- Chart
- Upturn Summary
- Highlights
- Revenue
- Valuation
Upturn AI Summary - About
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd(BABA)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for BABA
09/28/2026: BABA (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Alibaba Group is a prominent Chinese internet and technology company that operates a vast commerce and cloud computing ecosystem. Its core strength lies in its deeply entrenched online marketplaces, which command a leading position in the Chinese retail landscape, alongside a high-growth cloud segment. The investment narrative centers on potential international expansion and the firm's pivot toward AI, balanced against significant risks from fierce local competition and regulatory uncertainty. While valuation often appears compelling, the stock remains sensitive to macroeconomic and geopolitical developments in China. It may suit investors comfortable with higher volatility who are seeking exposure to the Chinese digital economy through a diversified tech conglomerate.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | While the cloud and international segments show potential, domestic e-commerce growth has matured significantly. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | The stock has struggled to maintain sustained upward momentum due to regulatory and macro uncertainty. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The stock often trades at low valuation multiples relative to its historical earnings and cash generation. |
| Dividend investor | Mixed fit | Alibaba now pays a dividend, but it is not historically viewed as a primary income-generating asset. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High geopolitical, regulatory, and market volatility make this unsuitable for risk-averse portfolios. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock is subject to sharp price swings driven by shifts in investor sentiment toward Chinese equities. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | While cheap on paper, valuation is heavily discounted due to risks that may persist for years. |
| Competition risk (e-commerce) | High | Aggressive pricing and innovation from Pinduoduo threaten Alibaba's core market share. |
| Business quality | Strong | The underlying business maintains high margins and a powerful, deeply entrenched network effect. |
| Dividend income | Low | Dividends are a new addition and should not be relied upon as a primary source of stable income. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Successfully managing the recent corporate restructuring is critical for long-term value creation. |
Price Behavior

Steep Decline
The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.

Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 0.83% | Avg. Invested days 28 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals 
Financial Health Rating 
Growth Momentum Score 
Ownership 
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue) 
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile 
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 272.85B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 24.83 | 1Y Target Price 185.2 |
Price to earnings Ratio 24.83 | 1Y Target Price 185.2 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 11.4M shares | Beta 0.5 | 52 Weeks Range 91.99 - 190.92 | Updated Date 09/27/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 91.99 - 190.92 | Updated Date 09/27/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.96% | Basic EPS (TTM) 4.42 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| China Commerce | Commission fees, marketing services on Taobao/Tmall. | This is the core profit engine of the company. |
| Cloud Intelligence | Public cloud services, AI, big data. | The key future growth engine for the firm. |
| International Commerce | AliExpress, Lazada, Trendyol revenues. | A growth play targeting markets outside of China. |
| Geography: China | Primary revenue concentration. | Most revenue comes from the Chinese domestic market. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 24.83 | Forward PE 17.92 | Enterprise Value 260.67B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.26 |
Enterprise Value 260.67B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.26 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.67 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.05 | Shares Outstanding 2.49B | Shares Floating 2.22B |
Shares Outstanding 2.49B | Shares Floating 2.22B | ||
Percent Insiders 1.77 | Percent Institutions 10.14 |
Upturn AI Summary
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
About Alibaba Group Holding Ltd
Exchange NYSE | Headquarters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2014-09-19 | CEO, Head of Core E-Commerce Business & Director Mr. Yongming Wu | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Internet Retail | Full time employees 132165 | Website https://www.alibabagroup.com |
Full time employees 132165 | Website https://www.alibabagroup.com | ||
Alibaba Group Holding Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides technology infrastructure and marketing reach to help merchants, brands, retailers, and other businesses in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates through the Alibaba China E-Commerce Group, Alibaba International Digital Commerce Group, Cloud Intelligence Group, and All Others segments. The Alibaba China E-commerce Group segment operates Taobao and Tmall, which are digital retail platforms; Taobao Instant Commerce, a local services and on-demand delivery platform; 1688.com, a domestic wholesale marketplace; and Xianyu, a consumer-to-consumer community and marketplace for idle goods. Its Alibaba International Digital Commerce Group segment includes AliExpress, a global e-commerce platform; Trendyol, an e-commerce platform in Turkey; Lazada, an e-commerce platform in Southeast Asia; Daraz, an e-commerce platform in South Asia, primarily in Pakistan and Bangladesh; and Alibaba.com, an integrated international online wholesale marketplace. The Cloud Intelligence Group segment offers a suite of cloud services based on infrastructure-as-a-service, platform-as-a-service, and model-as-a-service. Its All Others segment comprises Amap, a provider of mobile digital maps, navigation, and real-time traffic information in China; Cainiao, which provides logistics solutions; Youku, an online long-form video platform in China; Freshippo, a retail platform for groceries and fresh goods; and Alibaba Health, a pharmaceutical and healthcare services platform. Alibaba Group Holding Limited was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Hangzhou, China.

Note: This website is maintained by Upturn Corporation, which is an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Such registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Investing in securities has risks. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. No assurance is provided as to any particular investment return, and you may lose money using our services. You are strongly advised to consult appropriate counsel before making any investments in companies you learn about through our services. You should obtain appropriate legal, tax, investment, accounting, and other advice that takes into account your investment portfolio and overall financial situation. You are solely responsible for conducting due diligence on a potential investment. We do not affect trades for you. You will select your own broker through which to transact. Investments are not FDIC insured, they are not guaranteed, and they may lose value. Please see the Privacy Policy, Terms of Use, and Disclosure for more information.
All company names, trademarks, logos, and brands are the property of their respective owners and are used for identification and informational purposes only. Use of these names, trademarks, and logos does not imply endorsement by their respective owners.

