Keel Infrastructure Corp.(KEEL)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
3-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$1.87
11/06/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
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Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for KEEL

11/06/2026: KEEL (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Keel Infrastructure Corp. is a specialized North American developer focused on building and owning data centers and energy infrastructure designed for high-performance AI workloads. Following its 2026 transition from Bitfarms, the company now benefits from a substantial 2.2-gigawatt project pipeline and strategic grid interconnections in key power-constrained markets. The company's primary growth story hinges on successfully securing hyperscale leases to generate long-term recurring revenue. Risks include significant capital requirements, intense competition from established REITs, and execution uncertainty. The stock may suit growth-oriented investors who are comfortable with the high risks and potential rewards associated with early-stage infrastructure projects in the expanding AI space.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorStrong fitThe company is in an aggressive growth phase focusing on the high-demand AI infrastructure market.
Momentum investorMixed fitMomentum potential depends on positive updates regarding hyperscaler lease signings.
Value investorWeak fitThe company is currently prioritizing capital deployment for development over immediate earnings valuation.
Dividend investorWeak fitNo dividend policy exists as the company is in a heavy reinvestment cycle.
Low-risk investorWeak fitHigh execution risk and volatility make this unsuitable for conservative portfolios.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock is susceptible to significant price swings tied to AI market sentiment and company development news.
Valuation riskMedium / highValuation depends heavily on long-term growth forecasts rather than current cash flow.
Competition risk (Hyperscale Infrastructure)HighStrong competition from established data center REITs threatens market penetration.
Business qualityMediumThe company is still proving its new, pure-play infrastructure business model.
Dividend incomeLow / noneIncome investors will not find yield here due to the development-focused capital strategy.
Execution riskHighFailure to secure major leases or hit site development timelines would severely impact projections.

Price Behavior

Rolling Over
PRICE PATH

Rolling Over

The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.

Extreme Price Shocks
PRICE STABILITY

Extreme Price Shocks

The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 101.3%
Avg. Invested days 22
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 5.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/06/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
KEEL receives a 2-star rating, reflecting soft or weak scores across the available pillars. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, soft quantitative characteristics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
KEEL has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with soft financial health, moderate growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid revenue growth (+18.9%) is partially offset by negative earnings growth (-426.3%), weak cash generation (FCF margin -142.6%), weak profitability (net margin -124.1%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
KEEL's financial health is soft, with the relatively strongest area being moderate liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 52.3%). Profitability is weak (1 stars), which helps explain the 2-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is KEEL's strongest growth driver at +32.0% FY2025 versus FY2024 (solid, 4 stars). By comparison, revenue growth (+18.9%, solid) is also solid, while earnings growth (-426.3%, negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 67.2% and approximately 95.6% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 4.57% provides only moderate management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 7.12%
Situational Awareness LP 4.28%
Monarch Alternative Capital LP 4.26%
Jane Street Group LLC 3.75%
Diameter Capital Partners LP 3.32%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
KEEL generates approximately $-82 of gross profit, $-652 of operating income, and $-1,426 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Operating losses and cash burn explain the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: -0.05% (Tax Credit)

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
KEEL has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while soft valuation.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

High VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.16B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 5.23
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 5.23
Volume (30-day avg) 28.6M shares
Beta 4.19
52 Weeks Range 1.60 - 7.37
Updated Date 11/08/2026
52 Weeks Range 1.60 - 7.37
Updated Date 11/08/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.67

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Data Center InfrastructureLeasing power-dense, AI-optimized data center space to enterprise and hyperscale customers.The company earns money by building the physical facilities that AI hardware requires.
GeographyOperations concentrated in Pennsylvania, Washington, and Quebec.They focus on locations with established, reliable energy grid access.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 84.03
Enterprise Value 1.37B
Price to Sales(TTM) 7.82
Enterprise Value 1.37B
Price to Sales(TTM) 7.82
Enterprise Value to Revenue 9.31
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 62.08
Shares Outstanding 617.88M
Shares Floating 590.70M
Shares Outstanding 617.88M
Shares Floating 590.70M
Percent Insiders 4.57
Percent Institutions 67.24

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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