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MP Materials Corp (MP)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/31/2025: MP (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $79.29
1 Year Target Price $79.29
| 6 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 2 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 95.23% | Avg. Invested days 34 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 8.95B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 79.29 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 79.29 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 9 | Beta 1.7 | 52 Weeks Range 18.64 - 100.25 | Updated Date 01/1/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 18.64 - 100.25 | Updated Date 01/1/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.7 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -50.55% | Operating Margin (TTM) -108.41% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -3.4% | Return on Equity (TTM) -6.83% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 81.3 | Enterprise Value 7996400562 | Price to Sales(TTM) 38.47 |
Enterprise Value 7996400562 | Price to Sales(TTM) 38.47 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 52.58 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 68.38 | Shares Outstanding 177230483 | Shares Floating 141841100 |
Shares Outstanding 177230483 | Shares Floating 141841100 | ||
Percent Insiders 19.87 | Percent Institutions 63.99 |
Upturn AI SWOT
MP Materials Corp

Company Overview
History and Background
MP Materials Corp. was founded in 2017, emerging from the acquisition of the Mountain Pass mine in California. This mine is the only integrated rare earth mining and processing site in North America. A significant milestone was its SPAC merger in 2021, which took it public. The company's evolution is driven by the strategic imperative to re-establish a domestic rare earth supply chain, crucial for advanced technologies and national security, reducing reliance on foreign sources, particularly China.
Core Business Areas
- Rare Earth Mining and Processing: MP Materials extracts and processes rare earth elements (REEs) from its Mountain Pass mine. This includes the separation of critical REEs such as Neodymium (Nd) and Praseodymium (Pr), which are essential for high-strength magnets used in electric vehicles, wind turbines, and defense applications. The company aims to become a leading producer of these critical materials.
- Concentrate Production: Currently, MP Materials produces a rare earth concentrate. This concentrate is then shipped to customers for further processing and separation into individual rare earth oxides and metals.
- Downstream Product Development (Future): The company has plans to develop downstream capabilities, including the production of separated rare earth oxides and ultimately finished rare earth magnets, aiming for full vertical integration within the United States.
Leadership and Structure
MP Materials Corp. is led by a management team with extensive experience in mining, processing, and business operations. Key figures include James Litinsky (Chairman and CEO) and Ryan N. Zovath (Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary). The company operates as a publicly traded entity with a board of directors overseeing its strategic direction.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Rare Earth Concentrate: MP Materials' primary offering is a rare earth concentrate from the Mountain Pass mine. This concentrate is rich in critical rare earth elements like Neodymium and Praseodymium. While specific market share data for concentrate is not readily available, MP Materials is the sole North American producer of this type of concentrate, giving it a unique position in the domestic market. Its main competitors in the global market for separated rare earths include Chinese companies like China Northern Rare Earth Group and China Rare Earth Group, as well as emerging players in Australia and other regions.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The rare earth element (REE) industry is critical for the production of high-tech products, including electric vehicles, wind turbines, consumer electronics, and defense systems. Historically, China has dominated the global supply chain for REEs, from mining to processing and magnet production. However, geopolitical concerns and the strategic importance of a secure supply chain have led to a global push to diversify and re-shore REE production, creating significant growth opportunities for companies like MP Materials.
Positioning
MP Materials is strategically positioned as the only integrated rare earth mining and processing site in North America. This provides a significant competitive advantage, particularly given the increasing demand for domestically sourced critical minerals. Its ability to produce REEs within the US makes it an attractive partner for Western manufacturers seeking to de-risk their supply chains. However, it faces the challenge of scaling up its processing capabilities to compete with established global players in separated rare earths and magnet production.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global market for rare earth elements is substantial and growing, driven by the clean energy transition and technological advancements. Analysts estimate the global rare earth market to be worth tens of billions of dollars and projected to grow to over $10 billion by 2030. MP Materials is positioned to capture a significant portion of this TAM, particularly in the North American market, as it expands its downstream processing capabilities and aims for full vertical integration.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Unique position as the only integrated rare earth mining and processing site in North America.
