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Gevo Inc (GEVO)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/27/2026: GEVO (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $5.31
1 Year Target Price $5.31
| 0 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 2 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 450.69M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 5.31 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 5.31 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3 | Beta 1.5 | 52 Weeks Range 0.92 - 2.95 | Updated Date 02/27/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 0.92 - 2.95 | Updated Date 02/27/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.21 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-03-05 | When - | Estimate -0.0533 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -37.33% | Operating Margin (TTM) -8.43% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -2.73% | Return on Equity (TTM) -9.03% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 604993338 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.73 |
Enterprise Value 604993338 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.73 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 7.54 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 1.68 | Shares Outstanding 242308806 | Shares Floating 225373523 |
Shares Outstanding 242308806 | Shares Floating 225373523 | ||
Percent Insiders 4.23 | Percent Institutions 36.7 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Gevo Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Gevo, Inc. was founded in 2005 as Virgin Islands Energy. In 2006, it changed its name to Gevo, Inc. The company is a pioneer in the development and commercialization of renewable fuels and chemicals. Its mission is to transform renewable energy into liquid hydrocarbons that can power the world. Gevo has focused on developing technologies to produce low-carbon alternatives to petroleum-based fuels and chemicals from renewable feedstocks like corn. Significant milestones include the development of its proprietary fermentation and chemical conversion processes, and its ongoing efforts to build large-scale production facilities.
Core Business Areas
- Renewable Fuels Production: Gevo's primary focus is on producing sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) and renewable gasoline. These fuels are designed to be 'drop-in' replacements for their fossil fuel counterparts, meaning they can be used in existing infrastructure and engines without modification. The company utilizes a process that converts plant-based sugars derived from corn into isobutanol, which is then further processed into jet fuel and gasoline blendstocks.
- Low-Carbon Chemicals: Beyond fuels, Gevo also aims to produce renewable chemicals that can serve as building blocks for various industries, including plastics, textiles, and other materials. These chemicals offer a more sustainable alternative to petrochemical-based products.
- Technology Development and Licensing: Gevo also engages in the development and potential licensing of its proprietary technologies for the production of isobutanol and other renewable chemicals.
Leadership and Structure
Gevo's leadership team is headed by its Chief Executive Officer, Dr. Patrick R. Gruber. The company operates with a lean management structure focused on technical development, project execution, and strategic partnerships. Specific roles and the full board of directors can be found on the company's official investor relations website.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF): Gevo's primary SAF product is derived from isobutanol. The company is actively working to scale up production to meet the growing demand for low-carbon aviation fuels. Key competitors in the SAF market include other biofuel producers developing similar 'drop-in' fuels, as well as companies exploring alternative SAF pathways such as those based on used cooking oil or synthetic processes. Market share data for Gevo's SAF is currently limited as production is still in its ramp-up phase.
- Renewable Gasoline Blendstocks: Similar to SAF, Gevo's renewable gasoline is produced from isobutanol. This product aims to reduce the carbon intensity of gasoline. Competitors include other producers of biofuels and renewable fuel components, as well as advanced gasoline formulations.
- Isobutanol: The intermediate product, isobutanol, is a key component in Gevo's fuel and chemical production. It can also be sold as a standalone product.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
Gevo operates in the rapidly evolving renewable fuels and chemicals industry. This sector is driven by increasing global demand for sustainable alternatives to fossil fuels, fueled by environmental concerns, government mandates, and corporate sustainability goals. The aviation industry, in particular, is a significant focus for SAF development due to its high carbon emissions and the limited options for decarbonization. The broader chemical industry is also seeking more sustainable feedstock options.
Positioning
Gevo positions itself as a leader in the production of advanced biofuels and renewable chemicals through its proprietary technology. Its competitive advantage lies in its ability to produce 'drop-in' fuels that are compatible with existing infrastructure. The company is focused on scaling up its production capacity to become a significant supplier in the growing SAF market.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for sustainable aviation fuel is projected to be hundreds of billions of dollars annually as global aviation continues to grow and decarbonization efforts intensify. The renewable chemicals market also represents a significant TAM as industries shift towards more sustainable materials. Gevo is positioned to capture a portion of this TAM by focusing on large-scale production facilities and strategic partnerships within the aviation and chemical sectors.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Proprietary technology for producing isobutanol and its derivatives.
