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Golub Capital BDC Inc (GBDC)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/27/2026: GBDC (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $14.32
1 Year Target Price $14.32
| 2 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 2 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.16B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 9.59 | 1Y Target Price 14.32 |
Price to earnings Ratio 9.59 | 1Y Target Price 14.32 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 5 | Beta 0.44 | 52 Weeks Range 11.70 - 14.80 | Updated Date 03/1/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 11.70 - 14.80 | Updated Date 03/1/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 12.72% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.25 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-02-04 | When - | Estimate 0.38 | Actual 0.25 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 38.57% | Operating Margin (TTM) 78.29% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.7% | Return on Equity (TTM) 8.34% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 9.59 | Forward PE 8.88 | Enterprise Value 7941363712 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.68 |
Enterprise Value 7941363712 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.68 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 22.18 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 18.93 | Shares Outstanding 263228181 | Shares Floating - |
Shares Outstanding 263228181 | Shares Floating - | ||
Percent Insiders 1.49 | Percent Institutions 49.31 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Golub Capital BDC Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Golub Capital BDC, Inc. (GBDC) was formed in 2010 and is a publicly traded business development company (BDC) that invests primarily in middle-market companies. As a BDC, it is structured to provide capital to these companies, often in the form of debt and equity investments. Its evolution has been marked by consistent growth and a focus on its core lending strategy, navigating the complexities of the private credit market.
Core Business Areas
- Direct Lending: Golub Capital BDC focuses on providing direct loans, typically senior secured loans, to middle-market companies. These loans are often part of leveraged buyouts or recapitalization transactions. The company aims to generate income from interest payments on these loans and capital appreciation from equity warrants or co-investments.
- Syndicated Loans: While primarily focused on direct lending, GBDC may also participate in the syndication of loans originated by Golub Capital, its affiliated asset manager. This allows for diversification and access to larger deal sizes.
Leadership and Structure
Golub Capital BDC, Inc. is managed by Golub Capital LLC, a leading private debt investment firm. The leadership team is comprised of experienced professionals in credit, finance, and investment management. The BDC structure itself is a key part of its operational framework, designed for investing in and lending to small and mid-sized businesses.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Senior Secured Loans: This is GBDC's primary product, offering debt financing to middle-market companies. These loans are typically the most senior debt in a company's capital structure and are secured by the borrower's assets. Market share data for individual BDC products is not typically disclosed in a way that allows for direct comparison of specific loan types. Competitors offering similar senior secured loans to middle-market companies include other BDCs like Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC), Owl Rock Capital Corporation (ORCC), and Carlyle Group's credit arm.
- Unitranche Loans: Golub Capital is known for its expertise in unitranche financing, which combines senior and subordinated debt into a single loan facility. This offers a streamlined financing solution for borrowers. Like senior secured loans, specific market share for unitranche loans by a single BDC is not readily available. Competitors in this space include many of the same BDCs and private debt funds.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
Golub Capital BDC operates within the U.S. middle-market credit sector, a segment characterized by a large number of companies that are too large for traditional bank lending but too small for public markets. The industry is influenced by economic conditions, interest rate environments, regulatory changes, and the availability of capital from institutional investors and BDCs. The rise of private credit has significantly expanded the market for middle-market financing.
Positioning
Golub Capital BDC is positioned as a leading provider of debt capital to middle-market companies, leveraging the expertise and origination capabilities of its affiliated manager, Golub Capital. Its competitive advantages include its established track record, deep industry knowledge, strong relationships with private equity sponsors, and a focus on senior secured lending, which generally offers lower risk profiles. The BDC structure allows it to access public capital markets for funding.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for middle-market lending in the U.S. is substantial, estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars, encompassing a wide range of industries and company sizes. Golub Capital BDC, as a significant player, targets a specific portion of this market through its investment strategy. Its positioning within this TAM is strong due to its specialized focus and established presence, though it faces competition from a growing number of BDCs and private debt funds.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong affiliation with Golub Capital, a well-established credit firm with significant origination capabilities.
