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Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/05/2025: MAIN (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $60.67
1 Year Target Price $60.67
| 0 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 4 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 81.63% | Avg. Invested days 94 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 5.44B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 10.05 | 1Y Target Price 60.67 |
Price to earnings Ratio 10.05 | 1Y Target Price 60.67 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 4 | Beta 0.81 | 52 Weeks Range 45.18 - 66.63 | Updated Date 12/7/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 45.18 - 66.63 | Updated Date 12/7/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 5.00% | Basic EPS (TTM) 6.04 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 95.59% | Operating Margin (TTM) 87.24% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 5.94% | Return on Equity (TTM) 19.07% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 10.05 | Forward PE 16.08 | Enterprise Value 7570618368 | Price to Sales(TTM) 9.69 |
Enterprise Value 7570618368 | Price to Sales(TTM) 9.69 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 12.19 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.6 | Shares Outstanding 89587543 | Shares Floating 86075711 |
Shares Outstanding 89587543 | Shares Floating 86075711 | ||
Percent Insiders 3.84 | Percent Institutions 23.64 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Main Street Capital Corporation

Company Overview
History and Background
Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) was founded in 2007 and is a publicly traded business development company (BDC) headquartered in Houston, Texas. It specializes in providing debt and equity capital to lower middle market companies and debt capital to middle market companies. The company has grown significantly since its inception, focusing on a strategy of long-term investments in established businesses with strong management teams.
Core Business Areas
- Lower Middle Market (LMM) Investments: Direct lending and private equity investments in companies with annual revenues typically between $10 million and $150 million. This includes providing senior debt, subordinated debt, and equity co-investments. This segment is the primary focus of the company.
- Middle Market Debt Investments: Providing debt capital to larger, more established middle market companies, typically generating annual revenues between $150 million and $1.5 billion. These investments are generally on a passive basis, without equity participation.
Leadership and Structure
Main Street Capital Corporation is led by a management team with extensive experience in finance and investment. The company operates as a BDC, regulated under the Investment Company Act of 1940. Its structure is designed to pass through income to shareholders in the form of dividends.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Private Debt Financing: Offers various forms of debt, including senior secured loans, subordinated debt, and unitranche facilities, to support acquisitions, recapitalizations, and growth initiatives in the lower middle market. Competitors include other BDCs, private debt funds, and traditional lenders.
- Private Equity Co-Investments: Takes minority equity stakes alongside financial sponsors or directly in lower middle market companies. This allows for participation in capital appreciation. Competitors include private equity firms and other BDCs.
- Middle Market Debt: Provides unsecured notes or term loans to larger middle market companies. This is a more passive investment strategy. Competitors include institutional lenders and debt funds.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The BDC industry operates within the private credit and alternative investment space, providing financing to companies that may not have access to traditional bank loans. The market is influenced by interest rate environments, economic growth, and the availability of capital. The lower middle market, in particular, is characterized by a fragmented landscape of businesses often seeking flexible financing solutions.
Positioning
Main Street Capital Corporation is well-positioned as a leading BDC with a strong focus on the lower middle market. Its experienced management team, disciplined underwriting approach, and long-term investment horizon are key competitive advantages. The company's ability to offer both debt and equity solutions provides a comprehensive financing package.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for lower middle market financing is substantial, encompassing millions of privately held businesses in the US. Main Street Capital Corporation is a significant player in this market, but the TAM is vast and fragmented, with many smaller players and opportunities. Its positioning is strong within its target segment, but it does not aim to capture the entire market.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong track record of consistent dividend payments.
- Experienced management team with deep industry knowledge.
- Diversified investment portfolio across various industries and geographies.
- Access to both debt and equity financing capabilities.
- Focus on the underserved lower middle market.
Weaknesses
- Reliance on interest income, making it sensitive to interest rate fluctuations.
- Potential for credit losses on debt investments.
- Regulatory environment for BDCs can evolve.
