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Mizuho Financial Group Inc.(MFG)
Top performer 
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for MFG
10/30/2026: MFG (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Mizuho Financial Group is a major Japanese banking institution that offers retail, corporate, and investment banking services globally. The company maintains a significant market presence and has a stable capital base, supported by deep-rooted relationships with Japan's largest corporations. A primary investment story revolves around its international expansion in investment banking and the potential for improved net interest margins due to shifting monetary policy in Japan. Key risks include intense competition, sensitivity to Japanese economic cycles, and the complexity of managing a large, diversified financial franchise. It is generally suited for value and dividend-focused investors seeking exposure to the Japanese financial sector.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company offers moderate growth potential rather than aggressive capital appreciation. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | The stock may see momentum if interest rates in Japan continue to rise, but it generally follows broader cyclical patterns. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | Mizuho often trades at attractive valuations relative to book value. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | The company provides a reliable dividend yield that is attractive for income-focused portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Mixed fit | While established, the stock is subject to interest rate volatility and broader economic risks in Japan. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium | The stock can be sensitive to fluctuations in global financial markets and Japanese economic data. |
| Valuation risk | Low | The stock typically trades at modest multiples, limiting extreme downside valuation risks. |
| Competition risk (Banking) | Medium / high | Intense competition from domestic peers and international banks limits pricing power. |
| Business quality | Medium | As a systemic bank, it has a stable but capital-intensive business model. |
| Dividend income | Medium / high | Dividend reliability is generally strong, though payouts depend on earnings stability. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Successfully integrating international acquisitions while managing domestic costs is complex. |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 105.06% | Avg. Invested days 83 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  4.0 | Stock Returns Performance  5.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/30/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 120.60B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 13.68 | 1Y Target Price 11.64 |
Price to earnings Ratio 13.68 | 1Y Target Price 11.64 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3.6M shares | Beta 0.39 | 52 Weeks Range 6.33 - 11.40 | Updated Date 10/30/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 6.33 - 11.40 | Updated Date 10/30/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.84% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.73 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Retail Banking | Deposits, consumer loans, and mortgages in Japan. | The bank earns money primarily by collecting deposits at low interest and lending them out at higher rates. |
| Corporate Banking | Loans to major enterprises and project finance. | A core revenue stream driven by long-standing relationships with Japan's largest companies. |
| Investment Banking | M&A advisory, underwriting, and trading. | Fee-based income that fluctuates with global market deal activity. |
| Geography | Japan, Asia-Pacific, North America, EMEA. | While primarily a Japanese firm, it is increasingly seeking revenue from international markets to diversify. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 13.68 | Forward PE 13.26 | Enterprise Value -43.96T | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.03 |
Enterprise Value -43.96T | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.03 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.46 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 12.07B | Shares Floating 12.17B |
Shares Outstanding 12.07B | Shares Floating 12.17B | ||
Percent Insiders 0.01 | Percent Institutions 2.28 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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