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Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/08/2025: BABA (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $197.79
1 Year Target Price $197.79
| 30 | Strong Buy |
| 8 | Buy |
| 2 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 3.22% | Avg. Invested days 28 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 377.30B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 21.37 | 1Y Target Price 197.79 |
Price to earnings Ratio 21.37 | 1Y Target Price 197.79 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 40 | Beta 0.32 | 52 Weeks Range 79.43 - 192.67 | Updated Date 12/9/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 79.43 - 192.67 | Updated Date 12/9/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.66% | Basic EPS (TTM) 7.4 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-11-14 | When Before Market | Estimate 8.97 | Actual 4.36 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 12.19% | Operating Margin (TTM) 2.17% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.03% | Return on Equity (TTM) 11.19% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 21.37 | Forward PE 24.45 | Enterprise Value 367160504183 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.37 |
Enterprise Value 367160504183 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.37 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.57 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.07 | Shares Outstanding 2386036266 | Shares Floating 17596889824 |
Shares Outstanding 2386036266 | Shares Floating 17596889824 | ||
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 12.29 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd

Company Overview
History and Background
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. was founded in 1999 by Jack Ma and 17 other co-founders. It began as a business-to-business (B2B) online marketplace connecting Chinese manufacturers with overseas buyers. Key milestones include the launch of Taobao (consumer-to-consumer, C2C) in 2003, Tmall (business-to-consumer, B2C) in 2008, and its blockbuster IPO in 2014. The company has since evolved into a global e-commerce and technology giant, expanding into cloud computing, digital media, entertainment, and logistics.
Core Business Areas
- Core Commerce: This segment includes Alibaba's primary e-commerce platforms such as Taobao, Tmall, and Alibaba.com, catering to retail consumers and businesses, both domestically and internationally. It also encompasses Cainiao Network for logistics services.
- Cloud Computing (Alibaba Cloud): A leading cloud computing service provider in China and a significant global player, offering a wide range of cloud services to businesses of all sizes.
- Digital Media and Entertainment: This includes operations like Youku (video streaming), Alibaba Pictures, and various online content platforms, aiming to engage users through diverse entertainment offerings.
- Logistics Services (Cainiao Network): A data-driven logistics network that provides end-to-end supply chain solutions for e-commerce and other businesses.
- Innovation Initiatives and Others: This segment covers new initiatives and businesses, including investing in emerging technologies and exploring new growth areas.
Leadership and Structure
Alibaba Group is led by a robust management team. As of recent information, Eddie Wu is the Chairman and CEO, and Toby Xu is the Chief Financial Officer. The company is structured around its various business segments, with dedicated leadership for each to drive innovation and operational efficiency. The governance structure aims to balance innovation with long-term sustainability and stakeholder interests.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Taobao: Alibaba's flagship C2C e-commerce platform in China. It boasts hundreds of millions of active users and offers a vast array of products from individual sellers. Competitors include Pinduoduo and JD.com (though JD.com also operates its own direct retail and marketplace). Market share in Chinese online retail is significant, though exact figures fluctuate.
- Tmall: Alibaba's B2C platform for established brands and retailers. It is a primary destination for consumers seeking authentic goods from reputable brands. Competitors include JD.com, Pinduoduo, and increasingly, dedicated brand websites and other regional e-commerce platforms. Market share in Chinese online retail is substantial.
- Alibaba Cloud: A comprehensive suite of cloud computing services, including computing, storage, networking, and AI. It is the leading cloud provider in China and a growing force globally, competing with AWS, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud. Revenue growth has been strong.
- Cainiao Network: Alibaba's logistics arm, providing warehousing, delivery, and supply chain management services. It aims to build an efficient logistics infrastructure for Alibaba's ecosystem and beyond. Competitors include SF Express, JD Logistics, and international logistics providers.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
Alibaba operates in the rapidly evolving global e-commerce, cloud computing, and digital entertainment industries. The e-commerce sector is characterized by intense competition, the increasing adoption of mobile commerce, and the growing importance of data analytics and personalized user experiences. The cloud computing market is dominated by a few major players, with significant growth driven by digital transformation across industries. The digital media and entertainment sector is highly competitive, with content creation, distribution, and user engagement being key differentiators.
Positioning
Alibaba is a dominant player in China's e-commerce landscape, leveraging its vast ecosystem of platforms, extensive user base, and sophisticated logistics network. Its competitive advantages include brand recognition, strong network effects, data analytics capabilities, and a diversified business model that spans commerce, cloud, and entertainment. Alibaba Cloud is a leading contender in the Chinese cloud market and is steadily expanding its global presence.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for global e-commerce and cloud computing is in the trillions of US dollars and continues to grow. Alibaba is exceptionally well-positioned within China, capturing a significant portion of its domestic e-commerce TAM. Globally, its market share in e-commerce is smaller but growing, especially through its international platforms like AliExpress. In cloud computing, Alibaba Cloud is a major player in Asia and is increasingly competing on the global stage, aiming to capture a larger share of the expanding cloud TAM.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Dominant market share in Chinese e-commerce.
- Strong brand recognition and customer loyalty.
- Diversified business model across e-commerce, cloud, and entertainment.
- Extensive logistics network (Cainiao) enhancing operational efficiency.
- Robust data analytics and AI capabilities.
