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Upturn AI Summary - About
Fate Therapeutics Inc(FATE)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for FATE
11/04/2026: FATE (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Fate Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biotechnology company that develops off-the-shelf, induced pluripotent stem cell (iPSC)-derived immunotherapies for cancer and autoimmune diseases. The company is known for its proprietary cell-engineering platform, which aims to provide scalable, standardized alternatives to conventional autologous treatments. Its primary growth opportunity lies in successfully advancing its pipeline into late-stage clinical trials. However, it faces significant risks, including the absence of commercial revenue, high cash-burn rates, and intense competition from established pharmaceutical firms. The stock is best suited for growth-oriented investors with a high risk tolerance who are focused on long-term clinical development milestones.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company represents a high-risk, high-reward bet on the success of the iPSC platform rather than established growth. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | Momentum investors may find opportunity during clinical data readouts, provided price trends remain positive. |
| Value investor | Weak fit | As a loss-making clinical-stage company, Fate lacks the fundamentals required for traditional value investing. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not pay dividends and reinvests all capital into research. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The high volatility and clinical-stage nature of the company are unsuitable for low-risk portfolios. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock price is highly sensitive to binary clinical trial results and corporate announcements. |
| Valuation risk | Medium / high | Valuation is based on speculative future cash flows, making it susceptible to market sentiment and interest rate changes. |
| Competition risk (Allogeneic and Autologous therapies) | High | The company faces significant competition from large pharma with more resources and established market presence. |
| Business quality | Medium | While the technology is innovative, the lack of commercialized products means the business model is still unproven in the market. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | Investors should not expect any income generation from this equity. |
| Execution risk | High | Clinical trial delays or failures could significantly impact the company's financial viability. |
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Extreme Price Shocks
The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 8.34% | Avg. Invested days 20 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  2.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/04/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 244.43M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 5.74 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 5.74 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.3M shares | Beta 2.67 | 52 Weeks Range 0.95 - 3.23 | Updated Date 11/03/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 0.95 - 3.23 | Updated Date 11/03/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.05 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Cell Therapy R&D | Currently, the company does not generate material recurring product revenue and relies on R&D collaborations and capital markets. | The company is a research-focused entity currently burning cash to develop technology, meaning revenue is not the primary driver of its current valuation. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 162.75M | Price to Sales(TTM) 37.66 |
Enterprise Value 162.75M | Price to Sales(TTM) 37.66 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 25.07 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -2.59 | Shares Outstanding 119.82M | Shares Floating 105.75M |
Shares Outstanding 119.82M | Shares Floating 105.75M | ||
Percent Insiders 1.06 | Percent Institutions 69.79 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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