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Upturn AI Summary - About
Mueller Industries Inc(MLI)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for MLI
10/16/2026: MLI (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Mueller Industries is a stable industrial manufacturer specializing in copper, brass, and plastic products for the construction and HVAC sectors. The company is known for its strong balance sheet, disciplined capital management, and a long-standing history of operating through economic cycles. Its primary growth story involves capitalizing on energy-efficient climate control demand and maintaining a solid position in building materials. However, the company faces inherent risks from commodity price volatility and cyclical downturns in the construction market. The stock may best suit value and dividend-focused investors seeking exposure to the industrial sector, and participants should monitor construction volume trends and commodity price changes closely.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth is largely cyclical and tied to construction markets rather than high-growth technology trends. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The stock can exhibit strong trend-following behavior during periods of industrial commodity strength. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | Mueller is often priced at reasonable multiples, reflecting its steady cash flows and asset-heavy industrial nature. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | The company provides reliable dividend income and has a history of financial discipline. |
| Low-risk investor | Mixed fit | While financially stable, the stock remains subject to cyclical volatility in metal prices and construction demand. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The company's earnings are directly impacted by copper and aluminum price fluctuations. |
| Valuation risk | Low | Historically, the stock trades at valuations that typically reflect its cyclical industrial character. |
| Competition risk (Commodity/Industrial) | Medium / high | Intense competition from global suppliers exerts consistent pressure on pricing power. |
| Business quality | Strong | Mueller is known for a robust balance sheet and long-standing operational history. |
| Dividend income | Medium | Dividends are reliable but typically not structured for high-yield income seeking. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Success depends on managing manufacturing efficiency and integrating periodic acquisitions. |
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 77.35% | Avg. Invested days 59 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  4.0 | Stock Returns Performance  4.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/16/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 13.29B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 15.64 | 1Y Target Price 80 |
Price to earnings Ratio 15.64 | 1Y Target Price 80 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.7M shares | Beta 1.09 | 52 Weeks Range 48.98 - 70.92 | Updated Date 10/18/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 48.98 - 70.92 | Updated Date 10/18/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.99% | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.84 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Piping Systems | Copper tube and plumbing fittings for residential and commercial construction. | Revenue is tied to the volume of new construction and plumbing repair activity. |
| Climate | Valves and specialized flow control components for HVAC and refrigeration. | This segment benefits from demand for efficient climate control systems in homes and businesses. |
| Industrial Metals | Brass rod and industrial alloy forgings. | These products are used in manufacturing, meaning earnings here move with general industrial production. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-10-20 | When Before Market | Estimate 1.15 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 18.25% | Operating Margin (TTM) 21.81% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 16.49% | Return on Equity (TTM) 26.33% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 15.64 | Forward PE 18.18 | Enterprise Value 11.95B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.85 |
Enterprise Value 11.95B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.85 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.57 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.06 | Shares Outstanding 221.18M | Shares Floating 216.21M |
Shares Outstanding 221.18M | Shares Floating 216.21M | ||
Percent Insiders 2.12 | Percent Institutions 94.48 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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