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FibroGen Inc (FGEN)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/09/2026: FGEN (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $43
1 Year Target Price $43
| 0 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 1 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -0.23% | Avg. Invested days 30 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 39.28M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 43 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 43 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2 | Beta 0.77 | 52 Weeks Range 4.85 - 21.94 | Updated Date 01/9/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 4.85 - 21.94 | Updated Date 01/9/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -12.85 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 2598.87% | Operating Margin (TTM) -499.07% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -18.42% | Return on Equity (TTM) -1015.79% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 61.35 | Enterprise Value 88797727 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.73 |
Enterprise Value 88797727 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.73 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 10.7 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -0.17 | Shares Outstanding 4045445 | Shares Floating 3583374 |
Shares Outstanding 4045445 | Shares Floating 3583374 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.66 | Percent Institutions 28.01 |
Upturn AI SWOT
FibroGen Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
FibroGen Inc. was founded in 1997 with a focus on discovering and developing novel therapeutics for fibrotic diseases. A significant milestone was the development of roxadustat (Evrenzo), a first-in-class oral hypoxia-inducible factor (HIF) prolyl hydroxylase inhibitor (PHI) for the treatment of anemia due to chronic kidney disease (CKD). The company has faced regulatory challenges and strategic shifts in its commercialization efforts for roxadustat, particularly in the US market, impacting its trajectory.
Core Business Areas
- Drug Development: FibroGen's core business is the discovery, development, and commercialization of therapeutics for fibrotic diseases and other serious unmet medical needs. Their primary focus has been on novel small molecule inhibitors.
- Anemia Therapeutics: Development and commercialization of treatments for anemia, particularly in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). This area is primarily represented by roxadustat.
Leadership and Structure
FibroGen Inc. is led by a management team comprising experienced professionals in drug development, regulatory affairs, and commercialization. The organizational structure is typical for a biopharmaceutical company, with dedicated departments for research and development, clinical operations, regulatory, manufacturing, and commercial affairs.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Product Name 1: Roxadustat (Evrenzo/Pamzen) - An oral small molecule inhibitor of HIF-PH enzymes. It's approved in several markets outside the US for anemia associated with CKD. In the US, it has faced regulatory hurdles for anemia in CKD patients. Competitors include erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESAs) like Epoetin alfa (Epogen, Procrit) and Darbepoetin alfa (Aranesp), and other oral PHIs like vadadustat (Vafseo). Market share data is fragmented due to differing approval statuses and regional markets. For anemia in CKD, the market is substantial, with significant patient populations globally.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The biopharmaceutical industry, particularly in the areas of fibrotic diseases and anemia management, is characterized by high R&D costs, lengthy development cycles, stringent regulatory requirements, and intense competition. The market for anemia treatment in CKD is mature but has seen innovation with the introduction of oral HIF-PH inhibitors.
Positioning
FibroGen is positioned as an innovator in the development of novel therapies targeting fibrotic pathways and anemia. Its key competitive advantage lies in its proprietary HIF-PHI technology, exemplified by roxadustat. However, its positioning has been challenged by regulatory setbacks and the need to navigate complex global commercialization strategies.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for treatments for fibrotic diseases is vast and encompasses multiple organ systems, including liver, lung, and kidney. The market for anemia in CKD is also significant, with millions of patients worldwide. FibroGen, with its lead product roxadustat, has aimed to capture a notable share of the anemia market, but the full TAM realization is dependent on regulatory approvals and market penetration.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Proprietary HIF-PHI technology platform.
- Pioneering work in fibrotic disease research.
- Global regulatory submissions and approvals for roxadustat in certain regions.
- Experienced scientific and management team.
Weaknesses
- Regulatory challenges in key markets, particularly the US.
- Dependence on the success of a limited number of pipeline assets.
- Significant R&D and clinical trial expenses.
- Need for substantial capital for ongoing development and commercialization.
Opportunities
- Expansion of roxadustat indications and geographies.
- Development of pipeline candidates for other fibrotic diseases (e.g., idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis).
- Potential partnerships and collaborations to advance drug development and commercialization.
- Increasing understanding of fibrotic pathways offering new therapeutic targets.
Threats
- Competition from established and emerging biopharmaceutical companies.
- Unforeseen clinical trial outcomes or adverse events.
- Changes in regulatory landscapes and reimbursement policies.
- Patent expirations and generic competition for approved products.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- AstraZeneca (AZN) - Collaborator for roxadustat in certain regions.
- Bayer AG (BAYRY) - Developing treatments for fibrotic diseases.
- Gilead Sciences (GILD) - Active in liver diseases and inflammation, areas with fibrotic components.
- Pfizer Inc. (PFE) - Has a broad portfolio including treatments for cardiovascular and inflammatory conditions.
Competitive Landscape
FibroGen faces competition from large pharmaceutical companies with established R&D and commercial infrastructure, as well as from smaller biotech firms focused on niche therapeutic areas. Its advantages lie in its specialized focus on fibrotic diseases and its novel HIF-PHI platform. However, it can be at a disadvantage in terms of market reach and financial resources compared to larger competitors. The competitive landscape for anemia in CKD is evolving with the introduction of oral therapies, creating new dynamics.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: FibroGen's historical growth has been characterized by significant investment in R&D, leading to the advancement of its pipeline. Revenue growth has been dependent on partnership milestones and the successful commercialization of its lead product, roxadustat, which has seen regional successes and setbacks.
Future Projections: Future growth projections for FibroGen are largely dependent on the successful regulatory approval and commercialization of roxadustat in new markets and for new indications, as well as the advancement of its earlier-stage pipeline candidates. Analyst estimates vary based on assumptions about regulatory success, market penetration, and competitive dynamics.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives likely include ongoing clinical trials for roxadustat in additional indications, continued efforts to secure regulatory approvals, and the progression of its fibrotic disease pipeline through preclinical and early clinical stages. Strategic partnerships and collaborations are also key initiatives.
Summary
FibroGen Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company with a strong scientific foundation in fibrotic diseases and anemia. Its lead drug, roxadustat, has shown promise and achieved approvals in certain markets, but faces significant regulatory hurdles in others, notably the US. The company's future hinges on navigating these regulatory challenges, successfully commercializing its existing assets, and advancing its promising pipeline. Continued investment in R&D is crucial, but managing cash burn and securing strategic partnerships will be key to long-term sustainability and growth.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Investor Relations (FibroGen Inc.)
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters)
- Pharmaceutical Industry Analysis Reports
- Regulatory Agency Filings (e.g., FDA, EMA)
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is generated based on publicly available information and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with a qualified financial advisor and conducting thorough due diligence.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About FibroGen Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters San Francisco, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2014-11-14 | CEO & Director Mr. Thane Wettig | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 225 | Website https://www.fibrogen.com |
Full time employees 225 | Website https://www.fibrogen.com | ||
FibroGen, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, discovers, develops, and commercializes therapeutics to treat serious unmet medical needs. Its lead product candidates are Roxadustat, a small molecule inhibitor of hypoxia-inducible factor prolyl hydroxylase activity, which has completed Phase III clinical development for the treatment of anemia in chronic kidney disease in China, Europe, Japan, and other countries, as well as in Phase III clinical development for anemia related with myelodysplastic syndromes. Its pipeline products include FG-3165 and FG-3175, an anti-GAL-9 antibody for treatment of solid tumors. The company has collaboration agreements with Astellas Pharma Inc. and AstraZeneca AB. FibroGen, Inc. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

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