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Upturn AI SWOT - About
MUSA 
Murphy USA Inc (MUSA)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/30/2025: MUSA (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Number of Analysts
9 Analysts rated it
Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.
1 Year Target Price $496.75
1 Year Target Price $496.75
| 5 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 2 | Hold |
| 2 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 10.72% | Avg. Invested days 54 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  2.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 06/30/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 8.06B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 17.27 | 1Y Target Price 496.75 |
Price to earnings Ratio 17.27 | 1Y Target Price 496.75 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 9 | Beta 0.5 | 52 Weeks Range 385.44 - 559.84 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 385.44 - 559.84 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.49% | Basic EPS (TTM) 23.62 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 2.78% | Operating Margin (TTM) 2.22% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 10.49% | Return on Equity (TTM) 65.24% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 17.27 | Forward PE 15.87 | Enterprise Value 10494981738 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.46 |
Enterprise Value 10494981738 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.46 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.53 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.64 | Shares Outstanding 19761600 | Shares Floating 17893576 |
Shares Outstanding 19761600 | Shares Floating 17893576 | ||
Percent Insiders 9.25 | Percent Institutions 89.26 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3 | Target Price 496.75 | Buy - | Strong Buy 5 |
Buy - | Strong Buy 5 | ||
Hold 2 | Sell 2 | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Murphy USA Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Murphy USA was founded in 2013 as a spin-off from Murphy Oil Corporation. It operates retail gasoline stations and convenience stores, primarily in the southern and southeastern United States. Initially focused on locations near Walmart stores, it has expanded its footprint and offerings over time.
Core Business Areas
- Retail Fuel: Sale of gasoline and diesel fuel at retail locations. This is the primary revenue driver.
- Convenience Store: Sale of merchandise, including snacks, beverages, tobacco products, and other convenience items.
Leadership and Structure
Andrew Clyde serves as the President and CEO. The organizational structure is typical of a retail company, with regional and store-level management reporting to corporate leadership.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Gasoline: Murphy USA's core product, competing with major gas station chains and independent retailers. Market share data varies by region but nationally is approximately 2.5%. Competitors include ExxonMobil (XOM), Chevron (CVX), and Shell (SHEL). Revenue is primarily from fuel sales.
- Convenience Store Items: A variety of convenience store items. Market share data for individual items is fragmented, but overall convenience store sales contribute significantly to revenue. Competitors include 7-Eleven (private), Circle K (private), and other regional convenience store chains.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The retail fuel industry is highly competitive and cyclical, influenced by oil prices, consumer demand, and regulatory factors. The convenience store segment is also competitive, with a focus on customer service and product selection.
Positioning
Murphy USA positions itself as a value-oriented fuel retailer, focusing on competitive pricing and convenient locations. Its partnership with Walmart historically provided a strategic advantage.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The US fuel retail market is estimated at several hundred billion dollars annually. The convenience store market is also substantial, reaching hundreds of billions. Murphy USA's market capitalization is significantly smaller, indicating growth potential within the TAM.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Competitive pricing strategy
- Strong brand recognition in core markets
- Efficient operations and cost management
- Focus on high-volume locations
Weaknesses
- Reliance on fuel sales, vulnerable to price fluctuations
- Limited diversification beyond fuel and convenience store items
- Exposure to environmental regulations
- High dependence on single-brand fuel supply in some regions.
Opportunities
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Development of loyalty programs and enhanced customer experience
- Increased focus on electric vehicle charging infrastructure
- Partnerships with delivery services
Threats
- Fluctuations in oil prices and refining margins
- Increasing competition from other fuel retailers
- Shift towards electric vehicles and alternative fuel sources
- Economic downturns affecting consumer spending
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- WMT
- CST
- ARCO
Competitive Landscape
Murphy USA competes on price and convenience. Its efficient operations and focus on high-volume locations provide a competitive advantage. The Walmart partnership historically provided a steady flow of customers.
Major Acquisitions
QuickChek
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 645
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded Murphy USA's presence in the Northeast and diversified its convenience store offerings.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth has been driven by same-store sales increases and store expansion.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued growth in revenue and earnings, driven by efficient operations and strategic acquisitions. Estimates can vary considerably depending on the source.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include store remodeling programs, expansion of food and beverage offerings, and investments in technology.
Summary
Murphy USA is a strong value-oriented fuel retailer with a solid track record of growth and profitability. Its efficient operations and strategic locations contribute to its success. The company faces challenges from fluctuating oil prices and the shift to electric vehicles, but its recent initiatives and expansion plans position it for continued growth.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC filings, Yahoo Finance, Analyst reports, MarketWatch.
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Analyst estimates are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Murphy USA Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters El Dorado, AR, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2013-08-19 | President, CEO & Director Mr. R. Andrew Clyde | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Specialty Retail | Full time employees 5900 | Website https://www.murphyusa.com |
Full time employees 5900 | Website https://www.murphyusa.com | ||
Murphy USA Inc., together with subsidiaries, engages in marketing of retail motor fuel products and convenience merchandise. The company operates retail stores under the Murphy USA, Murphy Express, and QuickChek brands, as well as operates non-fuel convenience stores. It operates retail gasoline stores principally in the Southeast, Southwest, and Midwest areas of the United States. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in El Dorado, Arkansas.
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