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Gerdau SA ADR(GGB)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for GGB
10/08/2026: GGB (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Gerdau SA is a prominent producer of long steel in the Americas, with a business model centered on recycling scrap metal and operating regional mini-mills. The company is well-regarded for its extensive recycling infrastructure and a diversified geographic footprint that spans Brazil and North America. Its primary growth story involves capitalizing on infrastructure development and the increasing demand for sustainable, lower-carbon steel products. However, investors face risks related to cyclical demand in construction and automotive markets, as well as currency and commodity price volatility. Gerdau may be a suitable fit for value-oriented investors who can tolerate cyclical volatility and seek exposure to industrial basic materials through a long-standing, globally recognized operator.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth is largely cyclical and tied to infrastructure spending rather than secular technology-led expansion. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum is highly dependent on global commodity price cycles and short-term steel demand signals. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The stock often trades at low valuation multiples, making it attractive for value-oriented investors during commodity cycle lows. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | Gerdau has a history of returning capital via dividends, though payments vary with the company's cyclical earnings. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High exposure to commodity price volatility and currency risk makes the stock unsuitable for those seeking low-risk assets. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Steel prices are highly cyclical and directly impact company profitability. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | While often inexpensive, the market may underprice the stock during cyclical downturns, leading to volatility. |
| Competition risk (Commodity producers) | Medium / high | Intense competition from domestic and international peers limits pricing power. |
| Business quality | Medium | The company maintains efficient operations, but is subject to macro-economic headwinds. |
| Dividend income | Medium | Dividends are not guaranteed and fluctuate based on company profitability and economic cycles. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Operational efficiency in high-cost environments is crucial for maintaining margins. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -25.85% | Avg. Invested days 34 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/08/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 9.85B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 23.9 | 1Y Target Price 5.92 |
Price to earnings Ratio 23.9 | 1Y Target Price 5.92 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 12.6M shares | Beta 0.89 | 52 Weeks Range 3.02 - 5.48 | Updated Date 10/08/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 3.02 - 5.48 | Updated Date 10/08/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 3.59% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.21 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Long Steel | Rebars, wire rods, and structural products for the construction sector. | This is the core of their business, turning recycled scrap into basic building materials. |
| Special Steel | Engineered bars for automotive and machinery. | These products are more specialized and often carry better profit margins than standard construction steel. |
| Geography (Americas) | Operations in Brazil, US, Canada, and Latin America. | The company relies heavily on the economic health of the Americas, particularly infrastructure spending. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 23.9 | Forward PE 6.2 | Enterprise Value 11.19B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.14 |
Enterprise Value 11.19B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.14 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.82 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 6.44 | Shares Outstanding 1.24B | Shares Floating 1.26B |
Shares Outstanding 1.24B | Shares Floating 1.26B | ||
Percent Insiders 0.02 | Percent Institutions 31.11 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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