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HCC 
Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/28/2025: HCC (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Upturn Star Rating
Below Average Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.
Number of Analysts
7 Analysts rated it
Limited analyst coverage, niche firm, research info may be scarce.
1 Year Target Price $80.83
1 Year Target Price $80.83
| 3 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 4 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 48.95% | Avg. Invested days 37 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  4.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/28/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.12B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 118.62 | 1Y Target Price 80.83 |
Price to earnings Ratio 118.62 | 1Y Target Price 80.83 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 7 | Beta 0.72 | 52 Weeks Range 37.85 - 85.86 | Updated Date 11/30/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 37.85 - 85.86 | Updated Date 11/30/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.41% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.66 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-11-05 | When - | Estimate -0.2959 | Actual 0.7 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 2.87% | Operating Margin (TTM) 6.32% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.17% | Return on Equity (TTM) 1.67% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 118.62 | Forward PE 12.64 | Enterprise Value 3959763513 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.36 |
Enterprise Value 3959763513 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.36 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.24 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 19.81 | Shares Outstanding 52570156 | Shares Floating 51488262 |
Shares Outstanding 52570156 | Shares Floating 51488262 | ||
Percent Insiders 2 | Percent Institutions 114.7 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Warrior Met Coal Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Warrior Met Coal Inc. was formed in 2015 after acquiring assets from Walter Energy following its bankruptcy. It focuses on the production and export of high-quality metallurgical coal.
Core Business Areas
- Metallurgical Coal Production: Warrior Met Coal Inc. mines and produces metallurgical coal, a key ingredient in steelmaking. They operate two underground mines in Alabama.
Leadership and Structure
The leadership team consists of experienced professionals in the coal mining industry. The company structure is typical of a mining operation, with departments for operations, sales, finance, and administration.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- High-Quality Metallurgical Coal: Warrior Met Coal's primary product is high-quality metallurgical coal used in steel production. Market share is estimated to be around 2-3% globally. Competitors include Teck Resources (TECK), BHP Group (BHP), and Peabody Energy (BTU).
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The metallurgical coal industry is driven by global steel production, particularly in Asia. Prices are influenced by supply and demand dynamics, trade policies, and geopolitical factors.
Positioning
Warrior Met Coal Inc. is positioned as a low-cost, high-quality metallurgical coal producer. Its competitive advantage lies in its efficient mining operations and access to export markets.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global metallurgical coal market is estimated at $40-$60 billion annually. Warrior Met Coal's TAM is a fraction of this, given its production capacity, but is well positioned to grow.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Low-cost producer
- High-quality metallurgical coal reserves
- Efficient mining operations
- Access to export markets
Weaknesses
- Concentrated operations in one region (Alabama)
- Vulnerability to coal price fluctuations
- Labor relations
Opportunities
- Increasing global steel production (especially outside of China)
- Expansion of export markets
- Potential acquisitions of additional coal reserves
Threats
- Decreasing demand for steel
- Stringent environmental regulations
- Geopolitical instability
- Labor disputes
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- TECK
- BHP
- BTU
Competitive Landscape
Warrior Met Coal competes on price and quality. Its lower cost structure provides an advantage, but larger competitors have greater scale and diversification.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Warrior Met Coal's growth has been tied to its ability to increase production and export sales. Fluctuations in coal prices have impacted revenue and profitability.
Future Projections: Analyst projections depend on market conditions, but generally assume continued growth in production and sales, contingent on global steel demand.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives involve improving operational efficiency, exploring new export markets, and managing labor relations.
Summary
Warrior Met Coal is a low-cost metallurgical coal producer with solid access to export markets. Its concentrated operations and reliance on metallurgical coal prices present vulnerabilities. Growth depends on global steel demand and strategic initiatives. Management of labor relations are key to continued success.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings
- Industry Reports
- Analyst Estimates
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investment decisions should be made based on individual circumstances and consultation with a financial professional.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Warrior Met Coal Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Brookwood, AL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2017-04-13 | CEO & Director Mr. Walter J. Scheller III | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Coking Coal | Full time employees 1336 | Website https://warriormetcoal.com |
Full time employees 1336 | Website https://warriormetcoal.com | ||
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. engages in the production and export of non-thermal steelmaking coal for the steel production by metal manufacturers in Europe, South America, and Asia. The company offers hard-coking coal through the operation of underground mines located in Alabama. It also sells natural gas extracted as a byproduct from coal production. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Brookwood, Alabama.
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