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Leidos Holdings Inc(LDOS)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for LDOS
10/08/2026: LDOS (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Leidos Holdings Inc is a prominent provider of technology, engineering, and science solutions primarily for the U.S. federal government. The company has a leading position in digital modernization, defense systems, and health IT, benefiting from long-term, predictable contract cycles. Its primary growth opportunity lies in leveraging advanced cybersecurity and AI capabilities to meet the evolving demands of national security. However, the business faces risks related to federal budget volatility, intense competition for contract awards, and complex integration challenges for large-scale projects. Leidos generally suits value-conscious and dividend-oriented investors seeking steady exposure to the defense and government IT sector.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Leidos offers steady growth tied to government spending rather than the exponential growth expected by aggressive growth investors. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The stock often trends with defense sector sentiment and successful large-scale contract announcements. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | Leidos often trades at reasonable valuation multiples, making it an attractive play for those looking for fundamental strength. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | The company maintains a reliable dividend policy supported by predictable government-backed cash flows. |
| Low-risk investor | Strong fit | As a major government contractor, Leidos is viewed as having lower fundamental risk compared to more cyclical industries. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium | The stock can be sensitive to fluctuations in federal budget debates and political cycles. |
| Valuation risk | Low | Historically reasonable valuation levels mitigate some of the downside risk for long-term holders. |
| Competition risk (Federal IT contracting) | Medium / high | Competition for prime contract awards is intense and puts pressure on margins. |
| Business quality | Strong | Leidos holds a strong position as a trusted partner for mission-critical government work. |
| Dividend income | Medium | Dividends are secure, though growth may be moderate compared to higher-yield sectors. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Large-scale systems integration projects carry risks of cost overruns and delays. |
Price Behavior
Steep Decline
The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 41.9% | Avg. Invested days 59 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/08/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 14.25B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 10.9 | 1Y Target Price 153.27 |
Price to earnings Ratio 10.9 | 1Y Target Price 153.27 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.3M shares | Beta 0.59 | 52 Weeks Range 98.54 - 203.41 | Updated Date 10/08/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 98.54 - 203.41 | Updated Date 10/08/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.45% | Basic EPS (TTM) 10.42 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Defense & Intelligence | Systems engineering and IT support for defense operations. | This is a core pillar that benefits directly from consistent U.S. defense spending. |
| Civil & Infrastructure | Air traffic control systems, transportation, and border security tech. | Provides stable, long-term revenue through essential civilian infrastructure contracts. |
| Health Services | Electronic health records and clinical research support. | Offers growth potential as healthcare systems modernize and digitize their processes. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 10.9 | Forward PE 9.55 | Enterprise Value 21.48B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.81 |
Enterprise Value 21.48B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.81 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.22 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.27 | Shares Outstanding 125.49M | Shares Floating 124.55M |
Shares Outstanding 125.49M | Shares Floating 124.55M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.55 | Percent Institutions 84.88 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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