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Upturn AI SWOT - About
NOG 
Northern Oil & Gas Inc (NOG)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/14/2025: NOG (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Number of Analysts
10 Analysts rated it
Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.
1 Year Target Price $35.41
1 Year Target Price $35.41
| 4 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 5 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 3.51% | Avg. Invested days 40 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 08/14/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.42B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 4.1 | 1Y Target Price 35.41 |
Price to earnings Ratio 4.1 | 1Y Target Price 35.41 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 10 | Beta 1.56 | 52 Weeks Range 19.58 - 42.49 | Updated Date 08/14/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 19.58 - 42.49 | Updated Date 08/14/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 7.00% | Basic EPS (TTM) 6.06 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-07-31 | When - | Estimate 0.95 | Actual 1 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 29.07% | Operating Margin (TTM) 39.28% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 12.16% | Return on Equity (TTM) 27.17% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 4.1 | Forward PE 6.6 | Enterprise Value 4766289794 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.16 |
Enterprise Value 4766289794 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.16 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.14 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 2.69 | Shares Outstanding 97594704 | Shares Floating 94201260 |
Shares Outstanding 97594704 | Shares Floating 94201260 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.97 | Percent Institutions 118.51 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Northern Oil & Gas Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. was founded in 2007. Initially focused on acquiring and developing non-operated minority working and mineral interests in the Bakken and Three Forks formations, it has grown through strategic acquisitions and organic development.
Core Business Areas
- Oil and Gas Acquisition and Development: Acquiring and developing non-operated working and mineral interests in the Williston Basin (primarily Bakken and Three Forks formations) and the Permian Basin. Focuses on areas with strong production and development potential.
Leadership and Structure
Ryan Rausch serves as Chief Executive Officer. The company operates with a typical corporate structure, including a board of directors and various operational departments for finance, engineering, and land management.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Crude Oil and Natural Gas Production: Northern Oil & Gas generates revenue primarily from the sale of crude oil and natural gas produced from its non-operated interests. Market share is small relative to large integrated oil companies; production volumes and revenue are dependent on commodity prices and operator activity. Competitors include larger exploration and production (E&P) companies such as EOG Resources (EOG), Continental Resources (CLR) (now a private company), and Hess Corporation (HES).
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The oil and gas industry is cyclical and highly sensitive to global supply and demand dynamics. Recent trends include increased focus on ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) factors, technological advancements in drilling and production, and geopolitical influences on energy prices.
Positioning
Northern Oil & Gas is a non-operated working interest owner, allowing it to participate in production without directly managing operations. This mitigates some risk but also limits control. Their competitive advantage lies in their ability to acquire attractive assets and partner with experienced operators.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for oil and gas is vast and global, dependent on overall energy demand. Northern Oil & Gas's position is a niche player within the larger E&P market, focused on specific basins and non-operated interests. Estimates place the global oil and gas market in the trillions of USD annually.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Non-operated business model mitigates operational risk
- Strategic focus on high-return basins
- Experienced management team
- Disciplined acquisition strategy
- Strong hedge portfolio
Weaknesses
- Dependent on operator performance
- Exposure to commodity price volatility
- Relatively small size compared to major E&P companies
- Limited control over production decisions
Opportunities
- Further consolidation in the oil and gas industry
- Technological advancements improving production efficiency
- Strategic acquisitions of undervalued assets
- Increased demand for oil and gas in emerging markets
Threats
- Declining oil and gas prices
- Increased regulatory scrutiny
- Environmental concerns and pressure to transition to renewable energy
- Geopolitical instability impacting energy markets
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- EOG
- HES
- MRO
- DVN
Competitive Landscape
Northern Oil & Gas benefits from its non-operated model but is disadvantaged by its smaller size and dependence on operator performance. Its acquisition strategy is crucial for maintaining competitiveness.
Major Acquisitions
Veritas Energy
- Year: 2022
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 408
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded Northern's footprint in the Permian Basin, adding high-quality, producing assets.
Bequia E&P
- Year: 2023
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 330
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded Northern's footprint in the Delaware Basin, adding high-quality, producing assets.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Growth has been driven by strategic acquisitions and increased production from existing assets.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates vary based on commodity price forecasts and company-specific growth plans. Future growth is expected to be driven by continued acquisitions and development of existing assets.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include strategic acquisitions in the Permian Basin and efforts to optimize production from existing properties.
Summary
Northern Oil & Gas is a smaller player in the oil and gas industry, but their non-operated model and strategic acquisitions contribute to their growth. Commodity price volatility and dependence on operator performance remain significant risks. However, their strategic position in key basins and disciplined approach to acquisitions provide a solid foundation. The company is exposed to oil price fluctuations which can lead to poor results for the company if they are not hedged adequately and a shift to renewable energy is also a headwind for the company.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings (SEC)
- Analyst Reports
- Industry Publications
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investment decisions should be based on thorough research and consultation with a qualified financial advisor. Market share figures are estimates and may not be precise.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Northern Oil & Gas Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Minnetonka, MN, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2007-04-13 | CEO & Director Mr. Nicholas L. O'Grady | ||
Sector Energy | Industry Oil & Gas E&P | Full time employees 49 | Website https://www.noginc.com |
Full time employees 49 | Website https://www.noginc.com | ||
Northern Oil and Gas, Inc., an independent energy company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, exploitation, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas properties in the United States. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Minnetonka, Minnesota.
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