NOG official logo NOG
NOG 1-star rating from Upturn Advisory
Northern Oil & Gas Inc (NOG) company logo

Northern Oil & Gas Inc (NOG)

Northern Oil & Gas Inc (NOG) 1-star rating from Upturn Advisory
$21.87
Last Close (24-hour delay)
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Upturn Advisory Summary

01/09/2026: NOG (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

Upturn 1 star rating for performance

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

3 star rating from financial analysts

10 Analysts rated it

Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.

1 Year Target Price $30.7

1 Year Target Price $30.7

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$30.7 Target price
52w Low $18.86
Current$21.87
52w High $39.59

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -10.84%
Avg. Invested days 36
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 01/09/2026
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Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 2.13B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 12.02
1Y Target Price 30.7
Price to earnings Ratio 12.02
1Y Target Price 30.7
Volume (30-day avg) 10
Beta 0.99
52 Weeks Range 18.86 - 39.59
Updated Date 01/9/2026
52 Weeks Range 18.86 - 39.59
Updated Date 01/9/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 8.16%
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.82

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

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Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 8.84%
Operating Margin (TTM) 42.5%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 10.51%
Return on Equity (TTM) 7.95%

Valuation

Trailing PE 12.02
Forward PE 8.78
Enterprise Value 4430263563
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.04
Enterprise Value 4430263563
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.04
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.02
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 3.61
Shares Outstanding 97602978
Shares Floating 94187859
Shares Outstanding 97602978
Shares Floating 94187859
Percent Insiders 2.99
Percent Institutions 118.92

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI SWOT

Northern Oil & Gas Inc

Northern Oil & Gas Inc(NOG) company logo displayed in Upturn AI summary

Company Overview

Company history and background logo History and Background

Northern Oil & Gas Inc. (NOG) was founded in 2007. The company has evolved from an independent oil and gas company primarily focused on the Williston Basin to a diversified operator with a strategic focus on acquiring and optimizing non-operated working interests in high-quality oil and gas assets, particularly in the Permian Basin and the Williston Basin. Key milestones include strategic acquisitions, debt refinancing, and a consistent focus on shareholder returns.

Company business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Oil and Gas Exploration and Production: Northern Oil & Gas Inc. focuses on acquiring and developing non-operated working interests in oil and gas properties. This strategy allows them to participate in prolific basins without the full operational burden of drilling and completion. Their primary basins of operation are the Permian Basin in West Texas and New Mexico, and the Williston Basin in North Dakota and Montana.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Northern Oil & Gas Inc. is led by a management team with extensive experience in the oil and gas industry. The company operates with a lean corporate structure, emphasizing strategic acquisitions and capital allocation. Key executives include the Chief Executive Officer, Chief Financial Officer, and Chief Operating Officer.

Top Products and Market Share

Product Key Offerings logo Key Offerings

  • Oil and Natural Gas Production: The company's primary 'product' is its share of the oil and natural gas produced from the wells in which it holds non-operated working interests. Market share data for this specific type of non-operated interest is difficult to quantify as it's derived from a multitude of operated wells. Competitors in this space are numerous, ranging from large integrated oil companies to smaller independent operators and other non-operated interest holders.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The oil and gas industry is characterized by volatile commodity prices, significant capital expenditure requirements, regulatory oversight, and a global demand influenced by economic activity and geopolitical events. The Permian and Williston Basins are among the most prolific and cost-efficient shale plays in the United States.

Positioning

Northern Oil & Gas Inc. has positioned itself as a strategic acquirer of non-operated working interests in top-tier basins. Their competitive advantage lies in their disciplined acquisition strategy, focus on optimizing existing production, and strong relationships with operators. This approach allows them to generate cash flow and return capital to shareholders without the full operational risk and capital intensity of being a primary operator.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The Total Addressable Market for oil and gas production in the United States is vast, measured in trillions of dollars. Northern Oil & Gas Inc. targets a specific segment within this TAM u2013 high-quality, non-operated working interests in mature and developing plays. Their strategy focuses on acquiring a meaningful share within these targeted asset classes rather than the entire market.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strategic focus on acquiring non-operated working interests in low-cost, high-return basins.
  • Disciplined capital allocation and financial management.
  • Strong relationships with key operators in their target basins.
  • Commitment to returning capital to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.
  • Experienced management team with deep industry knowledge.

