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Northern Oil & Gas Inc (NOG)


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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/15/2025: NOG (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $33
1 Year Target Price $33
4 | Strong Buy |
1 | Buy |
5 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 3.56% | Avg. Invested days 40 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.11B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 3.56 | 1Y Target Price 33 |
Price to earnings Ratio 3.56 | 1Y Target Price 33 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 10 | Beta 1.62 | 52 Weeks Range 19.26 - 41.80 | Updated Date 10/17/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 19.26 - 41.80 | Updated Date 10/17/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 8.12% | Basic EPS (TTM) 6.06 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 29.07% | Operating Margin (TTM) 39.28% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 12.16% | Return on Equity (TTM) 27.17% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 3.56 | Forward PE 10.81 | Enterprise Value 4692117836 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.01 |
Enterprise Value 4692117836 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.01 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.11 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 2.64 | Shares Outstanding 97594682 | Shares Floating 94177951 |
Shares Outstanding 97594682 | Shares Floating 94177951 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.98 | Percent Institutions 118.87 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Northern Oil & Gas Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. (NOG) was founded in 2007. It focuses on acquiring and developing non-operated minority working and mineral interests in the Bakken and Three Forks formations in North Dakota and Montana.
Core Business Areas
- Acquisition and Development: Acquiring and developing non-operated working and mineral interests primarily in the Bakken and Three Forks formations.
- Oil and Gas Production: Generating revenue through the production and sale of oil and natural gas from its acquired interests.
Leadership and Structure
Andrew Benjamin (CEO), Chad Allen (CFO). Operates with a lean corporate structure focused on acquisitions and managing non-operated interests.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Crude Oil: Crude oil production and sales are the primary revenue driver. No definitive market share for NOG alone for crude oil but production volume can be extracted from financials. Competitors include Devon Energy (DVN), Continental Resources (CLR), EOG Resources (EOG).
- Natural Gas: Natural gas production and sales contribute to revenue. Relatively smaller portion than crude oil. Competitors include Devon Energy (DVN), Continental Resources (CLR), EOG Resources (EOG).
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The oil and gas industry is cyclical and influenced by global supply and demand, geopolitical events, and technological advancements. Currently characterized by fluctuating prices, increased focus on ESG, and consolidation.
Positioning
NOG is a non-operator, meaning it doesn't directly manage drilling and production, but rather owns working interests. This allows for diversification across numerous wells and operators. Competitive advantage lies in its acquisition strategy and efficient capital allocation.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
TAM for the Bakken region production is estimated in hundreds of billions. NOG captures a portion through its working interests. NOG is positioned to grow as more operators and assets join the region.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Diversified asset base through non-operated working interests
- Experienced management team with a proven acquisition track record
- Strong financial position allowing for further acquisitions
- Exposure to high-growth Bakken and Three Forks formations
Weaknesses
- Reliance on other operators for drilling and production
- Vulnerability to commodity price fluctuations
- Potential for increased competition in the acquisition market
- Dependence on regulatory approvals
Opportunities
- Further acquisitions of producing assets
- Expansion into new geographic areas or formations
- Increased demand for oil and gas driven by economic growth
- Technological advancements leading to improved drilling efficiency
Threats
- Decline in oil and gas prices
- Increased regulation and environmental concerns
- Competition from larger, better-capitalized companies
- Geopolitical instability impacting global energy markets
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- DVN
- CLR
- EOG
Competitive Landscape
NOG differentiates itself through its non-operated model. While it lacks direct control over operations, it benefits from diversification and lower capital expenditures per well.
Major Acquisitions
Veritas Energy
- Year: 2022
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 325
- Strategic Rationale: Increased working interests in core operating areas, boosting production and cash flow.
Spring Creek Exploration
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 165
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded asset base in the Williston Basin, enhancing production capacity.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: NOG has demonstrated growth through strategic acquisitions and increased production from existing assets. Performance depends on market conditions.
Future Projections: Analyst projections vary, but generally anticipate continued growth driven by acquisitions and favorable commodity prices.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include new acquisitions, debt reduction efforts, and shareholder return programs.
Summary
Northern Oil & Gas benefits from its strategic non-operated working interests in the Bakken, facilitating diversification. Recent initiatives to reduce debt and boost shareholder returns look promising. The reliance on commodity prices represents a risk. The company is in a good place and is able to make future acquisitions and has a good chance of growing substantially.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Investor presentations
- Earnings call transcripts
- Analyst reports
- Company press releases
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investment decisions should be made based on individual circumstances and consultation with a qualified financial advisor. Data is based on available information at the time of analysis and may be subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Northern Oil & Gas Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Minnetonka, MN, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2007-04-13 | CEO & Director Mr. Nicholas L. O'Grady | ||
Sector Energy | Industry Oil & Gas E&P | Full time employees 49 | Website https://www.noginc.com |
Full time employees 49 | Website https://www.noginc.com |
Northern Oil and Gas, Inc., an independent energy company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, exploitation, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas properties in the United States. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Minnetonka, Minnesota.

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