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Upturn AI Summary - About
Granite Ridge Resources Inc(GRNT)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for GRNT
10/09/2026: GRNT (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Granite Ridge Resources Inc is a US-listed oil and gas company that focuses on a non-operated business model, maintaining working interests in productive assets across major basins like the Permian. By partnering with experienced operators, the company benefits from a low-overhead structure that supports consistent cash flow and dividend payments. Its growth strategy centers on acquiring and optimizing these working interests, offering investors exposure to energy production with less direct operational complexity. However, it faces significant risks from commodity price volatility and its reliance on the decisions of third-party operators. The stock may suit income-focused investors who can tolerate cyclical volatility, though monitoring commodity trends and partner activity is essential.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth is largely tied to commodity prices and acquisition pace rather than organic technological expansion. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum is often linked to oil price cycles rather than internal company-specific catalysts. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The company often trades at reasonable multiples of cash flow typical of efficient E&P operators. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | The company offers a reliable dividend yield derived from consistent production cash flows. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | Exposure to commodity price volatility makes the stock unsuitable for those seeking capital preservation. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Revenue is directly sensitive to fluctuations in global oil and gas benchmarks. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | The stock price is subject to sector-wide re-ratings based on market sentiment toward energy. |
| Competition risk (Non-op landscape) | Medium | Competition for high-quality working interests can drive up acquisition costs. |
| Business quality | Medium | Dependency on third-party operators limits internal control over operational execution. |
| Dividend income | Medium | Dividends are variable and depend on commodity price realizations and capital reinvestment needs. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Success relies on the ability to identify and secure profitable non-operated interests. |
Price Behavior
Flat / Range-Bound
The stock price has been trading within a narrow range with minimal directional movement.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -45.18% | Avg. Invested days 29 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/09/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 629.16M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.8 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.8 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.5M shares | Beta 0.2 | 52 Weeks Range 3.91 - 5.88 | Updated Date 10/11/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 3.91 - 5.88 | Updated Date 10/11/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 9.17% | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.22 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Oil & Gas Sales | Working interest revenue from oil, natural gas, and NGL production. | The company acts as a silent partner in oil wells, collecting a share of revenue from the oil and gas sold. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 8.16 | Enterprise Value 1.01B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.33 |
Enterprise Value 1.01B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.33 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.04 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.56 | Shares Outstanding 131.90M | Shares Floating 72.74M |
Shares Outstanding 131.90M | Shares Floating 72.74M | ||
Percent Insiders 10.88 | Percent Institutions 75.49 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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