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Geron Corporation (GERN)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/26/2026: GERN (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $3.4
1 Year Target Price $3.4
| 4 | Strong Buy |
| 2 | Buy |
| 3 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.10B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 3.4 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 3.4 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 9 | Beta 0.62 | 52 Weeks Range 1.04 - 2.01 | Updated Date 02/26/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 1.04 - 2.01 | Updated Date 02/26/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.12 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-02-25 | When - | Estimate -0.028 | Actual -0.0212 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -43.61% | Operating Margin (TTM) -29.41% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -7.79% | Return on Equity (TTM) -29.57% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 614325560 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.99 |
Enterprise Value 614325560 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.99 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.74 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -9.06 | Shares Outstanding 638355275 | Shares Floating 541478478 |
Shares Outstanding 638355275 | Shares Floating 541478478 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.11 | Percent Institutions 76.43 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Geron Corporation

Company Overview
History and Background
Geron Corporation, founded in 1990, is a late-stage biopharmaceutical company. Its history is marked by a significant pivot in its research focus, moving from broader anti-aging research to its current concentration on developing therapies for hematologic myeloid malignancies. A key milestone was the acquisition of its first-generation telomerase technology by Geron in 1998 and the subsequent sale of its adult stem cell business to BioVex (later acquired by Shire) in 2010. The company's evolution has been driven by scientific advancements and strategic divestitures to focus on its most promising drug candidates.
Core Business Areas
- Oncology Therapeutics: Geron is primarily focused on the development of imetelstat, a novel short-acting telomerase inhibitor, for the treatment of myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) and other hematologic myeloid malignancies. The company is conducting clinical trials to evaluate imetelstat's safety and efficacy.
Leadership and Structure
Geron Corporation is led by a management team with experience in biopharmaceutical development and commercialization. The company operates with a lean organizational structure, focusing resources on its lead drug candidate, imetelstat. The Board of Directors oversees the company's strategic direction and governance.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Imetelstat: Imetelstat is Geron's lead drug candidate, a novel short-acting telomerase inhibitor designed to treat myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) and other hematologic myeloid malignancies. Market share data for imetelstat is not yet available as it is still in late-stage clinical development. Competitors in the MDS space include companies developing other targeted therapies and supportive care treatments. Key competitors in the broader hematologic malignancy space include Novartis (e.g., Rytary for MDS), Bristol Myers Squibb (e.g., Inrebic for myelofibrosis), and Astellas Pharma (e.g., Xospata for AML).
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The biopharmaceutical industry, particularly the oncology sector, is characterized by high research and development costs, long development cycles, and significant regulatory hurdles. There is a strong demand for innovative therapies that address unmet medical needs, especially in areas like hematologic malignancies where treatment options can be limited. The market is competitive with a focus on targeted therapies and immunotherapies.
Positioning
Geron is positioned as a late-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on a specific niche within hematologic oncology. Its competitive advantage lies in its unique mechanism of action with imetelstat, targeting telomerase, which plays a role in cancer cell proliferation and survival. The company's strategy is to demonstrate clinical benefit and obtain regulatory approval for imetelstat.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The Total Addressable Market (TAM) for myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) is substantial and growing, driven by an aging population. While exact figures vary depending on the definition and stage of MDS, it is estimated to be in the billions of dollars globally. Geron is positioned to capture a significant portion of this market with imetelstat if it achieves regulatory approval and demonstrates superior efficacy and safety compared to existing treatments.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Proprietary telomerase inhibitor (Imetelstat) with a unique mechanism of action.
- Late-stage clinical development of Imetelstat, moving towards potential commercialization.
- Experienced management team with biopharmaceutical development expertise.
- Focus on a well-defined therapeutic area (hematologic myeloid malignancies) with unmet needs.
Weaknesses
- Reliance on a single lead drug candidate (Imetelstat) for future revenue.
- Significant clinical and regulatory risks associated with drug development.
- Limited financial resources compared to larger pharmaceutical companies.
- Need for strategic partnerships or funding for commercial launch.
- No current revenue-generating products.
Opportunities
- Potential for Imetelstat to become a first-in-class therapy for MDS.
- Expansion of Imetelstat's indication to other hematologic malignancies.
- Strategic partnerships for co-development, manufacturing, or commercialization.
- Advancements in biomarker discovery to identify patient populations most likely to respond.
- Growing demand for targeted therapies in oncology.
Threats
- Failure to demonstrate clinical efficacy or safety in ongoing trials.
- Regulatory hurdles and potential delays in approval processes.
- Competition from other novel therapies entering the MDS market.
- Pricing pressures and reimbursement challenges.
- Patent expirations or challenges to intellectual property.
- Dilution of shareholder value through future financing rounds.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Novartis (NVS)
- Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY)
- Astellas Pharma (ALPMY)
- AbbVie (ABBV)
Competitive Landscape
Geron's competitive advantages lie in the novel mechanism of imetelstat and its focus on addressing unmet needs in MDS. However, it faces significant disadvantages in terms of scale, financial resources, and established market presence compared to its larger, more diversified competitors. These competitors have extensive sales forces, established manufacturing capabilities, and broader product portfolios, which can be leveraged for market penetration and commercial success.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Geron's historical growth has been primarily driven by scientific innovation and strategic repositioning rather than revenue growth. The company has expanded its R&D capabilities and advanced its lead drug candidate through clinical stages. Growth has been characterized by increasing R&D expenditures and the accumulation of intellectual property.
Future Projections: Future growth for Geron is contingent upon the successful development, regulatory approval, and commercialization of imetelstat. Analyst projections are typically tied to the probability of success in clinical trials and the estimated market potential of imetelstat. Success in its current clinical programs would represent a significant inflection point for the company's growth trajectory.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives for Geron have centered on advancing its Phase 3 clinical trial of imetelstat in lower-risk MDS patients and initiating a Phase 2b clinical trial in higher-risk MDS patients. The company has also focused on building its regulatory and clinical operations teams in anticipation of potential commercialization.
Summary
Geron Corporation is a biopharmaceutical company with a strong focus on developing imetelstat for hematologic myeloid malignancies. Its key strength lies in its novel drug candidate and late-stage development, but it faces significant risks due to its reliance on a single product and the inherent challenges of drug development. The company needs to successfully navigate clinical trials and regulatory hurdles to achieve commercial success and overcome its current financial dependence on fundraising.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Reuters, Bloomberg)
- Biopharmaceutical Industry Analysis Reports
- ClinicalTrials.gov
- Company Investor Relations Websites
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is an analysis of Geron Corporation based on publicly available information. It is not intended as financial advice. Investing in biopharmaceutical companies carries significant risks, and investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Geron Corporation
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Foster City, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1996-06-30 | CEO, President & Director Mr. Harout Semerjian | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 229 | Website https://www.geron.com |
Full time employees 229 | Website https://www.geron.com | ||
Geron Corporation, a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development of therapeutics products for oncology. It offers RYTELO a telomerase inhibitor for the treatment f adult patients with low- to intermediate-1 risk myelodysplastic syndromes with transfusion-dependent anemia. The company was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Foster City, California.

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