Upturn unsubscribed user
$1.14/ day, billed weekly
Cancel anytime
(Ad-Free, Unlimited access)​
NO CREDIT CARD REQUIRED
TOL logo TOL
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
TOL logo

Toll Brothers Inc (TOL)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$127.26
Last Close (24-hour delay)
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

10/10/2025: TOL (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Number of Analysts

rating

19 Analysts rated it

Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.

1 Year Target Price $150.12

1 Year Target Price $150.12

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$150.12 Target price
52w Low $86.09
Current$127.26
52w High $168.08

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 141.98%
Avg. Invested days 79
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 5.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 5.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/10/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 12.27B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 9.38
1Y Target Price 150.12
Price to earnings Ratio 9.38
1Y Target Price 150.12
Volume (30-day avg) 19
Beta 1.4
52 Weeks Range 86.09 - 168.08
Updated Date 10/12/2025
52 Weeks Range 86.09 - 168.08
Updated Date 10/12/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 0.75%
Basic EPS (TTM) 13.57

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 12.64%
Operating Margin (TTM) 17.38%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 8.31%
Return on Equity (TTM) 17.7%

Valuation

Trailing PE 9.38
Forward PE 10.08
Enterprise Value 15669773650
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.13
Enterprise Value 15669773650
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.13
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.44
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.45
Shares Outstanding 96383000
Shares Floating 95711210
Shares Outstanding 96383000
Shares Floating 95711210
Percent Insiders 0.69
Percent Institutions 93.58

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Toll Brothers Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Toll Brothers Inc. was founded in 1967 by brothers Bob and Bruce Toll. It started as a homebuilding company in suburban Philadelphia and has grown to become a national leader in luxury homebuilding.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Luxury Homebuilding: Designs, builds, and markets single-family detached homes, attached homes, and condominiums in luxury communities. Caters to move-up, empty-nester, active adult, and second-home buyers.
  • Apartment Rentals and Student Housing: Develops and manages luxury apartment communities, often located in urban areas and transit-oriented locations. Also develops student housing.
  • City Living: Develops housing specifically to target urban communities.
  • Urban Infill: Focuses on developing housing in areas where there is limited land space, specifically in urban communities.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Douglas C. Yearley, Jr. serves as the Chairman and CEO. The company has a traditional hierarchical organizational structure with regional divisions reporting to corporate headquarters.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Single-Family Homes: Luxury single-family detached homes in master-planned communities. Toll Brothers has a significant share of the luxury market, but specific figures vary by region. Competitors include PulteGroup, Lennar, and D.R. Horton in the luxury segment. Revenue for this segment is the largest for Toll Brothers.
  • Active Adult Communities: Luxury communities specifically designed for active adults aged 55+. Market share information is less readily available, but Toll Brothers is a prominent player in this niche. Competitors are similar to those in single-family homes, with added competition from smaller, regional active adult developers. Revenue varies year to year.
  • Luxury Apartments: High-end apartment rentals in urban and suburban locations. Toll Brothers Apartment Living (TBAL) competes with other national and regional apartment developers and REITs. Revenue for this segment is variable depending on projects completed.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The homebuilding industry is cyclical and influenced by economic conditions, interest rates, demographics, and consumer confidence. Demand for new homes has been affected by higher interest rates. The rental market has softened in some areas due to increased supply.

Positioning

Toll Brothers is positioned as a premium luxury homebuilder, focusing on high-end buyers and desirable locations. Their competitive advantages include a strong brand reputation, customization options, and integrated financial services.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The total addressable market for new homes in the US is estimated to be worth hundreds of billions of dollars annually. Toll Brothers, as a luxury homebuilder, captures a portion of this market, focusing on higher-priced homes and affluent buyers.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong brand reputation and premium image
  • Focus on the luxury home market
  • High-quality construction and design
  • Customization options for buyers
  • Integrated financial services (mortgage and insurance)
  • Geographic diversification

Weaknesses

  • Exposure to economic cycles and interest rate fluctuations
  • Higher average selling prices, potentially limiting buyer pool
  • Longer construction times compared to entry-level builders
  • Vulnerable to rising material and labor costs
  • Reliance on land availability in desirable locations

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new geographic markets
  • Development of more active adult communities
  • Growth of apartment rental business
  • Increased demand for sustainable and energy-efficient homes
  • Strategic acquisitions of smaller homebuilders or land developers

Threats

  • Economic downturns and housing market corrections
  • Rising interest rates and mortgage costs
  • Increased competition from other luxury homebuilders
  • Shortages of skilled labor and building materials
  • Changes in government regulations and zoning laws
  • Changing consumer preferences

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • DHI
  • LEN
  • PHM
  • NVR

Competitive Landscape

Toll Brothers differentiates itself through its focus on luxury homes and customization options. Competitors like D.R. Horton and Lennar target a broader range of buyers, including entry-level and move-up buyers. NVR and PulteGroup also focus on different segments, while Toll Brothers homes are at a different price point.

Major Acquisitions

Shapell Homes

  • Year: 2013
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 1600
  • Strategic Rationale: Increased presence in the California market and expanded land holdings.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Toll Brothers' growth has been driven by expansion into new markets, increasing sales volume, and strategic acquisitions. Growth has been variable depending on larger economic trends.

Future Projections: Future growth projections depend on analyst estimates, which can be found on financial websites. These projections are subject to change based on market conditions.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding apartment rental portfolio, focusing on sustainability, and developing new active adult communities.

Summary

Toll Brothers is a leading luxury homebuilder with a strong brand and solid market position. Its focus on the high-end market offers resilience but also exposes it to economic cycles. Expanding its apartment rental business and strategically managing costs are key to future growth. The company needs to watch out for interest rate risks and changing consumer preferences.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company Financial Reports
  • Market Research Reports
  • Industry News Articles
  • Yahoo Finance
  • Bloomberg

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on publicly available information and general industry knowledge. It is not financial advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Toll Brothers Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Fort Washington, PA, United States
IPO Launch date 1987-12-30
Chairman & CEO Mr. Douglas C. Yearley Jr.
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Residential Construction
Full time employees 4900
Full time employees 4900

Toll Brothers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, builds, markets, sells, and arranges finance for a range of detached and attached homes in luxury residential communities in the United States. It designs, builds, markets, and sells condominiums through Toll Brothers City Living. The company also develops a range of single-story living and first-floor primary bedroom suite home designs, as well as communities with recreational amenities, such as golf courses, marinas, pool complexes, country clubs, and fitness and recreation centers; and develops, operates, and rents apartments. In addition, it provides various interior fit-out options, such as flooring, wall tile, plumbing, cabinets, fixtures, appliances, lighting, and home-automation and security technologies. Further, the company owns and operates architectural, engineering, mortgage, title, land development, insurance, smart home technology, landscaping, lumber distribution, house component assembly, and component manufacturing operations. It serves luxury first-time, move-up, empty-nester, active-adult, and second-home buyers. The company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Fort Washington, Pennsylvania.