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Granite Ridge Resources Inc(GRNT)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
1-STAR RATING
SELL
SELL for 2 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
-10.45% ▼
LAST CLOSE
$4.44
09/25/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for GRNT

09/25/2026: GRNT (1-star) is a SELL. SELL for 2 days. Simulated Profits (-10.45%). Updated daily EoD!

Granite Ridge Resources Inc is a US-listed oil and gas company that focuses on a non-operated business model, maintaining working interests in productive assets across major basins like the Permian. By partnering with experienced operators, the company benefits from a low-overhead structure that supports consistent cash flow and dividend payments. Its growth strategy centers on acquiring and optimizing these working interests, offering investors exposure to energy production with less direct operational complexity. However, it faces significant risks from commodity price volatility and its reliance on the decisions of third-party operators. The stock may suit income-focused investors who can tolerate cyclical volatility, though monitoring commodity trends and partner activity is essential.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitGrowth is largely tied to commodity prices and acquisition pace rather than organic technological expansion.
Momentum investorMixed fitMomentum is often linked to oil price cycles rather than internal company-specific catalysts.
Value investorStrong fitThe company often trades at reasonable multiples of cash flow typical of efficient E&P operators.
Dividend investorStrong fitThe company offers a reliable dividend yield derived from consistent production cash flows.
Low-risk investorWeak fitExposure to commodity price volatility makes the stock unsuitable for those seeking capital preservation.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighRevenue is directly sensitive to fluctuations in global oil and gas benchmarks.
Valuation riskMediumThe stock price is subject to sector-wide re-ratings based on market sentiment toward energy.
Competition risk (Non-op landscape)MediumCompetition for high-quality working interests can drive up acquisition costs.
Business qualityMediumDependency on third-party operators limits internal control over operational execution.
Dividend incomeMediumDividends are variable and depend on commodity price realizations and capital reinvestment needs.
Execution riskMediumSuccess relies on the ability to identify and secure profitable non-operated interests.

Price Behavior

Steady Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Steady Uptrend

The stock demonstrates consistent and steady upward price momentum.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -45.18%
Avg. Invested days 29
Today’s Advisory SELL
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/25/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
GRNT receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals. The rating is constrained by soft unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
GRNT has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with moderate financial health, moderate growth momentum, and strong ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid earnings growth (+29.8%) and solid revenue growth (+18.5%) are partially offset by soft cash generation (FCF margin -27.3%), soft profitability (net margin 5.4%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
GRNT's financial health is supported by moderate efficiency, including operating-expense and cost-of-revenue discipline (opex 6.9% of revenue). Overall financial-health metrics support a 3-star score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Earnings growth is GRNT's strongest growth driver at +29.8% FY2025 versus FY2024 (solid, 4 stars). By comparison, revenue growth (+18.5%, solid) is also solid, while free-cash-flow growth (-72.4%, negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 74.1% and approximately 55.2% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 10.87% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Grey Rock Energy Management, LLC 41.90%
Hamilton Lane Advisors LLC 5.13%
Utah Retirement Systems 3.98%
BlackRock Inc 3.57%
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. 2.99%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
GRNT generates approximately $271 of gross profit, $202 of operating income, and $-273 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Strong cash conversion and healthy margins support the rating, although capital efficiency remains below the highest tier.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 24.17%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
GRNT has a liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedLow VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 585.64M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 7.8
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 7.8
Volume (30-day avg) 1.5M shares
Beta 0.17
52 Weeks Range 3.91 - 5.88
Updated Date 09/25/2026
52 Weeks Range 3.91 - 5.88
Updated Date 09/25/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 9.69%
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.22

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Oil & Gas SalesWorking interest revenue from oil, natural gas, and NGL production.The company acts as a silent partner in oil wells, collecting a share of revenue from the oil and gas sold.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 8.16
Enterprise Value 1.01B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.24
Enterprise Value 1.01B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.24
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.04
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.56
Shares Outstanding 131.90M
Shares Floating 72.75M
Shares Outstanding 131.90M
Shares Floating 72.75M
Percent Insiders 10.87
Percent Institutions 74.12

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About Granite Ridge Resources Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquarters Dallas, TX, United States
IPO Launch date 2020-11-06
CEO & President Mr. Tyler S. Farquharson
Sector Energy
Industry Oil & Gas E&P
Full time employees 6
Full time employees 6

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. operates as a non-operated oil and natural gas exploration and production company. It owns a portfolio of wells and acreage across the Permian, Eagle Ford, Bakken, Haynesville, Denver-Julesburg (DJ), Appalachian basins, and other unconventional basins in the United States. The company is based in Dallas, Texas.