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MBIA Inc (MBI)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/10/2025: MBI (4-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 20 days. Simulated Profits (0.00%). Updated daily EoD!
1 Year Target Price $7.75
1 Year Target Price $7.75
| 0 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 1 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 178.78% | Avg. Invested days 35 | Today’s Advisory Regular Buy |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 380.22M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.75 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.75 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2 | Beta 1.57 | 52 Weeks Range 3.86 - 8.26 | Updated Date 12/10/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 3.86 - 8.26 | Updated Date 12/10/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -3.59 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -190.32% | Operating Margin (TTM) 286.67% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.82% | Return on Equity (TTM) - |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 86.96 | Enterprise Value 3655177513 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.09 |
Enterprise Value 3655177513 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.09 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 41.07 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 50493626 | Shares Floating 43905218 |
Shares Outstanding 50493626 | Shares Floating 43905218 | ||
Percent Insiders 10.42 | Percent Institutions 48.9 |
Upturn AI SWOT
MBIA Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
MBIA Inc. was founded in 1971 as the Municipal Bond Insurance Association. It was initially formed by a consortium of insurance companies to provide financial guarantees for municipal bonds, thereby reducing borrowing costs for state and local governments. Over the years, MBIA expanded its offerings and underwent significant transformations, particularly in response to the 2008 financial crisis, which severely impacted its structured finance business. The company has since restructured and refocused on its municipal and infrastructure finance business.
Core Business Areas
- Municipal and Infrastructure Finance: This segment is the core of MBIA's business. It provides financial guarantees (insurance) for a wide range of municipal and public infrastructure financings, including general obligation bonds, revenue bonds for utilities and transportation projects, and other debt issuances by state and local governments. This insurance enhances the credit quality of the bonds, making them more attractive to investors and lowering interest rates for issuers. MBIA works with issuers, underwriters, and investors to structure these financings.
- Non-Guaranteed Business: This segment encompasses MBIA's legacy business, including its former structured finance operations. While significantly reduced and run-off, it represents historical exposures and liabilities. MBIA continues to manage and resolve these legacy portfolios, which can include credit protection for various securitized products. The focus is on managed run-off and maximizing recoveries while minimizing new business.
Leadership and Structure
MBIA Inc. is led by a Board of Directors and an executive management team. The Chief Executive Officer (CEO) is responsible for overall strategy and operations. The company is structured around its core business segments, with dedicated teams managing municipal finance, legacy portfolio management, and corporate functions such as finance, risk management, and legal.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Municipal Bond Insurance: MBIA's primary product is the financial guarantee (insurance) on municipal bonds. This insurance guarantees the timely payment of principal and interest on insured bonds. Competitors include Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGY), Build America Mutual Assurance Company (BAM), and National Public Finance Guarantee Corporation (a subsidiary of Ambac).
- Infrastructure Project Finance Guarantees: MBIA provides guarantees for debt issued to finance large-scale infrastructure projects, such as toll roads, airports, and energy facilities. These guarantees help secure financing for critical public works. Competitors often include other financial institutions and specialized infrastructure funds, as well as other monoline insurers.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The municipal bond insurance industry is a niche market within the broader financial services sector. It is characterized by a relatively small number of major players. The industry's health is closely tied to the financial condition of state and local governments, interest rate environments, and the overall credit markets. Regulatory oversight is significant. The industry has seen consolidation and shifts in market share over the past decade, particularly following the 2008 financial crisis.
Positioning
MBIA is a significant player in the municipal bond insurance market, historically one of the largest. Its competitive advantages include its established reputation, extensive experience in municipal finance, and a strong focus on risk management. However, the company's past struggles with its structured finance business have led to a more cautious approach and a need to continually demonstrate financial strength and stability to clients and rating agencies.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for municipal bond insurance is substantial, representing the annual issuance of municipal bonds, which can range from hundreds of billions to over a trillion dollars. MBIA is positioned to capture a portion of this market through its specialized insurance products. Its position within this TAM depends on its ability to win new business, which is influenced by its financial strength ratings and competitive pricing relative to peers and the cost of unrated debt.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong historical franchise and brand recognition in municipal finance.
