AMTD Digital Inc. logo

AMTD Digital Inc.(HKD)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$1.38
11/13/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for HKD

11/13/2026: HKD (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

AMTD Digital Inc. is a digital-first financial services company that operates an ecosystem platform connecting businesses, capital, and technology partners across Asia. Its primary strengths lie in its Spider-Net ecosystem and niche B2B advisory focus, which allows for specialized cross-border connectivity. The main growth opportunity involves expanding its digital asset and fintech services, though it faces significant competition from large regional tech-finance incumbents. Investors must consider high price volatility, regulatory risks, and the company's concentrated revenue base, which make it better suited for those with a high risk tolerance. The stock lacks reliable dividend income and is most appropriate for those monitoring institutional adoption and ecosystem expansion.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitThe company offers exposure to high-growth Asian fintech trends but lacks consistent long-term performance data.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThe stock has demonstrated extreme volatility that can attract momentum traders when positive technical signals emerge.
Value investorWeak fitThe stock often trades at valuations that appear decoupled from traditional fundamentals.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company does not provide reliable income through dividends.
Low-risk investorWeak fitHigh price volatility and regulatory uncertainty make this unsuitable for risk-averse investors.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighExtreme swings can lead to significant capital loss in short periods.
Valuation riskHighMarket price has historically deviated significantly from intrinsic book value.
Competition risk (tech-finance platforms)Medium / highCompeting with entrenched giants like Tencent and Alibaba is difficult for smaller players.
Business qualityMediumThe business relies heavily on network effects and related-party ecosystem dynamics.
Dividend incomeLow / noneInvestors cannot rely on this stock for steady income generation.
Execution riskMedium / highThe complexity of building a cross-border ecosystem poses significant operational challenges.

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 439.99M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 8.75
1Y Target Price -
Price to earnings Ratio 8.75
1Y Target Price -
Volume (30-day avg) 137.5K shares
Beta 1.95
52 Weeks Range 1.26 - 2.14
Updated Date 11/13/2026
52 Weeks Range 1.26 - 2.14
Updated Date 11/13/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.16

Sector & Industry Intelligence

Sector

Technology

Caution
Sentiment
Near Bearish
Momentum
Rapid Breadth Deterioration
BUY participation
30.1%
Active BUY / eligible
37 / 123
30-Day BUY Count Change
-42
Market state
Weak Bullish / Near Bearish

BUY participation is falling rapidly, suggesting elevated market vulnerability.

Industry

Software - Application

BUY participation
55.0%
Active BUY / eligible
11 / 20
30-Day BUY Count Change
-1

Sector signal summarizes BUY breadth conditions for the sector. It does not override this stock’s BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory.

Price Behavior

Rolling Over
PRICE PATH

Rolling Over

The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -39.84%
Avg. Invested days 30
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/13/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
HKD receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals. The rating is constrained by soft analyst coverage, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
HKD has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with solid financial health, strong growth momentum, and soft ownership. In FY2026 versus FY2025, solid earnings growth (+23.1%) and strong cash generation (FCF margin 24.3%) are partially offset by very low insider ownership of 0.00%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
HKD's financial health is supported by strong profitability, including gross margin of 65.7% and operating margin of 15.5%. Liquidity is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is HKD's strongest growth driver at +2627.2% FY2026 versus FY2025 (strong, 5 stars). Revenue growth (+151.8%, strong) and earnings growth (+23.1%, solid) are also constructive, though not equally high across every growth measure.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 0.2% (soft) and 55.2% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable (solid). Insider ownership is only 0.00%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

SmartHarvest Portfolios, LLC 0.04%
Renaissance Technologies Corp 0.03%
XTX Topco Ltd 0.02%
UBS Group AG 0.02%
Independent Advisor Alliance 0.02%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
HKD generates approximately $657 of gross profit, $155 of operating income, and $243 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2026 results. Strong margins and moderate cash conversion support a 3-star rating, while capital efficiency is weak.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 1.70%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
HKD has a high-quality, liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while elevated volatility.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltHigh VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Digital Financial ServicesAdvisory and transaction fees from digital financial consulting.Revenue comes from helping other companies navigate digital financial ecosystems.
Investment HoldingCapital gains and investment income from portfolio companies.The company invests its own capital into other digital tech companies.
Spider-Net EcosystemMembership and platform service fees for ecosystem access.Companies pay for access to the network and connections AMTD provides.

Valuation

Trailing PE 8.75
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 701.49M
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.47
Enterprise Value 701.49M
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.47
Enterprise Value to Revenue 14.11
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 6.3
Shares Outstanding 197.02M
Shares Floating 108.66M
Shares Outstanding 197.02M
Shares Floating 108.66M
Percent Insiders -
Percent Institutions 0.24

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.