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Fossil Group Inc (FOSL)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/30/2025: FOSL (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $7
1 Year Target Price $7
0 | Strong Buy |
0 | Buy |
0 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 7.03% | Avg. Invested days 33 | Today’s Advisory WEAK BUY |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 80.45M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) - | Beta 2.43 | 52 Weeks Range 0.86 - 2.61 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 0.86 - 2.61 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.81 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -8.54% | Operating Margin (TTM) 3.92% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -0.49% | Return on Equity (TTM) -56.88% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 323566005 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.07 |
Enterprise Value 323566005 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.07 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.29 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -2.76 | Shares Outstanding 53634300 | Shares Floating 45217509 |
Shares Outstanding 53634300 | Shares Floating 45217509 | ||
Percent Insiders 8.83 | Percent Institutions 48.1 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating - | Target Price 7 | Buy - | Strong Buy - |
Buy - | Strong Buy - | ||
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Fossil Group Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Fossil Group Inc. was founded in 1984 as Overseas Products International by Tom Kartsotis. Initially, the company focused on fashion watches, eventually expanding into other accessories. Significant milestones include the introduction of the Fossil brand, licensing agreements with major fashion brands, and expansion into international markets.
Core Business Areas
- Watches: Designs, markets, and distributes a wide range of watches under the Fossil brand and licensed brands. Includes analog, digital, and connected watches.
- Accessories: Offers a variety of accessories such as handbags, wallets, belts, jewelry, and eyewear. These products complement the watch offerings and expand the brand's reach.
- Licensing: Licenses its brands to third parties for various products, including apparel and home goods.
Leadership and Structure
Kosta N. Kartsotis is the Chairman and CEO. The company has a typical corporate structure with various departments responsible for design, marketing, sales, finance, and operations.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Fossil Watches: Analog and digital watches with a fashion-forward design. Market share within the fashion watch segment is estimated around 5-7%. Competitors include Swatch, Citizen, Seiko, and various fashion brands offering watches (e.g., Michael Kors, Armani).
- Licensed Watches (e.g., Michael Kors, Armani Exchange): Watches designed and manufactured under licensing agreements with fashion brands. Market share varies by brand. Competitors include other watch manufacturers with licensing agreements and fashion brands producing their watches in-house.
- Handbags and Leather Goods: Handbags, wallets, and other leather accessories marketed under the Fossil brand and licensed brands. Market share is relatively small compared to larger players in the handbag market. Competitors include Coach, Kate Spade, and Michael Kors.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The fashion watch and accessories market is highly competitive and influenced by fashion trends, technological advancements (e.g., smartwatches), and consumer spending habits.
Positioning
Fossil Group Inc. is positioned as a mid-range fashion brand with a focus on design and innovation. It competes with both traditional watchmakers and fashion brands.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global watch market is estimated to be $70 Billion, and the Global Handbag market is at $52.3 billion and is expected to reach $78.4 billion by 2032. Fossil is positioned in the middle of these markets, facing increased competition from smart watches and luxury brands. Its TAM relative to its current market share is significant, but challenging to penetrate.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition
- Extensive licensing agreements
- Diverse product portfolio
- Global distribution network
Weaknesses
- Dependence on fashion trends
- Competition from smartwatches
- Fluctuations in currency exchange rates
- Inconsistent profitability
Opportunities
- Expanding into emerging markets
- Developing innovative smartwatch features
- Strengthening e-commerce presence
- Partnerships and collaborations
Threats
- Economic downturns
- Changing consumer preferences
- Counterfeit products
- Increased competition from established and emerging brands
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- COACH
- KATE
- PVH
- MOVADO.SW
Competitive Landscape
Fossil Group Inc. faces intense competition from established fashion brands, traditional watchmakers, and technology companies in the smartwatch market. Its competitive advantages include its brand recognition, licensing agreements, and diverse product portfolio. Disadvantages include dependence on fashion trends and competition from more technologically advanced smartwatches.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth is dependent on past financial performance. Data needed for analysis.
Future Projections: Future projections are dependent on analyst estimates. Data needed for analysis.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include efforts to expand e-commerce, streamline operations, and focus on core brands.
Summary
Fossil Group Inc. operates in a highly competitive market and faces challenges related to changing consumer preferences and the rise of smartwatches. While it benefits from strong brand recognition and licensing agreements, the company needs to adapt to technological advancements and focus on innovation to maintain its market position. Its financial performance has been inconsistent, and strategic initiatives are crucial for future growth. The company must carefully manage its brand portfolio and distribution channels to remain relevant in the evolving fashion and technology landscape.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings (SEC)
- Market Research Reports
- Industry Analysis
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market share data is based on estimates and may vary. Financial data and projections are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Fossil Group Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Richardson, TX, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1993-04-08 | CEO & Director Mr. Franco Fogliato | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Footwear & Accessories | Full time employees 5200 | Website https://www.fossilgroup.com |
Full time employees 5200 | Website https://www.fossilgroup.com |
Fossil Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, markets, and distributes consumer fashion accessories in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company's products include traditional watches, smartwatches, jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts, and sunglasses. It also manufactures and distributes private label brands. The company offers its products under its proprietary brands, such as FOSSIL, SKAGEN, MICHELE, RELIC, and ZODIAC; and under the licensed brands, including ARMANI EXCHANGE, DIESEL, EMPORIO ARMANI, KATE SPADE NEW YORK, MICHAEL KORS, SKECHERS, and TORY BURCH. It sells its products through company-owned retail and outlet stores, department and specialty retail stores, mass market stores, e-commerce sites, licensed and franchised FOSSIL retail stores, retail concessions, and airlines, as well as operate stores under the WATCH STATION and WSI brands. The company was formerly known as Fossil, Inc. and changed its name to Fossil Group, Inc. in May 2013. Fossil Group, Inc. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Richardson, Texas.
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