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Upturn stock rating
MAIN logo

Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN)

Upturn stock rating
$56.92
Last Close (24-hour delay)
upturn advisory
PASS
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  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W

Upturn Advisory Summary

10/31/2025: MAIN (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Above Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, frequently surpass the market, reflecting reliable and trustworthy advice.

Number of Analysts

rating

4 Analysts rated it

Very few follow this stock; limited insights, higher-risk early investing.

1 Year Target Price $61.33

1 Year Target Price $61.33

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$61.33 Target price
52w Low $45.38
Current$56.92
52w High $66.93

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 82.28%
Avg. Invested days 95
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 5.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 4.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/31/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 5.09B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 9.36
1Y Target Price 61.33
Price to earnings Ratio 9.36
1Y Target Price 61.33
Volume (30-day avg) 4
Beta 0.87
52 Weeks Range 45.38 - 66.93
Updated Date 11/1/2025
52 Weeks Range 45.38 - 66.93
Updated Date 11/1/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 5.27%
Basic EPS (TTM) 6.08

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-10-30
When -
Estimate 1
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 96.16%
Operating Margin (TTM) 87.41%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 6.01%
Return on Equity (TTM) 19.65%

Valuation

Trailing PE 9.36
Forward PE 16.08
Enterprise Value 7231429120
Price to Sales(TTM) 9.12
Enterprise Value 7231429120
Price to Sales(TTM) 9.12
Enterprise Value to Revenue 12.74
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.6
Shares Outstanding 89430382
Shares Floating 85923817
Shares Outstanding 89430382
Shares Floating 85923817
Percent Insiders 3.85
Percent Institutions 23.11

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Main Street Capital Corporation

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas. It is a principal investment firm that primarily provides debt and equity capital to lower middle market companies and debt capital to middle market companies.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Lower Middle Market: Investments in lower middle market companies (generally having annual revenues between $10 million and $150 million) to support management buyouts, recapitalizations, growth financings, refinancings and acquisitions.
  • Private Loan: Investments in middle market companies (generally having annual revenues between $150 million and $1.5 billion) primarily in the form of first lien, senior secured debt.
  • Asset Management: Management of affiliated funds and other investment vehicles.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Dwayne L. Hyzak is the CEO. The company operates with a team of investment professionals focused on various sectors.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Debt Financing (Lower Middle Market): Provides first lien, senior secured debt to lower middle market companies. Market share data is difficult to ascertain precisely but Main Street is a significant player within the BDC space which has many players but few dominate. Competitors include Ares Capital (ARCC), Prospect Capital (PSEC), and Golub Capital BDC (GBDC).
  • Equity Investments (Lower Middle Market): Invests in equity positions alongside debt in lower middle market companies. Competitors include Ares Capital (ARCC), Prospect Capital (PSEC), and Golub Capital BDC (GBDC).
  • Private Loan (Middle Market): Provides financing to middle market companies. Competitors include Ares Capital (ARCC), and Owl Rock Capital Corporation (ORCC)

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The BDC industry is moderately fragmented, with key players providing capital to underserved middle and lower-middle market companies. Interest rates, economic conditions, and regulatory changes significantly affect the BDC industry.

Positioning

Main Street Capital Corporation is a leading BDC with a reputation for consistent performance, high dividend yields, and disciplined investment strategy. They maintain a high valuation relative to peers.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The TAM for private credit to middle market companies is estimated in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Main Street is well-positioned to capture a portion of this TAM through its established investment platform and relationships.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Experienced management team
  • Strong track record of dividend payments
  • Disciplined investment approach
  • Diversified portfolio
  • Internal management structure leading to lower expenses compared to externally managed BDCs.

Weaknesses

  • Sensitivity to economic downturns
  • Potential for credit losses
  • Reliance on debt financing
  • Vulnerable to interest rate increases
  • Concentration risk in certain portfolio companies

Opportunities

  • Growing demand for private credit
  • Expansion into new markets and industries
  • Strategic acquisitions of other BDCs or investment platforms
  • Increasing focus on ESG investments
  • Favorable regulatory changes promoting private credit

Threats

  • Increased competition from other BDCs and private credit funds
  • Rising interest rates
  • Economic recession or slowdown
  • Regulatory changes negatively impacting BDCs
  • Deterioration of portfolio company performance

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • ARCC
  • GBDC
  • PSEC
  • ORCC

Competitive Landscape

Main Street has a competitive advantage due to its internal management structure, which results in lower operating expenses compared to externally managed BDCs. Its disciplined investment approach and focus on high-quality companies have contributed to its strong performance.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Main Street has demonstrated steady growth in its investment portfolio, net asset value, and dividend payments over the past decade.

Future Projections: Analyst estimates project continued growth in investment income and net asset value, driven by increased demand for private credit and Main Street's disciplined investment approach.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expansion of its private loan strategy and continued focus on investing in high-quality lower middle market companies.

Summary

Main Street Capital Corporation is a strong BDC with a track record of consistent performance and dividend payments. Its internal management structure and disciplined investment approach are working well. However, it needs to be mindful of economic downturns and rising interest rates, which could negatively impact its portfolio companies and financial results. Its focus on the lower middle market continues to differentiate it.

Similar Stocks

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company filings (SEC)
  • Analyst reports
  • Market research reports
  • Company website

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly.

Upturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Main Street Capital Corporation

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Houston, TX, United States
IPO Launch date 2007-10-05
CEO & Member of the Board Mr. Dwayne Louis Hyzak CPA
Sector Financial Services
Industry Asset Management
Full time employees 104
Full time employees 104

Main Street Capital Corporation is a business development company and a small business investment company specializing in direct and indirect investments. In direct investments, the firm specializes in private equity capital to lower middle market companies. The firm specializes in recapitalizations, loan, growth capital, mezzanine debt, corporate carveouts, family estate planning, management buyouts, refinancing, private loan, private credit solutions, senior secured term debt, unintranche term debt, subordinated debt, preferred equity, common equity, minimal or no fixed amortization, split lien term debt, industry consolidation, mature, later stage and emerging growth. The firm makes both control and non-control equity investments. The firm also provides debt capital to middle market companies for strategic acquisitions, management buyouts, growth financings, majority and minority recapitalizations, and refinancing. The firm also makes equity co-investments. The firm provides debt financing solutions for acquisitions, recapitalizations, and refinancing to middle market companies. The firm provides private debt and private equity capital to lower middle market companies and debt capital to middle market companies. The firm seeks to partner with entrepreneurs, business owners and management teams and generally provides one stop financing alternatives within its lower middle market portfolio. It prefers to invest in air freight and logistics, auto components, building products, chemicals, commercial services, computers, construction and engineering, consumer finance, consumer services, electronic equipment, energy equipment and services, financial services, health care equipment, health care providers, hotels, restaurants, and leisure, internet software and services, IT Services, machinery, oil, gas and consumable fuels, paper and forest products, professional and industrial services, manufacturing, road and rail, software, specialty retail, telecommunication, consumer discretionary, energy, materials, concrete, p