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Upturn AI Summary - About
GPGI, Inc.(GPGI)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for GPGI
10/28/2026: GPGI (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
GPGI, Inc. is a diversified holding company that operates CompoSecure and Husky Technologies as a permanent capital platform. While the company has established a significant presence in metal payment cards and industrial injection molding, its recent transition into a compounder has been marked by integration challenges and legal controversies. The company's primary opportunity lies in potential operational synergies, but it faces substantial risks from its leveraged balance sheet and ongoing securities litigation. Investors should monitor quarterly execution, debt management, and the progress of legal proceedings. This stock may suit investors willing to tolerate high volatility, while those seeking stability or reliable dividend income may find it less suitable.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company's compounder strategy offers growth potential, but execution risk remains high. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | The stock has experienced significant downward pressure, making it a poor fit for current momentum strategies. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Valuation may appear attractive following significant pullbacks, but the potential for further legal-related downside exists. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not prioritize significant dividend income, focusing instead on reinvestment. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High volatility and unresolved legal/litigation issues make this unsuitable for risk-averse investors. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock has seen drastic price swings linked to legal news and earnings misses. |
| Valuation risk | Medium / high | Uncertainty regarding the carrying value of acquired assets complicates fair valuation. |
| Competition risk (Industrial/Fintech) | Medium | The company faces stiff competition in both the payment hardware and industrial molding sectors. |
| Business quality | Medium | While the business units are market leaders, the overall platform is still proving its structural viability. |
| Dividend income | Low | Capital is allocated to growth rather than distributions. |
| Execution risk | High | Managing disparate business units and integrating the recent Husky acquisition successfully is critical. |
Price Behavior
Steep Decline
The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.
Highly Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent, large price swings that make its near-term movement less predictable.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 146.35% | Avg. Invested days 48 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  5.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/28/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.09B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 15 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 15 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.5M shares | Beta 0.91 | 52 Weeks Range 10.43 - 26.76 | Updated Date 10/28/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 10.43 - 26.76 | Updated Date 10/28/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.05% | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.77 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| CompoSecure | Metal payment cards and authentication solutions for financial institutions. | Earns from premium card sales to banks and fintechs. |
| Husky Technologies | Injection molding systems, tooling, and aftermarket services. | Earns through the sale and maintenance of high-precision manufacturing equipment. |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-11-05 | When Before Market | Estimate 0.23 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) -342212.5% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -2.72% | Return on Equity (TTM) -20.62% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 11.05 | Enterprise Value 2.98B | Price to Sales(TTM) 128759.51 |
Enterprise Value 2.98B | Price to Sales(TTM) 128759.51 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 124345.12 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.83 | Shares Outstanding 289.89M | Shares Floating 141.78M |
Shares Outstanding 289.89M | Shares Floating 141.78M | ||
Percent Insiders 19.75 | Percent Institutions 96.02 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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