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Toll Brothers Inc (TOL)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/16/2025: TOL (3-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 21 days. Profits (1.15%). Updated daily EoD!
Year Target Price $138.21
Year Target Price $138.21
9 | Strong Buy |
3 | Buy |
6 | Hold |
0 | Under performing |
1 | Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 87.16% | Avg. Invested days 64 | Today’s Advisory Strong Buy |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 11.22B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 8.5 | 1Y Target Price 137.57 |
Price to earnings Ratio 8.5 | 1Y Target Price 137.57 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) - | Beta 1.35 | 52 Weeks Range 86.44 - 168.75 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 86.44 - 168.75 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.87% | Basic EPS (TTM) 13.45 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 12.95% | Operating Margin (TTM) 16.78% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 8.37% | Return on Equity (TTM) 18.06% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 8.5 | Forward PE 8.35 | Enterprise Value 13465183300 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.05 |
Enterprise Value 13465183300 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.05 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.26 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.24 | Shares Outstanding 98181000 | Shares Floating 97442679 |
Shares Outstanding 98181000 | Shares Floating 97442679 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.74 | Percent Institutions 93.01 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.05 | Target Price 138.21 | Buy 3 | Strong Buy 9 |
Buy 3 | Strong Buy 9 | ||
Hold 6 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Toll Brothers Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Toll Brothers Inc. was founded in 1967 by brothers Robert and Bruce Toll. Initially focusing on single-family homes in suburban Philadelphia, it has evolved into a national builder of luxury homes, active adult communities, and urban high-rises.
Core Business Areas
- Luxury Homes: Construction and sale of single-family luxury homes in suburban and urban markets.
- Active Adult Communities: Development and sale of homes in communities designed for active adults aged 55+.
- Urban High-Rise Condominiums: Development and sale of luxury condominiums in urban areas.
- Student Housing: Development and management of high-end student housing properties.
Leadership and Structure
Douglas C. Yearley, Jr. is the Chairman and CEO. The company has a traditional corporate structure with executive leadership overseeing various functional departments.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Luxury Single-Family Homes: Customizable luxury homes in upscale communities. Market share is difficult to pinpoint exactly, but Toll Brothers is a leading luxury homebuilder. Competitors include NVR, Lennar, and PulteGroup. Revenue is significant, contributing a substantial portion of total revenue.
- Active Adult Communities (55+): Homes and amenities tailored for active adults. Toll Brothers is a major player in this market segment. Competitors include Del Webb (PulteGroup), and smaller regional builders. Revenue is a significant contributor to total revenue.
- Urban High-Rise Condominiums: Luxury condos in major metropolitan areas. Toll Brothers has a presence in key urban markets. Competitors include Related Companies, Extell Development Company, and local developers. Revenue varies based on project completions.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The homebuilding industry is cyclical, influenced by interest rates, economic growth, and consumer confidence. Demand has been strong in recent years but faces challenges from rising interest rates and inflation.
Positioning
Toll Brothers positions itself as a luxury homebuilder, focusing on affluent buyers and offering high-quality homes and customization options. Its competitive advantage lies in its brand reputation, land acquisition strategy, and ability to cater to affluent buyers.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total US housing market is valued in the trillions of dollars. Toll Brothers focuses on the luxury segment, which represents a smaller but still substantial portion of the overall market. Their position within the TAM is at the higher end, catering to affluent buyers.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand reputation
- Focus on luxury market
- High-quality construction
- Customization options
- Strategic land acquisition
Weaknesses
- Higher price points compared to competitors
- Sensitivity to economic downturns
- Geographic concentration in certain markets
- Reliance on affluent buyers
Opportunities
- Expanding into new markets
- Capitalizing on demand for active adult communities
- Increasing focus on sustainable building practices
- Leveraging technology for improved efficiency
Threats
- Rising interest rates
- Economic recession
- Increased competition
- Supply chain disruptions
- Labor shortages
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- D.R. Horton (DHI)
- Lennar Corporation (LEN)
- PulteGroup (PHM)
Competitive Landscape
Toll Brothers differentiates itself through its focus on the luxury market and customization options. It faces competition from larger, more diversified homebuilders like D.R. Horton and Lennar.
Major Acquisitions
Shapell Homes
- Year: 2013
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 1600
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded Toll Brothers' presence in the California market.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Toll Brothers has experienced significant growth over the past decades, driven by its expansion into new markets and product lines.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued growth for Toll Brothers, driven by demand for luxury homes and active adult communities. However, growth is expected to be tempered by rising interest rates and economic uncertainty.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding into new markets, increasing focus on sustainable building practices, and leveraging technology for improved efficiency.
Summary
Toll Brothers is a well-established luxury homebuilder with a strong brand and focus on affluent buyers. They are well-positioned in the luxury market, however, they must watch out for the fluctuating interest rates and economic conditions. Their ability to capitalize on new markets and focus on sustainable practices are key to future growth. The company's high price points compared to competitors will need to be closely monitored.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Company website
- Analyst reports
- Financial news outlets
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investment decisions should be based on individual circumstances and consultation with a qualified financial advisor. Market data is dynamic and subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Toll Brothers Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Fort Washington, PA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1987-12-30 | Chairman & CEO Mr. Douglas C. Yearley Jr. | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Residential Construction | Full time employees 4900 | Website https://www.tollbrothers.com |
Full time employees 4900 | Website https://www.tollbrothers.com |
Toll Brothers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, builds, markets, sells, and arranges finance for a range of detached and attached homes in luxury residential communities in the United States. It designs, builds, markets, and sells condominiums through Toll Brothers City Living. The company also develops a range of single-story living and first-floor primary bedroom suite home designs, as well as communities with recreational amenities, such as golf courses, marinas, pool complexes, country clubs, and fitness and recreation centers; and develops, operates, and rents apartments. In addition, it provides various interior fit-out options, such as flooring, wall tile, plumbing, cabinets, fixtures, appliances, lighting, and home-automation and security technologies. Further, the company owns and operates architectural, engineering, mortgage, title, land development, insurance, smart home technology, landscaping, lumber distribution, house component assembly, and component manufacturing operations. It serves luxury first-time, move-up, empty-nester, active-adult, and second-home buyers. The company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Fort Washington, Pennsylvania.
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