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on third-party operators for drilling and completion activities.
  • Limited control over operational decisions and efficiency.
  • Sensitivity to commodity price fluctuations.
  • Potential for dilution if equity is used for acquisitions.
  • Lower operational leverage compared to fully operated E&P companies.

Opportunities

  • Continued consolidation within the oil and gas industry, presenting acquisition opportunities.
  • Technological advancements improving well productivity and recovery rates.
  • Potential for increased production from existing acreage through optimization.
  • Diversification into other prolific basins or resource types.
  • Strategic partnerships with operators for joint development.

Threats

  • Sustained periods of low oil and natural gas prices.
  • Increasing regulatory burdens and environmental concerns.
  • Geopolitical instability impacting global energy markets.
  • Competition for attractive acquisition assets.
  • Operational issues or underperformance by third-party operators.

Competitors and Market Share

Key competitor logo Key Competitors

  • Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG)
  • Pioneer Natural Resources Company (PXD)
  • EOG Resources Inc. (EOG)
  • Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY)
  • ConocoPhillips (COP)

Competitive Landscape

Northern Oil & Gas Inc. competes in a highly fragmented market. While larger integrated companies and dedicated operators have significant advantages in terms of scale, operational control, and capital access, NOG's niche strategy of focusing on non-operated interests in prime basins allows it to thrive. Its advantages include agility in acquisitions and a disciplined approach to capital allocation, while its disadvantages stem from its reliance on third-party operators and a smaller overall scale compared to industry giants.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Northern Oil & Gas Inc.'s historical growth has been driven by strategic acquisitions of non-operated working interests in promising oil and gas plays, particularly in the Permian and Williston Basins. This has led to an expansion of its production base and revenue streams.

Future Projections: Future growth projections for Northern Oil & Gas Inc. are typically based on analyst estimates of production growth, commodity prices, and the company's ability to execute further accretive acquisitions. These projections often consider the company's existing acreage, planned development by operators, and potential new ventures. Analysts generally forecast continued production growth and strong cash flow generation.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives have likely focused on deleveraging the balance sheet, optimizing existing asset performance, and identifying strategic acquisition opportunities to enhance cash flow and shareholder returns. This includes refinancing debt and potentially increasing the dividend or share repurchase program.

Summary

Northern Oil & Gas Inc. is a strategically focused player in the US oil and gas sector, excelling in the acquisition of non-operated working interests in prolific basins. Its strengths lie in disciplined capital allocation and shareholder returns, while its primary weakness is its reliance on third-party operators. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on industry consolidation and technological advancements, but remains susceptible to commodity price volatility and regulatory shifts. Overall, NOG demonstrates a robust business model for its niche, delivering consistent value through smart acquisitions and efficient operations.

Similar Stocks

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company Investor Relations Websites
  • Financial News and Data Providers (e.g., Bloomberg, Refinitiv, Yahoo Finance)
  • Industry Analyst Reports
  • SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)

Disclaimers:

This JSON output is generated for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The data presented is based on publicly available information and may not be exhaustive or perfectly up-to-date. Market share data and competitor analysis are estimates and subject to change. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization accuracy disclaimer AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization data freshness disclaimer Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Information icon warning about Upturn AI Fundamental Rating based on potentially old data Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

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About Northern Oil & Gas Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Minnetonka, MN, United States
IPO Launch date 2007-04-13
CEO & Director Mr. Nicholas L. O'Grady
Sector Energy
Industry Oil & Gas E&P
Full time employees 49
Full time employees 49

Northern Oil and Gas, Inc., an independent energy company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, exploitation, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas properties in the United States. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Minnetonka, Minnesota.