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Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/14/2025: HCC (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $73.17
1 Year Target Price $73.17
3 | Strong Buy |
0 | Buy |
4 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 27.76% | Avg. Invested days 33 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.50B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 87.53 | 1Y Target Price 73.17 |
Price to earnings Ratio 87.53 | 1Y Target Price 73.17 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 7 | Beta 0.81 | 52 Weeks Range 37.88 - 74.79 | Updated Date 10/14/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 37.88 - 74.79 | Updated Date 10/14/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.50% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.76 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 3.3% | Operating Margin (TTM) 2.62% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.62% | Return on Equity (TTM) 1.95% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 87.53 | Forward PE 16.23 | Enterprise Value 3201120445 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.86 |
Enterprise Value 3201120445 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.86 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.62 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.85 | Shares Outstanding 52569346 | Shares Floating 51466441 |
Shares Outstanding 52569346 | Shares Floating 51466441 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.03 | Percent Institutions 117.57 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Warrior Met Coal Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Warrior Met Coal Inc. was formed in 2016 following the acquisition of assets from Walter Energy's bankruptcy. The company's origins trace back to the Brookwood coal mines in Alabama. Since its inception, Warrior Met has focused on producing metallurgical coal for steel production.
Core Business Areas
- Metallurgical Coal Production: Warrior Met Coal produces and exports metallurgical coal, a key ingredient in steelmaking. This is their primary business segment, encompassing the mining, processing, and transportation of coal to customers worldwide.
Leadership and Structure
Warrior Met Coal is led by a Board of Directors and an executive management team. The company's structure is organized around the core function of coal production, with departments overseeing mining operations, sales and marketing, finance, and administration.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- High Vol A Metallurgical Coal: Warrior Met's primary product is High Vol A metallurgical coal. This coal is characterized by its high carbon content and low ash and sulfur content, making it ideal for steel production. Market share data specifically for High Vol A from Warrior Met is not available publicly, but they are a significant player in the global met coal market. Key competitors include Arch Resources (ARCH), Peabody Energy (BTU), and Teck Resources (TECK) (primarily in other regions).
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The metallurgical coal industry is driven by global steel production. Demand is influenced by infrastructure development, manufacturing activity, and overall economic growth. The industry is cyclical and subject to commodity price fluctuations.
Positioning
Warrior Met is positioned as a low-cost producer of high-quality metallurgical coal, providing a competitive advantage. Their operations are located in close proximity to transportation infrastructure, enabling efficient delivery to global markets.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global metallurgical coal market is estimated to be worth billions of dollars annually. Warrior Met captures a portion of this TAM based on its production capacity and market share, competing with larger, global players.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- High-quality metallurgical coal reserves
- Low-cost producer
- Efficient operations
- Proximity to transportation infrastructure
Weaknesses
- Exposure to commodity price volatility
- Dependence on a single product (metallurgical coal)
- Labor relations challenges
- Geographic concentration of operations
Opportunities
- Increased global steel production
- Expansion into new markets
- Acquisition of additional coal reserves
- Technological advancements to improve efficiency
Threats
- Decline in global steel demand
- Increased competition from other coal producers
- Stringent environmental regulations
- Geopolitical risks affecting coal exports
- Labor disputes
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- ARCH
- BTU
- CEIX
Competitive Landscape
Warrior Met competes with other metallurgical coal producers based on price, quality, and reliability of supply. Their low-cost structure provides a competitive advantage, but they face competition from larger, more diversified companies.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Warrior Met's historical growth has been driven by increasing production and favorable coal prices.
Future Projections: Future growth is projected to be influenced by global steel demand, coal prices, and the company's ability to expand production capacity. Analyst estimates vary depending on market conditions.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in infrastructure improvements, expansion of mining operations, and exploration of new markets.
Summary
Warrior Met Coal Inc. is a metallurgical coal producer with efficient operations. Price volatility, labor disputes, and environmental regulations are challenges. While positioned as a low-cost producer, diversifying its offerings and expanding into new markets would make the company stronger. The company has the potential for future growth with increasing production and favorable coal prices, if it addresses its challenges.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings (SEC)
- Industry Reports
- Analyst Estimates
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and analyst estimates. Market conditions and company performance can change, affecting future results. This analysis does not constitute investment advice.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Warrior Met Coal Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Brookwood, AL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2017-04-13 | CEO & Director Mr. Walter J. Scheller III | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Coking Coal | Full time employees 1336 | Website https://warriormetcoal.com |
Full time employees 1336 | Website https://warriormetcoal.com |
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. engages in the production and export of non-thermal steelmaking coal for the steel production by metal manufacturers in Europe, South America, and Asia. The company offers hard-coking coal through the operation of underground mines located in Alabama. It also sells natural gas extracted as a byproduct from coal production. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Brookwood, Alabama.

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