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St Joe Company (JOE)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/16/2025: JOE (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 4.46% | Avg. Invested days 37 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.86B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 36.93 | 1Y Target Price 19 |
Price to earnings Ratio 36.93 | 1Y Target Price 19 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) - | Beta 1.36 | 52 Weeks Range 40.07 - 63.98 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 40.07 - 63.98 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.14% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.33 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 19% | Operating Margin (TTM) 17.93% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.91% | Return on Equity (TTM) 10.52% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 36.93 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 3383281112 | Price to Sales(TTM) 6.99 |
Enterprise Value 3383281112 | Price to Sales(TTM) 6.99 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 8.27 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 18.47 | Shares Outstanding 58222300 | Shares Floating 58020866 |
Shares Outstanding 58222300 | Shares Floating 58020866 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.32 | Percent Institutions 86.82 |
Upturn AI SWOT
St Joe Company

Company Overview
History and Background
The St. Joe Company, formerly Florida East Coast Industries, was founded in the early 20th century as a paper and pulp business. It evolved over time to become a prominent real estate development and investment company, primarily in Northwest Florida. Its vast land holdings have been central to its strategy, developing planned communities, resorts, and commercial properties.
Core Business Areas
- Residential Real Estate: Development and sale of residential properties, including single-family homes, townhomes, and condominiums within planned communities. It generates revenue through land sales to homebuilders and direct home sales.
- Hospitality: Ownership and operation of hotels, resorts, and golf courses in Northwest Florida. Revenue is generated from room rentals, food and beverage sales, and golf fees.
- Commercial Real Estate: Development and leasing of commercial properties, including retail centers, office buildings, and industrial spaces. Revenue is derived from lease agreements with tenants.
- Forestry & Agriculture: Management of timberlands and agricultural lands, generating revenue from timber sales and agricultural leases. These operations are becoming less relevant to St. Joe's overall strategy.
Leadership and Structure
The St. Joe Company is led by a board of directors and an executive management team, typically headed by a Chief Executive Officer (CEO). The organizational structure includes departments for real estate development, hospitality, finance, and other key functions.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Residential Communities: Planned residential communities featuring various housing options and amenities. Market share varies by region within Northwest Florida; data is fragmented and difficult to aggregate into a single figure. Competitors include regional and national homebuilders like DR Horton and Lennar, as well as other local developers.
- Resorts and Hotels: Full-service resorts and hotels offering accommodations, dining, and recreational activities. St. Joe operates several notable resorts along the Emerald Coast. Competitors include major hotel chains like Marriott and Hilton, as well as independent resorts.
- Commercial Properties: Retail, office, and industrial spaces leased to businesses. Occupancy rates and rental income contribute to revenue. Competitors include other commercial real estate developers and REITs operating in Northwest Florida.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The real estate market in Northwest Florida is driven by tourism, population growth, and economic development. The hospitality industry is closely tied to tourism trends, while the residential market is influenced by factors like interest rates, job growth, and demographic shifts. The market has been experiencing strong growth due to relocation trends and increased tourism.
Positioning
St. Joe Company holds a unique position due to its significant land holdings in Northwest Florida, allowing for large-scale, master-planned community development. This provides a competitive advantage in securing entitlements and controlling the pace of development.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
TAM is difficult to calculate precisely due to the fragmented nature of the real estate and hospitality markets in Northwest Florida. However, considering population growth, tourism spending, and commercial activity, the potential market value is estimated to be in the billions of dollars annually. St. Joe is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of this TAM due to its large land holdings and established presence.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large land holdings in a desirable location
- Established reputation and brand
- Vertically integrated operations
- Strong financial position
Weaknesses
- Dependence on regional economy
- Exposure to cyclicality of real estate market
- Lengthy development timelines
- Regulatory hurdles and environmental concerns
Opportunities
- Population growth and demographic shifts
- Increased tourism and economic development
- Expansion into new markets and product lines
- Strategic partnerships and acquisitions
Threats
- Economic downturn and recession
- Rising interest rates
- Increased competition
- Natural disasters and environmental risks
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- DHI
- LEN
- HLT
- MAR
Competitive Landscape
St. Joe's advantage lies in its land holdings and regional focus. Disadvantages include its dependence on a single geographic area and exposure to economic cycles. Competitors have broader geographic diversification.
Major Acquisitions
Latitude Margaritaville Watersound
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 55.1
- Strategic Rationale: Joint venture with Minto Communities to develop a large-scale active adult community within the Watersound Origins community. This helped diversify their housing options and attract a growing demographic segment.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth has been driven by strategic land development and the expansion of hospitality and commercial real estate operations. Growth rates have fluctuated with economic cycles.
Future Projections: Future growth is projected to be driven by continued development of planned communities, expansion of hospitality offerings, and strategic investments in commercial properties. Analyst estimates vary based on market conditions and company performance.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include the development of new residential communities, the expansion of hotel and resort facilities, and the pursuit of strategic acquisitions.
Summary
St. Joe Company is a strong player in the Northwest Florida real estate market, benefiting from significant land holdings and a strong regional focus. The company's strengths in land development and hospitality are key drivers, but it faces risks related to economic cycles and regional concentration. Strategic initiatives to diversify its product offerings and expand its geographic reach will be crucial for sustained growth. St. Joe should look out for rising interest rates and economic downturns.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- St. Joe Company Investor Relations
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Industry Reports
- Analyst Estimates
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market conditions and company performance can change, so please verify with financial advisors.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About St Joe Company
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Panama City Beach, FL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1992-03-10 | President, CEO, COO & Chairman of the Board Mr. Jorge Luis Gonzalez | ||
Sector Real Estate | Industry Real Estate - Diversified | Full time employees 863 | Website https://www.joe.com |
Full time employees 863 | Website https://www.joe.com |
The St. Joe Company, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate development, asset management, and operating company in the United States. It operates through three segments: Residential, Hospitality, and Commercial. The Residential segment engages in the development of communities into homesites for sale to homebuilders and on a limited basis to retail customers. This segment primarily sells developed homesites, completed homes, parcels of entitled or undeveloped land or homesites, and a homesite residual on homebuilder, as well as offers title insurance and marketing services. Its Hospitality segment owns and operates a private membership club, golf courses, beach clubs, retail outlets, marinas, and other entertainment assets. This segment also engages in the hotel, food and beverage, and gulf-front vacation rental operations, as well as provides management services. The Commercial segment engages in leasing of commercial property, multi-family, a senior living community, and other assets. This segment also involved in the planning, development, entitlement, management, and sale of commercial and rural land holdings for retail, office, hotel, senior living, multi-family, self-storage, and industrial uses; and grows and sells pulpwood, sawtimber, and other forest products. The St. Joe Company was incorporated in 1936 and is based in Panama City Beach, Florida.

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