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Fossil Group Inc (FOSL)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/04/2025: FOSL (4-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 4 days. Simulated Profits (14.70%). Updated daily EoD!
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 149.67% | Avg. Invested days 37 | Today’s Advisory Strong Buy |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 80.45M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) - | Beta 2.43 | 52 Weeks Range 0.86 - 2.61 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 0.86 - 2.61 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.81 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -8.54% | Operating Margin (TTM) 3.92% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -0.49% | Return on Equity (TTM) -56.88% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 323566005 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.07 |
Enterprise Value 323566005 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.07 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.29 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -2.76 | Shares Outstanding 53634300 | Shares Floating 45217509 |
Shares Outstanding 53634300 | Shares Floating 45217509 | ||
Percent Insiders 8.83 | Percent Institutions 48.1 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Fossil Group Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Fossil Group, Inc. was founded in 1984 as Overseas Products International by brothers Tom and Kosta Kartsotis. Initially, the company focused on importing fashion watches. It later expanded to design its own watches and eventually added other accessories like handbags, leather goods, and jewelry.
Core Business Areas
- Watches: Designs, markets, and distributes a wide range of watches under its own brands (Fossil, Skagen) and licensed brands (e.g., Michael Kors, Diesel, Emporio Armani). This includes analog, digital, and smartwatches.
- Leather Goods and Accessories: Offers handbags, wallets, belts, and other leather accessories under its own brands and licensed brands.
- Jewelry: Designs, markets, and distributes jewelry products, including necklaces, bracelets, earrings, and rings, under its brands and licensed brands.
- Smartwatches: Focused on the wearables segment, including Wear OS smartwatches under its Fossil and licensed brands. Includes activity tracking, notifications, and other smart features.
Leadership and Structure
Kosta N. Kartsotis is Chairman and CEO. The company has a typical corporate structure with various departments like marketing, design, sales, and operations.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Fossil Watches: Fossil brand watches are a core product line. Fossil's market share in the global watch market is estimated to be around 2-3% overall, with varying strengths in different regions and product categories. Competitors include Swatch Group, Richemont, Seiko, Citizen, and many fashion brands offering watches.
- Licensed Brand Watches (Michael Kors, Emporio Armani): Watches designed and manufactured under license from brands like Michael Kors and Emporio Armani are significant revenue generators. Market share varies significantly by brand and region. Competitors are other licensed watch brands and established watch manufacturers.
- Skagen Watches and Jewelry: Skagen offers minimalist Danish-designed watches and jewelry. Skagen's market share is smaller compared to Fossil, focusing on a niche aesthetic. Competitors are brands such as Daniel Wellington and similar minimalist-design brands.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The watch and accessories industry is competitive and fragmented. It faces challenges from changing consumer preferences, the rise of smartwatches, and economic fluctuations.
Positioning
Fossil Group positions itself as a fashion-forward company offering accessible luxury watches, leather goods, and accessories. Its competitive advantage lies in its brand portfolio, design capabilities, and distribution network.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global watch market is estimated to be over $70 billion. Fossil is positioned to capture a share of this through its diverse brand portfolio. The leather goods and accessories market adds further value and expansion of TAM.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand portfolio (Fossil, Skagen, licensed brands)
- Global distribution network
- Design and innovation capabilities
- Experience in the fashion accessories market
Weaknesses
- Dependence on licensed brands
- High debt levels
- Vulnerability to changing fashion trends
- Struggles in adapting to the smartwatch market as effectively as tech companies
Opportunities
- Expanding into new markets (emerging economies)
- Developing innovative smartwatch products
- Strengthening e-commerce presence
- Partnerships with technology companies
Threats
- Intense competition from established watch brands and tech companies
- Counterfeit products
- Economic downturns impacting consumer spending
- Shifting consumer preferences away from traditional watches
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Swatch Group (UHR.SW)
- LVMH (LVMUY)
- Citizen Watch Co. (CHCLY)
Competitive Landscape
Fossil Group competes with established watch brands (Swatch, Citizen) and luxury conglomerates (LVMH) and faces increasing competition from technology companies in the smartwatch market (Apple, Samsung).
Major Acquisitions
Misfit
- Year: 2015
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 260
- Strategic Rationale: To enhance its capabilities in the wearables market and expand its technology offerings.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Fossil Group has faced revenue declines in recent years due to challenges in the traditional watch market and competition from smartwatches.
Future Projections: Future projections are subject to change based on company guidance and market conditions. Analyst estimates vary.
Recent Initiatives: Focus on e-commerce growth, streamlining operations, and developing new products in the smartwatch category.
Summary
Fossil Group faces challenges in a competitive market dominated by luxury brands and tech giants. Its brand portfolio and global distribution are strengths, but it needs to innovate in smartwatches and manage debt. Recent efforts focus on e-commerce and operational efficiency. The company must navigate changing consumer tastes and economic uncertainties.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings, press releases, analyst reports, market research reports.
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions and company performance can change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Fossil Group Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Richardson, TX, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1993-04-08 | CEO & Director Mr. Franco Fogliato | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Footwear & Accessories | Full time employees 5200 | Website https://www.fossilgroup.com |
Full time employees 5200 | Website https://www.fossilgroup.com | ||
Fossil Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, markets, and distributes consumer fashion accessories in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company's products include traditional watches, smartwatches, jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts, and sunglasses. It also manufactures and distributes private label brands. The company offers its products under its proprietary brands, such as FOSSIL, SKAGEN, MICHELE, RELIC, and ZODIAC; and under the licensed brands, including ARMANI EXCHANGE, DIESEL, EMPORIO ARMANI, KATE SPADE NEW YORK, MICHAEL KORS, SKECHERS, and TORY BURCH. It sells its products through company-owned retail and outlet stores, department and specialty retail stores, mass market stores, e-commerce sites, licensed and franchised FOSSIL retail stores, retail concessions, and airlines, as well as operate stores under the WATCH STATION and WSI brands. The company was formerly known as Fossil, Inc. and changed its name to Fossil Group, Inc. in May 2013. Fossil Group, Inc. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Richardson, Texas.

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