- Focus on senior secured loans, which generally carry lower risk.
- Proven track record of investing in and growing its portfolio.
- Access to public capital markets for funding through its BDC structure.
- Experienced management team with deep industry knowledge.
Weaknesses
- Reliance on third-party asset management by Golub Capital, though highly integrated.
- Sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations impacting borrowing costs and investment income.
- Potential for concentration risk within its investment portfolio.
- Regulatory risks inherent to the BDC structure.
Opportunities
- Continued growth in the middle-market lending space, driven by demand for flexible capital solutions.
- Potential for diversification into new investment strategies or asset classes.
- Ability to capitalize on market dislocations or increased lending opportunities.
- Potential for strategic acquisitions or partnerships to expand reach and offerings.
Threats
- Increased competition from other BDCs and private debt funds, potentially driving down yields.
- Economic downturns or recessions that could lead to increased loan defaults.
- Changes in regulatory environment affecting BDCs or lending practices.
- Interest rate hikes that could increase funding costs and impact borrower repayment capacity.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC)
- Owl Rock Capital Corporation (ORCC)
- BlackRock Capital Investment Corporation (BKCC)
- Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN)
Competitive Landscape
Golub Capital BDC competes with a range of other BDCs and private debt funds in the U.S. middle-market. Its advantages lie in its specialized focus, strong origination from Golub Capital, and a history of disciplined investing. However, it faces challenges from larger BDCs with broader platforms and the increasing influx of capital into private credit, which can lead to greater competition for deals and potentially lower yields.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Golub Capital BDC Inc. has demonstrated a consistent growth trajectory, primarily driven by an expanding investment portfolio and effective deployment of capital. Its historical growth has been characterized by increasing assets under management and a focus on originating and acquiring quality debt investments in the middle market.
Future Projections: Future projections for Golub Capital BDC Inc. would likely be based on its ability to continue sourcing attractive investment opportunities, manage its existing portfolio effectively, and maintain access to favorable funding. Analyst estimates often consider the growth of the middle-market credit sector and the company's strategic initiatives.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives may include efforts to optimize its capital structure, expand its investment focus within the middle market, or enhance its operational efficiency. The company continuously evaluates its strategy to adapt to market conditions and maximize shareholder returns.
Summary
Golub Capital BDC Inc. is a well-established player in the U.S. middle-market credit sector, leveraging the strong origination capabilities of its affiliated manager. Its focus on senior secured lending provides a degree of defensive strength. The company has a solid history of growth and shareholder returns through consistent dividend payments. However, it operates in a competitive and dynamic market susceptible to economic downturns and regulatory shifts, which it must continue to navigate carefully to maintain its strong positioning.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Golub Capital BDC Inc. Investor Relations
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Financial news and data providers
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with a qualified financial advisor and conducting independent research. Market share data for individual BDC product lines is not readily available and may be estimated or inferred.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Golub Capital BDC Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters New York, NY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2010-04-15 | CEO & Chairman Mr. David B. Golub Ph.D. | ||
Sector Financial Services | Industry Asset Management | Full time employees - | Website https://www.golubcapitalbdc.com |
Full time employees - | Website https://www.golubcapitalbdc.com | ||
Golub Capital BDC, Inc. (GBDC) is a business development company and operates as an externally managed closed-end non-diversified management investment company. It invests in debt and minority equity investments in middle-market companies that are, in most cases, sponsored by private equity investors. It typically invests in diversified consumer services, automobiles, healthcare technology, insurance, health care equipment and supplies, hotels, restaurants and leisure, healthcare providers and services, IT services and specialty retails. It seeks to invest in the United States. It primarily invests in first lien traditional senior debt, first lien one stop, junior debt and equity, senior secured, one stop, unitranche, second lien, subordinated and mezzanine loans of middle-market companies, and warrants.

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