GEVO official logo GEVO
GEVO 4-star rating from Upturn Advisory
Gevo Inc (GEVO) company logo

Gevo Inc (GEVO)

Gevo Inc (GEVO) 4-star rating from Upturn Advisory
$1.82
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/27/2026: GEVO (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

Upturn 4 star rating for performance

Above Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, frequently surpass the market, reflecting reliable and trustworthy advice.

Number of Analysts

1 star rating from financial analysts

3 Analysts rated it

Very few follow this stock; limited insights, higher-risk early investing.

1 Year Target Price $5.31

1 Year Target Price $5.31

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$5.31 Target price
52w Low $0.92
Current$1.82
52w High $2.95
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Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 450.69M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 5.31
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 5.31
Volume (30-day avg) 3
Beta 1.5
52 Weeks Range 0.92 - 2.95
Updated Date 02/27/2026
52 Weeks Range 0.92 - 2.95
Updated Date 02/27/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.21

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

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Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-03-05
When -
Estimate -0.0533
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -37.33%
Operating Margin (TTM) -8.43%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -2.73%
Return on Equity (TTM) -9.03%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 604993338
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.73
Enterprise Value 604993338
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.73
Enterprise Value to Revenue 7.54
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 1.68
Shares Outstanding 242308806
Shares Floating 225373523
Shares Outstanding 242308806
Shares Floating 225373523
Percent Insiders 4.23
Percent Institutions 36.7

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI SWOT

Gevo Inc

Gevo Inc(GEVO) company logo displayed in Upturn AI summary

Company Overview

Company history and background logo History and Background

Gevo, Inc. was founded in 2005 as Virgin Islands Energy. In 2006, it changed its name to Gevo, Inc. The company is a pioneer in the development and commercialization of renewable fuels and chemicals. Its mission is to transform renewable energy into liquid hydrocarbons that can power the world. Gevo has focused on developing technologies to produce low-carbon alternatives to petroleum-based fuels and chemicals from renewable feedstocks like corn. Significant milestones include the development of its proprietary fermentation and chemical conversion processes, and its ongoing efforts to build large-scale production facilities.

Company business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Renewable Fuels Production: Gevo's primary focus is on producing sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) and renewable gasoline. These fuels are designed to be 'drop-in' replacements for their fossil fuel counterparts, meaning they can be used in existing infrastructure and engines without modification. The company utilizes a process that converts plant-based sugars derived from corn into isobutanol, which is then further processed into jet fuel and gasoline blendstocks.
  • Low-Carbon Chemicals: Beyond fuels, Gevo also aims to produce renewable chemicals that can serve as building blocks for various industries, including plastics, textiles, and other materials. These chemicals offer a more sustainable alternative to petrochemical-based products.
  • Technology Development and Licensing: Gevo also engages in the development and potential licensing of its proprietary technologies for the production of isobutanol and other renewable chemicals.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Gevo's leadership team is headed by its Chief Executive Officer, Dr. Patrick R. Gruber. The company operates with a lean management structure focused on technical development, project execution, and strategic partnerships. Specific roles and the full board of directors can be found on the company's official investor relations website.

Top Products and Market Share

Product Key Offerings logo Key Offerings

  • Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF): Gevo's primary SAF product is derived from isobutanol. The company is actively working to scale up production to meet the growing demand for low-carbon aviation fuels. Key competitors in the SAF market include other biofuel producers developing similar 'drop-in' fuels, as well as companies exploring alternative SAF pathways such as those based on used cooking oil or synthetic processes. Market share data for Gevo's SAF is currently limited as production is still in its ramp-up phase.
  • Renewable Gasoline Blendstocks: Similar to SAF, Gevo's renewable gasoline is produced from isobutanol. This product aims to reduce the carbon intensity of gasoline. Competitors include other producers of biofuels and renewable fuel components, as well as advanced gasoline formulations.
  • Isobutanol: The intermediate product, isobutanol, is a key component in Gevo's fuel and chemical production. It can also be sold as a standalone product.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

Gevo operates in the rapidly evolving renewable fuels and chemicals industry. This sector is driven by increasing global demand for sustainable alternatives to fossil fuels, fueled by environmental concerns, government mandates, and corporate sustainability goals. The aviation industry, in particular, is a significant focus for SAF development due to its high carbon emissions and the limited options for decarbonization. The broader chemical industry is also seeking more sustainable feedstock options.

Positioning

Gevo positions itself as a leader in the production of advanced biofuels and renewable chemicals through its proprietary technology. Its competitive advantage lies in its ability to produce 'drop-in' fuels that are compatible with existing infrastructure. The company is focused on scaling up its production capacity to become a significant supplier in the growing SAF market.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The TAM for sustainable aviation fuel is projected to be hundreds of billions of dollars annually as global aviation continues to grow and decarbonization efforts intensify. The renewable chemicals market also represents a significant TAM as industries shift towards more sustainable materials. Gevo is positioned to capture a portion of this TAM by focusing on large-scale production facilities and strategic partnerships within the aviation and chemical sectors.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Proprietary technology for producing isobutanol and its derivatives.
  • Focus on 'drop-in' renewable fuels (SAF and gasoline) compatible with existing infrastructure.
  • Strong focus on decarbonization and sustainability, aligning with market trends.
  • Potential for significant scalability with future plant development.

