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Geron Corporation (GERN)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/26/2025: GERN (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $3.6
1 Year Target Price $3.6
| 4 | Strong Buy |
| 2 | Buy |
| 3 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -26.48% | Avg. Invested days 25 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 874.55M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 3.6 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 3.6 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 9 | Beta 0.57 | 52 Weeks Range 1.04 - 3.68 | Updated Date 12/27/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 1.04 - 3.68 | Updated Date 12/27/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.12 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -43.61% | Operating Margin (TTM) -29.41% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -7.79% | Return on Equity (TTM) -29.57% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 615930726 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.77 |
Enterprise Value 615930726 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.77 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.36 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -9.06 | Shares Outstanding 638355275 | Shares Floating 536307801 |
Shares Outstanding 638355275 | Shares Floating 536307801 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.1 | Percent Institutions 81.57 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Geron Corporation

Company Overview
History and Background
Geron Corporation (Nasdaq: GERN) was founded in 1990. It is a biopharmaceutical company focused on the development of therapies for life-threatening diseases. A significant milestone was its early work in the field of telomerase and telomeres, which led to the discovery of imetelstat. The company has undergone several strategic shifts, including divesting its stem cell research and regenerative medicine programs to focus on its oncology pipeline.
Core Business Areas
- Oncology Therapeutics: Geron's primary focus is on the development of imetelstat, a first-in-class telomerase inhibitor, for the treatment of hematologic myeloid malignancies. This includes its lead indication in myelofibrosis (MF) and myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS).
Leadership and Structure
Geron Corporation is led by a management team with expertise in drug development and commercialization. The organizational structure is typical of a biopharmaceutical company, with departments dedicated to research and development, clinical affairs, regulatory affairs, manufacturing, and commercial operations. Specific leadership details (CEO, CFO, etc.) can be found on their official investor relations website.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Imetelstat (GRN-101): Imetelstat is Geron's lead drug candidate, a novel telomerase inhibitor targeting the roots of cancer by preventing the uncontrolled proliferation of cancer cells. It is currently in late-stage clinical development for myelofibrosis and myelodysplastic syndromes. Competitors in the hematologic malignancies space include companies developing JAK inhibitors (for MF) and hypomethylating agents (for MDS). Market share data is not yet applicable as imetelstat is not yet approved for commercial sale. Revenue from this product is currently zero.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The biopharmaceutical industry, particularly the oncology segment, is characterized by high innovation, significant R&D investment, and a lengthy drug development process. The market for treatments of hematologic malignancies is substantial and growing, driven by an aging population and advancements in therapeutic approaches.
Positioning
Geron is positioned as a company developing a novel mechanism of action in oncology with imetelstat. Its competitive advantage lies in the potential of imetelstat to address unmet needs in myelofibrosis and myelodysplastic syndromes, particularly in patients who are refractory or intolerant to existing therapies. The company's strategic partnership with Janssen Oncology (a division of Johnson & Johnson) provides significant development and potential commercialization resources.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for myelofibrosis and myelodysplastic syndromes is substantial, with millions of patients globally. For MF, the market is estimated to be in the billions of dollars, and for MDS, it also represents a significant market. Geron is positioned to capture a portion of this TAM with imetelstat, contingent on successful clinical trials and regulatory approvals.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Promising late-stage drug candidate (imetelstat) with a novel mechanism of action.
- Strategic partnership with Janssen Oncology, providing significant development and commercialization support.
- Focus on a well-defined therapeutic area with significant unmet medical needs.
- Experienced management team with a track record in drug development.
Weaknesses
- Heavy reliance on the success of a single drug candidate (imetelstat).
- Limited product pipeline beyond imetelstat.
- The biopharmaceutical development process is inherently risky and expensive.
- Current lack of approved products means no revenue generation from sales.
Opportunities
- Potential for imetelstat to become a best-in-class therapy in its target indications.
- Expansion of imetelstat into other indications or combinations.
- The growing market for hematologic oncology treatments.
- Leveraging the Janssen partnership for global commercialization.
Threats
- Failure of imetelstat in late-stage clinical trials.
- Regulatory hurdles and delays in approval.
- Competition from other companies developing novel therapies for MF and MDS.
- Pricing and reimbursement challenges.
- Changes in the healthcare landscape and payer policies.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Incyte Corporation (INCY)
- CTI BioPharma Corp. (CTIC)
- Acceleron Pharma Inc. (XLRN)
- Novartis AG (NVS)
- Bristol Myers Squibb Company (BMY)
Competitive Landscape
Geron's advantages lie in its novel mechanism of action with imetelstat and its partnership with Janssen. However, it faces strong competition from established players with approved therapies and extensive commercial infrastructure. Geron's disadvantage is its reliance on a single drug candidate and its pre-revenue status.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historically, Geron has experienced significant shifts in its focus and has invested heavily in R&D. Growth has not been driven by product sales but by advancements in its pipeline and strategic partnerships.
Future Projections: Future growth projections are contingent on the successful clinical development and commercialization of imetelstat. Analyst estimates would focus on the potential market penetration and revenue generation upon approval. (Specific projections would be derived from analyst reports).
Recent Initiatives: Key recent initiatives include the ongoing Phase 3 IMerge trial for imetelstat in lower-risk MDS, the advancement of imetelstat in higher-risk MDS and myelofibrosis, and the strategic collaboration with Janssen Oncology.
Summary
Geron Corporation is a biopharmaceutical company with a singular focus on advancing imetelstat, a promising telomerase inhibitor, for hematologic myeloid malignancies. Its strength lies in its novel drug candidate and strategic partnership with Janssen, offering significant potential if imetelstat achieves regulatory approval. However, the company's future hinges entirely on the success of this single drug, making it a high-risk, high-reward investment. Geron must navigate complex clinical trials, stringent regulatory pathways, and a competitive landscape to realize its commercial aspirations.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Geron Corporation Investor Relations (SEC Filings, Press Releases)
- Industry Analyst Reports
- Biopharmaceutical Market Research Databases
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is a synthesized overview based on publicly available information and general industry knowledge. It is not intended as investment advice. Financial data, market share, and projections are subject to change and require verification from official sources. Users should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Geron Corporation
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Foster City, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1996-06-30 | CEO, President & Director Mr. Harout Semerjian | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 229 | Website https://www.geron.com |
Full time employees 229 | Website https://www.geron.com | ||
Geron Corporation, a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development of therapeutics products for oncology. It offers RYTELO a telomerase inhibitor for the treatment f adult patients with low- to intermediate-1 risk myelodysplastic syndromes with transfusion-dependent anemia. The company was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Foster City, California.

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