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Flowers Foods Inc (FLO)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/28/2025: FLO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $15.14
1 Year Target Price $15.14
| 1 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 6 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -11.83% | Avg. Invested days 35 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.65B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 12.09 | 1Y Target Price 15.14 |
Price to earnings Ratio 12.09 | 1Y Target Price 15.14 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 8 | Beta 0.26 | 52 Weeks Range 12.42 - 21.90 | Updated Date 10/28/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 12.42 - 21.90 | Updated Date 10/28/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 7.53% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.04 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 4.3% | Operating Margin (TTM) 7.28% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 5.99% | Return on Equity (TTM) 15.61% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 12.09 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 4824854707 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.52 |
Enterprise Value 4824854707 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.52 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.95 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.45 | Shares Outstanding 211178225 | Shares Floating 196065287 |
Shares Outstanding 211178225 | Shares Floating 196065287 | ||
Percent Insiders 7.63 | Percent Institutions 86.89 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Flowers Foods Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Flowers Foods was founded in 1919 in Thomasville, Georgia, by brothers William Howard and Joseph Hampton Flowers. Initially a single bakery, it grew through acquisitions and expansion, becoming a leading producer and marketer of packaged bakery foods in the US.
Core Business Areas
- Fresh Packaged Bread: This segment focuses on producing and distributing a variety of fresh breads, buns, rolls, and snack cakes. This includes white, wheat, multigrain, and specialty breads.
- Cake: This segment focuses on cakes and other sweet baked goods that fall into the snack cake category.
- Frozen: This segment includes frozen bread and baked good items.
Leadership and Structure
Flowers Foods is led by a Board of Directors and a management team headed by the Chief Executive Officer. The company is structured into various departments, including sales, marketing, operations, finance, and human resources.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Nature's Own: Nature's Own is one of the best-selling bread brands in the US. Flowers Foods has a large market share in the bread segment, competing with other national brands. Competitors include Bimbo Bakeries USA and Pepperidge Farm. Market share for the overall segment is estimated to be around 15% for Flowers Foods branded products based on publicly available reports and general industry analysis.
- Wonder Bread: Flowers Foods acquired Wonder Bread in 2013. Wonder Bread maintains a significant presence in the sandwich bread market. The primary competitors are Bimbo Bakeries USA and other store-brand options. Its market share accounts for an estimated 10% of overall sales of bread products.
- Dave's Killer Bread: Dave's Killer Bread is a organic bread that has grown as an organic bread offering. Competitors in this segment are Rudi's Organic Bakery and other smaller organic brands. Market share is estimated to be around 5% of the entire bread segment.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The packaged bakery foods industry in the US is mature and competitive, characterized by high volume, low margins, and intense competition from national brands, regional brands, and private label products. Trends include increasing consumer demand for healthier options, organic products, and convenience.
Positioning
Flowers Foods is positioned as a major player in the packaged bakery foods industry, focusing on providing quality products at competitive prices. Their competitive advantages include their extensive distribution network, strong brand recognition, and focus on operational efficiency.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for the packaged bakery foods market in the US is estimated to be tens of billions of dollars annually. Flowers Foods, with its diversified product portfolio and extensive distribution network, aims to capture a significant share of this market. Its positioning emphasizes affordability and freshness.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand portfolio (Nature's Own, Wonder Bread)
- Extensive distribution network
- Operational efficiency
- Focus on cost control
- Experienced management team
Weaknesses
- Exposure to commodity price fluctuations
- Dependence on large retail customers
- Limited international presence
- Intense competition in a mature market
- High debt levels
Opportunities
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Development of new products catering to health-conscious consumers
- Acquisitions of complementary businesses
- Increased focus on e-commerce and direct-to-consumer channels
- Growing demand for organic and gluten-free bakery products
Threats
- Rising raw material costs
- Changing consumer preferences
- Increased competition from private label products
- Economic downturns
- Regulatory changes
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Bimbo Bakeries USA (Not Publicly Traded)
- Grupo Bimbo (BIMBOA.MX)
- Hostess Brands, Inc. (TWNK)
Competitive Landscape
Flowers Foods competes on price, product quality, and distribution network. It has advantages in certain geographic markets and product categories, but faces intense competition from larger and smaller players.
Major Acquisitions
Alpine Valley Bread Company
- Year: 2015
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 165
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded Flowers Foods' presence in the organic bread market.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Flowers Foods has grown historically through organic growth and strategic acquisitions.
Future Projections: Future growth projections are based on analyst estimates for revenue and earnings growth.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in automation, new product development, and expansion of distribution networks.
Summary
Flowers Foods is a major player in the US packaged bakery industry with strong brands and an extensive distribution network. While it faces competition and rising input costs, it continues to innovate and expand its product offerings. The company's operational efficiency and strategic acquisitions support long-term growth. Maintaining a healthy balance sheet and adapting to changing consumer tastes will be critical for future success. Investors should watch for commodity price changes and shifts in consumer buying habits.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- SEC Filings (10K, 10Q), Investor Presentations, Industry Reports, Analyst Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Flowers Foods Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Thomasville, GA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1987-11-05 | CEO & Chairman of Board Mr. A. Ryals McMullian Jr. | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Packaged Foods | Full time employees 10200 | Website https://www.flowersfoods.com |
Full time employees 10200 | Website https://www.flowersfoods.com | ||
Flowers Foods, Inc. produces and markets packaged bakery food products in the United States. The company's principal products include fresh breads, buns, rolls, snack items, bagels, English muffins, and tortillas, as well as frozen breads and rolls under the Nature's Own, Dave's Killer Bread, Wonder, Canyon Bakehouse, Mrs. Freshley's, and Tastykake brand names. It distributes its products through a direct-store-delivery distribution and a warehouse delivery system, as well as operates bakeries. The company's customers include national and regional restaurants, institutions and foodservice distributors, and retail in-store bakeries; wholesale distributors; mass merchandisers, supermarkets, vending outlets, and convenience stores; quick-serve chains, food wholesalers, institutions, dollar stores, and vending companies; and public health care, military commissaries, and prisons, and other governmental institutions. The company was formerly known as Flowers Industries and changed its name to Flowers Foods, Inc. in 2001. Flowers Foods, Inc. was founded in 1919 and is headquartered in Thomasville, Georgia.

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