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Gevo Inc (GEVO)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/14/2025: GEVO (4-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 21 days. Simulated Profits (35.45%). Updated daily EoD!
1 Year Target Price $5.92
1 Year Target Price $5.92
0 | Strong Buy |
1 | Buy |
2 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 128.5% | Avg. Invested days 26 | Today’s Advisory Strong Buy |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 573.16M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 5.92 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 5.92 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3 | Beta 2.13 | 52 Weeks Range 0.92 - 3.39 | Updated Date 10/13/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 0.92 - 3.39 | Updated Date 10/13/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.25 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -72.76% | Operating Margin (TTM) 13.35% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -4.6% | Return on Equity (TTM) -11.53% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 604993338 | Price to Sales(TTM) 7.15 |
Enterprise Value 604993338 | Price to Sales(TTM) 7.15 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 7.54 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 1.68 | Shares Outstanding 241839083 | Shares Floating 223425484 |
Shares Outstanding 241839083 | Shares Floating 223425484 | ||
Percent Insiders 4.24 | Percent Institutions 32.14 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Gevo Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Gevo Inc. was founded in 2005. It focuses on developing renewable alternatives to petroleum-based products using advanced biotechnology and conventional renewable energy technologies. Gevo aims to produce sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) and other low-carbon products.
Core Business Areas
- Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF): Gevo produces SAF from renewable resources like corn. This fuel aims to reduce greenhouse gas emissions compared to traditional jet fuel.
- Renewable Hydrocarbons: Gevo also develops renewable gasoline, diesel, and other hydrocarbons using its proprietary technology.
- Nutrient Feed Products: The fermentation process of SAF production also yields high-protein animal feed.
Leadership and Structure
Patrick Gruber is the CEO. The company has a typical corporate structure with a board of directors and various executive leadership positions covering operations, finance, and technology.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF): Gevo's primary product is SAF. Market share is still developing as the SAF market is nascent. Competitors include Neste, World Energy, and Velocys. Revenue from SAF is growing as production capacity expands. They have multi-year contracts with several airlines.
- Nutrient Feed Products: High-protein animal feed produced as a byproduct of the SAF production. Market share not publicly disclosed. Competitors are various feed companies that use soy or other methods for high protein yields.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The renewable fuels industry is driven by increasing demand for sustainable alternatives to fossil fuels, particularly in the aviation sector. Government mandates and incentives support the growth of SAF and other biofuels.
Positioning
Gevo aims to be a leading producer of SAF and other renewable hydrocarbons, leveraging its proprietary technology and integrated business model. Its competitive advantage lies in its ability to produce SAF from renewable resources and its established partnerships with airlines.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for SAF is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars, aligning with the global aviation fuel consumption. Gevo is positioned to capture a portion of this market through strategic partnerships and expanding production capacity.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Proprietary technology for producing SAF
- Established partnerships with airlines and other customers
- Focus on sustainability and low-carbon products
- Integrated business model (production to distribution)
Weaknesses
- Relatively high production costs compared to fossil fuels
- Reliance on government subsidies and incentives
- Limited production capacity
- History of Net Losses
Opportunities
- Increasing demand for SAF driven by environmental concerns
- Government mandates and incentives supporting SAF production
- Expansion of production capacity
- Development of new applications for renewable hydrocarbons
Threats
- Competition from established oil and gas companies
- Fluctuations in feedstock prices (e.g., corn)
- Technological advancements that could reduce the cost of fossil fuels
- Changes in government regulations and incentives
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- NESTE.HE
- ADM
- REGI
Competitive Landscape
Gevo faces competition from established oil and gas companies, as well as other renewable fuels producers. Its competitive advantage lies in its proprietary technology and its focus on SAF. The industry is highly competitive and capital-intensive.
Major Acquisitions
Butamax Advanced Biofuels LLC
- Year: 2022
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 80
- Strategic Rationale: To enhance Gevo's technology portfolio and expand its capabilities in isobutanol production.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Gevo's growth has been characterized by periods of rapid expansion followed by consolidation. The company has faced challenges in scaling up production and achieving profitability.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates vary widely, reflecting the uncertainty surrounding the renewable fuels industry. Projections generally assume significant growth in SAF demand and Gevo's ability to capture a portion of this market.
Recent Initiatives: Gevo is focused on expanding its production capacity through strategic partnerships and acquisitions. The company is also investing in research and development to improve its technology and reduce production costs.
Summary
Gevo is a renewable fuels company focusing on SAF and other hydrocarbons, positioned to benefit from growing demand for sustainable aviation. While it possesses proprietary technology and key partnerships, it faces challenges related to high production costs and profitability. The company's success hinges on scaling up production, securing government support, and navigating a competitive landscape. Gevo's future depends on its ability to execute its growth strategy and capture a larger share of the developing SAF market. They will need to control costs and move quickly to realize production and sales goals.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings (SEC)
- Analyst reports
- Industry publications
- Gevo Inc. Website
- Third party Financial Data Providers
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Investment decisions should be based on individual research and consultation with a qualified financial advisor. Market data and analysis are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Gevo Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Englewood, CO, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2011-02-09 | CEO & Director Dr. Patrick R. Gruber M.B.A., Ph.D. | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Specialty Chemicals | Full time employees 122 | Website https://gevo.com |
Full time employees 122 | Website https://gevo.com |
Gevo, Inc. operates as a carbon abatement company. It operates in three segments: Gevo, GevoFuels, and GevoRNG. The company offers sustainable aviation fuel, motor fuels, and chemicals and materials; certain specialty fuels, on-road fuels, and certain products for the food chain comprising protein and feeds; hydrocarbons for gasoline, racing fuel blend stocks, and diesel fuel; ethylene and butenes; plastics and materials; and renewable natural gas, isobutanol, and isooctane. It is also involved in development, construction, and operation of Alcohol-to-Jet projects; provision of GevoRNG, a project which leverages anaerobic digestion technology to capture and convert methane emissions into renewable natural gas; and operates Verity platform that tracks, measures, and verifies various attributes throughout the supply chain. The company was formerly known as Methanotech, Inc. and changed its name to Gevo, Inc. in March 2006. Gevo, Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Englewood, Colorado.

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