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Toll Brothers Inc (TOL)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/14/2025: TOL (3-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 62 days. Profits (22.39%). Updated daily EoD!
1 Year Target Price $142.25
1 Year Target Price $142.25
9 | Strong Buy |
3 | Buy |
6 | Hold |
1 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 126.51% | Avg. Invested days 73 | Today’s Advisory Strong Buy |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 12.81B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 9.7 | 1Y Target Price 142.25 |
Price to earnings Ratio 9.7 | 1Y Target Price 142.25 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 19 | Beta 1.33 | 52 Weeks Range 86.26 - 168.40 | Updated Date 08/15/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 86.26 - 168.40 | Updated Date 08/15/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.72% | Basic EPS (TTM) 13.45 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-08-19 | When - | Estimate 3.6 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 12.95% | Operating Margin (TTM) 16.78% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 8.37% | Return on Equity (TTM) 18.06% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 9.7 | Forward PE 9.06 | Enterprise Value 15105787810 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.2 |
Enterprise Value 15105787810 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.2 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.42 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.12 | Shares Outstanding 98181000 | Shares Floating 97446606 |
Shares Outstanding 98181000 | Shares Floating 97446606 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.74 | Percent Institutions 91.19 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Toll Brothers Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Founded in 1967 by brothers Robert and Bruce Toll, Toll Brothers Inc. started building luxury homes in suburban Philadelphia. Over the decades, the company expanded geographically and diversified its product offerings, becoming a leading national builder of luxury homes.
Core Business Areas
- Luxury Home Building: Toll Brothers' core business is the design, construction, and sale of luxury single-family detached and attached homes.
- City Living: Development of high-rise and mid-rise condominium projects in urban areas.
- Student Living: Development and management of high-end student housing communities (sold this segment in 2018 but indicates a continued focus on rental properties).
- Apartment Living: Development of luxury apartment communities, often in high-growth markets.
- Active Adult: Development of single-family homes and communities designed for the Active Adult demographic.
Leadership and Structure
Douglas C. Yearley, Jr. serves as the Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. The company has a hierarchical structure with regional presidents overseeing operations in various geographic areas, reporting to senior management.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Luxury Single-Family Homes: Toll Brothers' primary product, offering customizable designs and high-end finishes. Market share is difficult to pinpoint precisely due to the fragmented nature of the homebuilding industry, but Toll Brothers focuses on the luxury segment. Competitors include D.R. Horton (DHI), Lennar (LEN), and PulteGroup (PHM), but at a lower price point in the overall home building market.
- Market Share (%): Estimated 3-5% of luxury homebuilding market
- Luxury Condominiums: High-rise and mid-rise condominiums in urban areas, catering to affluent buyers seeking city living. Competitors include Related Companies and Extell Development Company in specific geographic markets.
- Market Share (%): Varies significantly by city; difficult to quantify nationally.
- Active Adult Communities: Luxury single family homes for active adults. Competitors include K. Hovnanian (HOV) and other specialized active adult community developers.
- Market Share (%): Varies significantly by region; difficult to quantify nationally.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The homebuilding industry is cyclical and influenced by interest rates, economic growth, consumer confidence, and demographic trends. Currently the market is experiencing volatility due to high interest rates and inflation, while still being supported by underlying demographic demand, especially in the luxury segment.
Positioning
Toll Brothers Inc. is positioned as a premium luxury homebuilder, differentiating itself through design customization, high-quality construction, and desirable locations. Its competitive advantage lies in its brand reputation and ability to cater to affluent buyers.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for new home sales in the US is estimated to be several hundred billion dollars annually. Toll Brothers is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of the luxury home segment within this TAM.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand reputation
- Focus on luxury market
- Customizable home designs
- High-quality construction
- Desirable locations
Weaknesses
- Higher price point limits market reach
- Sensitivity to economic cycles
- Significant inventory risk
- Dependence on mortgage rates
Opportunities
- Expanding into new geographic markets
- Increasing focus on active adult communities
- Leveraging technology for design and sales
- Capitalizing on demographic trends favoring luxury housing
Threats
- Rising interest rates
- Economic recession
- Increased competition
- Supply chain disruptions
- Labor shortages
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- DHI
- LEN
- PHM
- NVR
Competitive Landscape
Toll Brothers differentiates itself through its focus on luxury homes and customization options. Competitors often target a broader market with less expensive homes. Tolls Brothers has a very small market share of the overall homebuilding market and operates primarily in the luxury segment of the market.
Major Acquisitions
Shapell Homes
- Year: 2013
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 1600
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded Toll Brothers' presence in the California market.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Toll Brothers' growth has been driven by geographic expansion and increasing demand for luxury homes. However, growth is cyclical and tied to the overall economy.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates vary based on market conditions. Check financial news outlets for updated projections.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding into new markets, focusing on active adult communities, and investing in technology to improve the customer experience.
Summary
Toll Brothers is a leading luxury homebuilder with a strong brand and focus on high-end customers. While the company faces cyclical challenges and is sensitive to economic downturns, it is well-positioned to benefit from long-term demographic trends favoring luxury housing. Risks include rising interest rates and supply chain disruptions. Toll Brothers needs to continue to innovate and stay ahead of changing consumer preferences to maintain its competitive edge.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Industry reports
- Financial news outlets
- Analyst reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market data and analyst estimates are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Toll Brothers Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Fort Washington, PA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1987-12-30 | Chairman & CEO Mr. Douglas C. Yearley Jr. | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Residential Construction | Full time employees 4900 | Website https://www.tollbrothers.com |
Full time employees 4900 | Website https://www.tollbrothers.com |
Toll Brothers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, builds, markets, sells, and arranges finance for a range of detached and attached homes in luxury residential communities in the United States. It designs, builds, markets, and sells condominiums through Toll Brothers City Living. The company also develops a range of single-story living and first-floor primary bedroom suite home designs, as well as communities with recreational amenities, such as golf courses, marinas, pool complexes, country clubs, and fitness and recreation centers; and develops, operates, and rents apartments. In addition, it provides various interior fit-out options, such as flooring, wall tile, plumbing, cabinets, fixtures, appliances, lighting, and home-automation and security technologies. Further, the company owns and operates architectural, engineering, mortgage, title, land development, insurance, smart home technology, landscaping, lumber distribution, house component assembly, and component manufacturing operations. It serves luxury first-time, move-up, empty-nester, active-adult, and second-home buyers. The company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Fort Washington, Pennsylvania.

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