Leidos Holdings Inc logo

Leidos Holdings Inc(LDOS)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
1-STAR RATING
SELL
SELL for 1 day
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
-0.72%
LAST CLOSE
$129.24
09/15/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Upturn Advisory & Investor View for LDOS

09/15/2026: LDOS (1-star) is a SELL. SELL for 1 day. Simulated Profits (-0.72%). Updated daily EoD!

Leidos Holdings is a prominent technology and services provider for U.S. defense, intelligence, and civil government agencies. The company distinguishes itself through deep domain expertise in digital modernization and mission-critical system integration, providing a stable foundation of long-term contract revenue. Its primary investment story centers on the ongoing demand for AI and cybersecurity upgrades across the federal landscape. Investors should remain mindful of execution risks associated with large-scale contracts and sensitivity to federal budget fluctuations. Overall, Leidos serves as a steady, reliable component for portfolios seeking defense-sector exposure, with consistent dividend payouts that may appeal to income-focused investors looking for long-term stability over rapid growth.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitLeidos offers steady, predictable growth rather than explosive, high-volatility expansion.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThe stock can exhibit strong momentum trends during periods of increased defense spending.
Value investorMixed fitValuation is generally tied to contract backlogs and requires assessment of federal budget cycles.
Dividend investorStrong fitLeidos provides reliable, recurring dividend income supported by government-backed cash flows.
Low-risk investorStrong fitGovernment-backed revenue streams provide a measure of insulation from broader market volatility.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMediumThe stock is influenced by federal budget headlines and broader defense-sector sentiment.
Valuation riskMediumReliance on government contract margins means valuation is sensitive to changes in federal procurement policy.
Competition risk (AI/Technical)MediumMaintaining an edge in technical talent and AI innovation against peers like Booz Allen is vital.
Business qualityStrongLeidos enjoys high barriers to entry and long-term, sticky customer relationships with federal agencies.
Dividend incomeLowThe dividend is considered stable, though not a high-yield play compared to utilities or REITs.
Execution riskMediumLarge-scale IT modernization contracts involve complex execution risks that can impact profit margins.

Price Behavior

Steep Decline
PRICE PATH

Steep Decline

The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 41.9%
Avg. Invested days 59
Today’s Advisory SELL
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/15/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

LDOS receives a 4-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, solid quantitative characteristics, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

LDOS has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with solid financial health, solid growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid earnings growth (+16.1%) and solid cash generation (FCF margin 9.5%) are partially offset by moderate revenue growth (+3.1%), soft profitability (net margin 8.5%), very low insider ownership of 0.55%.

Financial Health Rating

LDOS's financial health is supported by strong cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation of $1.6B (9.5% of revenue). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

Free-cash-flow growth is LDOS's strongest growth driver at +30.7% FY2025 versus FY2024 (solid, 4 stars). Revenue growth (+3.1%, moderate) and earnings growth (+16.1%, solid) are also constructive, though not equally high across every growth measure.

Ownership

Institutional ownership is 84.7% and approximately 99.3% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership is only 0.55%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 7.57%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 6.58%
State Street Corp 4.87%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 4.36%
JPMorgan Chase & Co 3.39%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

LDOS generates approximately $177 of gross profit, $123 of operating income, and $95 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Strong cash conversion and healthy margins support the rating, although capital efficiency remains below the highest tier.

Economic Dimensions

Effective Tax Rate: 23.18%

Quantitative Style Profile

LDOS has a high-quality, large-cap, liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltLow VolatilityLarge / Mega Cap StabilityHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 16.67B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 12.4
1Y Target Price 156.6
Price to earnings Ratio 12.4
1Y Target Price 156.6
Volume (30-day avg) 1.4M shares
Beta 0.57
52 Weeks Range 98.54 - 203.41
Updated Date 09/15/2026
52 Weeks Range 98.54 - 203.41
Updated Date 09/15/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 1.31%
Basic EPS (TTM) 10.71

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Defense SolutionsAirborne, space, and ground systems development.This is the core engine driven by long-term Department of Defense contracts.
Health & CivilIT systems for hospitals, transportation screening, and air traffic control.Provides stable, essential services that are less sensitive to short-term military budget changes.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 12.4
Forward PE 9.87
Enterprise Value 22.00B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.95
Enterprise Value 22.00B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.95
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.25
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.49
Shares Outstanding 125.49M
Shares Floating 124.55M
Shares Outstanding 125.49M
Shares Floating 124.55M
Percent Insiders 0.55
Percent Institutions 84.73

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About Leidos Holdings Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquarters Reston, VA, United States
IPO Launch date 2006-10-13
CEO & Director Mr. Thomas A. Bell
Sector Technology
Industry Information Technology Services
Full time employees 50000
Full time employees 50000

Leidos Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides services and solutions for government and commercial customers in the United States and internationally. The National Security & Digital segment provides national security software; services by using artificial intelligence and machine learning to coordinate sea, ground, air, and space to help warfighters; offensive, defensive, and physical cyber operation solutions; intelligence analysis, operational support, logistics operations, security, linguistics, force production, biometrics, chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear, and explosives, energetics, training, and other services; and Digital Modernization and transformation services. The Health & Civil segment offers air traffic control systems; health mission software; managed health services; infrastructure management and operation; logistical operations and information technology support; and life science research and development support services. The Commercial & International segment provides power grid engineering and design, grid modernization, utility planning and consulting, energy management and efficiency, technology-driven innovation, and software and application development; people scanners, computed tomography carry-on baggage scanners, checked baggage scanners, and explosive trace detectors; mobile, non-intrusive ports and borders inspection systems; and open-architecture platform that transforms airport security by integrating disparate devices and technologies into a unified management system. The Defense Systems segment offers air and missile defense, maritime, aerospace, and cyber and threat systems; offers airborne training, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance missions; and provides space-based electro-optic infrared systems, multi/hyperspectral, electronic warfare and signals intelligence, and communications payloads. Leidos Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Reston, Virginia.