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Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
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Harley-Davidson Inc (HOG)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$23.6
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY-6.2%
upturn advisory
WEAK BUY
BUY since 29 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
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Upturn Advisory Summary

06/30/2025: HOG (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

Analysts rated it

Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.

1 Year Target Price $29.42

1 Year Target Price $29.42

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$29.42Target price
Low$
Current$23.6
high$

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -29.97%
Avg. Invested days 26
Today’s Advisory WEAK BUY
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 06/30/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 2.97B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 8.77
1Y Target Price 28.62
Price to earnings Ratio 8.77
1Y Target Price 28.62
Volume (30-day avg) -
Beta 1.33
52 Weeks Range 20.30 - 39.16
Updated Date 06/3/2025
52 Weeks Range 20.30 - 39.16
Updated Date 06/3/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 2.94%
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.79

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 7.39%
Operating Margin (TTM) 13.23%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 1.9%
Return on Equity (TTM) 10.56%

Valuation

Trailing PE 8.77
Forward PE 8.58
Enterprise Value 8293265888
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.62
Enterprise Value 8293265888
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.62
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.73
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.9
Shares Outstanding 121488000
Shares Floating 109121430
Shares Outstanding 121488000
Shares Floating 109121430
Percent Insiders 0.94
Percent Institutions 97.05

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3.56
Target Price 29.42
Buy 2
Strong Buy 4
Buy 2
Strong Buy 4
Hold 9
Sell 1
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Harley-Davidson Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Harley-Davidson, Inc. was founded in 1903 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. It began as a small machine shop and grew to become one of the world's leading motorcycle manufacturers. Key milestones include supplying motorcycles to the U.S. military in both World Wars, numerous racing successes, and iconic motorcycle designs that have shaped motorcycle culture.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Motorcycles & Related Products: Designs, manufactures, and sells a range of motorcycles, parts, accessories, and service contracts. This is the core of their revenue.
  • Financial Services: Provides wholesale and retail financing, and insurance programs primarily to Harley-Davidson dealers and customers.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The CEO is Joachim (Jochen) Zeitz. The company operates with a functional organizational structure, with key departments including engineering, manufacturing, sales, and marketing, reporting to the executive leadership team.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Cruiser Motorcycles: These are Harley-Davidson's signature motorcycles, known for their classic styling and powerful engines. Market share is significant in the cruiser segment. Competitors include Indian Motorcycle (owned by Polaris), Honda, and Yamaha.
  • Touring Motorcycles: Designed for long-distance riding, these motorcycles feature comfort and storage capacity. Competitors include BMW Motorrad, Honda, and Indian Motorcycle.
  • Parts & Accessories: This includes a wide range of aftermarket parts, accessories, and branded merchandise. Competitors include aftermarket parts suppliers and manufacturers.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The motorcycle industry is experiencing a shift towards electric vehicles and a greater focus on younger riders. Increased competition from international brands.

Positioning

Harley-Davidson is positioned as a premium brand with a strong heritage and loyal customer base. Its competitive advantages lie in its brand recognition and iconic image.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global motorcycle market is estimated at $200 Billion. Harley-Davidson is strategically positioned in the premium segment, targeting a portion of this TAM.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong Brand Recognition
  • Loyal Customer Base
  • Extensive Dealer Network
  • Iconic Designs
  • Strong Heritage

Weaknesses

  • Aging Customer Base
  • High Price Point
  • Over-Reliance on Traditional Motorcycles
  • Declining Sales in Key Markets
  • Brand perception limited to cruisers and touring bikes

Opportunities

  • Growth in Emerging Markets
  • Development of Electric Motorcycles
  • Expansion into New Motorcycle Categories
  • Partnerships with Other Brands
  • Increased Focus on Digital Marketing

Threats

  • Increased Competition
  • Changing Consumer Preferences
  • Economic Downturns
  • Environmental Regulations
  • Supply Chain Disruptions

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • PII
  • PSX
  • YAMHF
  • KTM

Competitive Landscape

Harley-Davidson faces competition from established motorcycle manufacturers and emerging electric motorcycle brands. Its advantages include its brand and dealer network, while its disadvantages include its high price point and aging customer base.

Major Acquisitions

Stacyc

  • Year: 2019
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 16
  • Strategic Rationale: Acquired to enter the electric balance bike market for kids, aiming to attract younger riders to the Harley-Davidson brand.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Harley-Davidson has experienced fluctuating growth in recent years, with sales declining in some markets and growth in others.

Future Projections: Analyst estimates vary, but generally project modest growth driven by electric motorcycles and expansion into new markets.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include the 'Hardwire' strategic plan, focusing on profitable growth and the development of electric motorcycles (LiveWire).

Summary

Harley-Davidson possesses a strong brand and heritage but struggles with an aging demographic. While their strategic shift towards electric vehicles and emerging markets shows promise, intense competition and potential economic downturns pose significant threats. The company's future success depends on effectively executing its new strategic plan and adapting to evolving consumer preferences. Financial performance has been volatile and needs consistent improvement to sustain growth and dividends.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company Filings
  • Industry Reports
  • Analyst Estimates
  • Financial News Outlets

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Harley-Davidson Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Milwaukee, WI, United States
IPO Launch date 1987-11-05
Chairman, President & CEO Mr. Jochen Zeitz
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Recreational Vehicles
Full time employees 5900
Full time employees 5900

Harley-Davidson, Inc. manufactures and sells motorcycles in the United States and internationally. The company operates in three segments: Harley-Davidson Motor Company, LiveWire, and Harley-Davidson Financial Services. The Harley-Davidson Motor Company segment designs, manufactures, and sells motorcycles, including cruiser, trike, touring, standard, sportbike, adventure, and dual sport, as well as motorcycle parts, accessories, and apparel, as well as licenses its trademarks and related services. This segment sells its products to retail customers through a network of independent dealers, as well as e-commerce channels. The LiveWire segment sells electric motorcycles, balance bikes for kids, parts and accessories, apparel, and related parts and services. The Harley-Davidson Financial Services segment provides wholesale financing services, such as floorplan and open account financing of motorcycles, and parts and accessories; and retail financing services, such as installment lending for the purchase of new and used Harley-Davidson motorcycles, as well as point-of-sale insurance and voluntary protection products. This segment also licenses third-party financial institutions that issue credit cards bearing the Harley-Davidson brand. Harley-Davidson, Inc. was founded in 1903 and is based in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.