- Significant financial resources and investment capacity.
Weaknesses
- Heavy reliance on the Chinese market, facing regulatory risks.
- Intensifying competition from domestic rivals and global players.
- Geopolitical tensions and potential trade barriers impacting international expansion.
- Challenges in maintaining growth momentum in mature e-commerce segments.
- Past regulatory scrutiny impacting investor sentiment.
Opportunities
- Continued growth in emerging markets for e-commerce.
- Expansion of Alibaba Cloud services globally.
- Leveraging AI and big data for new product development and service enhancement.
- Growth in cross-border e-commerce.
- Increasing demand for digital entertainment and content.
- Potential for further integration of its various business units.
Threats
- Stricter government regulations in China and other regions.
- Intensified competition from global tech giants and local startups.
- Economic slowdowns and changing consumer spending habits.
- Data privacy concerns and cybersecurity threats.
- Supply chain disruptions and geopolitical instability.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- JD.com (JD)
- Pinduoduo (PDD)
Competitive Landscape
Alibaba holds a strong position in China's e-commerce market due to its vast ecosystem and diverse platforms. However, it faces intense competition from JD.com, which excels in logistics and direct sales, and Pinduoduo, which has gained significant traction with its social e-commerce model and focus on lower-tier cities. In cloud computing, Alibaba Cloud competes with global giants like AWS and Azure, as well as other regional players. Alibaba's advantages lie in its integrated ecosystem and data capabilities, while weaknesses can include its reliance on the Chinese market and regulatory headwinds.
Major Acquisitions
NetEase Cloud Music
- Year: 2023
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 200
- Strategic Rationale: Strengthened Alibaba's digital media and entertainment offerings by acquiring a significant stake in a popular music streaming service, aiming to integrate content and expand user engagement.
Sun Art Retail Group
- Year: 2020
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 3600
- Strategic Rationale: Increased Alibaba's control over a major hypermarket operator, bolstering its New Retail strategy to integrate online and offline commerce and enhance grocery delivery services.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Alibaba has exhibited impressive historical growth, transforming from a small startup into a global e-commerce and technology powerhouse. This growth has been fueled by the rapid expansion of the Chinese internet and middle class, the adoption of online shopping, and strategic diversification into cloud computing and digital entertainment.
Future Projections: Analyst projections generally anticipate continued growth for Alibaba, albeit at potentially moderating rates compared to its hyper-growth phases. Key drivers for future growth are expected to be the expansion of Alibaba Cloud, international e-commerce ventures, and the development of new technologies and services. Factors like regulatory environments and competitive pressures will influence the actual growth trajectory.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include a significant corporate restructuring aimed at unlocking shareholder value by spinning off various business units, enhancing agility, and allowing each segment to pursue its own growth strategies and fundraising. This includes plans for potential IPOs of some of its key divisions. The company is also heavily investing in AI technologies and cloud infrastructure.
Summary
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. is a dominant force in China's e-commerce and cloud computing sectors, possessing a strong ecosystem and significant growth potential. Its diversified business model and robust infrastructure provide substantial competitive advantages. However, the company faces considerable challenges from increasing domestic competition, evolving regulatory landscapes in China, and geopolitical uncertainties. Continued innovation in AI and strategic expansion into new markets will be crucial for sustained long-term success.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. Official Investor Relations
- Reputable Financial News Outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters, Wall Street Journal)
- Financial Data Providers (e.g., Yahoo Finance, Refinitiv)
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market share data is an estimation and can vary based on reporting methodology and time period. Financial metrics and projections are subject to change and should be verified with official company filings and independent research. Users should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Alibaba Group Holding Ltd
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2014-09-19 | CEO, Head of Core E-Commerce Business & Director Mr. Yongming Wu | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Internet Retail | Full time employees 126661 | Website https://www.alibabagroup.com |
Full time employees 126661 | Website https://www.alibabagroup.com | ||
Alibaba Group Holding Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides technology infrastructure and marketing reach to help merchants, brands, retailers, and other businesses to engage with their users and customers in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates digital retail platforms under the Taobao and Tmall names; wholesale marketplaces through 1688.com and Alibaba.com; global e-commerce platform under the AliExpress name; e-commerce platforms under the Lazada, Trendyol, and Daraz names; and consumer-to-consumer community and marketplace under the Tmall Global, Tmall Supermarket, and Xianyu names. The company also operates Cainiao, an e-commerce logistics solution; Ele.me, an on-demand delivery and local services platform; and Amap, a provider of mobile digital map, navigation, and real-time traffic information; Youku, an online video platform; and Damai Entertainment that provides content production, promotion and distribution, performance and event ticketing management, IP-related licensing and operations, cinema ticketing management, and internet data services for the entertainment industry. In addition, it provides elastic computing, storage, network, security, database, big data, cloud native, and Alibaba cloud model studio services; and hardware, software license and installation, and application development and maintenance services, as well as sells membership packages and subscriptions. Further, the company offers Freshippo, a retail platform for groceries and goods; Alibaba Health for medical and healthcare solutions; mobile games under the Lingxi Games name; UC Browser, an information service platform; Quark, an information services platform for young users; Fliggy, an online travel platform; and DingTalk, a collaboration workplace and enterprise management platform. Alibaba Group Holding Limited was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong.

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