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BABA 
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
07/03/2025: BABA (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Below Average Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.
Number of Analysts
40 Analysts rated it
Highly popular stock, broad analyst coverage, trusted insights, strong investor interest.
1 Year Target Price $162.25
1 Year Target Price $162.25
| 30 | Strong Buy |
| 8 | Buy |
| 2 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -11.66% | Avg. Invested days 29 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 07/03/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 259.35B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 14.53 | 1Y Target Price 162.25 |
Price to earnings Ratio 14.53 | 1Y Target Price 162.25 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 40 | Beta 0.21 | 52 Weeks Range 72.37 - 147.26 | Updated Date 07/4/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 72.37 - 147.26 | Updated Date 07/4/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.93% | Basic EPS (TTM) 7.48 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 13.06% | Operating Margin (TTM) 13.99% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 5.31% | Return on Equity (TTM) 11.44% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 14.53 | Forward PE 11.14 | Enterprise Value 233118091341 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.26 |
Enterprise Value 233118091341 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.26 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.68 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.05 | Shares Outstanding 2385969920 | Shares Floating 17565302813 |
Shares Outstanding 2385969920 | Shares Floating 17565302813 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.01 | Percent Institutions 15.74 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd
Company Overview
History and Background
Alibaba Group was founded in 1999 by Jack Ma and Peng Lei. It started as a B2B marketplace connecting Chinese manufacturers with overseas buyers and has since expanded into e-commerce, cloud computing, digital media, and entertainment.
Core Business Areas
- Core Commerce: Includes retail commerce (Taobao, Tmall), wholesale commerce (Alibaba.com), and cross-border commerce (AliExpress, Lazada).
- Cloud Computing: Alibaba Cloud provides cloud services to businesses globally, including data storage, processing, and security.
- Digital Media and Entertainment: Youku (video streaming), Alibaba Pictures, and other platforms offer digital content and entertainment services.
- Cainiao Logistics: Provides logistics services and solutions.
- Local Consumer Services: Delivery Services (Ele.me and Koubei) and maps (Amap).
Leadership and Structure
CEO: Eddie Wu. The company operates under a partnership system. Executive Chairman Joseph Tsai. Key executives oversee each major business segment.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Taobao: China's largest online shopping platform, connecting consumers with merchants. Estimated market share in Chinese e-commerce is around 50-60%. Competitors: JD.com, Pinduoduo.
- Tmall: A B2C online retail platform in China, focusing on branded products. It holds significant market share in the B2C e-commerce segment. Competitors: JD.com.
- Alibaba Cloud: A global cloud computing platform. Market share in the global cloud market is growing but lags behind AWS, Azure, and Google Cloud. Competitors: Amazon Web Services (AWS), Microsoft Azure, Google Cloud Platform.
- AliExpress: A cross-border retail website, allowing consumers worldwide to purchase from Chinese merchants.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The e-commerce, cloud computing, and digital media industries are rapidly growing, driven by increasing internet penetration and digital transformation. The e-commerce market in China is highly competitive.
Positioning
Alibaba is a dominant player in the Chinese e-commerce market and a significant player in the global cloud computing market. Its competitive advantages include its large user base, strong brand recognition, and advanced technology.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global e-commerce market is projected to reach trillions of dollars. Alibaba is positioned to capture a large share of this TAM, especially in emerging markets. Cloud TAM is also in the trillions.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large and active user base
- Strong brand recognition in China
- Advanced technology infrastructure
- Diversified business segments
- Strong logistics network
Weaknesses
- Dependence on the Chinese market
- Regulatory risks in China
- Exposure to counterfeit goods issues
- Geopolitical tensions
- Slowing growth in core e-commerce
Opportunities
- Expanding into new geographic markets
- Developing new products and services
- Investing in AI and other emerging technologies
- Growing the cloud computing business globally
- Partnerships and acquisitions for expansion
Threats
- Intense competition from other e-commerce and cloud providers
- Changing consumer preferences
- Economic slowdown in China
- Increased regulatory scrutiny
- Global trade tensions
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- AMZN
- JD
- GOOG
Competitive Landscape
Alibaba has a strong presence in China but faces increasing competition from domestic and international players. In global markets, it competes with Amazon, Google Cloud, and others.
Major Acquisitions
Koubei
- Year: 2015
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 1000
- Strategic Rationale: To strengthen its position in the local services market.
Lazada
- Year: 2016
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 1000
- Strategic Rationale: To expand its e-commerce presence in Southeast Asia.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Alibaba experienced rapid growth in the past, driven by the expansion of e-commerce in China. Growth rates have slowed in recent years.
Future Projections: Analysts project moderate growth for Alibaba, driven by its cloud computing business and expansion into new markets. However, uncertainty remains due to regulatory risks.
Recent Initiatives: Focusing on technological innovation in areas like AI and cloud computing. Expanding into Southeast Asia and other emerging markets. Focusing on efficiency and cost optimization.
Summary
Alibaba is a dominant player in Chinese e-commerce and growing in cloud computing. Regulatory risks and competition pose challenges, but strategic initiatives and technological investments could drive future growth. Slowing growth rates in core commerce are impacting financial performance. It has a large, active userbase, but future growth hinges on expansion into new markets.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings
- Industry reports
- Analyst estimates
- Market research reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and analyst estimates. Actual results may differ. Investment decisions should be based on individual risk tolerance and financial circumstances.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Alibaba Group Holding Ltd
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2014-09-19 | CEO, Head of Core E-Commerce Business & Director Mr. Yongming Wu | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Internet Retail | Full time employees 124320 | Website https://www.alibabagroup.com |
Full time employees 124320 | Website https://www.alibabagroup.com | ||
Alibaba Group Holding Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides technology infrastructure and marketing reach to help merchants, brands, retailers, and other businesses to engage with their users and customers in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company operates through six segments: Taobao and Tmall Group; Alibaba International Digital Commerce Group; Cloud Intelligence Group; Cainiao Smart Logistics Network Limited; Local Services Group; and Hujing Digital Media and Entertainment Group. It operates Taobao and Tmall, a digital retail platforms; 1688.com and Alibaba.com, an wholesale marketplace; AliExpress and Miravia, a global e-commerce platform; Lazada, Trendyol, and Daraz, an e-commerce platforms; and Tmall Global, Tmall Supermarket, and Xianyu, a consumer-to-consumer community and marketplace. The company also operates Cainiao Network logistic services platform; Ele.me, an on-demand delivery and local services platform; and Amap, a provider of mobile digital map, navigation, and real-time traffic information; Youku, an online video platform; and Damai Entertainment that provides content production, promotion and distribution, performance and event ticketing management. In addition, it provides elastic computing, storage, network, security, database, big data, cloud native, and Alibaba cloud model studio services; express delivery, supply chain, on-demand delivery, logistics and storage capacities services; and hardware, software license, software installation, and application development and maintenance services, as well as sells membership packages and subscriptions. Further, the company offers IP-related licensing and operations, cinema ticketing management, and internet data services; and Freshippo, Alibaba Health, Lingxi Games, Intelligent Information Platform consist of UCWeb and Quark, Fliggy, and DingTalk platforms. Alibaba Group Holding Limited was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong.
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