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Harley-Davidson Inc (HOG)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/30/2025: HOG (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $29.42
1 Year Target Price $29.42
4 | Strong Buy |
2 | Buy |
9 | Hold |
1 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -29.97% | Avg. Invested days 26 | Today’s Advisory WEAK BUY |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.97B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 8.77 | 1Y Target Price 28.62 |
Price to earnings Ratio 8.77 | 1Y Target Price 28.62 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) - | Beta 1.33 | 52 Weeks Range 20.30 - 39.16 | Updated Date 06/3/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 20.30 - 39.16 | Updated Date 06/3/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.94% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.79 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 7.39% | Operating Margin (TTM) 13.23% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 1.9% | Return on Equity (TTM) 10.56% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 8.77 | Forward PE 8.58 | Enterprise Value 8293265888 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.62 |
Enterprise Value 8293265888 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.62 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.73 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.9 | Shares Outstanding 121488000 | Shares Floating 109121430 |
Shares Outstanding 121488000 | Shares Floating 109121430 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.94 | Percent Institutions 97.05 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.56 | Target Price 29.42 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 4 |
Buy 2 | Strong Buy 4 | ||
Hold 9 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Harley-Davidson Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Harley-Davidson, Inc. was founded in 1903 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. It began as a small machine shop and grew to become one of the world's leading motorcycle manufacturers. Key milestones include supplying motorcycles to the U.S. military in both World Wars, numerous racing successes, and iconic motorcycle designs that have shaped motorcycle culture.
Core Business Areas
- Motorcycles & Related Products: Designs, manufactures, and sells a range of motorcycles, parts, accessories, and service contracts. This is the core of their revenue.
- Financial Services: Provides wholesale and retail financing, and insurance programs primarily to Harley-Davidson dealers and customers.
Leadership and Structure
The CEO is Joachim (Jochen) Zeitz. The company operates with a functional organizational structure, with key departments including engineering, manufacturing, sales, and marketing, reporting to the executive leadership team.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Cruiser Motorcycles: These are Harley-Davidson's signature motorcycles, known for their classic styling and powerful engines. Market share is significant in the cruiser segment. Competitors include Indian Motorcycle (owned by Polaris), Honda, and Yamaha.
- Touring Motorcycles: Designed for long-distance riding, these motorcycles feature comfort and storage capacity. Competitors include BMW Motorrad, Honda, and Indian Motorcycle.
- Parts & Accessories: This includes a wide range of aftermarket parts, accessories, and branded merchandise. Competitors include aftermarket parts suppliers and manufacturers.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The motorcycle industry is experiencing a shift towards electric vehicles and a greater focus on younger riders. Increased competition from international brands.
Positioning
Harley-Davidson is positioned as a premium brand with a strong heritage and loyal customer base. Its competitive advantages lie in its brand recognition and iconic image.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global motorcycle market is estimated at $200 Billion. Harley-Davidson is strategically positioned in the premium segment, targeting a portion of this TAM.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong Brand Recognition
- Loyal Customer Base
- Extensive Dealer Network
- Iconic Designs
- Strong Heritage
Weaknesses
- Aging Customer Base
- High Price Point
- Over-Reliance on Traditional Motorcycles
- Declining Sales in Key Markets
- Brand perception limited to cruisers and touring bikes
Opportunities
- Growth in Emerging Markets
- Development of Electric Motorcycles
- Expansion into New Motorcycle Categories
- Partnerships with Other Brands
- Increased Focus on Digital Marketing
Threats
- Increased Competition
- Changing Consumer Preferences
- Economic Downturns
- Environmental Regulations
- Supply Chain Disruptions
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- PII
- PSX
- YAMHF
- KTM
Competitive Landscape
Harley-Davidson faces competition from established motorcycle manufacturers and emerging electric motorcycle brands. Its advantages include its brand and dealer network, while its disadvantages include its high price point and aging customer base.
Major Acquisitions
Stacyc
- Year: 2019
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 16
- Strategic Rationale: Acquired to enter the electric balance bike market for kids, aiming to attract younger riders to the Harley-Davidson brand.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Harley-Davidson has experienced fluctuating growth in recent years, with sales declining in some markets and growth in others.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates vary, but generally project modest growth driven by electric motorcycles and expansion into new markets.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include the 'Hardwire' strategic plan, focusing on profitable growth and the development of electric motorcycles (LiveWire).
Summary
Harley-Davidson possesses a strong brand and heritage but struggles with an aging demographic. While their strategic shift towards electric vehicles and emerging markets shows promise, intense competition and potential economic downturns pose significant threats. The company's future success depends on effectively executing its new strategic plan and adapting to evolving consumer preferences. Financial performance has been volatile and needs consistent improvement to sustain growth and dividends.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings
- Industry Reports
- Analyst Estimates
- Financial News Outlets
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Harley-Davidson Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Milwaukee, WI, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1987-11-05 | Chairman, President & CEO Mr. Jochen Zeitz | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Recreational Vehicles | Full time employees 5900 | Website https://www.harley-davidson.com |
Full time employees 5900 | Website https://www.harley-davidson.com |
Harley-Davidson, Inc. manufactures and sells motorcycles in the United States and internationally. The company operates in three segments: Harley-Davidson Motor Company, LiveWire, and Harley-Davidson Financial Services. The Harley-Davidson Motor Company segment designs, manufactures, and sells motorcycles, including cruiser, trike, touring, standard, sportbike, adventure, and dual sport, as well as motorcycle parts, accessories, and apparel, as well as licenses its trademarks and related services. This segment sells its products to retail customers through a network of independent dealers, as well as e-commerce channels. The LiveWire segment sells electric motorcycles, balance bikes for kids, parts and accessories, apparel, and related parts and services. The Harley-Davidson Financial Services segment provides wholesale financing services, such as floorplan and open account financing of motorcycles, and parts and accessories; and retail financing services, such as installment lending for the purchase of new and used Harley-Davidson motorcycles, as well as point-of-sale insurance and voluntary protection products. This segment also licenses third-party financial institutions that issue credit cards bearing the Harley-Davidson brand. Harley-Davidson, Inc. was founded in 1903 and is based in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.
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