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TOL 
Toll Brothers Inc (TOL)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/26/2025: TOL (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Moderate Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.
Number of Analysts
19 Analysts rated it
Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.
1 Year Target Price $150.73
1 Year Target Price $150.73
| 9 | Strong Buy |
| 3 | Buy |
| 6 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 141.98% | Avg. Invested days 79 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  5.0 | Stock Returns Performance  5.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/26/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 13.80B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 10.2 | 1Y Target Price 150.73 |
Price to earnings Ratio 10.2 | 1Y Target Price 150.73 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 19 | Beta 1.39 | 52 Weeks Range 86.09 - 166.74 | Updated Date 11/26/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 86.09 - 166.74 | Updated Date 11/26/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.69% | Basic EPS (TTM) 13.77 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 12.64% | Operating Margin (TTM) 17.38% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 8.31% | Return on Equity (TTM) 17.7% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 10.2 | Forward PE 10 | Enterprise Value 15554114050 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.27 |
Enterprise Value 15554114050 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.27 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.43 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.39 | Shares Outstanding 96383000 | Shares Floating 95699645 |
Shares Outstanding 96383000 | Shares Floating 95699645 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.7 | Percent Institutions 91.72 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Toll Brothers Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Toll Brothers Inc. was founded in 1967 by brothers Bob and Bruce Toll. It started as a homebuilding company in suburban Philadelphia and has grown to become a national leader in luxury homebuilding.
Core Business Areas
- Luxury Homebuilding: Designs, builds, and markets single-family detached homes, attached homes, and condominiums in luxury communities. Caters to move-up, empty-nester, active adult, and second-home buyers.
- Apartment Rentals and Student Housing: Develops and manages luxury apartment communities, often located in urban areas and transit-oriented locations. Also develops student housing.
- City Living: Develops housing specifically to target urban communities.
- Urban Infill: Focuses on developing housing in areas where there is limited land space, specifically in urban communities.
Leadership and Structure
Douglas C. Yearley, Jr. serves as the Chairman and CEO. The company has a traditional hierarchical organizational structure with regional divisions reporting to corporate headquarters.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Single-Family Homes: Luxury single-family detached homes in master-planned communities. Toll Brothers has a significant share of the luxury market, but specific figures vary by region. Competitors include PulteGroup, Lennar, and D.R. Horton in the luxury segment. Revenue for this segment is the largest for Toll Brothers.
- Active Adult Communities: Luxury communities specifically designed for active adults aged 55+. Market share information is less readily available, but Toll Brothers is a prominent player in this niche. Competitors are similar to those in single-family homes, with added competition from smaller, regional active adult developers. Revenue varies year to year.
- Luxury Apartments: High-end apartment rentals in urban and suburban locations. Toll Brothers Apartment Living (TBAL) competes with other national and regional apartment developers and REITs. Revenue for this segment is variable depending on projects completed.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The homebuilding industry is cyclical and influenced by economic conditions, interest rates, demographics, and consumer confidence. Demand for new homes has been affected by higher interest rates. The rental market has softened in some areas due to increased supply.
Positioning
Toll Brothers is positioned as a premium luxury homebuilder, focusing on high-end buyers and desirable locations. Their competitive advantages include a strong brand reputation, customization options, and integrated financial services.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for new homes in the US is estimated to be worth hundreds of billions of dollars annually. Toll Brothers, as a luxury homebuilder, captures a portion of this market, focusing on higher-priced homes and affluent buyers.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand reputation and premium image
- Focus on the luxury home market
- High-quality construction and design
- Customization options for buyers
- Integrated financial services (mortgage and insurance)
- Geographic diversification
Weaknesses
- Exposure to economic cycles and interest rate fluctuations
- Higher average selling prices, potentially limiting buyer pool
- Longer construction times compared to entry-level builders
- Vulnerable to rising material and labor costs
- Reliance on land availability in desirable locations
Opportunities
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Development of more active adult communities
- Growth of apartment rental business
- Increased demand for sustainable and energy-efficient homes
- Strategic acquisitions of smaller homebuilders or land developers
Threats
- Economic downturns and housing market corrections
- Rising interest rates and mortgage costs
- Increased competition from other luxury homebuilders
- Shortages of skilled labor and building materials
- Changes in government regulations and zoning laws
- Changing consumer preferences
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- DHI
- LEN
- PHM
- NVR
Competitive Landscape
Toll Brothers differentiates itself through its focus on luxury homes and customization options. Competitors like D.R. Horton and Lennar target a broader range of buyers, including entry-level and move-up buyers. NVR and PulteGroup also focus on different segments, while Toll Brothers homes are at a different price point.
Major Acquisitions
Shapell Homes
- Year: 2013
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 1600
- Strategic Rationale: Increased presence in the California market and expanded land holdings.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Toll Brothers' growth has been driven by expansion into new markets, increasing sales volume, and strategic acquisitions. Growth has been variable depending on larger economic trends.
Future Projections: Future growth projections depend on analyst estimates, which can be found on financial websites. These projections are subject to change based on market conditions.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding apartment rental portfolio, focusing on sustainability, and developing new active adult communities.
Summary
Toll Brothers is a leading luxury homebuilder with a strong brand and solid market position. Its focus on the high-end market offers resilience but also exposes it to economic cycles. Expanding its apartment rental business and strategically managing costs are key to future growth. The company needs to watch out for interest rate risks and changing consumer preferences.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Financial Reports
- Market Research Reports
- Industry News Articles
- Yahoo Finance
- Bloomberg
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and general industry knowledge. It is not financial advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Toll Brothers Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Fort Washington, PA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1987-12-30 | Chairman & CEO Mr. Douglas C. Yearley Jr. | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Residential Construction | Full time employees 4900 | Website https://www.tollbrothers.com |
Full time employees 4900 | Website https://www.tollbrothers.com | ||
Toll Brothers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, builds, markets, sells, and arranges finance for a range of detached and attached homes in luxury residential communities in the United States. It designs, builds, markets, and sells condominiums through Toll Brothers City Living. The company also develops a range of single-story living and first-floor primary bedroom suite home designs, as well as communities with recreational amenities, such as golf courses, marinas, pool complexes, country clubs, and fitness and recreation centers; and develops, operates, and rents apartments. In addition, it provides various interior fit-out options, such as flooring, wall tile, plumbing, cabinets, fixtures, appliances, lighting, and home-automation and security technologies. Further, the company owns and operates architectural, engineering, mortgage, title, land development, insurance, smart home technology, landscaping, lumber distribution, house component assembly, and component manufacturing operations. It serves luxury first-time, move-up, empty-nester, active-adult, and second-home buyers. The company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Fort Washington, Pennsylvania.
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