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Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/09/2026: MGY (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $26.47
1 Year Target Price $26.47
| 6 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 8 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 2 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -34.31% | Avg. Invested days 34 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.24B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 12.34 | 1Y Target Price 26.47 |
Price to earnings Ratio 12.34 | 1Y Target Price 26.47 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 17 | Beta 0.92 | 52 Weeks Range 18.71 - 26.14 | Updated Date 01/8/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 18.71 - 26.14 | Updated Date 01/8/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.82% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.8 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 25.9% | Operating Margin (TTM) 31.23% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 10.23% | Return on Equity (TTM) 17.88% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 12.34 | Forward PE 12.42 | Enterprise Value 4021210949 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.21 |
Enterprise Value 4021210949 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.21 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.04 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.52 | Shares Outstanding 183152540 | Shares Floating 173037025 |
Shares Outstanding 183152540 | Shares Floating 173037025 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.36 | Percent Institutions 114.65 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp

Company Overview
History and Background
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (NYSE: MGY) was formed in 2018 through the merger of EnerVest and American Energy Management. It is a publicly traded independent oil and gas company focused on the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas properties in the United States. The company's strategy centers on acquiring and developing high-quality, low-risk, long-life assets, primarily in the Eagle Ford Shale and the Austin Chalk in South Texas.
Core Business Areas
- Eagle Ford Shale Operations: Exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas reserves in the Eagle Ford Shale play in South Texas. This segment focuses on maximizing production and cash flow from established reserves.
- Austin Chalk Operations: Exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas reserves in the Austin Chalk formation in South Texas. This segment represents a growth area for the company, leveraging its acreage position and expertise.
Leadership and Structure
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. is led by a management team with extensive experience in the oil and gas industry. The organizational structure is designed to be lean and efficient, with a focus on operational excellence and capital discipline. Key leadership positions include the Chief Executive Officer, Chief Financial Officer, and heads of operations and exploration.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Oil: Light crude oil produced from its South Texas assets. Market share data is not typically disclosed at this granular product level for individual companies, but MGY contributes to the overall US domestic oil supply. Competitors include all other domestic and international oil producers.
- Natural Gas: Dry natural gas produced from its South Texas assets. Similar to oil, specific market share for MGY's natural gas is not publicly available. Competitors include all other domestic and international natural gas producers.
- Natural Gas Liquids (NGLs): Associated NGLs produced alongside oil and gas. Competitors include all other producers of NGLs.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The oil and gas industry is characterized by cyclical commodity prices, evolving regulatory environments, and increasing pressure for environmental, social, and governance (ESG) performance. The US upstream sector is highly competitive, with companies focused on efficiency, cost management, and strategic acreage acquisition. Technological advancements continue to play a crucial role in enhancing production and reducing costs.
Positioning
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. is positioned as a low-cost producer with a strong focus on mature, low-decline assets in proven plays like the Eagle Ford and Austin Chalk. Its competitive advantages include a significant acreage position, experienced management, efficient operations, and a commitment to capital discipline, which allows it to generate free cash flow even in volatile commodity price environments.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The Total Addressable Market for oil and gas is vast, encompassing global demand for energy. Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. operates within the US onshore oil and gas production market, which is a significant portion of the global TAM. The company's TAM is defined by its acreage position and its ability to efficiently extract hydrocarbons from these reserves. Its positioning is focused on maximizing value from its specific, high-quality South Texas assets rather than attempting to capture broad market share across the entire industry.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong acreage position in prolific South Texas plays (Eagle Ford and Austin Chalk)
- Low-cost operating structure and efficient operations
- Experienced management team with deep industry knowledge
- Commitment to capital discipline and free cash flow generation
- Mature, low-decline assets providing predictable production
Weaknesses
- Reliance on commodity price fluctuations
- Limited geographic diversification
- Potential for increasing regulatory scrutiny
- Operational risks associated with drilling and production
Opportunities
- Exploiting undeveloped acreage in the Austin Chalk
- Technological advancements to improve recovery rates
- Potential for strategic acquisitions of complementary assets
- Leveraging low-cost production to benefit from rising commodity prices
- Growing demand for natural gas as a transition fuel
Threats
- Sustained periods of low oil and natural gas prices
- Stricter environmental regulations and policies
- Geopolitical events impacting global energy markets
- Increased competition from other producers
- Challenges in accessing capital or securing favorable financing
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Pioneer Natural Resources Co. (PXD)
- EOG Resources Inc. (EOG)
- ConocoPhillips (COP)
- Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG)
- Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY)
Competitive Landscape
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. competes with larger, more diversified independent oil and gas producers. Its advantage lies in its focused strategy on specific, high-quality South Texas assets, enabling it to operate with lower costs and a more predictable production profile. However, larger competitors may have greater access to capital, broader technological capabilities, and more diversified revenue streams.
Major Acquisitions
Multiple smaller acquisitions in Eagle Ford and Austin Chalk
- Year: 2018
- Acquisition Price (USD millions):
- Strategic Rationale: Consolidation and expansion of acreage position in core South Texas plays to achieve economies of scale and operational efficiencies.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. has demonstrated a consistent growth trajectory driven by its strategic acquisitions and efficient development of its acreage. Its focus has been on organic growth and maximizing value from existing assets.
Future Projections: Future projections for Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. typically involve continued efficient production from its core areas, with potential for growth in the Austin Chalk. Analyst estimates often consider commodity price forecasts, capital expenditure plans, and reserve replacement ratios.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives likely focus on optimizing production from existing wells, prudent capital allocation for new drilling, and potentially opportunistic acquisitions to enhance its acreage position or operational efficiency.
Summary
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. is a strong, low-cost oil and gas producer with a strategic focus on the Eagle Ford and Austin Chalk plays in South Texas. Its lean operations, experienced management, and capital discipline contribute to its robust financial performance and consistent shareholder returns. The company needs to remain vigilant regarding commodity price volatility and evolving environmental regulations, while continuing to leverage its acreage and operational expertise for sustainable growth.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. Investor Relations
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Financial news and data providers (e.g., Bloomberg, Refinitiv)
- Industry analysis reports
Disclaimers:
This information is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market share data for individual product lines is often proprietary and not publicly disclosed by companies. Competitor analysis is based on general industry knowledge and market presence. Financial metrics and future projections are subject to change and inherent uncertainties. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Houston, TX, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2017-05-05 | President, CEO & Chairman Mr. Christopher G. Stavros | ||
Sector Energy | Industry Oil & Gas E&P | Full time employees 252 | Website https://www.magnoliaoilgas.com |
Full time employees 252 | Website https://www.magnoliaoilgas.com | ||
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation, an independent oil and natural gas company, engages in the acquisition, development, exploration, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids reserves in the United States. The company's properties are located primarily in Karnes County and the Giddings area in South Texas comprising the Eagle Ford Shale and the Austin Chalk formation. Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

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