First Northern Community Bancorp Common stock(FNRN)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
3-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$16.78
10/28/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
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Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for FNRN

10/28/2026: FNRN (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

First Northern Community Bancorp is a traditional regional bank focused on providing commercial and personal banking services in Northern California. The company benefits from a long-standing local franchise and a conservative, relationship-based business model that fosters client loyalty. Its primary growth opportunity lies in deepening its regional market share through digital improvements and sustained small business activity. Investors should remain mindful of risks including geographic concentration, competition from larger national banks, and sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations. The stock may best suit income-focused investors attracted by the company's dividend history, provided they monitor the bank's ability to navigate economic shifts and evolving technology requirements.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorWeak fitThe company is a mature regional bank with limited high-growth potential.
Momentum investorWeak fitThe stock lacks the high volatility and rapid price movement typically sought by momentum traders.
Value investorMixed fitValuation is often tied to book value, which may appeal to value investors looking for regional bank exposure.
Dividend investorStrong fitConsistent dividend payments make this a potential candidate for income-focused portfolios.
Low-risk investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveTraditional banking models with stable deposits are generally lower risk, though regional economic exposure remains a factor.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMediumThe stock is subject to broader market and sector-specific swings.
Valuation riskMediumBank valuations can fluctuate significantly based on prevailing interest rate expectations.
Competition risk (regional banking competition)HighIntense competition from larger banks can squeeze margins and market share.
Business qualityMediumThe company maintains a stable, traditional banking franchise.
Dividend incomeMediumDividend sustainability depends on the company's ability to maintain earnings stability.
Execution riskLowThe business model is well-established and understood by management.

Price Behavior

Rolling Over
PRICE PATH

Rolling Over

The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 113.27%
Avg. Invested days 134
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 5.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/28/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
FNRN receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid unit economics, and solid quantitative characteristics. The rating is constrained by soft analyst coverage, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
FNRN has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with solid financial health, moderate growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, moderate earnings growth (+5.5%) and solid cash generation (FCF margin 5.9%) are partially offset by moderate revenue growth (+4.4%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
FNRN's financial health is supported by solid profitability, including gross margin of 83.2% and operating margin of 31.0%. Liquidity is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Earnings growth is FNRN's strongest growth driver at +5.5% FY2025 versus FY2024 (moderate, 3 stars). By comparison, while free-cash-flow growth (-72.9%, negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 33.3% and approximately 82.7% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 9.32% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Fourthstone LLC 7.01%
BlackRock Inc 6.41%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 3.95%
Buckingham Strategic Partners 2.34%
Geode Capital Management, LLC 2.18%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
FNRN generates approximately $832 of gross profit, $310 of operating income, and $59 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Solid margins, cash conversion, and capital efficiency support the rating.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 22.90%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
FNRN has a high-quality, liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltLow VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 275.11M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 12.91
1Y Target Price -
Price to earnings Ratio 12.91
1Y Target Price -
Volume (30-day avg) 79.8K shares
Beta -
52 Weeks Range 12.15 - 19.25
Updated Date 10/28/2026
52 Weeks Range 12.15 - 19.25
Updated Date 10/28/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.3

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Net Interest IncomeInterest earned on loans and securities minus interest paid on deposits.The bank profits from the spread between interest earned on loans and interest paid on customer deposits.
Fee-Based IncomeService charges on deposits, trust fees, and other banking services.Additional revenue comes from service fees, which helps diversify income beyond lending.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Valuation

Trailing PE 12.91
Forward PE 12.38
Enterprise Value 156.50M
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.65
Enterprise Value 156.50M
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.65
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.67
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -
Shares Outstanding 16.40M
Shares Floating 13.55M
Shares Outstanding 16.40M
Shares Floating 13.55M
Percent Insiders 9.32
Percent Institutions 33.32

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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