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Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund (MSDL)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/18/2025: MSDL (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $17.68
1 Year Target Price $17.68
| 0 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 5 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -4.14% | Avg. Invested days 46 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.48B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 10.33 | 1Y Target Price 17.68 |
Price to earnings Ratio 10.33 | 1Y Target Price 17.68 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 6 | Beta - | 52 Weeks Range 15.70 - 20.05 | Updated Date 12/19/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 15.70 - 20.05 | Updated Date 12/19/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.65 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) - | Return on Equity (TTM) - |
Valuation
Trailing PE 10.33 | Forward PE 8.98 | Enterprise Value - | Price to Sales(TTM) 9.89 |
Enterprise Value - | Price to Sales(TTM) 9.89 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 23.49 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 86811205 | Shares Floating - |
Shares Outstanding 86811205 | Shares Floating - | ||
Percent Insiders 0.24 | Percent Institutions 26.34 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund

Company Overview
History and Background
The Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund (MSDLF) is a closed-end management investment company registered under the Investment Company Act of 1940. It was established to invest primarily in a diversified portfolio of senior secured loans, unsecured loans, and mezzanine debt instruments made to, or on behalf of, companies in the United States. The fund aims to generate current income and capital appreciation. While its exact founding year is not readily available in public filings as a distinct entity from its manager, it operates under the umbrella of Morgan Stanley Investment Management, a global leader in investment management with a long history dating back to 1935. The evolution of such funds is typically driven by market demand for alternative credit strategies and the expansion of direct lending as an asset class.
Core Business Areas
- Direct Lending Investments: Investing in senior secured loans, unsecured loans, and mezzanine debt instruments issued by a diversified range of U.S. companies.
- Income Generation: Seeking to generate consistent current income for shareholders through interest payments from its loan portfolio.
- Capital Appreciation: Aiming for capital appreciation by investing in debt instruments with the potential for price increases.
Leadership and Structure
The Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund is managed by Morgan Stanley Investment Management. The fund is overseen by a Board of Trustees, responsible for the fund's governance and acting in the best interests of shareholders. Specific portfolio management is typically handled by a team of investment professionals within Morgan Stanley Investment Management, specializing in credit and direct lending strategies. Detailed leadership information, such as specific fund managers, is usually disclosed in the fund's annual and semi-annual reports.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Competitors: Other BDCs, alternative credit funds, institutional investors in syndicated loans.
- Description: Represents loans that are backed by specific collateral, providing a higher level of security for the lender. These loans typically carry lower risk and therefore lower yields compared to other forms of debt. Competitors in this space include other direct lending funds, business development companies (BDCs), and institutional investors.
- Market Share Data: Market share for specific fund offerings within the direct lending space is not publicly disclosed by individual funds. The direct lending market itself is substantial and growing, with estimates of its total size varying but often in the hundreds of billions of dollars.
- Product Name 1: Senior Secured Loans
- Competitors: Private equity firms, specialized mezzanine funds, other BDCs.
- Description: Represents a hybrid form of financing that ranks below senior debt but above equity. It often includes an equity component or warrants, offering potential for higher returns but also carrying greater risk. Competitors include other credit funds, private equity firms, and specialized debt providers.
- Market Share Data: Specific market share data is not available for this product segment at the fund level.
- Product Name 2: Mezzanine Debt
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The direct lending industry has experienced significant growth in recent years, driven by a retreat of traditional banks from certain lending segments and a strong demand for flexible, customized financing solutions by middle-market companies. The sector is characterized by a large number of participants, including BDCs, private credit funds, and institutional investors. The market is influenced by interest rate environments, economic conditions, and regulatory developments. The prevalence of floating-rate loans in direct lending portfolios means that rising interest rates can positively impact income.
Positioning
Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund is positioned as a vehicle for investors seeking exposure to the direct lending market, leveraging Morgan Stanley's expertise in credit analysis and deal sourcing. Its competitive advantages likely stem from the scale and resources of Morgan Stanley Investment Management, its established relationships within the financial community, and its ability to source and underwrite a diverse range of debt instruments. However, as a closed-end fund, it may face liquidity challenges for investors compared to open-end funds.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for direct lending is substantial and continuously evolving. Estimates for the global private credit market, which encompasses direct lending, often range in the trillions of dollars. Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund, as a specific fund focused on U.S. middle-market companies, targets a significant but more defined portion of this TAM. Its positioning is to capture a share of the financing needs of companies that may not have access to traditional bank financing or are seeking more specialized debt structures. The fund's ability to compete effectively will depend on its investment strategy, deal origination capabilities, and risk management.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Leverages the established reputation and global resources of Morgan Stanley Investment Management.
