Fate Therapeutics Inc logo

Fate Therapeutics Inc(FATE)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$2.32
10/02/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Upturn Advisory & Investor View for FATE

10/02/2026: FATE (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Fate Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biotechnology company that leverages induced pluripotent stem cell (iPSC) technology to develop off-the-shelf immunotherapies for cancer and autoimmune diseases. Its main strength lies in its proprietary platform, which aims to standardize cell therapy production and address the challenges of current patient-specific treatments. The primary investment story rests on the potential for its clinical pipeline to achieve regulatory success and disrupt the cell therapy market. However, the company faces significant risks related to its lack of commercial revenue, high cash burn, and the inherent challenges of clinical-stage biotechnology. It is best suited for growth-oriented, risk-tolerant investors who are focused on the long-term potential of cell-based medicines.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitThe company offers high growth potential through innovative technology, but this is tempered by clinical-stage risk.
Momentum investorMixed fitMomentum is highly dependent on positive clinical trial readouts or strategic partnership announcements.
Value investorWeak fitThe company lacks earnings and historical cash flow, making traditional value metrics inapplicable.
Dividend investorWeak fitFate does not pay a dividend and reinvests all capital into research.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe high volatility and clinical risk profile are generally unsuitable for low-risk portfolios.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighStock prices are sensitive to clinical data updates and sector sentiment.
Valuation riskHighWithout commercial revenue, valuation is highly speculative.
Competition risk (Biotech/Cell therapy)Medium / highLarge incumbents possess significant resources to outpace or challenge new technologies.
Business qualityMediumThe company holds strong intellectual property but faces execution risk in proving product efficacy.
Dividend incomeLow / noneThe company does not generate the profits required for dividend distributions.
Execution riskHighSuccess depends on complex manufacturing and positive human clinical trial outcomes.

Price Behavior

Rolling Over
PRICE PATH

Rolling Over

The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.

Extreme Price Shocks
PRICE STABILITY

Extreme Price Shocks

The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -56.21%
Avg. Invested days 15
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/02/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
FATE receives a 2-star rating, supported by solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, soft quantitative characteristics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
FATE has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with soft financial health, soft growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid earnings growth (+26.8%) is partially offset by weak cash generation (FCF margin -1685.8%), negative revenue growth (-51.2%), weak profitability (net margin -2051.1%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
FATE's financial health is soft, with the relatively strongest area being moderate liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 54.1%). Operating efficiency is weak (1 stars), which helps explain the 2-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Earnings growth is FATE's strongest growth driver at +26.8% FY2025 versus FY2024 (solid, 4 stars). By comparison, while revenue growth (-51.2%, negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 69.1% and approximately 87.8% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 1.06% provides only moderate management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Redmile Group, LLC 10.74%
BlackRock Inc 6.09%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 3.79%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 3.71%
Acadian Asset Management LLC 3.63%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
FATE generates approximately $-941 of gross profit, $-22,224 of operating income, and $-16,858 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Operating losses and cash burn explain the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 0.00%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
FATE has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while soft valuation.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

High VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 275.59M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 5.74
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 5.74
Volume (30-day avg) 1.4M shares
Beta 2.55
52 Weeks Range 0.95 - 3.23
Updated Date 10/01/2026
52 Weeks Range 0.95 - 3.23
Updated Date 10/01/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -1.02

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Collaboration and LicensingRevenue recognized from strategic partnerships and technology licensing agreements.The company earns money primarily through research collaborations rather than product sales.
GeographyPrimary operations are based in the United States, with global reach through research and clinical partners.The company's primary market and development hub is the US biotech sector.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 213.67M
Price to Sales(TTM) 42.46
Enterprise Value 213.67M
Price to Sales(TTM) 42.46
Enterprise Value to Revenue 32.92
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -2.59
Shares Outstanding 119.82M
Shares Floating 105.22M
Shares Outstanding 119.82M
Shares Floating 105.22M
Percent Insiders 1.06
Percent Institutions 69.05

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About Fate Therapeutics Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquarters San Diego, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2013-10-01
President, CEO & Director Dr. Bahram Valamehr M.B.A., Ph.D.
Sector Healthcare
Industry Biotechnology
Full time employees 161
Full time employees 161

Fate Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops programmed cellular immunotherapies for cancer and immune disorders in the United States and internationally. The company's chimeric antigen receptor (CAR)-targeted NK and T-cell product candidates include FT836 which is in preclinical stage for multiple tumor types; and FT522, to treat B-cell Lymphoma and autoimmunity. Its CAR T-cell programs include FT819 to treat systemic lupus erythematosus, FT839, to treat complex autoimmune diseases; and FT825 to treat solid tumors. It has a collaboration and option agreement with Ono Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd. for the development and commercialization of off-the-shelf, iPSC-derived CAR T-cell product candidates for the treatment of solid tumors. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.