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MBIA Inc (MBI)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/09/2026: MBI (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $7.75
1 Year Target Price $7.75
| 0 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 1 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 163.23% | Avg. Invested days 36 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 360.52M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.75 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.75 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2 | Beta 1.58 | 52 Weeks Range 3.86 - 8.26 | Updated Date 01/9/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 3.86 - 8.26 | Updated Date 01/9/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -3.59 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -190.32% | Operating Margin (TTM) 286.67% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.82% | Return on Equity (TTM) - |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 86.96 | Enterprise Value 3662751557 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.88 |
Enterprise Value 3662751557 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.88 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 41.15 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 50493626 | Shares Floating 45199874 |
Shares Outstanding 50493626 | Shares Floating 45199874 | ||
Percent Insiders 10.42 | Percent Institutions 48.9 |
Upturn AI SWOT
MBIA Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
MBIA Inc. was founded in 1971 as the Municipal Bond Insurance Association, a consortium of insurance companies formed to provide financial guaranty insurance for municipal bonds. Over the years, it expanded its offerings and underwent significant changes, particularly in the wake of the 2008 financial crisis, which led to a restructuring and the separation of its legacy structured products business. Today, MBIA operates primarily as a financial guarantor for public finance and infrastructure projects.
Core Business Areas
- Public Finance: MBIA's primary business involves issuing financial guaranty insurance policies to protect bondholders against defaults on municipal and other public finance obligations. This includes debt issued by states, cities, counties, school districts, and other public entities, as well as revenue bonds for infrastructure projects such as water, sewer, and transportation systems.
- Infrastructure: While closely linked to public finance, this area specifically focuses on insuring debt for large-scale infrastructure development, including energy, transportation, and social infrastructure projects.
Leadership and Structure
MBIA Inc. is led by a management team with expertise in insurance, finance, and public policy. The company is structured to manage its insurance operations, risk assessment, and capital management effectively.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Municipal Bond Insurance: MBIA provides insurance policies for municipal bonds, guaranteeing timely payment of principal and interest to investors. This product enhances the credit quality of municipal debt, lowers borrowing costs for issuers, and is essential for the smooth functioning of the municipal bond market. Competitors include Assured Guaranty, Build America Mutual Assurance Company (BAM), and National Public Finance Guarantee Corporation (a subsidiary of Ambac).
- Infrastructure Project Finance: MBIA insures debt used to finance significant infrastructure projects. This involves complex financial structuring and risk assessment. Competitors often include other monoline insurers and, in some cases, direct investment from large financial institutions or development banks.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The financial guaranty insurance industry, particularly for municipal bonds, is characterized by regulation, capital intensity, and a sensitivity to economic cycles and interest rate environments. The market has consolidated significantly since the 2008 crisis, with fewer major players. Demand for municipal finance is driven by the need for public infrastructure and government services.
Positioning
MBIA is one of the leading players in the municipal bond insurance market, benefiting from its established reputation and expertise. Its competitive advantage lies in its deep understanding of public finance, robust risk management capabilities, and its ability to provide financial strength and reliability to issuers and investors. However, it operates in a market with limited competitors and faces scrutiny from rating agencies and regulators.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for municipal bond insurance is tied to the volume of new municipal debt issuance. This can fluctuate significantly year-to-year but generally represents billions of dollars annually. MBIA is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of the insurable municipal debt market, though market share can be influenced by pricing, credit quality of issuers, and competitor actions.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition and reputation in public finance.
- Extensive experience in financial guaranty insurance.
- Diversified portfolio of insured risks.
- Robust risk management and underwriting capabilities.
Weaknesses
- Legacy liabilities from past structured finance exposures.
- Reliance on the health of the municipal bond market.
- High capital requirements due to regulatory oversight.
- Potential for rating agency downgrades impacting competitive standing.
Opportunities
- Increasing infrastructure spending and government investment.
- Potential for growth in new types of public finance or infrastructure projects.
- Leveraging existing expertise into related financial services.
- Advantageous interest rate environments for bond issuance.
Threats
- Economic downturns impacting municipal creditworthiness.
- Increased competition from other insurers or alternative financing methods.
- Changes in regulatory landscape or capital requirements.
- Potential for unforeseen systemic financial risks.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO)
- Build America Mutual Assurance Company (BAM - not publicly traded)
- National Public Finance Guarantee Corporation (subsidiary of Ambac Financial Group, Inc. - AMBC)
Competitive Landscape
MBIA competes with a limited number of strong monoline insurers. Its advantages include its deep experience and established client relationships. Its disadvantages can arise from its legacy exposures and the need to maintain high credit ratings to remain competitive. Pricing and financial strength are key differentiators in this market.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: MBIA's historical growth has been shaped by its expansion into various financial guaranty markets and its subsequent restructuring. Growth in its core public finance business is tied to the volume of municipal debt issuance.
Future Projections: Future growth is projected to be driven by its core municipal and infrastructure finance business. Analyst estimates typically focus on the volume of new business, underwriting margins, and the resolution of legacy exposures. Growth is expected to be steady but dependent on market conditions.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives likely focus on strengthening its balance sheet, optimizing its capital structure, and expanding its market share in the public finance sector. This may include developing new products or partnerships to address evolving infrastructure financing needs.
Summary
MBIA Inc. is a significant player in the financial guaranty insurance market, particularly for public finance. Its core strength lies in its established expertise and reputation. However, it faces ongoing challenges from legacy liabilities and a concentrated competitive landscape. Opportunities exist in growing infrastructure investment, but economic downturns and regulatory changes pose considerable threats. Continued focus on underwriting discipline and capital management is crucial.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Annual Reports (10-K filings)
- Quarterly Reports (10-Q filings)
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg)
- Industry Analysis Reports
- Financial Data Providers (e.g., Refinitiv, S&P Capital IQ - access to real-time data is assumed for financial metrics and market share)
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is a structured representation of MBIA Inc. based on publicly available information and general industry knowledge. Financial data and market share figures are illustrative and may not reflect real-time or precise current values without direct access to live financial databases. Investing in securities involves risks, and this analysis should not be considered financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About MBIA Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Purchase, NY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1987-07-01 | CEO & Director Mr. William Charles Fallon | ||
Sector Financial Services | Industry Insurance - Specialty | Full time employees 57 | Website https://www.mbia.com |
Full time employees 57 | Website https://www.mbia.com | ||
MBIA Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides financial guarantee insurance services to public finance markets in the United States. It operates through United States (U.S.) Public Finance Insurance, corporate, and International and Structured Finance Insurance segments. The company issues financial guarantees for municipal bonds, including tax-exempt and taxable indebtedness of the U.S. political subdivisions, as well as utility districts, airports, health care institutions, higher educational facilities, housing authorities, and other similar agencies and obligations issued by private entities. It also insures the non-U.S. public finance and global structured finance, including asset-backed obligations; and sovereign-related and sub-sovereign bonds, and privately issued bonds used for the financing for utilities, toll roads, bridges, public transportation facilities, and other types of infrastructure projects, as well as offers third-party reinsurance services. MBIA Inc. was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Purchase, New York.

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