Happen, Inc. Common Stock(HAPN)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
3-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$14.34
10/28/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for HAPN

10/28/2026: HAPN (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Happen, Inc. is a digital-first bank that provides a range of lending and deposit services, serving as a successor to LendingClub. Its core strength lies in a proprietary marketplace model that efficiently connects high-income borrowers with institutional capital. The primary investment story centers on its ability to scale its digital banking platform while expanding into new niches like small business lending. Key risks include intense fintech competition, macroeconomic sensitivity to interest rates, and the challenges of managing credit quality. The stock may best suit growth-oriented investors looking for exposure to modern financial services, provided they monitor earnings consistency and evolving regulatory pressures.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorStrong fitThe company's digital-first banking model provides a scalable foundation for long-term growth in the fintech sector.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positivePositive analyst sentiment and recent product innovations suggest potential for price momentum.
Value investorMixed fitWhile the P/E ratio is modest, the stock's volatility may challenge traditional value investors.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company does not currently offer a dividend, prioritizing capital for technological and business expansion.
Low-risk investorWeak fitHigh beta and sector sensitivity make this stock more suitable for investors with a higher risk appetite.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock's high beta indicates it reacts significantly to broader market and sector-specific movements.
Valuation riskMediumWhile earnings support the current valuation, growth expectations are baked into the stock price.
Competition risk (fintech and banking)HighIntense competition from established banks and agile fintechs threatens market share in the lending space.
Business qualityMedium / highThe company has established a stable digital banking business, though it is still evolving its brand and market position.
Dividend incomeLow / noneInvestors should not expect income generation from this stock.
Execution riskMediumSuccessfully managing the transition to a full-scale digital bank requires flawless operational performance.

Price Behavior

Rolling Over
PRICE PATH

Rolling Over

The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 66.73%
Avg. Invested days 42
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/28/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
HAPN receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
HAPN has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with moderate financial health, solid growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong earnings growth (+164.3%) and solid revenue growth (+15.0%) are partially offset by weak cash generation (FCF margin -214.8%), modest insider ownership of 3.08%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
HAPN's financial health is supported by solid efficiency, including operating-expense and cost-of-revenue discipline (opex 39.7% of revenue). Liquidity is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Earnings growth is HAPN's strongest growth driver at +164.3% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, revenue growth (+15.0%, solid) is also solid, while free-cash-flow growth (-6.7%, negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 93.9% and approximately 96.7% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 3.08% provides only moderate management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Wellington Management Company LLP 13.24%
BlackRock Inc 8.72%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 7.15%
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. 5.45%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 4.26%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
HAPN generates approximately $647 of gross profit, $250 of operating income, and $-2,148 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Weak margins and weak cash conversion support a 3-star rating, while capital efficiency is strong.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 23.32%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
HAPN has a high-quality, liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while elevated volatility.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltHigh VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.65B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 8.63
1Y Target Price 24.5
Price to earnings Ratio 8.63
1Y Target Price 24.5
Volume (30-day avg) 2.3M shares
Beta 1.89
52 Weeks Range 13.05 - 21.67
Updated Date 10/28/2026
52 Weeks Range 13.05 - 21.67
Updated Date 10/28/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.66

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Lending ProductsPersonal, small business, and auto loans originating through digital platforms.Interest and fees from loans are a primary driver of the company's top line.
Deposit ServicesHigh-yield savings and checking account services.These deposits provide a low-cost funding source for the bank's lending activities.
GeographyOperations concentrated within the United States.The company's performance is tied directly to the health of the U.S. consumer and small business economy.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-10-28
When After Market
Estimate 0.47
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 14.03%
Operating Margin (TTM) 21.45%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 1.34%
Return on Equity (TTM) 13.16%

Valuation

Trailing PE 8.63
Forward PE 5.61
Enterprise Value 751.24M
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.19
Enterprise Value 751.24M
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.19
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.53
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -
Shares Outstanding 115.41M
Shares Floating 111.65M
Shares Outstanding 115.41M
Shares Floating 111.65M
Percent Insiders 3.08
Percent Institutions 93.95

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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