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HCC 
Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/09/2026: HCC (3-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 81 days. Simulated Profits (55.38%). Updated daily EoD!
Upturn Star Rating
Moderate Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.
Number of Analysts
7 Analysts rated it
Limited analyst coverage, niche firm, research info may be scarce.
1 Year Target Price $89.17
1 Year Target Price $89.17
| 3 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 4 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 84.49% | Avg. Invested days 40 | Today’s Advisory Regular Buy |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  4.0 | Stock Returns Performance  4.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/09/2026 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 5.03B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 144.86 | 1Y Target Price 89.17 |
Price to earnings Ratio 144.86 | 1Y Target Price 89.17 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 7 | Beta 0.66 | 52 Weeks Range 37.85 - 99.25 | Updated Date 01/9/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 37.85 - 99.25 | Updated Date 01/9/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.35% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.66 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 2.87% | Operating Margin (TTM) 6.32% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.17% | Return on Equity (TTM) 1.67% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 144.86 | Forward PE 15.43 | Enterprise Value 4870278615 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.11 |
Enterprise Value 4870278615 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.11 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.98 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 24.36 | Shares Outstanding 52570156 | Shares Floating 51488262 |
Shares Outstanding 52570156 | Shares Floating 51488262 | ||
Percent Insiders 2 | Percent Institutions 113.6 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Warrior Met Coal Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Warrior Met Coal Inc. (NYSE: HCC) is a leading producer of high-quality metallurgical coal, primarily serving the steel industry. The company was formed in 2015 when the assets of Walter Energy were acquired out of bankruptcy by a private equity consortium. Warrior Met Coal became a publicly traded company in 2017. Its operations are concentrated in the Black Warrior Basin of Alabama, a region known for producing some of the highest-quality metallurgical coal in the United States.
Core Business Areas
- Metallurgical Coal Production: Warrior Met Coal is exclusively focused on the mining and sale of high-quality, low-volatile metallurgical coal. This type of coal is a critical component in the production of steel through the blast furnace process. The company operates several mining complexes and processing facilities in Alabama.
Leadership and Structure
Warrior Met Coal Inc. is led by a seasoned management team with extensive experience in the coal mining industry. The specific individuals and their roles can be found in the company's investor relations materials and annual reports. The company is structured around its mining operations and sales, with key functions including mining, processing, sales and marketing, and corporate administration.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- High-Quality Metallurgical Coal: Warrior Met Coal's primary product is high-quality, low-volatile metallurgical coal. This product is essential for the production of steel and is sold to major steel producers globally. The company's coal is known for its favorable properties, such as low sulfur and ash content, and high coke strength. Competitors include other US-based metallurgical coal producers and international suppliers from Australia, Canada, and Russia. Specific market share data for individual coal products is not typically publicly disclosed by producers, but Warrior Met Coal is a significant player in the US metallurgical coal export market.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The metallurgical coal industry is cyclical and closely tied to global steel production and demand. Key drivers include industrial output, infrastructure development, and automotive manufacturing. The industry faces ongoing scrutiny regarding environmental impact and the transition to cleaner energy sources. China's steel production is a dominant factor in global demand for metallurgical coal.
Positioning
Warrior Met Coal is positioned as a premium producer of high-quality metallurgical coal, benefiting from the geological advantages of the Black Warrior Basin. Its competitive advantages include its low-cost production, high product quality, and established relationships with key customers in the steel industry. The company's focus on a single, high-demand commodity allows for operational efficiency.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global metallurgical coal market is substantial, driven by worldwide steel demand. While exact TAM figures fluctuate with economic conditions and steel production levels, it represents a multi-billion dollar market. Warrior Met Coal operates within this global market, primarily as an exporter, and its positioning is based on its ability to supply a high-quality, cost-competitive product to international steelmakers.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Access to high-quality metallurgical coal reserves.
- Low-cost production capabilities.
- Experienced management team and operational expertise.
- Established customer relationships in the global steel industry.
- Strategic location of mining assets.
Weaknesses
- Sensitivity to commodity price volatility (coal and steel).
- Dependence on global economic conditions affecting steel demand.
- Potential for labor disputes.
- Environmental and regulatory challenges inherent to coal mining.
Opportunities
- Increasing global steel demand from developing economies.
- Potential for operational improvements and efficiency gains.
- Exploration of new markets and customer segments.
- Diversification into related mining products or services (though not currently a focus).
Threats
- Stricter environmental regulations and carbon pricing mechanisms.
- Substitution of steel with alternative materials.
- Geopolitical risks affecting international trade and demand.
- Competition from other metallurgical coal producers, both domestic and international.
- Technological advancements in steelmaking that might reduce coal requirements.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Arch Resources, Inc. (ARCH)
- CONSOL Energy Inc. (CEIX)
- Peabody Energy Corporation (BTU)
Competitive Landscape
Warrior Met Coal Inc. differentiates itself through its focus on high-quality, low-volatile metallurgical coal from the Black Warrior Basin, which is highly sought after by steelmakers. Its operational efficiency and cost structure are key advantages. However, it faces competition from larger, more diversified coal producers and international suppliers. The company's ability to maintain high production volumes and consistent quality is crucial in this competitive landscape.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Warrior Met Coal's historical growth has been largely driven by its ability to ramp up production from its high-quality reserves and capitalize on favorable market conditions for metallurgical coal. Significant investments in operational efficiency and mine development have been key to its growth trajectory. However, this growth is intrinsically linked to global steel demand.
Future Projections: Future growth projections for Warrior Met Coal will depend on the sustained demand for steel globally, particularly in emerging markets, and the continued strength of metallurgical coal prices. Analyst estimates will likely forecast growth in revenue and earnings, contingent on management's ability to maintain cost efficiency and operational output, while navigating market volatility and environmental considerations. Capital expenditure plans for mine maintenance and potential expansions will also be a factor.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives by Warrior Met Coal have likely focused on optimizing production, managing costs, maintaining strong customer relationships, and ensuring operational safety and environmental compliance. Specific strategic initiatives, such as mine development, technological upgrades, or exploration of new markets, should be detailed in the company's recent press releases and investor presentations.
Summary
Warrior Met Coal Inc. is a strong producer of high-quality metallurgical coal, benefiting from prime reserves and operational efficiency. Its primary strength lies in its cost-competitive production and established customer base. However, the company is highly susceptible to the volatile nature of global steel demand and coal prices. Key risks include environmental regulations and geopolitical factors impacting international trade. Continued focus on operational excellence and cost management will be crucial for navigating these challenges.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Warrior Met Coal Inc. Investor Relations
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Reputable Financial News Outlets
- Industry Analysis Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Financial data and market share estimates are subject to change and may not be fully up-to-date. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Warrior Met Coal Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Brookwood, AL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2017-04-13 | CEO & Director Mr. Walter J. Scheller III | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Coking Coal | Full time employees 1336 | Website https://warriormetcoal.com |
Full time employees 1336 | Website https://warriormetcoal.com | ||
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. engages in the production and export of non-thermal steelmaking coal for the steel production by metal manufacturers in Europe, South America, and Asia. The company offers hard-coking coal through the operation of underground mines located in Alabama. It also sells natural gas extracted as a byproduct from coal production. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Brookwood, Alabama.
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