies electric power transmission and information technology and telecommunications services, as well as designs, develops, constructs, operates, and maintains road and energy infrastructure projects. The company operates in Colombia, rest of South America and others, Asia, the United States, Central America and the Caribbean, and Europe. The company was formerly known as Empresa Colombiana de Petróleos and changed its name to Ecopetrol S.A. in June 2003. Ecopetrol S.A. was incorporated in 1948 and is based in Bogotá, Colombia.

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