- Deep expertise in municipal credit analysis and structuring.
- Established relationships with issuers, underwriters, and investors.
- Significant legacy of managing complex credit portfolios.
Weaknesses
- Lingering reputational impact from the 2008 financial crisis and legacy exposures.
- Smaller market share compared to some competitors in certain segments.
- Reliance on rating agency assessments of financial strength.
- Limited diversification beyond municipal and infrastructure finance.
Opportunities
- Increased demand for infrastructure investment, driving municipal bond issuance.
- Potential for growth in emerging markets or specialized financing structures.
- Opportunity to leverage its expertise in resolving distressed assets or portfolios.
- Strategic partnerships to expand service offerings or reach.
Threats
- Adverse changes in municipal credit quality leading to increased claims.
- Deterioration of economic conditions impacting state and local government finances.
- Intense competition from well-capitalized peers.
- Changes in regulatory landscape or capital requirements.
- Interest rate volatility impacting the value of its investments and liabilities.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO)
- Build America Mutual Assurance Company (not publicly traded)
- National Public Finance Guarantee Corporation (subsidiary of Ambac Financial Group, AMBC)
Competitive Landscape
MBIA's advantage lies in its deep experience and established reputation. However, Assured Guaranty is a dominant competitor with a larger market share. MBIA needs to leverage its specialized expertise and client relationships to compete effectively. The competitive landscape is characterized by a focus on creditworthiness, pricing, and the ability to manage complex risk.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Discuss MBIA's growth patterns, focusing on the expansion of its municipal finance business and the management of its legacy portfolios. This would involve looking at trends in insured par volume and profitability over recent years. Example placeholder: { 'Insured Par Volume Growth (%)': [2022_value, 2021_value, 2020_value] }
Future Projections: Based on analyst reports, this section would outline projected revenue growth, EPS growth, and potential market share expansion for MBIA. Example placeholder: { 'Projected Revenue Growth (Next Year) (%)': analyst_estimate, 'Projected EPS Growth (Next Year) (%)': analyst_estimate }
Recent Initiatives: Focus on strengthening its municipal finance franchise through new business development and strategic partnerships.,Continued active management and resolution of legacy assets to minimize liabilities and maximize recoveries.,Maintaining robust risk management frameworks and capital adequacy.
Summary
MBIA Inc. is a stalwart in the municipal bond insurance market, boasting deep expertise and a strong historical franchise. Its core strength lies in insuring municipal and infrastructure financings, a business that continues to be robust. However, the company must navigate ongoing management of legacy liabilities and intense competition, particularly from Assured Guaranty. MBIA's future success hinges on its ability to maintain strong credit ratings, capitalize on infrastructure spending, and effectively manage its risk exposures.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- MBIA Inc. Investor Relations
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters)
- Industry Research Reports
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is generated based on publicly available information and aims to provide a structured overview for analytical purposes. It is not intended as investment advice. Financial data and market share figures are estimates and subject to change. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About MBIA Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Purchase, NY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1987-07-01 | CEO & Director Mr. William Charles Fallon | ||
Sector Financial Services | Industry Insurance - Specialty | Full time employees 57 | Website https://www.mbia.com |
Full time employees 57 | Website https://www.mbia.com | ||
MBIA Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides financial guarantee insurance services to public finance markets in the United States. It operates through United States (U.S.) Public Finance Insurance, corporate, and International and Structured Finance Insurance segments. The company issues financial guarantees for municipal bonds, including tax-exempt and taxable indebtedness of the U.S. political subdivisions, as well as utility districts, airports, health care institutions, higher educational facilities, housing authorities, and other similar agencies and obligations issued by private entities. It also insures the non-U.S. public finance and global structured finance, including asset-backed obligations; and sovereign-related and sub-sovereign bonds, and privately issued bonds used for the financing for utilities, toll roads, bridges, public transportation facilities, and other types of infrastructure projects, as well as offers third-party reinsurance services. MBIA Inc. was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Purchase, New York.

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