Weaknesses

  • Currently in a pre-revenue or early-revenue stage for its core products, with limited historical financial performance.
  • High capital expenditure required for building and operating production facilities.
  • Reliance on securing significant financing for expansion.
  • Competition from established energy companies and other biofuel developers.
  • Vulnerability to feedstock price volatility (e.g., corn prices).

Opportunities

  • Growing global demand for Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF).
  • Increasing government incentives and mandates for renewable fuels.
  • Partnerships with major airlines and fuel distributors.
  • Expansion into other renewable chemical markets.
  • Development of advanced fermentation and conversion processes to improve efficiency.

Threats

  • Fluctuations in crude oil prices, which can impact the competitiveness of renewable fuels.
  • Regulatory changes or uncertainty regarding biofuel mandates.
  • Development of competing alternative fuel technologies (e.g., electric aviation, hydrogen).
  • Challenges in securing land and resources for feedstock production.
  • Delays or cost overruns in the construction of large-scale production facilities.

Competitors and Market Share

Key competitor logo Key Competitors

  • Archer Daniels Midland Company (ADM)
  • Fulcrum BioEnergy, Inc. (Private)
  • Velocys plc (VLS)
  • LanzaTech Global, Inc. (LNZA)

Competitive Landscape

Gevo faces competition from both established players in the biofuel space and emerging companies with similar technologies. Its key advantage lies in its integrated process for producing isobutanol and then converting it into 'drop-in' fuels. However, competitors like ADM have significant existing infrastructure and feedstock access. Companies like LanzaTech are developing alternative pathways to SAF. The market is highly competitive, and Gevo's success will depend on its ability to scale production cost-effectively and secure offtake agreements.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Gevo's historical growth has been characterized by significant investment in technology development and conceptualizing large-scale production projects. While revenue from commercial operations has been minimal, the company has demonstrated progress in advancing its proprietary processes and securing key partnerships.

Future Projections: Future growth projections for Gevo are largely dependent on the successful construction and operation of its planned large-scale production facilities, such as its Net-Zero project in South Dakota. Analyst estimates often focus on the potential future revenue streams from SAF and renewable chemicals once these facilities are operational. The company anticipates significant revenue growth if its production targets are met.

Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives include securing land for its flagship Net-Zero Production Facility, advancing engineering and procurement for this facility, and forging partnerships with airlines and other entities committed to purchasing SAF. The company has also been actively engaged in raising capital to fund these expansion efforts.

Summary

Gevo Inc. is a development-stage company focused on producing renewable fuels and chemicals, particularly sustainable aviation fuel (SAF). Its strengths lie in its proprietary technology and focus on drop-in solutions, aligning with a growing market demand for decarbonization. However, it faces significant challenges related to high capital needs, execution risk in scaling production, and competition. The company's future success hinges on its ability to successfully build and operate its large-scale facilities and secure offtake agreements.

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Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Gevo Inc. Investor Relations Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
  • Industry Reports on Renewable Fuels and SAF Market
  • Financial News and Analysis Websites

Disclaimers:

This JSON output is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with a qualified financial advisor and conducting independent research. Market share data and projections are estimates and subject to change.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization accuracy disclaimer AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization data freshness disclaimer Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Information icon warning about Upturn AI Fundamental Rating based on potentially old data Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

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About Gevo Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Englewood, CO, United States
IPO Launch date 2011-02-09
CEO & Executive Chair Dr. Patrick R. Gruber M.B.A., Ph.D.
Sector Basic Materials
Industry Specialty Chemicals
Full time employees 122
Full time employees 122

Gevo, Inc. operates as a carbon abatement company. It operates in three segments: Gevo, GevoFuels, and GevoRNG. The company offers sustainable aviation fuel, motor fuels, and chemicals and materials; certain specialty fuels, on-road fuels, and certain products for the food chain comprising protein and feeds; hydrocarbons for gasoline, racing fuel blend stocks, and diesel fuel; ethylene and butenes; plastics and materials; and renewable natural gas, isobutanol, and isooctane. It is also involved in development, construction, and operation of Alcohol-to-Jet projects; provision of GevoRNG, a project which leverages anaerobic digestion technology to capture and convert methane emissions into renewable natural gas; and operates Verity platform that tracks, measures, and verifies various attributes throughout the supply chain. The company was formerly known as Methanotech, Inc. and changed its name to Gevo, Inc. in March 2006. Gevo, Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Englewood, Colorado.