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Upturn AI Summary - About
Granite Ridge Resources Inc(GRNT)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for GRNT
10/23/2026: GRNT (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Granite Ridge Resources Inc is a non-operated oil and gas company that focuses on acquiring and managing working interests in US energy projects. Its primary strength lies in a low-overhead business model that prioritizes free cash flow and dividend returns over heavy operational involvement. The company's main growth opportunity is the strategic consolidation of fragmented, high-yield energy interests across major basins. Investors should note significant risks related to commodity price volatility, reliance on third-party operators, and regulatory changes in the energy sector. This stock may suit value-oriented and income-focused investors who monitor commodity market trends and the firm's successful execution of accretive asset acquisitions.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth is largely dependent on successful acquisitions rather than internal product development. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum is often linked to the broader energy sector cycle rather than company-specific catalysts. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The company's focus on cash-flowing assets often appeals to investors seeking tangible asset-based value. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | The company employs a dividend policy designed to distribute excess cash flow to shareholders. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High exposure to oil and gas price volatility makes this a higher-risk security. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Revenue is directly tied to the highly cyclical prices of oil and natural gas. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | The company's valuation fluctuates with sector sentiment and energy commodity forecasts. |
| Competition risk (energy asset acquisition) | Medium / high | Strong competition for high-quality, non-operated energy interests can drive up acquisition costs. |
| Business quality | Medium | As a non-operator, the company depends on the operational competence of third parties. |
| Dividend income | Medium | Dividends are variable and subject to change based on commodity market health and internal cash flow needs. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Success depends on the effective identification and integration of acquired asset portfolios. |
Price Behavior
Flat / Range-Bound
The stock price has been trading within a narrow range with minimal directional movement.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -43.25% | Avg. Invested days 27 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/23/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 772.94M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 8.2 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 8.2 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.4M shares | Beta 0.2 | 52 Weeks Range 3.91 - 5.96 | Updated Date 10/24/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 3.91 - 5.96 | Updated Date 10/24/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 7.79% | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.22 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Oil and Gas Production | Working interests in oil and natural gas wells. | The company makes money by collecting a share of the oil and gas produced by wells owned by other operators. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 8.16 | Enterprise Value 963.72M | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.64 |
Enterprise Value 963.72M | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.64 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.23 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 3.72 | Shares Outstanding 131.90M | Shares Floating 70.54M |
Shares Outstanding 131.90M | Shares Floating 70.54M | ||
Percent Insiders 10.88 | Percent Institutions 77.53 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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