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FLO logo FLO
Upturn stock rating
FLO logo

Flowers Foods Inc (FLO)

Upturn stock rating
$12.57
Last Close (24-hour delay)
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W

Upturn Advisory Summary

10/28/2025: FLO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

8 Analysts rated it

Limited analyst coverage, niche firm, research info may be scarce.

1 Year Target Price $15.14

1 Year Target Price $15.14

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$15.14 Target price
52w Low $12.42
Current$12.57
52w High $21.9

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -11.83%
Avg. Invested days 35
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/28/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 2.65B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 12.09
1Y Target Price 15.14
Price to earnings Ratio 12.09
1Y Target Price 15.14
Volume (30-day avg) 8
Beta 0.26
52 Weeks Range 12.42 - 21.90
Updated Date 10/28/2025
52 Weeks Range 12.42 - 21.90
Updated Date 10/28/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 7.53%
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.04

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 4.3%
Operating Margin (TTM) 7.28%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 5.99%
Return on Equity (TTM) 15.61%

Valuation

Trailing PE 12.09
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 4824854707
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.52
Enterprise Value 4824854707
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.52
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.95
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.45
Shares Outstanding 211178225
Shares Floating 196065287
Shares Outstanding 211178225
Shares Floating 196065287
Percent Insiders 7.63
Percent Institutions 86.89

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Flowers Foods Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Flowers Foods was founded in 1919 in Thomasville, Georgia, by brothers William Howard and Joseph Hampton Flowers. Initially a single bakery, it grew through acquisitions and expansion, becoming a leading producer and marketer of packaged bakery foods in the US.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Fresh Packaged Bread: This segment focuses on producing and distributing a variety of fresh breads, buns, rolls, and snack cakes. This includes white, wheat, multigrain, and specialty breads.
  • Cake: This segment focuses on cakes and other sweet baked goods that fall into the snack cake category.
  • Frozen: This segment includes frozen bread and baked good items.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Flowers Foods is led by a Board of Directors and a management team headed by the Chief Executive Officer. The company is structured into various departments, including sales, marketing, operations, finance, and human resources.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Nature's Own: Nature's Own is one of the best-selling bread brands in the US. Flowers Foods has a large market share in the bread segment, competing with other national brands. Competitors include Bimbo Bakeries USA and Pepperidge Farm. Market share for the overall segment is estimated to be around 15% for Flowers Foods branded products based on publicly available reports and general industry analysis.
  • Wonder Bread: Flowers Foods acquired Wonder Bread in 2013. Wonder Bread maintains a significant presence in the sandwich bread market. The primary competitors are Bimbo Bakeries USA and other store-brand options. Its market share accounts for an estimated 10% of overall sales of bread products.
  • Dave's Killer Bread: Dave's Killer Bread is a organic bread that has grown as an organic bread offering. Competitors in this segment are Rudi's Organic Bakery and other smaller organic brands. Market share is estimated to be around 5% of the entire bread segment.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The packaged bakery foods industry in the US is mature and competitive, characterized by high volume, low margins, and intense competition from national brands, regional brands, and private label products. Trends include increasing consumer demand for healthier options, organic products, and convenience.

Positioning

Flowers Foods is positioned as a major player in the packaged bakery foods industry, focusing on providing quality products at competitive prices. Their competitive advantages include their extensive distribution network, strong brand recognition, and focus on operational efficiency.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The TAM for the packaged bakery foods market in the US is estimated to be tens of billions of dollars annually. Flowers Foods, with its diversified product portfolio and extensive distribution network, aims to capture a significant share of this market. Its positioning emphasizes affordability and freshness.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong brand portfolio (Nature's Own, Wonder Bread)
  • Extensive distribution network
  • Operational efficiency
  • Focus on cost control
  • Experienced management team

Weaknesses

  • Exposure to commodity price fluctuations
  • Dependence on large retail customers
  • Limited international presence
  • Intense competition in a mature market
  • High debt levels

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new geographic markets
  • Development of new products catering to health-conscious consumers
  • Acquisitions of complementary businesses
  • Increased focus on e-commerce and direct-to-consumer channels
  • Growing demand for organic and gluten-free bakery products

Threats

  • Rising raw material costs
  • Changing consumer preferences
  • Increased competition from private label products
  • Economic downturns
  • Regulatory changes

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • Bimbo Bakeries USA (Not Publicly Traded)
  • Grupo Bimbo (BIMBOA.MX)
  • Hostess Brands, Inc. (TWNK)

Competitive Landscape

Flowers Foods competes on price, product quality, and distribution network. It has advantages in certain geographic markets and product categories, but faces intense competition from larger and smaller players.

Major Acquisitions

Alpine Valley Bread Company

  • Year: 2015
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 165
  • Strategic Rationale: Expanded Flowers Foods' presence in the organic bread market.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Flowers Foods has grown historically through organic growth and strategic acquisitions.

Future Projections: Future growth projections are based on analyst estimates for revenue and earnings growth.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in automation, new product development, and expansion of distribution networks.

Summary

Flowers Foods is a major player in the US packaged bakery industry with strong brands and an extensive distribution network. While it faces competition and rising input costs, it continues to innovate and expand its product offerings. The company's operational efficiency and strategic acquisitions support long-term growth. Maintaining a healthy balance sheet and adapting to changing consumer tastes will be critical for future success. Investors should watch for commodity price changes and shifts in consumer buying habits.

Similar Stocks

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • SEC Filings (10K, 10Q), Investor Presentations, Industry Reports, Analyst Reports

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change.

Upturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Flowers Foods Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Thomasville, GA, United States
IPO Launch date 1987-11-05
CEO & Chairman of Board Mr. A. Ryals McMullian Jr.
Sector Consumer Defensive
Industry Packaged Foods
Full time employees 10200
Full time employees 10200

Flowers Foods, Inc. produces and markets packaged bakery food products in the United States. The company's principal products include fresh breads, buns, rolls, snack items, bagels, English muffins, and tortillas, as well as frozen breads and rolls under the Nature's Own, Dave's Killer Bread, Wonder, Canyon Bakehouse, Mrs. Freshley's, and Tastykake brand names. It distributes its products through a direct-store-delivery distribution and a warehouse delivery system, as well as operates bakeries. The company's customers include national and regional restaurants, institutions and foodservice distributors, and retail in-store bakeries; wholesale distributors; mass merchandisers, supermarkets, vending outlets, and convenience stores; quick-serve chains, food wholesalers, institutions, dollar stores, and vending companies; and public health care, military commissaries, and prisons, and other governmental institutions. The company was formerly known as Flowers Industries and changed its name to Flowers Foods, Inc. in 2001. Flowers Foods, Inc. was founded in 1919 and is headquartered in Thomasville, Georgia.