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Upturn stock rating
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Northern Oil & Gas Inc (NOG)

Upturn stock rating
$21.72
Last Close (24-hour delay)
upturn advisory
PASS
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  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
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Upturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

10/15/2025: NOG (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

10 Analysts rated it

Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.

1 Year Target Price $33

1 Year Target Price $33

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$33 Target price
52w Low $19.26
Current$21.72
52w High $41.8

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 3.56%
Avg. Invested days 40
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/15/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 2.11B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 3.56
1Y Target Price 33
Price to earnings Ratio 3.56
1Y Target Price 33
Volume (30-day avg) 10
Beta 1.62
52 Weeks Range 19.26 - 41.80
Updated Date 10/17/2025
52 Weeks Range 19.26 - 41.80
Updated Date 10/17/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 8.12%
Basic EPS (TTM) 6.06

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 29.07%
Operating Margin (TTM) 39.28%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 12.16%
Return on Equity (TTM) 27.17%

Valuation

Trailing PE 3.56
Forward PE 10.81
Enterprise Value 4692117836
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.01
Enterprise Value 4692117836
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.01
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.11
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 2.64
Shares Outstanding 97594682
Shares Floating 94177951
Shares Outstanding 97594682
Shares Floating 94177951
Percent Insiders 2.98
Percent Institutions 118.87

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Northern Oil & Gas Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. (NOG) was founded in 2007. It focuses on acquiring and developing non-operated minority working and mineral interests in the Bakken and Three Forks formations in North Dakota and Montana.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Acquisition and Development: Acquiring and developing non-operated working and mineral interests primarily in the Bakken and Three Forks formations.
  • Oil and Gas Production: Generating revenue through the production and sale of oil and natural gas from its acquired interests.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Andrew Benjamin (CEO), Chad Allen (CFO). Operates with a lean corporate structure focused on acquisitions and managing non-operated interests.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Crude Oil: Crude oil production and sales are the primary revenue driver. No definitive market share for NOG alone for crude oil but production volume can be extracted from financials. Competitors include Devon Energy (DVN), Continental Resources (CLR), EOG Resources (EOG).
  • Natural Gas: Natural gas production and sales contribute to revenue. Relatively smaller portion than crude oil. Competitors include Devon Energy (DVN), Continental Resources (CLR), EOG Resources (EOG).

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The oil and gas industry is cyclical and influenced by global supply and demand, geopolitical events, and technological advancements. Currently characterized by fluctuating prices, increased focus on ESG, and consolidation.

Positioning

NOG is a non-operator, meaning it doesn't directly manage drilling and production, but rather owns working interests. This allows for diversification across numerous wells and operators. Competitive advantage lies in its acquisition strategy and efficient capital allocation.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

TAM for the Bakken region production is estimated in hundreds of billions. NOG captures a portion through its working interests. NOG is positioned to grow as more operators and assets join the region.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Diversified asset base through non-operated working interests
  • Experienced management team with a proven acquisition track record
  • Strong financial position allowing for further acquisitions
  • Exposure to high-growth Bakken and Three Forks formations

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on other operators for drilling and production
  • Vulnerability to commodity price fluctuations
  • Potential for increased competition in the acquisition market
  • Dependence on regulatory approvals

Opportunities

  • Further acquisitions of producing assets
  • Expansion into new geographic areas or formations
  • Increased demand for oil and gas driven by economic growth
  • Technological advancements leading to improved drilling efficiency

Threats

  • Decline in oil and gas prices
  • Increased regulation and environmental concerns
  • Competition from larger, better-capitalized companies
  • Geopolitical instability impacting global energy markets

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • DVN
  • CLR
  • EOG

Competitive Landscape

NOG differentiates itself through its non-operated model. While it lacks direct control over operations, it benefits from diversification and lower capital expenditures per well.

Major Acquisitions

Veritas Energy

  • Year: 2022
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 325
  • Strategic Rationale: Increased working interests in core operating areas, boosting production and cash flow.

Spring Creek Exploration

  • Year: 2021
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 165
  • Strategic Rationale: Expanded asset base in the Williston Basin, enhancing production capacity.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: NOG has demonstrated growth through strategic acquisitions and increased production from existing assets. Performance depends on market conditions.

Future Projections: Analyst projections vary, but generally anticipate continued growth driven by acquisitions and favorable commodity prices.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include new acquisitions, debt reduction efforts, and shareholder return programs.

Summary

Northern Oil & Gas benefits from its strategic non-operated working interests in the Bakken, facilitating diversification. Recent initiatives to reduce debt and boost shareholder returns look promising. The reliance on commodity prices represents a risk. The company is in a good place and is able to make future acquisitions and has a good chance of growing substantially.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company filings (10-K, 10-Q)
  • Investor presentations
  • Earnings call transcripts
  • Analyst reports
  • Company press releases

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investment decisions should be made based on individual circumstances and consultation with a qualified financial advisor. Data is based on available information at the time of analysis and may be subject to change.

Upturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Northern Oil & Gas Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Minnetonka, MN, United States
IPO Launch date 2007-04-13
CEO & Director Mr. Nicholas L. O'Grady
Sector Energy
Industry Oil & Gas E&P
Full time employees 49
Full time employees 49

Northern Oil and Gas, Inc., an independent energy company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, exploitation, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas properties in the United States. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Minnetonka, Minnesota.