Alibaba Group Holding Ltd logo

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd(BABA)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$113.24
09/18/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for BABA

09/18/2026: BABA (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Price Behavior

Steep Decline
PRICE PATH

Steep Decline

The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 0.83%
Avg. Invested days 28
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/18/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

BABA receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid quantitative characteristics, and strong analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

BABA has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with moderate financial health, soft growth momentum, and moderate ownership. In FY2026 versus FY2025, solid profitability (net margin 10.1%) is partially offset by negative earnings growth (-20.4%), soft cash generation (FCF margin -5.0%), moderate revenue growth (+2.7%).

Financial Health Rating

BABA's financial health is supported by solid cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation of $-50.7B (-5.0% of revenue). Profitability is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

Revenue growth is BABA's strongest growth driver at +2.7% FY2026 versus FY2025 (moderate, 3 stars). By comparison, while earnings growth (-20.4%, negative) and free-cash-flow growth (-164.9%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

Institutional ownership is 10.1% and approximately 89.3% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 1.77% provides only moderate management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

JPMorgan Chase & Co 0.82%
PRIMECAP Management Company 0.75%
UBS Group AG 0.43%
Dodge & Cox 0.40%
HSBC Holdings PLC 0.37%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

BABA generates approximately $398 of gross profit, $58 of operating income, and $-50 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2026 results. Strong cash conversion and healthy margins support the rating, although capital efficiency remains below the highest tier.

Economic Dimensions

Effective Tax Rate: 3.27%

Quantitative Style Profile

BABA has a large-cap, liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedLow VolatilityLarge / Mega Cap StabilityHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 281.47B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 25.56
1Y Target Price 185.94
Price to earnings Ratio 25.56
1Y Target Price 185.94
Volume (30-day avg) 11.2M shares
Beta 0.5
52 Weeks Range 91.99 - 190.92
Updated Date 09/20/2026
52 Weeks Range 91.99 - 190.92
Updated Date 09/20/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 0.93%
Basic EPS (TTM) 4.43

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 25.56
Forward PE 18.32
Enterprise Value 259.23B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.27
Enterprise Value 259.23B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.27
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.66
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.98
Shares Outstanding 2.49B
Shares Floating 2.22B
Shares Outstanding 2.49B
Shares Floating 2.22B
Percent Insiders 1.77
Percent Institutions 10.14

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About Alibaba Group Holding Ltd

Exchange NYSE
Headquarters -
IPO Launch date 2014-09-19
CEO, Head of Core E-Commerce Business & Director Mr. Yongming Wu
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Internet Retail
Full time employees 132165
Full time employees 132165

Alibaba Group Holding Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides technology infrastructure and marketing reach to help merchants, brands, retailers, and other businesses in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates through the Alibaba China E-Commerce Group, Alibaba International Digital Commerce Group, Cloud Intelligence Group, and All Others segments. The Alibaba China E-commerce Group segment operates Taobao and Tmall, which are digital retail platforms; Taobao Instant Commerce, a local services and on-demand delivery platform; 1688.com, a domestic wholesale marketplace; and Xianyu, a consumer-to-consumer community and marketplace for idle goods. Its Alibaba International Digital Commerce Group segment includes AliExpress, a global e-commerce platform; Trendyol, an e-commerce platform in Turkey; Lazada, an e-commerce platform in Southeast Asia; Daraz, an e-commerce platform in South Asia, primarily in Pakistan and Bangladesh; and Alibaba.com, an integrated international online wholesale marketplace. The Cloud Intelligence Group segment offers a suite of cloud services based on infrastructure-as-a-service, platform-as-a-service, and model-as-a-service. Its All Others segment comprises Amap, a provider of mobile digital maps, navigation, and real-time traffic information in China; Cainiao, which provides logistics solutions; Youku, an online long-form video platform in China; Freshippo, a retail platform for groceries and fresh goods; and Alibaba Health, a pharmaceutical and healthcare services platform. Alibaba Group Holding Limited was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Hangzhou, China.