- Limited operational control over portfolio companies compared to traditional private equity.
Opportunities
- Continued growth in the private credit market.
- Potential for increased deal flow as traditional lenders remain cautious.
- Expansion into new geographic regions or industry verticals.
- Opportunistic acquisitions or strategic partnerships.
- Rising interest rates can increase net interest income.
Threats
- Economic downturns leading to increased defaults in portfolio companies.
- Intensified competition from other BDCs and private lenders.
- Changes in interest rate policy impacting borrowing costs and investment returns.
- Regulatory changes impacting BDC operations and dividend policies.
- Market volatility affecting the valuation of equity co-investments.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Golub Capital BDC Inc. (GBDC)
- Apollo Senior Floating Rate Fund Inc. (ARBF)
- Owl Rock Capital Corporation (ORCC)
Competitive Landscape
Main Street Capital Corporation competes in a crowded BDC and private credit market. Its advantages lie in its specialized focus on the lower middle market, its experienced management team, and its ability to provide flexible financing solutions. However, it faces competition from larger, more diversified BDCs and increasingly from institutional investors entering the private credit space.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Main Street Capital Corporation has experienced substantial historical growth, driven by its disciplined investment strategy, expansion of its portfolio, and consistent income generation. The company has successfully navigated various market cycles.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates generally project continued revenue and net income growth, supported by the company's established investment pipeline and favorable market conditions for private credit. Dividend growth is also anticipated.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives have focused on deploying capital in its core lower middle market segment, managing its existing portfolio, and exploring opportunistic investments. The company also emphasizes maintaining its strong dividend payout.
Summary
Main Street Capital Corporation is a strong performer in the BDC space, consistently delivering robust financial results and attractive shareholder returns through its specialized focus on the lower middle market. Its experienced management and disciplined approach have fostered steady growth and reliable dividend payments. The company needs to remain vigilant against increasing competition and potential economic downturns that could impact its investment portfolio.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Investor Relations Filings (SEC Edgar)
- Financial Data Providers (e.g., Refinitiv, Bloomberg)
- Industry Analysis Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Main Street Capital Corporation
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Houston, TX, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2007-10-05 | CEO & Member of the Board Mr. Dwayne Louis Hyzak CPA | ||
Sector Financial Services | Industry Asset Management | Full time employees 104 | Website https://www.mainstcapital.com |
Full time employees 104 | Website https://www.mainstcapital.com | ||
Main Street Capital Corporation is a business development company and a small business investment company specializing in direct and indirect investments. In direct investments, the firm specializes in private equity capital to lower middle market companies. The firm specializes in recapitalizations, loan, growth capital, mezzanine debt, corporate carveouts, family estate planning, management buyouts, refinancing, private loan, private credit solutions, senior secured term debt, unintranche term debt, subordinated debt, preferred equity, common equity, minimal or no fixed amortization, split lien term debt, industry consolidation, mature, later stage and emerging growth. The firm makes both control and non-control equity investments. The firm also provides debt capital to middle market companies for strategic acquisitions, management buyouts, growth financings, majority and minority recapitalizations, and refinancing. The firm also makes equity co-investments. The firm provides debt financing solutions for acquisitions, recapitalizations, and refinancing to middle market companies. The firm provides private debt and private equity capital to lower middle market companies and debt capital to middle market companies. The firm seeks to partner with entrepreneurs, business owners and management teams and generally provides one stop financing alternatives within its lower middle market portfolio. It prefers to invest in air freight and logistics, auto components, building products, chemicals, commercial services, computers, construction and engineering, consumer finance, consumer services, electronic equipment, energy equipment and services, financial services, health care equipment, health care providers, hotels, restaurants, and leisure, internet software and services, IT Services, machinery, oil, gas and consumable fuels, paper and forest products, professional and industrial services, manufacturing, road and rail, software, specialty retail, telecommunication, consumer discretionary, energy, materials, concrete, p

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