- Focus on 'drop-in' renewable fuels (SAF and gasoline) compatible with existing infrastructure.
- Strong focus on decarbonization and sustainability, aligning with market trends.
- Potential for significant scalability with future plant development.
Weaknesses
- Currently in a pre-revenue or early-revenue stage for its core products, with limited historical financial performance.
- High capital expenditure required for building and operating production facilities.
- Reliance on securing significant financing for expansion.
- Competition from established energy companies and other biofuel developers.
- Vulnerability to feedstock price volatility (e.g., corn prices).
Opportunities
- Growing global demand for Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF).
- Increasing government incentives and mandates for renewable fuels.
- Partnerships with major airlines and fuel distributors.
- Expansion into other renewable chemical markets.
- Development of advanced fermentation and conversion processes to improve efficiency.
Threats
- Fluctuations in crude oil prices, which can impact the competitiveness of renewable fuels.
- Regulatory changes or uncertainty regarding biofuel mandates.
- Development of competing alternative fuel technologies (e.g., electric aviation, hydrogen).
- Challenges in securing land and resources for feedstock production.
- Delays or cost overruns in the construction of large-scale production facilities.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Archer Daniels Midland Company (ADM)
- Fulcrum BioEnergy, Inc. (Private)
- Velocys plc (VLS)
- LanzaTech Global, Inc. (LNZA)
Competitive Landscape
Gevo faces competition from both established players in the biofuel space and emerging companies with similar technologies. Its key advantage lies in its integrated process for producing isobutanol and then converting it into 'drop-in' fuels. However, competitors like ADM have significant existing infrastructure and feedstock access. Companies like LanzaTech are developing alternative pathways to SAF. The market is highly competitive, and Gevo's success will depend on its ability to scale production cost-effectively and secure offtake agreements.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Gevo's historical growth has been characterized by significant investment in technology development and conceptualizing large-scale production projects. While revenue from commercial operations has been minimal, the company has demonstrated progress in advancing its proprietary processes and securing key partnerships.
Future Projections: Future growth projections for Gevo are largely dependent on the successful construction and operation of its planned large-scale production facilities, such as its Net-Zero project in South Dakota. Analyst estimates often focus on the potential future revenue streams from SAF and renewable chemicals once these facilities are operational. The company anticipates significant revenue growth if its production targets are met.
Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives include securing land for its flagship Net-Zero Production Facility, advancing engineering and procurement for this facility, and forging partnerships with airlines and other entities committed to purchasing SAF. The company has also been actively engaged in raising capital to fund these expansion efforts.
Summary
Gevo Inc. is a development-stage company focused on producing renewable fuels and chemicals, particularly sustainable aviation fuel (SAF). Its strengths lie in its proprietary technology and focus on drop-in solutions, aligning with a growing market demand for decarbonization. However, it faces significant challenges related to high capital needs, execution risk in scaling production, and competition. The company's future success hinges on its ability to successfully build and operate its large-scale facilities and secure offtake agreements.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Gevo Inc. Investor Relations Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Industry Reports on Renewable Fuels and SAF Market
- Financial News and Analysis Websites
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with a qualified financial advisor and conducting independent research. Market share data and projections are estimates and subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Gevo Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Englewood, CO, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2011-02-09 | CEO & Executive Chair Dr. Patrick R. Gruber M.B.A., Ph.D. | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Specialty Chemicals | Full time employees 122 | Website https://gevo.com |
Full time employees 122 | Website https://gevo.com | ||
Gevo, Inc. operates as a carbon abatement company. It operates in three segments: Gevo, GevoFuels, and GevoRNG. The company offers sustainable aviation fuel, motor fuels, and chemicals and materials; certain specialty fuels, on-road fuels, and certain products for the food chain comprising protein and feeds; hydrocarbons for gasoline, racing fuel blend stocks, and diesel fuel; ethylene and butenes; plastics and materials; and renewable natural gas, isobutanol, and isooctane. It is also involved in development, construction, and operation of Alcohol-to-Jet projects; provision of GevoRNG, a project which leverages anaerobic digestion technology to capture and convert methane emissions into renewable natural gas; and operates Verity platform that tracks, measures, and verifies various attributes throughout the supply chain. The company was formerly known as Methanotech, Inc. and changed its name to Gevo, Inc. in March 2006. Gevo, Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Englewood, Colorado.

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