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EOG Resources Inc(EOG)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
2-STAR RATING
WEAK BUY
BUY for 19 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
-3.09% ▼
LAST CLOSE
$148.43
11/09/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
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  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for EOG

11/09/2026: EOG (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

EOG Resources is a leading independent oil and gas exploration company known for its operational efficiency and disciplined capital management. Its primary business strength lies in its high-margin production capabilities in key U.S. shale basins. The main growth story revolves around continuous technological innovation and the development of new, high-return drilling sites. Investors must navigate risks such as commodity price volatility, regulatory shifts, and execution challenges. The stock may suit value and income-oriented investors who are comfortable with the inherent cyclicality of the energy sector, while key developments to monitor include management's capital allocation updates and long-term energy transition policies.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitEOG offers moderate, disciplined growth rather than the aggressive, high-risk expansion typical of traditional growth stocks.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveMomentum investors may find opportunity during energy sector upswings when commodity prices drive stock performance.
Value investorStrong fitThe company's focus on cost discipline and healthy cash flow often makes it attractive to value-oriented investors.
Dividend investorStrong fitEOG provides a reliable dividend stream supplemented by potential special dividends when market conditions allow.
Low-risk investorMixed fitWhile financially stable, EOG remains subject to high inherent volatility due to commodity price fluctuations.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighRevenues are directly tied to unpredictable global oil and gas prices.
Valuation riskMediumThe stock can become overextended during peak energy price cycles.
Competition risk (commodity price cycle)MediumThe sector relies on cost efficiency to maintain margins against similar producers.
Business qualityStrongEOG is recognized for operational excellence and disciplined capital management.
Dividend incomeMedium / highDividends are dependent on cash flow, which is sensitive to commodity pricing.
Execution riskMediumThe company must consistently replicate drilling success to maintain its growth profile.

Price Behavior

Strong Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Strong Uptrend

The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.

Smooth
PRICE STABILITY

Smooth

The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -16.99%
Avg. Invested days 34
Today’s Advisory WEAK BUY
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/09/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
EOG receives a 4-star rating, supported by solid unit economics, solid quantitative characteristics, and strong analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
EOG has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with solid financial health, soft growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong cash generation (FCF margin 15.2%) and strong profitability (net margin 22.0%) are partially offset by negative earnings growth (-22.2%), slightly negative revenue growth (-3.1%), very low insider ownership of 0.28%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
EOG's financial health is supported by strong cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation of $3.5B (15.2% of revenue). Liquidity is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
EOG's growth profile is soft, with the least-weak measure being revenue growth at -3.1% FY2025 versus FY2024. By comparison, while earnings growth (-22.2%, negative) and free-cash-flow growth (-40.2%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 98.2% and approximately 99.6% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership is only 0.28%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Capital World Investors 10.70%
BlackRock Inc 8.78%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 6.71%
State Street Corp 6.55%
JPMorgan Chase & Co 5.44%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
EOG generates approximately $620 of gross profit, $282 of operating income, and $152 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Strong margins and moderate cash conversion support the rating, although capital efficiency remains solid.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 21.72%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
EOG has a high-quality, large-cap, liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltLow VolatilityLarge / Mega Cap StabilityHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 76.28B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 9.5
1Y Target Price 167.45
Price to earnings Ratio 9.5
1Y Target Price 167.45
Volume (30-day avg) 3.0M shares
Beta 0.27
52 Weeks Range 98.46 - 165.93
Updated Date 11/08/2026
52 Weeks Range 98.46 - 165.93
Updated Date 11/08/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 2.82%
Basic EPS (TTM) 15.49

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Crude Oil ProductionExtraction and sale of oil from major US shale basins like the Permian.This is the primary way EOG makes money; it is highly profitable but fluctuates with oil prices.
Natural Gas & NGLsSale of natural gas and liquids produced as byproducts of drilling.This provides a diversified income stream, though prices for these can also be volatile.
Geography: United StatesPrimary operations in Permian Basin, Eagle Ford, and other US shale regions.EOG is almost entirely a US-focused operator, limiting foreign regulatory risk but centralizing domestic environmental/political risk.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-11-05
When After Market
Estimate 4.45
Actual 4.87

Profitability

Profit Margin 28.06%
Operating Margin (TTM) 40.84%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 11.9%
Return on Equity (TTM) 25.83%

Valuation

Trailing PE 9.5
Forward PE 8.9
Enterprise Value 78.80B
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.61
Enterprise Value 78.80B
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.61
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.71
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5
Shares Outstanding 518.48M
Shares Floating 516.66M
Shares Outstanding 518.48M
Shares Floating 516.66M
Percent Insiders 0.28
Percent Institutions 98.2

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.