- World-class rare earth deposit at Mountain Pass, rich in critical elements like Neodymium and Praseodymium.
- Strong government support and strategic importance for national security and supply chain diversification.
- Experienced management team with a clear vision for growth and vertical integration.
Weaknesses
- Currently relies on third-party processors for separation of rare earth oxides, creating a bottleneck.
- Significant capital expenditure required for downstream processing and magnet production.
- Dependence on global market prices for rare earth commodities.
- Navigating complex environmental and regulatory hurdles for expansion.
Opportunities
- Increasing global demand for rare earths driven by EVs and renewable energy.
- Government incentives and policies supporting domestic critical mineral production.
- Partnerships with Western manufacturers seeking secure supply chains.
- Expansion into higher-value downstream products like separated oxides and magnets.
- Potential for expansion of the Mountain Pass deposit.
Threats
- Competition from established Chinese producers with lower production costs.
- Volatility in rare earth commodity prices.
- Technological advancements that could reduce the need for certain rare earth elements.
- Geopolitical risks and trade disputes affecting global supply chains.
- Challenges in attracting and retaining skilled labor for specialized operations.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Lynas Rare Earths (ASX: LYC)
- China Northern Rare Earth Group
- China Rare Earth Group
Competitive Landscape
MP Materials' primary advantage lies in its North American operational base, which is crucial for Western manufacturers seeking de-risked supply chains. However, it faces intense competition from established Chinese producers who benefit from lower labor costs, established infrastructure, and historically dominant market share. Lynas Rare Earths is another significant international competitor. MP Materials' strategy to move into downstream processing (separation and magnet production) aims to differentiate itself and capture higher margins, moving beyond just concentrate sales.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: MP Materials has demonstrated significant historical growth, particularly in terms of operational output and the commencement of its integrated rare earth production. The company has successfully scaled up its mining and concentrate production at the Mountain Pass mine. Its public listing in 2021 marked a crucial step in securing the capital needed for its ambitious expansion plans.
Future Projections: Future projections for MP Materials are driven by its plan to complete its rare earth oxide separation facility and subsequently its rare earth magnet manufacturing facility. Analyst estimates generally point to substantial revenue growth as these facilities come online and the company captures more value in the supply chain. The demand for its products is expected to be robust, fueled by the green energy transition and electrification trends.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives by MP Materials include the ongoing construction of its rare earth permanent magnet production facility, which is expected to be operational in 2025. The company is also progressing with its rare earth oxide separation facility. Strategic partnerships and off-take agreements are also key initiatives to secure future demand and financing. Furthermore, the company is exploring the development of a silicon-anode anode battery materials business.
Summary
MP Materials Corp. is a strategically vital company poised to become a cornerstone of North America's rare earth supply chain. Its unique integrated mine and processing site, coupled with strong demand drivers like EVs and renewable energy, present significant growth potential. However, the company faces substantial capital requirements for downstream expansion, intense competition from established global players, and commodity price volatility. Successfully executing its vertical integration strategy is paramount for long-term success and investor returns.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- MP Materials Corp. Investor Relations
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Industry Analysis Reports (e.g., USGS, market research firms)
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters, Wall Street Journal)
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It is not investment advice. Financial data and market share estimates are subject to change and may vary depending on the source and reporting period. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About MP Materials Corp
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Las Vegas, NV, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2020-06-22 | Co-Founder, Chairman, President & CEO Mr. James Henry Litinsky | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Other Industrial Metals & Mining | Full time employees 804 | Website https://mpmaterials.com |
Full time employees 804 | Website https://mpmaterials.com | ||
MP Materials Corp., together with its subsidiaries, produces rare earth materials in the Western Hemisphere. The company operates in two segments, Materials and Magnetics. The Materials segment owns and operates the Mountain Pass Rare Earth Mine and Processing facility located near Mountain Pass, San Bernardino County, California. The Magnetics segment produces magnetic precursor products. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.

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