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Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/14/2025: MGY (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $26.8
1 Year Target Price $26.8
6 | Strong Buy |
1 | Buy |
8 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
2 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -31.08% | Avg. Invested days 29 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.54B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 12.4 | 1Y Target Price 26.8 |
Price to earnings Ratio 12.4 | 1Y Target Price 26.8 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 17 | Beta 1.31 | 52 Weeks Range 18.84 - 28.45 | Updated Date 08/15/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 18.84 - 28.45 | Updated Date 08/15/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.42% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.92 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-07-29 | When Before Market | Estimate 0.403 | Actual 0.4182 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 27.57% | Operating Margin (TTM) 33.8% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 10.89% | Return on Equity (TTM) 19.52% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 12.4 | Forward PE 13.77 | Enterprise Value 4592029609 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.42 |
Enterprise Value 4592029609 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.42 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.46 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.98 | Shares Outstanding 185291008 | Shares Floating 175192715 |
Shares Outstanding 185291008 | Shares Floating 175192715 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.35 | Percent Institutions 120.7 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp
Company Overview
History and Background
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. was formed in 2018 through a business combination with EnerVest Acquisition Corp. The company focuses on the development and production of oil and natural gas assets.
Core Business Areas
- Upstream Oil and Gas: Exploration, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs). Focus on the Eagle Ford Shale and Austin Chalk formations in South Texas.
Leadership and Structure
Steve Chazen (deceased) was the founder; Chris Stavros is the current CEO. Operates with a board of directors overseeing management.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Crude Oil: Magnolia's primary product, competing with numerous oil producers in the US. No precise market share data readily available. Competitors: EOG Resources, Devon Energy.
- Natural Gas: A significant portion of Magnolia's production, competing in the natural gas market. No precise market share data readily available. Competitors: Chesapeake Energy, Southwestern Energy.
- Natural Gas Liquids (NGLs): Includes ethane, propane, butane, isobutane, and natural gasoline. Competes in the NGL market alongside other producers. No precise market share data readily available. Competitors: Enterprise Products Partners, ONEOK.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The oil and gas industry is cyclical and subject to commodity price volatility, geopolitical events, and regulatory changes. Demand is influenced by global economic growth.
Positioning
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. is positioned as a low-cost operator focused on capital discipline and shareholder returns. It prioritizes generating free cash flow.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for oil and gas is vast, globally measured in trillions of dollars. Magnolia's positioning is focused on specific shale plays, enabling profitability even at relatively lower commodity prices.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Low-cost operator
- Strong balance sheet
- Disciplined capital allocation
- High-quality assets in Eagle Ford and Austin Chalk
Weaknesses
- Concentrated asset base (South Texas)
- Exposure to commodity price volatility
- Relatively smaller size compared to major oil companies
Opportunities
- Acquisition of complementary assets
- Increased production efficiency
- Expansion into new areas
- Capitalize on global demand.
Threats
- Commodity price declines
- Increased regulation
- Environmental concerns and ESG pressures
- Competition from other shale producers
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- EOG (EOG)
- Devon Energy (DVN)
- Marathon Oil (MRO)
Competitive Landscape
Magnolia competes on cost efficiency and capital discipline. EOG and Devon are larger, more diversified producers.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Growth has been driven by increased production from existing assets and disciplined capital allocation.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates vary, but generally project moderate production growth and continued focus on free cash flow generation. Projections dependent on oil prices.
Recent Initiatives: Focus on cost reduction, optimizing well performance, and returning capital to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.
Summary
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. is a disciplined oil and gas producer focused on generating free cash flow. Its low-cost structure and strong balance sheet are strengths. However, its concentrated asset base and exposure to commodity price volatility pose risks. The company has been growing consistently year over year and continuing to return shareholder returns and capital which will help it prosper for years to come.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings
- Analyst Reports
- Industry Publications
Disclaimers:
The data and analysis provided are for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made based on individual circumstances and consultation with a qualified financial advisor. Market share is estimated.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Houston, TX, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2017-05-05 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Christopher G. Stavros | ||
Sector Energy | Industry Oil & Gas E&P | Full time employees 252 | Website https://www.magnoliaoilgas.com |
Full time employees 252 | Website https://www.magnoliaoilgas.com |
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation, an independent oil and natural gas company, engages in the acquisition, development, exploration, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids reserves in the United States. The company's properties are located primarily in Karnes County and the Giddings area in South Texas comprising the Eagle Ford Shale and the Austin Chalk formation. Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

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