- Access to extensive deal sourcing networks and origination capabilities.
- Experienced investment team with expertise in credit analysis and direct lending.
- Diversified portfolio strategy across various industries and company types.
- Potential for attractive current income generation due to floating-rate nature of many loans.
Weaknesses
- As a closed-end fund, it may trade at a discount or premium to its Net Asset Value (NAV), impacting investor returns.
- Liquidity may be a concern for investors compared to open-end funds.
- Performance is subject to interest rate risk and credit risk of underlying borrowers.
- Reliance on external market conditions for loan origination and valuations.
Opportunities
- Continued growth of the middle-market lending space as banks reduce their exposure.
- Potential for increased demand for alternative credit solutions.
- Opportunity to capitalize on rising interest rates to enhance income.
- Expansion into new geographic regions or specialized lending niches.
- Strategic partnerships or co-investment opportunities.
Threats
- Economic downturns leading to increased loan defaults and credit losses.
- Rising interest rate environment could increase borrowing costs for some companies and pressure valuations.
- Increased competition from other direct lenders and private credit funds.
- Regulatory changes impacting the alternative investment landscape.
- Potential for illiquidity in the secondary market for its debt instruments.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Apollo Investment Corporation (AINV)
- BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. (TCPC)
- Owl Rock Capital Corporation (ORCC)
- Guggenheim Credit Income Fund (GGF)
Competitive Landscape
Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund competes in a crowded market of Business Development Companies (BDCs) and private credit funds. Its advantages lie in the robust research and origination capabilities of its manager, Morgan Stanley. However, some competitors might have a longer track record as standalone BDCs or a more specialized investment focus. The ability to consistently source high-quality deals at attractive risk-adjusted returns is crucial for outperforming competitors.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: The growth trajectory of Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund would be assessed by tracking the growth in its Net Asset Value (NAV) and its total assets under management over time. This growth is driven by successful investment origination, asset appreciation, and potentially capital raises. The expansion of the direct lending market itself has provided a favorable backdrop for growth.
Future Projections: Future projections for Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund would depend on market conditions, the fund's investment strategy, and its ability to deploy capital effectively. Analyst projections, if available, would consider factors like projected interest rate movements, economic forecasts, and the competitive landscape within direct lending. Growth is often tied to the fund's ability to originate new loans and manage its existing portfolio efficiently.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives might include strategies to enhance portfolio diversification, refine credit underwriting processes, leverage technology for deal sourcing or portfolio management, or explore new investment opportunities within the broader credit markets. Specific initiatives are usually detailed in management reports or investor presentations.
Summary
Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund, backed by the vast resources of Morgan Stanley Investment Management, is well-positioned within the growing direct lending market. Its strengths lie in its strong deal origination capabilities and experienced management team, enabling it to generate consistent income for shareholders. However, like all closed-end funds, it faces potential valuation volatility and liquidity concerns. The fund must navigate an increasingly competitive landscape and mitigate risks associated with economic downturns and rising interest rates to sustain its growth and shareholder returns.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund official filings (e.g., Prospectus, Annual Reports, Semi-Annual Reports)
- Financial data aggregators (e.g., Bloomberg, Refinitiv - general market data and competitor analysis)
- Industry analysis reports on direct lending and private credit markets.
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is generated based on publicly available information and general knowledge of the financial markets. It is not intended as investment advice. Specific financial data, market share percentages, and performance metrics can change rapidly and may vary depending on the source and the specific reporting period. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The AI-based rating is an automated assessment and should not be the sole basis for investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters New York, NY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2024-01-24 | CEO & Director Mr. Michael Occi Jr. | ||
Sector Financial Services | Industry Asset Management | Full time employees - | Website |
Full time employees - | Website | ||
Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund is a business development company. The fund chiefly invests in riskier bonds, issued by middle-market companies or by private equity firms looking to finance their acquisitions.

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