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Geron Corporation (GERN)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$1.43
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY-2.05%
upturn advisory
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY since 5 days
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  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
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Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
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Time period over
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Upturn Advisory Summary

08/28/2025: GERN (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

9 Analysts rated it

Limited analyst coverage, niche firm, research info may be scarce.

1 Year Target Price $3.62

1 Year Target Price $3.62

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$3.62 Target price
52w Low $1.09
Current$1.43
52w High $4.83

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -19.19%
Avg. Invested days 27
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 08/28/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 912.36M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 3.62
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 3.62
Volume (30-day avg) 9
Beta 0.73
52 Weeks Range 1.09 - 4.83
Updated Date 08/28/2025
52 Weeks Range 1.09 - 4.83
Updated Date 08/28/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.13

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-08-06
When -
Estimate -0.03
Actual -0.02

Profitability

Profit Margin -53.52%
Operating Margin (TTM) -25.4%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -9.63%
Return on Equity (TTM) -31.09%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 646226414
Price to Sales(TTM) 5.55
Enterprise Value 646226414
Price to Sales(TTM) 5.55
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.93
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -9.06
Shares Outstanding 638017024
Shares Floating 534077712
Shares Outstanding 638017024
Shares Floating 534077712
Percent Insiders 0.09
Percent Institutions 81.97

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Geron Corporation

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Geron Corporation, founded in 1990, is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing therapies for hematologic malignancies. Initially focused on telomerase inhibitors, it shifted towards hematology after clinical trial setbacks.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Hematologic Malignancies: Focuses on the development and commercialization of therapies for blood cancers, particularly myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) and acute myeloid leukemia (AML).

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The leadership team consists of experienced executives in the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industries. The organizational structure is typical of a biotech company, with research, development, and commercial operations divisions.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Rytelo (imetelstat): Rytelo is a telomerase inhibitor being developed for the treatment of lower-risk myelodysplastic syndromes (LR-MDS). Competitors include other treatments for MDS such as Revlimid (Celgene/Bristol Myers Squibb) and Vidaza (Celgene/Bristol Myers Squibb). Market share is pending market launch and penetration. Sales estimates will vary based on commercial success.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The biopharmaceutical industry is highly competitive and regulated. The market for hematologic malignancies is growing due to aging populations and advancements in treatment options.

Positioning

Geron is positioned as a company specializing in hematologic malignancies, specifically targeting LR-MDS with Rytelo. Their competitive advantage lies in the novel mechanism of action of imetelstat.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The TAM for LR-MDS is estimated to be several billion dollars. Geron is positioned to capture a significant portion of this market if Rytelo is successful.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Novel Mechanism of Action (telomerase inhibition)
  • Targeted therapy for LR-MDS
  • Strong intellectual property position
  • Experienced management team

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on a single product candidate (Rytelo)
  • History of clinical trial setbacks
  • Limited commercialization experience
  • High cash burn rate

Opportunities

  • Expansion of Rytelo to other indications (e.g., AML)
  • Partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies
  • Positive clinical trial results
  • Market growth in hematologic malignancies

Threats

  • Competition from existing therapies
  • Regulatory hurdles and delays
  • Clinical trial failures
  • Patent challenges
  • Reimbursement challenges

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • BMY
  • MRTX
  • AZN

Competitive Landscape

Geron faces competition from established therapies and companies in the hematologic malignancies space. Success depends on Rytelo's efficacy and differentiation.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Geron's growth has been largely dependent on clinical trial progress and funding rounds.

Future Projections: Future growth is contingent on the successful commercialization of Rytelo and expansion into other indications. Analyst projections vary widely based on assumptions about clinical trial outcomes and market penetration.

Recent Initiatives: Focusing on the launch of Rytelo and advancing ongoing clinical trials.

Summary

Geron is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company with a focus on hematologic malignancies. Its future is highly dependent on the successful commercialization of Rytelo. The company faces competition from established therapies and the inherent risks associated with clinical development, needing to successfully navigate commercialization and potential expansion.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
  • Geron Corporation Investor Relations
  • Analyst Reports
  • Industry Publications
  • Company Press Releases

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investment decisions should be based on individual due diligence and consultation with a financial professional.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Geron Corporation

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Foster City, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 1996-06-30
CEO, President & Director Mr. Harout Semerjian
Sector Healthcare
Industry Biotechnology
Full time employees 229
Full time employees 229

Geron Corporation, a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development of therapeutics products for oncology. It offers RYTELO a telomerase inhibitor for the treatment f adult patients with low- to intermediate-1 risk myelodysplastic syndromes with transfusion-dependent anemia. The company was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Foster City, California.