Mesa Royalty Trust logo

Mesa Royalty Trust(MTR)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$2.07
10/23/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for MTR

10/23/2026: MTR (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Mesa Royalty Trust is a passive, flow-through investment vehicle that generates income from overriding royalty interests in mature oil and gas properties. The trust provides direct, unhedged exposure to natural gas and oil price fluctuations, making it an option primarily for income-focused investors who understand commodity volatility. Its main strength lies in its simple structure with no operating costs, but it faces significant risks from the natural depletion of its aging assets and lack of operational control. As a depleting asset, it is generally unsuitable for long-term growth investors. Potential developments to monitor include changes in energy commodity prices, operational performance of third-party producers, and environmental regulations.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorWeak fitThe trust is a depleting asset and does not offer long-term capital growth potential.
Momentum investorMixed fitMomentum may occur during commodity price spikes, but the asset lacks structural growth catalysts.
Value investorWeak fitValuation is difficult due to the finite life of the underlying oil and gas reserves.
Dividend investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThe trust is designed exclusively for high-yield income distribution.
Low-risk investorWeak fitHigh commodity price volatility makes this an unsuitable investment for risk-averse individuals.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighDistributions are directly tied to fluctuating oil and gas prices.
Valuation riskHighThe finite nature of the assets makes long-term valuation highly uncertain.
Competition risk (commodity markets)MediumGlobal energy supply changes impact the price of the trust's underlying gas and oil.
Business qualityLowThe trust has no operating control and is dependent on third-party performance.
Dividend incomeHighDividend payouts are variable and may cease entirely as production ends.
Execution riskMediumInvestors are reliant on the operational efficiency of third-party oil and gas operators.

Price Behavior

Steep Decline
PRICE PATH

Steep Decline

The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -58.69%
Avg. Invested days 19
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/23/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
MTR receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, and solid quantitative characteristics. The rating is constrained by soft analyst coverage, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
MTR has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with solid financial health, moderate growth momentum, and moderate ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid earnings growth (+10.4%) and strong profitability (net margin 84.9%) are partially offset by soft cash generation (FCF margin 0.0%), negative revenue growth (-19.3%), very low insider ownership of 0.00%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
MTR's financial health is supported by strong profitability, including gross margin of 100.0% and operating margin of 71.4%. Cash strength is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Earnings growth is MTR's strongest growth driver at +10.4% FY2025 versus FY2024 (solid, 4 stars). By comparison, while revenue growth (-19.3%, negative) and free-cash-flow growth (+0.0%, slightly negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 31.0% (moderate) and 100.0% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable (strong). Insider ownership is only 0.00%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Welch Group, LLC 1.21%
Citadel Advisors Llc 0.79%
McGowan Group Asset Management, Inc. 0.70%
Advisor Group Holdings, Inc. 0.53%
CWM, LLC duplicate 0.39%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
MTR generates approximately $1,000 of gross profit, $714 of operating income, and $0 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Solid margins and weak cash conversion support a 3-star rating, while capital efficiency is strong.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 0.00%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
MTR has a high-quality, liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltLow VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 3.86M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 10.35
1Y Target Price -
Price to earnings Ratio 10.35
1Y Target Price -
Volume (30-day avg) 6.0K shares
Beta 0.42
52 Weeks Range 1.95 - 5.74
Updated Date 10/25/2026
52 Weeks Range 1.95 - 5.74
Updated Date 10/25/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 8.55%
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.2

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Natural Gas RoyaltiesProceeds from gas production in San Juan and Hugoton basins.You get paid from the gas pulled from the ground by third parties.
Oil RoyaltiesProceeds from oil production on trust-owned mineral interests.You get paid from the oil pulled from the ground by third parties.
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Valuation

Trailing PE 10.35
Forward PE 19.68
Enterprise Value 2.46M
Price to Sales(TTM) 6.97
Enterprise Value 2.46M
Price to Sales(TTM) 6.97
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.16
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.52
Shares Outstanding 1.86M
Shares Floating 1.86M
Shares Outstanding 1.86M
Shares Floating 1.86M
Percent Insiders -
Percent Institutions 30.98

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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