GCM Grosvenor Inc logo

GCM Grosvenor Inc(GCMG)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
3-STAR RATING
SELL
SELL for 2 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
-7.81% ▼
LAST CLOSE
$13.04
09/25/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Upturn Advisory & Investor View for GCMG

09/25/2026: GCMG (3-star) is a SELL. SELL for 2 days. Simulated Profits (-7.81%). Updated daily EoD!

GCM Grosvenor is a global alternative asset manager specializing in customized investment portfolios for large institutions, including pension funds and sovereign wealth funds. The company's primary strength lies in its ability to build bespoke solutions across private equity, infrastructure, and credit, fostering long-term client stickiness. Its growth strategy centers on expanding its footprint in private credit and infrastructure to capture institutional demand for diversified, yield-generating assets. Key risks include significant fee pressure from larger global competitors and potential volatility in performance-based incentive fees. Suited for income-focused investors, the stock offers a reliable dividend, though interested parties should closely monitor institutional asset flow trends and management fee sustainability.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitGrowth is largely dependent on institutional market trends and the company's ability to win new complex mandates.
Momentum investorWeak fitThe stock often lacks the high-velocity price momentum typically sought by momentum traders.
Value investorStrong fitCurrent valuations may be attractive for long-term investors focused on cash-generative management fee streams.
Dividend investorStrong fitThe company provides a reliable dividend yield that is attractive for income-focused portfolios.
Low-risk investorMixed fitExposure to public market sentiment and institutional asset flow volatility introduces a moderate risk profile.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMedium / highThe stock is subject to broader asset management industry fluctuations.
Valuation riskMediumMarket mispricing of future growth potential remains a constant factor.
Competition risk (Alternative Asset Management)HighIntense competition from well-capitalized global firms puts pressure on fee structures.
Business qualityMediumThe business relies heavily on human capital and long-term institutional relationships.
Dividend incomeMediumDividend sustainability depends on the stability of management fee cash flows.
Execution riskMediumExpanding into new, complex asset classes requires significant operational and investment discipline.

Price Behavior

Strong Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Strong Uptrend

The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 20.68%
Avg. Invested days 64
Today’s Advisory SELL
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/25/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
GCMG receives a 4-star rating, supported by strong unit economics, solid company fundamentals, and solid quantitative characteristics. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
GCMG has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with solid financial health, solid growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong earnings growth (+142.7%) and strong cash generation (FCF margin 31.8%) are partially offset by moderate revenue growth (+9.2%), soft profitability (net margin 8.2%), modest insider ownership of 2.95%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
GCMG's financial health is supported by strong liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 35.6%). Operating efficiency is solid (4 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Earnings growth is GCMG's strongest growth driver at +142.7% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, free-cash-flow growth (+32.6%, solid) is also solid, while revenue growth (+9.2%, moderate) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 100.6% and approximately 97.2% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 2.95% provides only moderate management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

CANTOR FITZGERALD, L. P. 10.55%
Ameriprise Financial Inc 8.63%
BlackRock Inc 7.38%
Ariel Investments, LLC 7.22%
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group Inc 6.14%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
GCMG generates approximately $992 of gross profit, $269 of operating income, and $318 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Strong margins, cash conversion, and capital efficiency support the rating.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 8.33%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
GCMG has a high-quality, liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltSmall / Mid Cap RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 772.02M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 24.76
1Y Target Price 15.5
Price to earnings Ratio 24.76
1Y Target Price 15.5
Volume (30-day avg) 471.3K shares
Beta 0.84
52 Weeks Range 9.12 - 14.74
Updated Date 09/25/2026
52 Weeks Range 9.12 - 14.74
Updated Date 09/25/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 3.71%
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.51

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Management FeesRecurring fees based on assets under management (AUM) across private equity, infrastructure, and hedge fund strategies.The company earns the majority of its predictable income from the total value of assets managed for clients.
Incentive FeesPerformance-based fees earned when funds exceed specified return hurdles.Additional revenue is generated only when the company successfully delivers strong investment performance.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 24.76
Forward PE 11.86
Enterprise Value 1.06B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.36
Enterprise Value 1.06B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.36
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.84
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.49
Shares Outstanding 61.13M
Shares Floating 59.40M
Shares Outstanding 61.13M
Shares Floating 59.40M
Percent Insiders 2.95
Percent Institutions 100.61

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI Summary

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About GCM Grosvenor Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquarters Chicago, IL, United States
IPO Launch date 2020-11-18
Board Chairman & CEO Mr. Michael Jay Sacks J.D.
Sector Financial Services
Industry Asset Management
Full time employees 550
Full time employees 550

GCM Grosvenor Inc. is global alternative asset management solutions provider. The firm primarily provides its services to pooled investment vehicles. It also provides its services to investment companies, high net worth individuals, pension and profit sharing plans and state or municipal government entities. The firm invests in equity and alternative investment markets of the United States and internationally. The firm invests in multi-strategy, credit-focused, equity-focused, macro-focused, commodity-focused, and other specialty portfolios. It focuses on hedge fund asset classes, private equity, real estate, and/or infrastructure, credit and absolute return strategies. It also focuses on primary fund investments, secondary fund investments, and co-investments with a focus on buyout, distressed debt, early venture, mid venture, late venture, turnaround, mature, mezzanine, venture capital/growth equity investments. The firm seeks to do seed investments in small, emerging growth, and diverse private equity firms. The firm seeks to make regionally-focused investments in middle-market buyout. It prefers to invest in aerospace and defense, advanced electronics, information technology, biosciences, and advanced materials. It focuses on Europe, Michigan, North Carolina, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Oregon and Washington. The firm employs fundamental and quantitative analysis. It prefers to have majority stakes in its portfolio companies. GCM Grosvenor Inc. was founded in 1971 and is based in Chicago, Illinois with additional offices across North America, Asia, Australia and Europe. GCM Grosvenor Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Grosvenor Capital Management Holdings, LLLP.